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. 2023 Feb 21;6(2):e230179. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.0179

Association of Neighborhood-Level Household Income With 21-Gene Recurrence Score and Survival Among Patients With Estrogen Receptor–Positive Breast Cancer

Sung Jun Ma 1, Jasmin Gill 2, Olivia Waldman 3, Keerti Yendamuri 2, Cynthia Dunne-Jaffe 3, Udit Chatterjee 1, Fatemeh Fekrmandi 1, Rohil Shekher 1, Austin Iovoli 1, Song Yao 4, Oluwadamilola T Oladeru 5, Anurag K Singh 1,
PMCID: PMC9945075  PMID: 36809469

Key Points

Question

Do household income levels factor into 21-gene recurrence score (RS) and mortality among patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer?

Findings

In this cohort study involving 119 478 women, low income was associated with higher RS and worse survival. On subgroup analysis, similar findings were observed among those with RS below 26, while there was no survival difference between income levels among others with scores 26 or higher.

Meaning

These results suggest that low household income is associated with more aggressive tumor biology and significantly worse mortality among those with RS below 26.


This cohort study of US women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer examines the association of income levels with 21-gene recurrence scores and survival outcomes.

Abstract

Importance

While low income has been associated with a higher incidence of triple-negative breast cancer, its association with 21-gene recurrence score (RS) among patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer remains unclear.

Objective

To evaluate the association of household income with RS and overall survival (OS) among patients with ER-positive breast cancer.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study used data from the National Cancer Database. Eligible participants included women diagnosed between 2010 and 2018 with ER-positive, pT1-3N0-1aM0 breast cancer who received surgery followed by adjuvant endocrine therapy with or without chemotherapy. Data analysis was performed from July 2022 to September 2022.

Exposures

Low vs high neighborhood-level household income levels defined as below vs above the median household income of $50 353 based on each patient’s zip code.

Main Outcomes and Measures

RS (a score ranged from 0 to 100 based on gene expression signatures indicating the risk of distant metastasis, with RS of 25 or below indicating non–high risk and RS above 25 indicating high risk) and OS.

Results

Among 119 478 women (median [IQR] age, 60 [52-67] years; 4737 [4.0%] Asian and Pacific Islander, 9226 [7.7%] Black, 7245 [6.1%] Hispanic, 98 270 [82.2%] non-Hispanic White), 82 198 (68.8%) and 37 280 (31.2%) patients had high and low income, respectively. Logistic multivariable analysis (MVA) showed that, compared with high income, low income was associated with higher RS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06-1.16). Cox MVA showed that low income was also associated with worse OS (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.18; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25). Interaction term analysis showed a statistically significant interaction between income levels and RS (interaction P < .001). On subgroup analysis, significant findings were noted among those with RS below 26 (aHR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.13-1.29), while there was no significant OS difference between income levels among others with RS of 26 or higher (aHR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.96-1.22).

Conclusions and Relevance

Our study suggested that low household income was independently associated with higher 21-gene recurrence scores and significantly worse survival outcomes among those with scores below 26, but not 26 or higher. Further studies are warranted to investigate the association between socioeconomic determinants of health and intrinsic tumor biology among patients with breast cancer.

Introduction

Socioeconomic status (SES) is measured using income, education, and occupational status and is a strong predictor of health outcomes.1 Low SES is a risk factor for unfavorable breast cancer outcomes regardless of racial and ethnic background.2,3 Decreased access to preventative care and cancer screening, with consequent effects on comorbidities of patients at their time of diagnosis presenting stage, have been implicated in the disparities associated with low SES.3 Differences in cancer treatment account for only a small fraction low SES disparities.3

Despite extensive research in the roles of socioeconomic inequities and breast cancer disparities, there is a paucity of studies evaluating the association of socioeconomic status with intrinsic tumor biology. For example, 21-gene recurrence score (RS), a score based on gene expression signatures indicating the risk of distant metastasis, has been incorporated into routine clinical care in the US.4,5 Although low SES and income levels are associated with a higher incidence of triple-negative breast cancer,6,7,8 the association between low income and RS among patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer, the most common subtype, remains unclear. We performed an observational cohort study to evaluate the association of income levels with RS and survival among patients with nonmetastatic ER-positive breast cancer.

