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Springer Nature - PMC COVID-19 Collection logoLink to Springer Nature - PMC COVID-19 Collection
. 2023 Feb 15:1–10. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-023-00774-z

Dimensional study of COVID-19 via fractal functions

Ekta Agrawal 1, Saurabh Verma 1,
PMCID: PMC9930014  PMID: 36816509

Abstract

The present paper deals with the modeling of the COVID-19 via fractal interpolation function (FIF) and the estimation of the dimension of constructed FIF. Further, we determine the adjoint of the fractal operator defined on L2 space associated with the FIF.

Introduction

Several outbreaks have occurred in India over the last century, but none have been as deadly as the COVID-19 outbreaks. The first indication that the COVID-19 outbreak has spread to India is on January 27, 2020, when the first case of infection in Kerala, India, was reported. Since then, the entire country has been in a state of chaos and turbulence as a result of the virus’s increasing casualties. Coronavirus disease caused by the coronavirus strain, viz., Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), mainly affects the respiratory system of the human body. The disease is highly contagious, which explains the high death toll. In the battle with this infectious disease, mankind has had to discover a strategy to survive. Active surveillance of the increase in the number of infected cases and deaths due to COVID-19 through a fractal interpolation polynomial provides a way to better understand the dynamical nature of the virus. In this attempt, several authors studied the dynamic nature of the COVID-19 virus via the fractal-based models [11, 14, 19, 28].

There are numerous real-world applications for functional interpolation from a given data set. In the classical approach, the interpolation has been accomplished by smooth functions, sometimes infinitely differentiable, but natural phenomena may occur with sudden changes. In 1986, Barnsley [6, 7] used the concept of an iterated function system (IFS) to introduce continuous interpolation functions called fractal interpolation functions (FIFs). For more details about these IFS and related concept, we refer the interested reader to, for instance, [12, 16, 22].

In advance of the classical approach, these FIFs possess a self-similar nature on small scales and are not essentially smooth. Due to advancements in its properties, this theory gained remarkable attention in mathematical modeling. Following that Navascués [25] introduced α-fractal functions on a real compact interval. Motivated by Navascués work, bivariate [9, 2123], multivariate [1, 29, 30], vector-valued [39], complex-valued [40], set-valued [31] α-fractal functions as well as fractal functions on the fractal domains [2, 3, 32, 34] are constructed and studied recently. We also encourage to see some recent works [5, 10, 17, 18, 35, 36] on non-stationary fractal functions which are generalizations of fractal functions and fractal dimension of fractal functions. The fractal interpolation function has numerous applications in real life and medical science [13, 15, 28, 41].

Computation of the fractal dimension of a given set, the graph of a function and measure is an integral part of fractal analysis. Fractal dimension has a nice connection with some topological properties of a metric space. For example, if box dimension of a set is strictly less than 1,  then the set will be totally disconnected, for more details, see [12]. Liang [20] proved that for a continuous function of bounded variation on the unit interval [0, 1], its graph has box dimension 1. We can also note (see, for instance, [12]) that if a real-valued function is Hölder continuous with Hölder exponent σ, then the upper box dimension of its graph is less than 2-σ. Some works related to the estimation and computation of fractal dimension of fractal sets and functions can be seen in [1, 2, 8, 10, 12, 18, 22, 29, 38].

The paper is organized as follows. In Sect. 2, we provide background related to the article where we discussed in detail the construction of the fractal interpolation function and the basic of fractal dimensions. In Sect. 3, we modeled COVID-19 using the data collected from the second wave in India and estimate the fractal dimension of the constructed FIFs. Further, we define the fractal operator on L2 space and determine the adjoint of the fractal operator using series expansions. In Sect. 4, we close the discussion of this paper by writing some concluding remarks and some possible future works.

Fractal functions

Let the interpolation data set be given as {(xi,yi)I×R:i=0,1,2,,N} such that x0<x1<<xN. Consider the intervals I=[x0,xN] and In=[xn-1,xn], for n{1,2,,N}. Define a function Ln:IIn such that it is a contractive homeomorphism and satisfies

Ln(x0)=xn-1andLn(xN)=xn.

Define a continuous function Fn:I×RR such that it is a contraction in second co-ordinate and satisfies the join-up condition, that is,

|Fn(x,y)-Fn(x,y)|cn|y-y|,for(x,y),(x,y)I×R,

where 0<cn<1 and

Fn(x0,y0)=yn-1andFn(xN,yN)=yn,forn{1,2,,N}.

