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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Oct 15.
Published in final edited form as: J Clin Exp Hepatol. 2014 Mar 1;4(1):1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.jceh.2014.01.003

Association of Serum Bilirubin with Aging and Mortality

Brigid S Boland *, Mamie H Dong , Ricki Bettencourt , Elizabeth Barrett-Connor , Rohit Loomba *,
PMCID: PMC4017193  NIHMSID: NIHMS608285  PMID: 25328328

Abstract

Background and aims

Bilirubin, a breakdown product of heme metabolism, has been shown to be protective against cardiovascular mortality; however, it is also a marker of liver function. There are limited data on the longitudinal changes in bilirubin with aging in a population-based cohort of older adults. This study was designed to determine whether serum bilirubin changes with age in older adults, and to evaluate whether age attenuates the association between bilirubin and mortality.

Methods

This is a prospective cohort study of 2364 participants with a mean age of 70 years, who completed a research clinic visit from 1984 to 1987, and 1703 participants who returned for a second research visit approximately 8 years later. Cross-sectional and longitudinal multivariable-adjusted analyses were performed to examine the association between serum bilirubin, aging, and mortality.

Results

In cross-sectional analyses, when the cohort was divided into quartiles of age, higher baseline serum bilirubin levels were associated with older age in analyses adjusted for sex, body mass index (BMI), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin, and metabolic traits (P-value <0.001). In longitudinal analyses, among the subset of participants who had two research visits, aging remained significantly associated with an increase in bilirubin in multivariable-adjusted models (P-value <0.0001). When the longitudinal cohort was divided into bilirubin quartiles, Kaplan–Meier analysis showed an incremental reduction in survival with higher bilirubin levels (P-value = 0.002); however, this association between bilirubin quartile and mortality was no longer significant after adjusting for age (P-value 0.30), suggesting higher bilirubin in older age does not confer survival advantage.

Conclusions

Serum bilirubin levels gradually increase with age in older adults. Elevated bilirubin in older individuals is not associated with improved survival as previously reported in middle-aged populations.

Keywords: bilirubin, aging, liver, mortality


Bilirubin is a breakdown product of heme metabolism and is subsequently degraded by uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase (UGT). In vitro studies show that bilirubin acts as a potent antioxidant under physiologic conditions and may have anti-inflammatory effects.18 Bilirubin inhibits low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and lipid oxidation, preventing oxidized LDL and lipids that would otherwise contribute to atherosclerotic plaque, opposing the development of cardiovascular disease.4,913 Results from observational cohort studies as well as studies of Gilbert’s disease have demonstrated that slightly elevated bilirubin levels are associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, supporting the concept of bilirubin as a protective antioxidant.7,1422 In contrast to the protective role in cardiovascular disease, bilirubin levels are directly related to liver-related mortality. The process of bilirubin catabolism is dependent upon liver function. Bilirubin must be taken up into hepatocytes where uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase (UGT) converts water-insoluble bilirubin into a conjugated, water-soluble form that can be excreted into bile. Bilirubin secretion is mediated by an ATP-dependent multiple drug resistance protein 2(MRP2).23,24 Elevated levels of bilirubin indicate hepatocellular dysfunction. Bilirubin is a sensitive index of liver disease, serving as one of three variables used to calculate the MELD score that determines all-cause mortality and organ allocation for liver transplantation.2527

While bilirubin levels have been characterized in middle-aged populations and individuals with liver disease, limited studies have reported the relationship between bilirubin and mortality in an older population.28 Fleming et al was one of the first to describe the prevalence of abnormal liver tests in an older population. In a cohort of 13,276 individuals who were aged 75 years and older, there was a 5.4% prevalence of abnormal bilirubin levels. Elevated bilirubin levels were associated with a modest increase in mortality; however, the relationship between absolute bilirubin levels and mortality was not certain because laboratories with different standards performed the liver tests.29

This study aims, first, to determine whether bilirubin changes with age in a well-characterized population based cohort of older individuals and, second, to evaluate whether age alters the relationship between bilirubin and mortality.