Methods

This study was reviewed and approved by the institutional review board at the Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center with an exemption for informed consent requirements because data were deidentified and publicly available. It followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline.

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) is a nationwide, clinical oncology database sponsored jointly by the American Cancer Society and the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer (CoC).9 It collected over 34 million cancer cases from more than 1500 CoC-accredited facilities,9 and it represented 80% of newly diagnosed breast cancer in the US.10 It also has been used for studies evaluating RS as shown in our previous studies.11,12 The database was queried for female patients diagnosed between 2006 and 2018 with ER-positive, pT1-3N0-1aM0 breast cancer who received surgery followed by adjuvant endocrine therapy. Patients were excluded if they had unknown RS or income levels. Follow-up was conducted until 2021. Other variables included for analysis were facility type, race and ethnicity, age, medical insurance, income and education level, Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Score, year of diagnosis, histology, tumor grade, T and N staging, RS, lymphovascular space invasion, surgery, surgical margin, radiation therapy, and chemotherapy. Race and ethnicity were included as variables because they are considered factors in income levels and socioeconomic status. All missing values for each variable were grouped together and coded as unknown. Education and income levels were determined based on the 2016 American Community Survey data spanning years 2012 through 2016. It measured the percentage of adults who did not graduate from high school and the median household income adjusted for 2016 inflation, respectively, in each patient’s zip code and equally proportioned education and income ranges among all US zip codes. High vs low neighborhood-level income and education were determined by the median values of $50 353 and 10.9%, respectively, with the latter being the percentage of adults living in the zip code area who did not graduate from high school. Baseline characteristics were compared between those with known vs unknown RS and income levels. Other clinically relevant variables, including systemic therapy agents and duration, Karnofsky performance status, and breast cancer-specific survival, were not captured in the NCDB.

Our primary end points were RS and overall survival (OS). RS was defined as a score ranged from 0 to 100 indicating the risk of distant metastasis based on the gene expression signatures using pretreatment tumor specimens,13 with RS of 25 or below indicating non–high risk and RS above 25 indicating high risk for both node-negative5 and node-positive4 breast cancer.

OS was defined as the time interval between diagnosis and the last follow-up or death from any cause. Baseline characteristics were compared between high-income vs low-income levels using Fisher exact test and Mann-Whitney U test as appropriate. Logistic multivariable analysis (MVA) was constructed based on baseline patient and tumor characteristics as listed previously to evaluate variables associated with RS above 25. Cox MVA was used to evaluate OS. Cumulative incidence plots for overall mortality were generated. Survival data among patients diagnosed in 2018 were unavailable in the NCDB, and these patients were excluded for OS analysis. Cox MVA models included all variables listed previously.

Interaction term analysis was performed to evaluate any heterogeneous association between income levels and RS. If the interaction term was statistically significant, subgroup analyses were performed to compare the magnitude of income differences associated with OS stratified by RS. In order to reduce selection bias and further investigate the subgroup analysis results, propensity score matching between income levels was performed. Matching was based on all variables listed previously using nearest neighbor method in a 1:1 ratio with no replacements and a caliper distance of 0.25 of the standard deviation of the logit of the propensity score.14 Propensity scores were estimated using logistic regression models. To ensure adequate matching, standardized means differences for all matched variables were evaluated and calculated to be less than 0.1, suggesting negligible differences between income levels.15 Survival outcomes were reported after propensity score matching. Sensitivity analysis was also performed among non-Hispanic White women with high education level and private medical insurance in order to evaluate the association of income levels and OS.

All P values were 2-sided, and P < .05 was considered statistically significant. All analyses were performed using R version 4.0.3 (R Project for Statistical Computing).

Results

A total of 119 478 women (median [interquartile range (IQR)] age, 60 [52-67] years; 4737 [4.0%] Asian and Pacific Islander, 9226 [7.7%] Black, 7245 [6.1%] Hispanic, 98 270 [82.2%] non-Hispanic White) met our criteria and were included for analysis (Table 1). Of these, 82 198 (68.8%) and 37 280 (31.2%) patients had high and low household income levels, respectively. Median (IQR) follow up was 66.2 (47.9-90.3) months. A total of 36 084 women did not meet our criteria for analysis. Most baseline characteristics were comparable between those with known vs unknown RS or income levels (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). However, most patients with unknown RS or income levels also had missing values for education levels.