Define a function Wn:I×RI×R as

Wn(x,y)=(Ln(x),Fn(x,y)),for(x,y)I×R.

Thus, {I×R;Wn:n=1,2,,N} is an iterated function system (IFS). Using Theorem 1 of [7], the IFS defined above has a unique attractor which is the graph of the continuous function f:IR satisfying the self-referential equation given as

f(x)=Fn(Ln-1(x),f(Ln-1(x))),forxIn,andn{1,2,,N},that is,f(Ln(x))=Fn(x,f(x)),forxI.

The functions Ln:IIn and Fn:I×RR mentioned above can be chosen as

Ln(x)=anx+bn,forxIFn(x,y)=αny+qn(x),for(x,y)I×R,

where an,bn,αnR such that 0<|αn|<1 and qn:IR is a continuous function given as

qn(x)=f(Ln(x))-αnb(x),forxI,

where the continuous function b:IR is called a base function satisfying b(x0)=y0andb(xN)=yN and f:IR is the original interpolating function satisfying the interpolation points, called the germ function. Since the function Fn also satisfies the join-up conditions, we obtain,

qn(x0)=f(Ln(x0))-αnb(x0)andqn(xN)=f(Ln(xN))-αnb(xN).

Consequently, the IFS {I×R;Wn:n=1,2,,N} has a unique attractor given by the graph of the continuous function f, denoted by fα and satisfies the self-referential equation given as

fα(x)=f(x)+αn(fα-b)(Ln-1(x)),forxInandn{1,2,,N}.

Therefore, for any partition Δ of the interval I=[x0,xN], scaling vector α=(α1,α2,,αN) and base function b, we get a fractal interpolation function fΔ,bα, called α-fractal interpolation function. For box dimensions, we refer the reader to [12].

Definition 2.1

Let A be a non-empty bounded subset of the metric space (Xd). The box dimension of A is defined as

dimBA=limδ0logNδ(A)-logδ,

provided the limit exists, where Nδ(A) denotes the smallest number of sets of diameter at most δ that can cover A. If this limit does not exist, then the upper and the lower box dimension, respectively, are defined as

dim¯BA=lim supδ0logNδ(A)-logδ,dim_BA=lim infδ0logNδ(A)-logδ.

The following result is a special case of Theorem 3 in [8] applied to Lipschitz functions.

Theorem 2.2

Let Δ=x0,x1,,xN be a partition of I=x0,xN satisfying x0<x1<<xN and let α=α1,α2,,αN(-1,1)N. Assume that f and b are Lipschitz functions defined on I with bx0=fx0 and bxN=fxN. If the data points xi,fxi:i=0,1,N are not collinear, then

dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=D,ifi=1Nαi>1;1,otherwise,

where Gr(fΔ,bα) denotes the graph of fΔ,bα and D is the unique positive solution of the equation given as

i=1NαiaiD-1=1.

COVID-19

Our objective is to understand the epidemic from a fractal point of view which will be a better method to analyze the growth of the virus. In that facet, we collected the data from India and constructed the α-fractal interpolation function following the procedure mentioned before. The number of positive cases at a difference of forty days starting from 15th Nov 2021 is taken as shown in Table 1. All the data that is shown in Table 1 is gathered from ourworldindata.org [42].

Table 1.

Cases of Covid-19

S.No. Date xi yi (Number of positive cases)
0 15 Nov, 2021 0 8865
1 25 Dec, 2021 0.1 6987
2 3 Feb, 2022 0.2 149394
3 15 March, 2022 0.3 2876
4 24 April, 2022 0.4 2541
5 3 June, 2022 0.5 3962
6 13 July, 2022 0.6 20139
7 22 Aug, 2022 0.7 8586
8 1 Oct, 2022 0.8 3375
9 10 Nov, 2022 0.9 4517
10 20 Dec, 2022 1 132

Thus, the set of interpolation points is given by {(xi,yi):i=0,1,2,,10}. In the first case base function b is taken to be line passing through (x0,y0) and (x10,y10), that is, b(x)=-8733x+8865 and germ function f is taken as

f(x)=-18780x+8865for0x<0.11424070x-135420for0.1x<0.2-1465180x+442430for0.2x<0.3-3350x+3881for0.3x<0.414210x-3143for0.4x<0.5161770x-76923for0.5x<0.6-115530x+89457for0.6x<0.7-52110x+45063for0.7x<0.811420x-5761for0.8x<0.9-43850x+43982for0.9x1.