METHODS

Study Cohort

The Rancho Bernardo Study (RBS) is a prospective cohort that was established in 1972 in order to characterize cardiovascular disease risk factors in an older population. The study enrolled 82% of the residents living in a geographically defined suburban neighborhood in Southern California. Participants completed a more extensive research study clinic visit between 1984 and 1987 at which time blood samples were obtained. A subset of the cohort returned for a second research study clinic visit between 1992 and 1996 at which time a second blood sample was obtained. The current analysis includes 2364 participants who completed the 1984–87 study visit, and the subset of 1073 participants who completed both study visits and had available longitudinal data. This cohort and its subsets have been well characterized and followed in a longitudinal manner for long term mortality. The initial objectives, inclusion criteria, and cohort characteristics have been described at length in other publications.12,30 The institutional review board at the University of California, San Diego approved this study and all participants gave written consent.

Clinical and Laboratory Assessment

Qualified interviewers obtained complete medical histories at each research visit. Current medical problems, medical history, including history of chronic liver disease, and medication use were reviewed. Self-reported medications were validated by review of pills and prescriptions brought to the clinic for that purpose. Participants self-reported their alcohol use, including quantity and frequency. Comparison of self-reported use and quantitative responses to a separate nutrition interviewer yielded similar results, providing internal validation for alcohol responses. Morning fasting venous blood samples were obtained during each research study visit, and metabolic parameters were measured in a routine hospital laboratory. Total serum bilirubin level (milligram/deciliter) was measured by photometry after the addition of 3,5-dichlorophenyl diazonium. Height (meters) and weight (kilogram) were measured, and body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kg divided by height in meter squared (kg/m2).12,3033

Follow Up

Rancho Bernardo Study participants were followed on an annual basis with a mailed questionnaire and a clinical research visit approximately every 4 years where health assessment and vitals were performed. All participants were followed for an average (±SD) of 13.7 (±6.2) years for the longitudinal analyses.

Statistical Analysis

The cohort was divided into quartiles of age: 30–62 (quartile 1), 63–71 (quartile 2), 72–77 (quartile 3), and 78–93 (quartile 4) and subsequently into quartiles of bilirubin (mg/dL): 0.1–0.3 (quartile 1), 0.4–0.5 (quartile 2), 0.6–0.6 (quartile 3), 0.7–2.3 (quartile 4). Descriptive statistics, including BMI, alcohol use, aminotransferases, and lipid levels, were defined for each quartile. Average bilirubin levels were calculated as geometric means, and least square means were used to evaluate trends in bilirubin. Mean ± standard deviation was reported for variables with a normal distribution, and geometric means with 95% confidence intervals were reported for variables with a skewed distribution. In the subset of the cohort who was seen twice, descriptive statistics for each individual were compared from the 1984–1987 and 1992–1997 visits using paired t-test, using logarithmic transformation of bilirubin. The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality based on bilirubin quartile was evaluated before and after adjustment for age. Kaplan–Meier survival curves for each bilirubin quartile were calculated using the log-rank test of equality. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). Statistical significance was defined as a two-tailed P-value of less than 0.05.

RESULTS

Population Characteristics

This study included 2364 adults (55% women) with an average (±SD) age of 69.7 (±10.5) years. The average BMI for men and women was 25.8 (±3.3) kg/m2 and 24.3 (±3.8) kg/m2, respectively. The baseline total serum bilirubin level was 0.5 mg/dl (95% confidence interval, 0.49–0.51) with a range from 0.1 to 2.3. Table 1 shows the comprehensive baseline characteristics of the cohort. Analyses of the variables by age quartile revealed significant positive trends in systolic blood pressure, diabetes, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and negative trends in BMI, ALT, albumin, triglycerides, and cholesterol. Table 2 shows the baseline characteristics stratified by bilirubin quartile, revealing positive associations with systolic blood pressure, diabetes, AST, ALT, and gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) and negative associations with percent women, total cholesterol, HDL, and triglycerides.