Table 1. Baseline Characteristics Stratified by Income Levels.

Characteristics Income, No. (%) P value
High Low
Age, y
<50 16 996 (20.7) 6259 (16.8) <.001
≥50 65 202 (79.3) 31 021 (83.2)
Facility
Nonacademic 52 353 (63.7) 26 061 (69.9) <.001
Academic 27 611 (33.6) 10 271 (27.6)
Not available 2234 (2.7) 948 (2.5)
Race
Asian and Pacific Islander 3968 (4.8) 769 (2.1) <.001
Black 3767 (4.6) 5459 (14.6)
Hispanic 4525 (5.5) 2720 (7.3)
Non-Hispanic White 69 938 (85.1) 28 332 (76.0)
Insurance
None 717 (0.9) 643 (1.7) <.001
Private 52 399 (63.7) 18 882 (50.6)
Government 28 249 (34.4) 17 388 (46.6)
Not available 833 (1.0) 367 (1.0)
Educationa
Above median 66 698 (81.1) 9497 (25.5) <.001
Below median 15 500 (18.9) 27 783 (74.5)
CDS
0 71 138 (86.5) 30 193 (81.0) <.001
1 9070 (11.0) 5540 (14.9)
≥2 1990 (2.4) 1547 (4.1)
Year
2006-2013 32 908 (40.0) 15 160 (40.7) .047
2014-2018 48 792 (59.4) 21 914 (58.8)
Histology
Ductal or lobular carcinoma 70 504 (85.8) 32 265 (86.5) <.001
Other 11 694 (14.2) 5015 (13.5)
PR
Positive 74 507 (90.6) 33 661 (90.3) .06
Negative 7691 (9.4) 3619 (9.7)
T staging
1 61 780 (75.2) 27 334 (73.3) <.001
2 19 267 (23.4) 9402 (25.2)
3 1151 (1.4) 544 (1.5)
N staging
0 69 896 (85.0) 31 571 (84.7) .12
1a 12 302 (15.0) 5709 (15.3)
Grade
1 22 911 (27.9) 10 373 (27.8) <.001
2 44 093 (53.6) 19 615 (52.6)
3 12 176 (14.8) 5936 (15.9)
Other 44 (0.1) 26 (0.1)
Not available 2974 (3.6) 1330 (3.6)
RS
0-15 40 443 (49.2) 18 217 (48.9) <.001
16-25 30 242 (36.8) 13 144 (35.3)
>25 11 513 (14.0) 5919 (15.9)
LVSI
No 63 119 (76.8) 28 205 (75.7) <.001
Yes 10 413 (12.7) 4231 (11.3)
Not available 8666 (10.5) 4844 (13.0)
Chemotherapy
No 64 907 (79.0) 29 354 (78.7) .38
Yes 17 291 (21.0) 7926 (21.3)
Radiation
No 25 148 (30.6) 12 030 (32.3) <.001
Yes 56 132 (68.3) 24 838 (66.6)
Not available 904 (1.1) 403 (1.1)
Surgery
Lumpectomy 55 886 (68.0) 24 900 (66.8) <.001
Mastectomy 26 293 (32.0) 12 368 (33.2)
Other 19 (<0.1) 12 (<0.1)
Margin
Negative 79 426 (96.6) 35 988 (96.5) .37
Positive 2487 (3.0) 1144 (3.1)
Not available 285 (0.3) 148 (0.4)
Vital status
Alive 78 156 (95.1) 34 505 (92.6) <.001
Dead 4042 (4.9) 2775 (7.4)

Abbreviations: CDS, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score; LVSI, lymphovascular space invasion; PR, progesterone receptor; RS, 21-gene recurrence score.

a

Median education level was 10.9% of adults living in a zip code who did not graduate from high school.

Logistic MVA showed that, compared with high household income, low household income was associated with higher RS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.11, 95% CI, 1.06-1.16; P < .001) (Table 2). A total of 4042 (4.9%) and 2775 (7.4%) women with high-income and low-income levels died during the follow-up, respectively (Table 1). Cox MVA showed that low income was also associated with worse OS (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.18; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25; P < .001) (Table 3). Interaction term analysis showed a statistically significant interaction between income levels and RS (interaction P < .001).

Table 2. Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis Results for High 21-Gene Recurrence Score.