For n{1,2,,10}, the function Ln(x)=(0.1)x+xn-1,wherex[0,1]. Now by varying α, the vector scale function, we get different fractal function represented in a graph. For α=0.05, its fractal function is represented in Fig. 1a. Again for α=0.4, its fractal function is represented in Fig. 1b. Now for α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.9,0.09,0.07), we get Fig. 1c.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

a fα when αn=0.05forn{1,2,,10} and dimB(Gr(fα))=1. b fα when αn=0.4forn{1,2,,10} and dimB(Gr(fα))=1.60. c fα when α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.9,0.09,0.07) and dimB(Gr(fα))=1.33

Consider the germ function f given before and take base function b as a Bernstein polynomial B2(f) of order 2 written as

b(x)=B2(f)(x)=Σk=022kf(k2)xk(1-x)2-k,

that is,

b(x)=1073x2+(-9806)x+8865.

Now by varying α, we get different fractal interpolations represented in a graph. As for α=0.05, we get Fig. 2a, and for α=0.1, we get Fig. 2b. Again for α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.09,0.07), the fractal function obtained is represented in Fig. 2c. Let us note the following:

  • All functions fi and bi are Lipschitz functions for each i=1,2,,10.

  • The data set {(xi,yi):i=0,1,2,,10} are not collinear.

In view of the above, we can apply Theorem 2.2 to compute the fractal dimension of the graphs of the α-fractal functions associated with these data set and considered functions to analyze fluctuation in the number of positive cases.

  • In Fig. 1a, we have ai=0.1 and αi=0.05. Since i=1100.05=0.51, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=1.

  • In Fig. 1b, we have ai=0.1 and αi=0.4. Since i=1100.4=4>1, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=D, which is calculated as,
    i=110(0.4)(110)D-1=14(110)D-1=110D-1=4.
    After taking the log on both sides, we get
    D=1+2log21.60.
  • In Fig. 1c, we have ai=0.1 and α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.9,0.09,0.07). Since i=110|αi|=(0.1+0.09+0.5+0.2+0.05+0.06+0.08+0.9+0.09+0.07)=2.14>1, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=D, which is calculated as,
    (0.1+0.09+0.5+0.2+0.05+0.06+0.08+0.9+0.09+0.07)(110)D-1=1(2.14)(110)D-1=110D-1=2.14.
    After taking the log on both sides, we get
    D=1+log2.141.33.
  • In Fig. 2a, we have ai=0.1 and αi=0.05. Since i=1100.05=0.51, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=1.

  • In Fig. 2b, we have ai=0.1 and αi=0.1. Since i=1100.1=11, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=1.

  • In Fig. 2c, we have ai=0.1 and α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.09,0.07). Since i=110|αi|=(0.1+0.09+0.5+0.2+0.05+0.06+0.08+0.01+0.09+0.07)=1.25>1, using Theorem 2.2, we get dimB(Gr(fΔ,bα))=D, which is calculated as,
    (0.1+0.09+0.5+0.2+0.05+0.06+0.08+0.01+0.09+0.07)(110)D-1=1(1.25)(110)D-1=110D-1=1.25.
    After taking the log on both sides, we get
    D=1+log1.251.10.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

a fα when αn=0.05forn{1,2,,10} and dimB(Gr(fα))=1. b fα when αn=0.1forn{1,2,,10} and dimB(Gr(fα))=1. c fα when α=(0.1,0.09,0.5,0.2,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.09,0.07) and dimB(Gr(fα))=1.10

A fractal operator

Let fC(I) be the germ function and let the base function b=Lf, where L:C(I)C(I) be a bounded linear map such that (Lf)(x1)=x1, (Lf)(xN)=xN, and Lff. We shall denote the corresponding α-fractal function by fΔ,Lα. Let us fix the elements in the corresponding IFS, namely, the partition Δ, scale vector α, and operator L. Let us note the following definition due to Navascués [24].

Definition 3.1

We refer to the transformation FΔ,Lα=Fα which assigns fΔ,Lα to f, as a α-fractal operator or simply fractal operator with respect to Δ and L.

Navascués [25, Theorem 3.3] proved the next theorem.

Theorem 3.2

Let |α|=max{|αn|:n{1,2,,N}}, and let Id be the identity operator on C(I).

  1. For any fC(I), the perturbation error satisfies
    fα-f|α|1-|α|f-Lf.
  2. The fractal operator Fα:C(I)C(I) is a bounded linear map. Further, the operator norm satisfies
    Fα||1+|α|1-|α|Id-L.
  3. For |α|<L-1, Fα is bounded below. In particular, Fα is an injective map.