Table 1.

Cohort Baseline Characteristics by Age Quartile.

Total Age quartiles (Years) P-value
Q1 (30–62) Q2 (63–71) Q3 (72–77) Q4 (78–93)
Number of individuals 2364 597 574 589 604
Women (%) 55.8 57.0 57.8 58.2 50.5 0.0357
BMI (kg/m2) (mean ± SD) 24.9 ± 3.7 25.5 ± 4.0 25.2 ± 3.7 24.7 ± 3.6 24.4 ± 3.4 <0.0001
Alcohol use (%) <0.0001
 None 36.8 36.5 34.8 32.1 43.4
  <1 drink/day 22.0 25.0 18.8 22.6 21.4
  1–2 drinks/day 26.8 22.5 27.0 31.4 26.5
  >2 drinks/day 14.5 16.1 19.3 13.9 8.8
Bilirubin (mg/dl) (95% CI)a 0.50 (0.49–0.51) 0.43 (0.41–0.44) 0.49 (0.47–0.51) 0.53 (0.51–0.55) 0.56 (0.54–0.58) <0.0001
Systolic blood pressure
(mmHg) (mean ± SD)
138.9 ± 21.9 124.0 ± 18.4 136.3 ± 18.7 144.5 ± 19.2 150.7 ± 21.5 <0.0001
Total cholesterol (mg/dl)
(mean ± SD)
219.9 ± 40.0 218.7 ± 36.6 228.1 ± 41.5 219.6 ± 40.5 213.5 ± 39.9 0.0009
HDL cholesterol (mg/dL)
(mean ± SD)
61.7 ± 18.7 60.9 ± 18.2 62.3 ± 19.9 62.9 ± 20.1 60.9 ± 16.7 0.8538
Total/HDL cholesterol ratio
(mean ± SD)
3.9 ± 1.3 3.9 ± 1.3 4.0 ± 1.3 3.8 ± 1.3 3.9 ± 1.2 0.0120
Triglycerides (mg/dl)
(95% CI)a
102.0 (99.8–104.3) 100.2 (95.9–104.7) 111.3 (106.4–116.4) 101.7 (97.3–106.3) 95.8 (91.7–100.1) 0.0245
Smoking (%)b 58.2 55.4 65.0 61.3 51.3 0.0755
Diabetes (%) 14.3 7.4 12.5 17.7 19.7 <0.0001
AST (IU/L) (95% CI)a 24.6 (24.3–25.0) 23.4 (22.7–24.2) 24.7 (24.0–25.5) 25.0 (24.3–25.8) 25.4 (24.6–26.1) 0.0003
ALT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 17.4 (17.1–17.8) 19.6 (18.9–24.2) 18.1 (17.4–18.9) 16.9 (16.2–17.6) 15.4 (14.8–16.1) <0.0001
GGT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 9.8 (9.5–10.1) 9.7 (9.1–10.2) 10.5 (9.9–11.1) 9.9 (9.3–10.4) 9.2 (8.8–9.9) 0.2000
Albumin (g/dL) (mean ± SD) 4.3 ± 0.3 4.4 ± 0.2 4.4 ± 0.3 4.2 ± 0.3 4.1 ± 0.2 <0.0001
a

Geometric means (95% CI).

b

Current or prior smoking

Q1: quartile 1, Q2: quartile 2, Q3: quartile 3, Q4: quartile 4, BMI: body mass index, kg: kilogram, m: meter, SD: standard deviation, mg: milligram, dl: deciliter, CI: confidence interval, mmHg: millimeter mercury, HDL: high density lipoprotein, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, ALT: alanine aminotransferase, IU: international units, L: liter, GGT: gamma-glutamyl transferase, g: grams.

Table 2.

Cohort Baseline Characteristics by Bilirubin Quartile.