Characteristic aOR (95% CI) P value
Income
Above median 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Below median 1.11 (1.06-1.16) <.001
Race
Non-Hispanic White 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Asian and Pacific Islander 1.04 (0.94-1.14) .45
Black 1.19 (1.12-1.27) <.001
Hispanic White 0.92 (0.85-0.99) .04
Age, y
<50 1 [Reference] [Reference]
≥50 1.04 (0.99-1.10) .15
Facility
Nonacademic 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Academic 0.96 (0.93-1.00) .08
Insurance
None 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Private 1.08 (0.91-1.28) .38
Government 1.03 (0.87-1.22) .77
Educationa
Above median 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Below median 1.04 (0.99-1.08) .12
CDS
0 1 [Reference] [Reference]
1 1.02 (0.96-1.07) .56
≥2 1.09 (0.98-1.21) .11
Year
For every 1 y increase 0.98 (0.97-0.99) <.001
Histology
Ductal or lobular carcinoma 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Other 0.74 (0.70-0.78) <.001
PR
Positive 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Negative 6.55 (6.25-6.87) <.001
T staging
1 1 [Reference] [Reference]
2 1.31 (1.26-1.37) <.001
3 0.8 (0.67-0.94) .007
N staging
0 1 [Reference] [Reference]
1a 0.8 (0.75-0.84) <.001
Grade
1 1 [Reference] [Reference]
2 2.76 (2.60-2.94) <.001
3 16.83 (15.79-17.94) <.001
Other 18.91 (11.32-31.43) <.001
LVSI
No 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Yes 1.23 (1.17-1.30) <.001

Abbreviations: aOR, adjusted odds ratio; CDS, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score; LVSI, lymphovascular space invasion; PR, progesterone receptor.

a

Median education level was 10.9% of adults living in a zip code who did not graduate from high school.

Table 3. Multivariable Cox Regression Analysis Results for Overall Survival.

Characteristics aHR (95% CI) P value
Income
Above median 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Below median 1.18 (1.11-1.25) <.001
Race
Non-Hispanic White 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Hispanic White 0.8 (0.72-0.90) <.001
Black 1.08 (1.00-1.18) .05
Asian and Pacific Islander 0.66 (0.56-0.79) <.001
Age, y
<50 1 [Reference] [Reference]
≥50 1.96 (1.77-2.17) <.001
Facility
Nonacademic 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Academic 0.79 (0.75-0.84) <.001
Insurance
None 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Private 0.64 (0.51-0.81) <.001
Government 1.49 (1.19-1.87) <.001
Educationa
Above median 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Below median 1.06 (1.00-1.12) .046
CDS
0 1 [Reference] [Reference]
1 1.58 (1.49-1.68) <.001
≥2 2.69 (2.47-2.94) <.001
Year
For every 1 y increase 1.01 (1.00-1.03) .07
Histology
Ductal or lobular carcinoma 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Other 0.98 (0.91-1.05) .53
PR
Positive 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Negative 1.1 (1.02-1.18) .01
RS
0-25 1 [Reference] [Reference]
>25 1.91 (1.77-2.05) <.001
T staging
1 1 [Reference] [Reference]
2 1.52 (1.45-1.61) <.001
3 2.34 (1.99-2.75) <.001
N staging
0 1 [Reference] [Reference]
1a 1.61 (1.51-1.71) <.001
Grade
1 1 [Reference] [Reference]
2 1.13 (1.07-1.21) <.001
3 1.49 (1.37-1.61) <.001
Other 0.86 (0.36-2.07) .74
LVSI
No 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Yes 1.14 (1.07-1.23) <.001
Chemotherapy
No 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Yes 0.71 (0.66-0.76) <.001
Radiation
No 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Yes 0.59 (0.55-0.64) <.001
Surgery
Lumpectomy 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Mastectomy 0.71 (0.65-0.77) <.001
Other 1.46 (0.55-3.90) .45
Margin
Negative 1 [Reference] [Reference]
Positive 1.19 (1.05-1.36) .007

Abbreviations: aHR, adjusted hazards ratio; CDS, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score; LVSI, lymphovascular space invasion; PR, progesterone receptor; RS, 21-gene recurrence score.

a

Median education level was 10.9% of adults living in a zip code who did not graduate from high school.