  4. |α|<(1+Id-L)-1, then Fα is a topological isomorphism (that is, bijective bounded map with bounded inverse). Moreover, (Fα)-11+|α|1-|α|L.

  5. For |α|<L-1, the fractal operator Fα is not a compact operator.

Remark 3.3

According to item (1) of the previous theorem, the collection of maps fΔ,bα constitutes continuous functions containing f as a particular case (for α=0). Furthermore, the inequality therein reveals that by appropriate choice of the scale vector α or operator L, the fractal perturbation fΔ,bα can be made close to the original function f. Thus, fΔ,bα is a simultaneously interpolating and approximating fractal function to f.

Let fC(I). The Bernstein polynomial Bn(f) of order n is defined as

Bn(f)(x):=k=0nnkf(kn)xk(1-x)n-k.

Note 1 Let us note the following:

Bn(f)(x)=k=0nnkxk(1-x)n-kf(kn).

Choosing f=1, we have

Bn1(x)=k=0nnkxk(1-x)n-k=1.

This implies that Bn1 and Bnm1. Now, for every fC(I), we get

Bn(f)(x)fk=0nnkxk(1-x)n-k=f.

Since the Bernstein operator Bn is a linear positive operator, the previous inequality gives

Bnm(f)(x)f,

which produces Bnm1. Therefore, we have Bnm=1 for all mN. We know that for a bounded linear operator T and the operator norm ., the spectral radius ρ(T) of T is given by

ρ(T)=limkTk1k.

Since Bnm=1,mN, we have

ρ(Bn)=limmBnm1m=1.

Adjoint of Fα on L2(I)

We now consider the Banach space of functions with finite energy:

L2(I)={g:IR:gismeasurableandg2<},

where the norm is defined by

g2=I|g(x)|2dx1/2.

Note that the space L2(I) is in fact a Hilbert space with respect to the inner product

g,h=Ig(x)h(x)dx,forg,hL2(I).

It is worth to note that the construction of fractal functions in L2(I) was initiated by Prof. Navascués in her work [25], wherein she also showed that every complex-valued square integrable function defined in a real bounded interval can be well approximated by a complex fractal function. Let fL2(I). To construct the fractal function in L2(I) corresponding to f, there are two approaches in the literature. One is to apply the density of C(I) in L2(I) to obtain a fractal analog of fL2(I) using α-fractal functions corresponding to continuous functions; see, for instance, [25]. Though this approach is natural and elementary, the self-referentiality of the fractal analog of fL2(I) is not evident in this case. Using another approach due to Massopust ([23, Theorem 2]), one may easily deduce the next theorem.

Theorem 3.4

Let fL2(I) be chosen arbitrarily and held fixed. Suppose that Δ={xi:i=0,1,2,,N} is a partition of I satisfying x0<x1<x2<<xN, Ii:=[xi,xi+1) for i=0,1,2,,N-2 and IN-1:=[xN-1,xN]. Let Li:[x0,xN)Ii be affine maps satisfying Li(x0)=xi and Li(xN-)=xi+1 for i{0,1,2,,N-2}. Further suppose that LN-1:IIN-1 is an affinity satisfying LN-1(x0)=xN-1 and LN-1(xN)=xN. Let the affinities be given by Li(x)=aix+bi for iJ:={0,1,2,,N-1}. Fix αi(-1,1) for all iJ and bL2(I). Define T:L2(I)L2(I) by

Tg(x)=f(x)+αi(Li-1(x))[g(Li-1(x))-b(Li-1(x))],xIi,iJ.

If the scaling factors αi, iJ satisfy [iJaiαi2]1/2<1, then the operator T is a contraction on L2(I). Furthermore, the corresponding unique fixed point fΔ,bα (denoted for notational convenience by fα) in L2(I) satisfies the self-referential equation:

fα(x)=f(x)+αi(fα-b)(Li-1(x)),xIi,iJ.

Note 2 Let L:L2(I)L2(I) be a bounded linear operator LI. Taking b=Lf, in the previous theorem, one obtains fractal function fα=fΔ,Lα corresponding to the germ function fL2(I). Further, a bounded linear operator Fα:L2(I)L2(I), ffα arise.

Let Fα:L2(I)L2(I) be the aforementioned fractal operator. The adjoint of the fractal operator is defined by

Fα(f),g=f,(Fα)(g).