Total Bilirubin quartiles (mg/dl) P-value
Q1 (0.1–0.3) Q2 (0.4–0.5) Q3 (0.6–0.6) Q4 (0.7–2.3)
Number of Individuals 2363 465 895 334 669
Women (%) 55.8 75.1 63.4 50.6 35.0 <0.0001
BMI (kg/m2) (Mean ± SD) 24.9 ± 3.7 25.0 ± 4.1 24.8 ± 3.5 25.0 ± 3.9 25.0 ± 3.5 0.8271
Alcohol use (%) 0.0059
 None 36.8 43.4 38.2 32.9 32.1
  <1 drink/day 21.9 20.2 22.6 24.0 21.2
  1–2 drinks/day 26.8 25.2 24.9 28.1 29.9
  >2 drinks/day 14.5 11.2 14.3 15.0 16.7
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (Mean ± SD) 138.9 ± 21.9 135.2 ± 23.7 138.5 ± 21.7 139.3 ± 20.6 142.0 ± 21.1 <0.0001
Total cholesterol (mg/dl) (mean ± SD) 219.9 ± 40.0 222.6 ± 40.0 224.4 ± 39.7 219.2 ± 39.9 212.1 ± 39.2 <0.0001
HDL cholesterol (mg/dL) (mean ± SD) 61.7 ± 18.7 63.4 ± 18.6 62.4 ± 18.9 61.3 ± 17.4 59.8 ± 19.0 0.0012
Total/HDL cholesterol ratio (mean ± SD) 3.9 ± 1.3 3.8 ± 1.3 3.9 ± 1.4 3.8 ± 1.2 3.8 ± 1.3 0.9369
Triglycerides (mg/dl) (95% CI)a 102.0 (99.8–104.3) 107.8 (102.5–113.3) 103.0 (99.3–106.7) 102.1 (96.3–108.3) 97.0 (93.0–101.1) 0.0021
Smoking (%)b 58.2 58.5 57.2 56.9 59.9 0.5030
Diabetes (%) 14.3 12.5 13.6 11.4 18.1 0.0092
AST (IU/L) (95% CI)a 24.6 (24.3–25.0) 22.4 (21.6–23.1) 24.2 (23.6–24.8) 25.8 (24.8–26.9) 26.3 (25.6–27.1) <0.0001
ALT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 17.4 (17.1–17.8) 16.3 (15.6–17.1) 17.5 (17.0–18.1) 17.9 (16.9–18.9) 17.9 (17.2–18.6) 0.0034
GGT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 9.8 (9.5–10.1) 8.9 (8.4–9.5) 9.6 (9.2–10.1) 9.8 (9.1–10.6) 10.7 (10.1–11.3) <0.0001
Albumin (g/dL) (mean ± SD) 4.3 ± 0.3 4.3 ± 0.3 4.3 ± 0.3 4.3 ± 0.3 4.3 ± 0.3 0.0955
a

Geometric means (95% confidence interval).

b

Current or prior smoking

Q1: quartile 1, Q2: quartile 2, Q3: quartile 3, Q4: quartile 4, BMI: body mass index, kg: kilogram, m: meter, SD: standard deviation, mg: milligram, dl: deciliter, CI: confidence interval, mmHg: millimeter mercury, HDL: high density lipoprotein, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, ALT: alanine aminotransferase, IU: international units, L: liter, GGT: gamma-glutamyl transferase, g: grams.

In the subset of the cohort, comprised of 1073 participants who completed two research study visits, the mean age at study visit 1 (between 1984 and 1987) was 65.7 years (range 30–89), and the mean age at study visit 2 (between 1992 and 1997) was 74.1 years (range 37–96).

All participants were followed for an average (±SD) of 13.7 (±6.2) years for a total of 32,387 person-years of follow up. The cumulative mortality was 56.2% (N = 1329) during the study period. Vital statistics are known for 96% of the study participants, and death certificates have been obtained for 90% of decedents.

Q1. Cross Sectional Analysis: does Bilirubin Change with Age?

