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. 2022 Aug 9;207(1):102–105. doi: 10.1164/rccm.202205-0910LE

Patient Characteristics and Survival for Progressive Pulmonary Fibrosis Using Different Definitions

Yet H Khor 1,2,3,4,*, Malik Farooqi 5, Nathan Hambly 5, Martin Kolb 5, Christopher J Ryerson, for the Austin ILD Registry and CARE-PF Investigators6,7; for the Austin ILD Registry and CARE-PF Investigators
PMCID: PMC9952865  PMID: 35943331

To the Editor:

Background

Patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) exhibit heterogeneous disease courses, with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) being the prototypic subtype with a mean survival of 4 years (1). A large proportion of patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD have similar courses and nearly identical therapeutic responses to antifibrotic therapy compared with patients with IPF (25). These patients are now labeled as having progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) (6); however, its optimal definition remains uncertain. Different thresholds and combinations of symptom, physiological, and radiological criteria with varying observation durations have been used to define PPF in clinical trials (35) and a recent clinical practice guideline (6). In this multicenter cohort study, we examined the characteristics of patients with PPF according to recent guideline and clinical trials and compared their survival with that of patients with IPF, hypothesizing that patient characteristics and survival would vary across definitions of PPF. Some of the results of this study have been previously reported in the form of an abstract (7).

Methods

This study included consecutive patients aged ⩾18 years old with non-IPF fibrotic ILD, with serial clinical, lung function, and radiological assessments after diagnosis from the prospective Austin Health ILD Registry (Melbourne, Australia) and the multicenter Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis (CARE-PF) (2, 8) between 2015 and 2020. Demographics, ILD subtype per multidisciplinary discussion, use of ILD-targeted therapy, and survival or lung transplantation status were collected. Consecutive patients with IPF were included for survival comparison. For both cohorts, only patients who survived and had follow-up ⩾2 years were included to ensure comparability and to address immortal time bias, given varying lead times of 6 months to 2 years to define PPF. Ethics approval was obtained from the Austin Health Human Research Ethics Committee (LNR/19/Austin/45) and the University of British Columbia Research Ethics Board (H19–01368).

Four non-independent cohorts of non-IPF PPF were determined with anchoring to the date of ILD diagnosis, on the basis of the following: 1) guideline (6)—a combination of two or more of the following criteria over 1 year: worsening respiratory symptoms, physiological progression (absolute decline in forced vital capacity [FVC] ⩾5% predicted and/or diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide ⩾10% predicted), or radiological progression; 2) the INBUILD trial (3)—relative FVC decline ⩾10% predicted or a combination of two or more of the following criteria over 2 years despite standard therapy: relative FVC decline ⩾5% to <10% predicted, worsening symptoms, or imaging progression; 3) the unclassifiable ILD (uILD) trial (4)—absolute FVC decline >5% predicted or significant symptom progression within 6 months; and 4) the RELIEF trial (5): annual FVC decline ⩾5% predicted on the basis of three or more measurements within 6–24 months despite standard therapy. Patients were included if data for all definitions were available, with an additional 3 months of observation allowed to account for variation in clinical follow-up intervals. The degree of lung fibrosis on computed tomography was not evaluated, reflecting the absence of this criterion from the guideline definition and for reimbursement purposes in most regions. Descriptive analyses were presented as means ± standard deviation, median (and interquartile range), or frequency (and percentage). Landmark analysis was used to address immortal time bias, with time zero being 2 years after diagnosis. Transplantfree survival of patients with PPF was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the IPF cohort using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between PPF with mortality and lung transplantation in patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD, adjusting for age, sex, baseline lung function, ILD subtype (connective tissue disease–associated ILD, fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, unclassifiable ILD, other), and study site.