In what follows we attempt to obtain an expression for (Fα).

Fα(f),g=fα,g=Ifα(x)g(x)dx=n=0N-1In[f(x)+αn(fα-Lf)Ln-1(x)]g(x)dx=If(x)g(x)dx+n=0N-1αnIn(fα-Lf)Ln-1(x)g(x)dx.

With the change of variable Ln-1(x)=t for the second term on the right-hand side, we have

In(fα-Lf)Ln-1(x)g(x)dx=anI(fα-Lf)(t)g(Ln(t))dt.=anIfα(t)g(Ln(t))dt-anI(Lf)(t)g(Ln(t))dt.

From the previous equations

fα,g=f,g+n=1N-1αnan[fα,gLn-Lf,gLn].=f,g+n=0N-1αnan[f,gLn+m=1N-1αmam{fα,gLnLm-Lf,gLnLm}-Lf,gLn].

Expanding the terms to infinite times and writing L as the adjoint operator of L we get

fα,g=f,g-k1=0N-1αk1ak1[f,LgLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{f,LgLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(f,LgLk1Lk2Lk3+)}]+k1=0N-1αk1ak1[f,gLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{f,gLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(f,gLk1Lk2Lk3+)}].

That is

fα,g=f,g-k1=0N-1αk1ak1[LgLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{LgLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(LgLk1Lk2Lk3+)}]+k1=0N-1αk1ak1[gLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{gLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(gLk1Lk2Lk3+)}]=f,(Fα)(g).

Consequently, we have

(Fα)(g)=g-k1=0N-1αk1ak1[LgLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{LgLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(LgLk1Lk2Lk3+)}]+k1=0N-1αk1ak1[gLk1+k2=0N-1αk2ak2{gLk1Lk2+k3=0N-1αk3ak3(gLk1Lk2Lk3+)}].

Further simplification provides the following expression for (Fα)(g)

g+(I-L)(m=1(k1=0N-1k2=0N-1km=0N-1αk1ak1αk2ak2αkmakmgLk1Lk2Lkm)).

Since (A+B)=A+B, we get the following expression for (Fα)(g)

g+(I-L)(m=1(k1=0N-1k2=0N-1km=0N-1αk1ak1αk2ak2αkmakmgLk1Lk2Lkm)).

Remark 3.5

Let us assume that the scaling vector is constant and the partition is equidistant. In this case, with the help of the above expression for the adjoint operator, we could deduce that the fractal operator turns out to be a topological isomorphism for a slightly wider range of values of the scaling factors than that prescribed in [25, Theorem 4.10]. It should also be noted that we may get better results for a fractal operator associated with non-stationary fractal functions [17, 27, 35] via the adjoint operator. To keep the article at a reasonable length we avoid the details.

Remark 3.6

Since fractal functions in L2(I) can be discontinuous, we can use this space to model more natural phenomena with the help of fractal interpolation theory.

Concluding remarks and future directions

In this article, we computed the exact value of the box dimension of the graphs of the constructed α-fractal functions generated by the COVID-19 data over some specific time period. We also provided an expression for the adjoint operator of the associated fractal operator in terms of an infinite series. Calculating the fractal dimension of the epidemic curve is a new approach for observing the epidemic and retrieving the missing information via fractal functions. The higher the dimension of the graph of the epidemic curve, the higher the complexity of the distribution of the COVID-19 virus and it is affected by the parameter in the surrounding. In the future, we will try to estimate other fractal dimensions such as the Hausdorff dimension and Assouad dimension of the α-fractal functions. As the Assouad dimension gives more local information, estimating this dimension for fractal functions generated by COVID-19 data may help us to understand the spread of the virus in a better way. We believe that our method of using fractal dimension and α-fractal functions can be used to study fluctuations or randomness in the stock market and heart rate.

Author contribution statement

All authors contributed equally to this manuscript.

Funding

The first author is financially supported by MHRD Fellowship at the Indian Institute of Information Technology (IIIT), Allahabad.

Data Availability

This manuscript has associated data in a data repository. [Author’s comment: We have taken COVID-19 data from https://ourworldindata.org/covid-cases.]

Declarations

Conflict of interest

We declare that we do not have any conflict of interest.

Contributor Information

Ekta Agrawal, Email: ekta.agrawal5346@gmail.com.

Saurabh Verma, Email: saurabhverma@iiita.ac.in.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

This manuscript has associated data in a data repository. [Author’s comment: We have taken COVID-19 data from https://ourworldindata.org/covid-cases.]


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