On subgroup analysis, similar findings were noted among those with RS below 26, while there were no significant OS differences between income levels among others with RS 26 or higher (Figure 1). This finding was again observed among 20 898 and 3782 matched pairs for RS below 26 (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.25-1.48; P < .001) and 26 or higher (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.96-1.28; P = .16) (Figure 2; eTable 2 in Supplement 1).

Figure 1. Forest Plot of Cox Multivariable Analysis for the Association of Survival and Income Levels Stratified by 21-Gene Recurrence Score.

Figure 1.

RR indicates risk ratio; RS, 21-gene recurrence score.

Figure 2. Cumulative Hazard of Overall Mortality Between High vs Low Income Stratified by 21-Gene Recurrence Score.

Figure 2.

RS indicates 21-gene recurrence score.

On sensitivity analysis among non-Hispanic White women with high education and private medical insurance, logistic MVA similarly showed that, compared with high income, low income was associated with higher RS (aOR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.28; P = .003). Cox MVA showed low income was associated with worse OS compared with high income (aHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.06-1.46; P = .007). The interaction term was statistically significant (interaction P = .03), with similar findings on subgroup analysis (Figure 1).

Discussion

To our knowledge, this study using a nationwide oncology database has been the largest to suggest that low household income is associated with higher RS and worse survival outcome among those with RS below 26. Breast cancer stage and therapy are highly correlated with education level, race, and health insurance in the US.2 This prompted our sensitivity analysis that only included non-Hispanic White women with high education and private medical insurance. Our findings remained consistent in this subgroup.

Our main finding on the association between low income and more aggressive tumor biology is consistent with other population-based studies suggesting a higher incidence of triple-negative breast cancer among patients with low SES.6,7,8 Similar findings were also noted among Hispanic women as well.16 However, these studies utilized census tract–level SES and the Yost index, instead of education and income levels separately. In our study, income levels, but not education, were associated with RS. A lack of association between education levels and breast cancer risk in our study was consistent with several population-based17 and prospective cohort18 studies.

Rationales for the association between income levels and intrinsic tumor properties as indicated by RS in our study remain unclear. Low income levels may lead to less cancer screening with consequent delay in diagnosis and worsening of tumor biology.3 Moreover, financial distress has been shown to result in increased psychological and emotional distress, poor quality of life, and depression.19 Such distress may lead to dysregulation in stress pathways,1,20 reduced tumor suppressor p53 function,21 and more aggressive tumor biology with distant metastasis.22 High RS also includes genes responsible for tumor proliferation and invasion.23 The limited efficacy of chemotherapy with high RS11,24 may explain the lack of significant association between income levels and survival outcomes among patients with RS of 26 or above in our study. Further studies are warranted to investigate the pathways connecting financial distress and pathways for tumorigenesis.

Limitations

This study had several limitations. Because of the retrospective nature of our study, some clinically relevant variables, such as performance status, tumor recurrence, breast cancer-specific survival, systemic therapy agents, and adherence to screening and treatments, were unavailable for analysis, which may have resulted in residual confounding despite matching and sensitivity analysis. In particular, most patients with unknown RS and/or income levels also had unknown education levels (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). Although education levels were not associated with high RS in our study (Table 2), the exclusion of such patients may have led to additional selection bias. Given the lack of patient-level income data, our findings may not be generalizable to individual patients from different socioeconomic backgrounds within the same zip code. In addition, given a small proportion of patients with high RS as shown in population-based studies,25,26 subgroup analysis in our study may be inadequately powered to detect OS differences among patients with high RS.

Conclusions

In our observational cohort study, low household income was independently associated with higher RS and worse survival outcomes among those with RS below 26, but not RS 26 or higher. Further studies are warranted to investigate the mechanism behind the association between socioeconomic determinants of health and intrinsic tumor biology among patients with breast cancer.

Supplement 1.

eTable 1. Baseline Patient, Tumor, and Treatment Characteristics Between Those With Unknown Versus Known 21-gene Recurrence Score and/or Income Levels

eTable 2. Baseline Patient, Tumor, and Treatment Characteristics After Matching

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement

References

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement 1.

eTable 1. Baseline Patient, Tumor, and Treatment Characteristics Between Those With Unknown Versus Known 21-gene Recurrence Score and/or Income Levels

eTable 2. Baseline Patient, Tumor, and Treatment Characteristics After Matching

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement


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