Results

A total of 753 patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD were included, with a comparator IPF cohort of 712 patients (Table 1). At least one of the four definitions of PPF was met in 403 (54%) patients, with 68 (17%) patients meeting all four definitions (Figure 1). A large proportion of patients (54/276, 20%) who met the INBUILD trial definition for PPF did so on the basis of achieving only ⩾10% FVC decline. The PPF cohorts had comparable demographics and baseline lung function. Connective tissue disease–associated ILD was the most common ILD subtype in the total cohort and the subgroups with PPF. The most commonly prescribed immunosuppressants were mycophenolate and prednisone. Patients excluded because of having <2 years of follow-up had worse FVC and diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide compared with included patients (Table 1). The excluded patients with PPF had a higher proportion of males and were less likely to be treated with immunosuppressants, compared with those who were included.

Table 1.

Patient Characteristics of Included Patients and Excluded Patients with <2 Years of Follow-up

Characteristic Non-IPF (n = 753) PPF
IPF (n = 712)  
Guideline (n = 224) INBUILD Trial (n = 276) RELIEF Trial (n = 173) uILD Trial (n = 243)  
Included Patients  
Age at diagnosis, years, Mdn (IQR) 61 (51–68) 61 (53–68) 59 (49–67) 61 (51–67) 61 (52–68) 70 (64–75)  
Males, n (%) 318 (42) 84 (38) 111 (40) 69 (40) 98 (40) 512 (72)  
BMI at diagnosis, kg/m2, Mdn (IQR) 28 (25–33) 29 (25–33) 29 (25–33) 29 (25–32) 29 (25–33) 29 (26–32)  
Smoking history at baseline  
 Ever-smokers, n (%) 399 (53) 128 (57) 153 (55) 98 (57) 137 (56) 536 (75)  
 Pack-years among smokers, Mdn (IQR) 16 (7–33) 16 (7–33) 15 (7–30) 16 (8–33) 16 (9–32) 26 (11–39)  
Pulmonary function at diagnosis, mean ± SD  
 FEV1/FVC 80 ±  9 80 ± 8 81 ± 7 80 ± 8 79 ± 8 80 ± 8  
 FEV1, % predicted 77 ± 19 76 ± 19 73 ± 18 76 ± 18 75 ± 19 83 ± 18  
 FVC, % predicted 76 ± 19 76 ± 20 72 ± 19 76 ± 19 76 ± 19 79 ± 18  
 DLCO, % predicted 61 ± 20 60 ± 20 55 ± 17 56 ± 17 58 ± 19 57 ± 18  
Non-IPF ILD subtypes, n (%)*  
 CTD-ILD 372 (49) 120 (32) 163 (44) 99 (27) 130 (35)  
 Fibrotic HP 73 (10) 29 (40) 30 (41) 19 (26) 26 (36)  
 Idiopathic NSIP 10 (1) 2 (20) 4 (40) 2 (20) 4 (40)  
 Sarcoidosis 46 (6) 11 (24) 5 (11) 2 (4) 9 (20)  
 Unclassifiable ILD 169 (22) 47 (28) 57 (34) 42 (25) 51 (30)  
 Other 83 (11) 15 (18) 17 (20) 9 (11) 23 (28)  
Immunosuppressant use during evaluation period for PPF, n (%)  
 Azathioprine 49 (22) 103 (37) 57 (33) 39 (16)  
 Cyclophosphamide 28 (13) 57 (21) 27 (16) 27 (11)  
 Mycophenolate 90 (40) 212 (77) 120 (69) 76 (31)  
 Prednisone 83 (37) 170 (62) 101 (58) 72 (30)  
 Rituximab 13 (6) 30 (11) 16 (9) 7 (3)  
Time to meet PPF definition, months, Mdn (IQR) 11 (7–13) 10 (6–16) 12 (8–16) 5 (3–7)  
               
Characteristic PPF
IPF
(n = 309)
 
Guideline
(n = 76)
INBUILD
Trial
(n = 99)
RELIEF
Trial
(n = 68)
uILD
Trial
(n = 71)
 