In order to evaluate whether bilirubin changes in older adults, we divided the population into quartiles of age (Quartile 1: age 30–62, Quartile 2: age 63–71, Quartile 3: age 72–77, Quartile 4: 78–93). Bilirubin level was calculated as geometric means (in order to normalize the data) and analyzed as a continuous variable in the cross-sectional analysis; higher bilirubin levels were associated with older age (P-value 0.001). Multivariate analysis adjusting by sex, BMI, alcohol use, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, ALT, and albumin did not change the association of increasing bilirubin with age (P < 0.001).

Q2. Longitudinal: does Bilirubin Change with Aging in the Same Population?

In order to examine the change in bilirubin with age for an individual, a sub-group analysis was performed using the paired t-test. 1073 participants completed 2 research study visits approximately 8 years apart. Baseline data for this subset is presented in Table 3. Total bilirubin levels increased from 0.48 to 0.68 from visit 1 to visit 2 (P-value <0.0001). Increasing bilirubin with age was a stepwise effect that remained statistically significant after multivariate adjustment for sex, BMI, alcohol use, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, ALT, and albumin (P < 0.001).

Table 3.

Characteristics of the Sub-cohort at Study Visits.

1984–1987 Visit 1992–1997 Visit P-value
Number of Individuals 1073 1073
Age (yr), mean (range) 65.7 (30–89) 74.1 (37–96)
Women (%) 59.0 59.0
BMI (kg/m) 24.9 (24.7–25.2) 25.2 (25.0–25.5) <0.0001
Alcohol use (%) <0.0001
 None 34.5 33.2
  <1 drink/day 21.3 35.9
  1–2 drinks/day 28.2 20.6
  >2 drinks/day 16.1 10.4
Bilirubin (mg/dl) (Mean ± SD)a 0.48 (0.47–0.49) 0.68 (0.67–0.70) <0.0001
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (Mean ± SD) 133.4 (132.2–134.6) 139.0 (137.7–140.3) <0.0001
Total cholesterol (mg/dl) (Mean ± SD) 221.6 (219.2–224.0) 206.9 (204.6–209.1) <0.0001
HDL cholesterol (mg/dL) (Mean ± SD) 63.1 (62.0–64.2) 57.4 (56.4–58.4) <0.0001
Total/HDL cholesterol ratio (Mean ± SD) 3.8 (3.7–3.9) 4.0 (3.9–4.0) <0.0001
Triglycerides (mg/dl) (95% CI)a 99.5 (96.3–102.8) 103.8 (100.6–107.1) 0.0009
Smoking (%)b 56.7 54.5 0.0032
Diabetes (%) 12.0 20.1 <0.0001
AST (IU/L) (95% CI)a 24.1 (23.6–24.7) 19.8 (19.2–20.1) <0.0001
ALT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 18.1 (17.6–18.6) 16.2 (15.7–16.6) <0.0001
GGT (IU/L) (95% CI)a 9.4 (9.0–9.8) 21.7 (20.9–22.5) <0.0001
Albumin (g/dL) (Mean ± SD) 4.4 (4.3–4.4) 4.1 (4.1–4.1) <0.0001
a

Geometric means (95% confidence interval).

b

Current or prior smoking

yr: year, BMI: body mass index, kg: kilogram, m: meter, mmHg: millimeter mercury, mg: milligram, dL: deciliter, HDL: high density lipoprotein, g: gram.

Q3. Is there an Association Between Bilirubin and Mortality?

Total bilirubin quartile was significantly associated with a stepwise increase in all-cause mortality (P-value 0.0017, Table 4). The positive association between bilirubin quartile and mortality was no longer statistically significant after adjustment for age (P-value 0.3). Kaplan–Meier analysis by bilirubin quartile showed incremental reduction in survival with higher bilirubin values (P-value of <0.0001, Figure 1). Wald test for interaction between sex and bilirubin was not significant for all-cause mortality (P-value 0.5).

Table 4.

Hazard Ratios of All-cause Mortality Stratified by Bilirubin Quartiles.