Excluded Patients with <2 Yr Follow-up  
Age at diagnosis, years, Mdn (IQR) 64 (58–72) 64 (57–72) 63 (56–70) 64 (58–72) 72 (65–77)  
Males, n (%) 43 (57) 51 (51) 39 (57) 40 (56) 231 (75)  
BMI at diagnosis, kg/m2, Mdn (IQR) 29 (25–33) 28 (24–32) 29 (25–33) 29 (25–33) 28 (25–32)  
Smoking history at baseline  
 Ever-smokers, n (%) 48 (63) 64 (65) 43 (63) 47 (66) 224 (72)  
 Pack-years among smokers, Mdn (IQR) 21 (10–35) 21 (9–33) 20 (7–34) 20 (7–31) 26 (13–44)  
Pulmonary function at diagnosis, mean ± SD  
 FEV1/FVC 81 ± 9 81 ± 9 82 ± 8 80 ± 10 81 ± 11  
 FEV1, % predicted 67 ± 19 69 ± 19 69 ± 18 68 ± 18 80 ± 20  
 FVC, % predicted 64 ± 18 67 ± 19 66 ± 19 66 ± 19 74 ± 20  
 DLCO, % predicted 47 ± 18 49 ± 18 49 ± 17 47 ± 16 48 ± 16  
Non-IPF ILD subtypes, n (%)  
 CTD-ILD 29 (38) 42 (42) 28 (41) 27 (38)  
 Fibrotic HP 15 (20) 16 (16) 13 (19) 13 (18)  
 Idiopathic NSIP   1 (1) 1 (1) 1 (1) 1 (1)  
 Sarcoidosis 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)  
 Unclassifiable ILD 23 (30) 27 (27) 19 (28) 22 (31)  
 Other 8 (11) 13 (13) 7 (10) 8 (11)  
Immunosuppressant use during evaluation period for PPF, n (%)  
 Azathioprine 14 (18) 15 (15) 11 (16) 10 (14)  
 Cyclophosphamide 4 (5) 5 (5) 5 (7) 4 (6)  
 Mycophenolate 46 (61) 60 (61) 43 (63) 45 (63)  
 Prednisone 41 (54) 49 (949) 37 (54) 39 (55)  
 Rituximab 4 (5) 6 (6) 5 (7) 4 (6)  

Definition of abbreviations: BMI = body mass index; CTD-ILD = connective tissue disease–associated interstitial lung disease; DLCO = diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide; FEV1 = forced expiratory volume in 1 s; FVC = forced vital capacity; HP = hypersensitivity pneumonitis; ILD = interstitial lung disease; IPF = idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; IQR = interquartile range; NSIP = nonspecific interstitial pneumonia; PPF = progressive pulmonary fibrosis.

Data are expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD), median (and IQR), or n (and %).

Numbers of patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD excluded for incomplete serial assessments: 967 for the guideline definition, 1,005 for the INBUILD trial definition, 832 for the RELIEF trial definition, and 893 for the uILD definition, with 531 being excluded for inadequate assessments for any of the four definitions.

*

Presented as percentages based on the total numbers of patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD for different PPF groups.

Presented as percentages based on the total numbers of each PPF group.

Patients with <2 years of follow-up because of loss of follow-up, death, or lung transplantation.

Figure 1.


Figure 1.

Overlap of PPF criteria and Kaplan-Meier survival curves of patients with PPF compared with patients with IPF. IPF = idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; PPF = progressive pulmonary fibrosis. *Time zero was defined as 2 years postdiagnosis for both PPF and IPF.

Transplant-free survival at 1 and 3 years for PPF cohorts were 91% and 68%, respectively, for the guideline definition; 91% and 68%, respectively, for the INBUILD trial definition, 91% and 75%, respectively, for the uILD trial definition; and 89% and 66%, respectively, for the RELIEF trial definition. Compared with IPF, only PPF, as defined according to the uILD trial, had a better transplant-free survival (P = 0.02), with the other three PPF definitions having similar transplant-free survival (P > 0.05) (Figure 1). The presence of PPF was independently associated with increased mortality and lung transplantation, except for those based on the uILD trial definition (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: for guideline, 2.08 [1.49–2.90], P < 0.01; for INBUILD, 2.44 [1.73–3.44], P < 0.01; for RELIEF, 2.27 [1.61–3.20], P < 0.01; for uILD, 1.35 [0.97–1.88], P = 0.07), with the proportional hazards assumption being examined and met using Schoenfield residuals.

Discussion

This retrospective study evaluated key definitions proposed for PPF using comprehensive real-world data in well-characterized patients with fibrotic ILD. Baseline patient characteristics and relative proportions of ILD subtypes were similar across different PPF cohorts. The proposed 1-year evaluation using a combination of symptom, physiological, and radiological criteria for PPF in the recent guideline identified patients with similarly poor prognosis compared with other PPF criteria and to the IPF cohort. However, the requirement for demonstrated progression of two or more domains, as proposed by the guideline, resulted in a lower percentage of patients with PPF, compared with other definitions that include single-domain criteria. This suggests dissociation in physiological, symptom, and radiological progression in patients with fibrotic ILD.

Only a small proportion of patients met all four definitions for PPF, demonstrating the major impact on overall case counts for apparently minor modifications to the criteria and the need for guidelines and policymakers to be cautious in how these criteria are recommended and implemented in clinical practice. Nevertheless, the presence of disease progression was a consistently poor prognostic factor across different definitions, except for the uILD trial definition with no demonstrated prognostic relevance. A 6-month evaluation based on a single criterion without the requirement of failed standard therapy in the uILD trial may include patients with different disease behavior. This highlights the implications of case definitions of PPF for patient care and future research. Our findings support the use of multi-domain assessment over a relatively short observation period. Compared with relative changes and annual rates of change for the lung function criteria, the evaluation of absolute change is more easily applied in clinical practice. Although we excluded a large number of patients with non-IPF fibrotic ILD because of incomplete serial assessments to support direct comparison across the different sets of criteria, real-world patients would be continually assessed for such criteria rather than waiting a full 2 years. Future research needs to determine thresholds for each criterion and their associations with prognosis and the minimum observation period to define PPF, taking into account the frequency of assessments in clinical practice.

Acknowledgments

Austin ILD Registry and CARE-PF Investigators: Deborah Assayag, Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Gerard Cox, Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Charlene D. Fell, Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Jolene H. Fisher, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Andrea S. Gershon, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Nicole Goh, Department of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia; Andrew J. Halayko, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada; Kerri A. Johannson, Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; Nasreen Khalil, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada; Stacey Lok, Department of Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada; Helene Manganas, Département de Médecine, Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada; Veronica Marcoux, Department of Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada; Julie Morisset, Département de Médecine, Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada; Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada; Shane Shapera and Teresa To, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and Pearce G. Wilcox and Alyson W. Wong, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

Footnotes

Supported by a grant from the National Health and Medical Research Council (ID: 2008255 to Y.H.K.). The Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis (CARE-PF) is funded by Boehringer Ingelheim, which had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report.

Author Contributions: Y.H.K. and C.J.R. were responsible for trial conception and development of the study protocol. Y.H.K., M.F., N.H., M.K., C.J.R., and the other listed investigators were responsible for data acquisition. Y.H.K. and C.J.R. were responsible for data analysis and interpretation. All authors critically revised the manuscript and approved the final version for publication.

Originally Published in Press as DOI: 10.1164/rccm.202205-0910LE on August 9, 2022

Author disclosures are available with the text of this letter at www.atsjournals.org.

Contributor Information

for the Austin ILD Registry and CARE-PF Investigators:

Deborah Assayag, Gerard Cox, Charlene D. Fell, Jolene H. Fisher, Andrea S. Gershon, Nicole Goh, Andrew J. Halayko, Kerri A. Johannson, Nasreen Khalil, Stacey Lok, Helene Manganas, Veronica Marcoux, Julie Morisset, Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Shane Shapera, Teresa To, Pearce G. Wilcox, and Alyson W. Wong

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