N Bilirubin quartiles (mg/dL) P-value
Q1 (0.1–0.3) Q2 (0.4–0.5) Q3 (0.6–0.6) Q4 (0.7–2.3)
Unadjusted Hazard Ratio 2363 Referent 1.41 (1.19–1.66) 1.62 (1.33–1.97) 1.96 (1.65–2.32) 0.0017
Age-Adjusted Hazard Ratio 2363 Referent 0.94 (0.80–1.11) 1.01 (0.82–1.23) 1.14 (0.96–1.35) 0.2494
Number of deaths 1329 195 491 199 444

N: number of participants, Q1: quartile 1, Q2: quartile 2, Q3: quartile 3, Q4: quartile 4.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Kaplan–Meier survival by bilirubin quartile.

DISCUSSION

Main Findings

In this older population-based Rancho Bernardo study cohort, small but incremental increases in bilirubin occurred with increasing age. This association between age and bilirubin was observed in the cross-sectional analyses of the baseline cohort and over time in longitudinal analyses. Moreover, even though the majority of the values are within the normal ranges for bilirubin, higher levels are directly associated with higher all-cause mortality. This relationship was eliminated with adjustment for age, supporting the finding that rising bilirubin is a marker of increasing age.

Relevance

Diverging from the majority of the studies and literature describing the cardio-protective role of bilirubin levels in middle aged adults, this study describes the changes in bilirubin with age and the interaction with mortality in older individuals. This study supports the findings of Fleming et al who described the prevalence of abnormal liver enzymes in a population over the age of 75 where 5.4% had abnormal bilirubin values.29 Our study expands our knowledge by examining absolute bilirubin values, and re-evaluating the use of normal ranges that may not be as applicable in older populations. This is particularly relevant as the US population is aging. The number of Americans over the age of 65 is projected to rise from 40 million in 2010 to more than 70 million by 2030.3436

This cohort of older adults is a large, well-characterized group that enables preliminary but sound observations to be made. While this is an observational study and cannot determine causality, our results suggest that small incremental increases in total serum bilirubin levels occur with age. While bilirubin may be cardio-protective in a middle-aged population, the putative anti-oxidant effect may be too weak to significantly influence mortality in an older population where more dominant factors drive survival.

Limitations and Strengths of the Study

Several limitations are inherent to this study. The RBS cohort is an observational study without intervention. This population is a homogenous group of white individuals of Western European background. Given the lack of diversity, results may be difficult to generalize to a non-white, geographically distinct population. This study is also limited by fundamental design of the RBS cohort. Since this was a longitudinal prospective study of cardiovascular risk factors, there are certain items or variables that were not initially of interest but subsequently became interesting but could not be measured. Chronic liver disease was self-reported, and testing for viral hepatitis was not available at the time of the study. However, this cohort is unique with the median age of 72 years old and provides novel and significant contributions that certainly could be generalized to older, white individuals.

CONCLUSION

This study reveals that serum bilirubin levels modestly increase with age. Though the absolute bilirubin levels in older adults may be within normal ranges, small but clinically meaningful increases in bilirubin may be associated with increased mortality. Aging attenuates the association between bilirubin that is protective in middle-aged population but not so in the elderly. This study provides novel observations that could begin to change the way that bilirubin levels are interpreted and used in older populations.

Acknowledgments

R.L. is supported in part by the American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) Foundation–Sucampo–ASP. Designated Research Award in Geriatric Gastroenterology and by a T. Franklin Williams Scholarship Award; Funding provided by: Atlantic Philanthropies, Inc., the John A. Hartford Foundation, the Association of Specialty Professors, and the American Gastroenterological Association and grant K23-DK090303, and P30CA23100-27.

The Rancho Bernardo Study was funded by the National Institutes of Health/National Institute on Aging Grants AG07181 and AG028507 and the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases Grant DK31801.

Abbreviations

UGT

uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase

LDL

low-density lipoprotein

MRP2

multi drug resistance protein 2

MELD

model for end stage liver disease

AST

aspartate aminotransferase

ALT

alanine aminotransferase

GGT

gamma glutamyl transpeptidase

Footnotes

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

All authors have none to declare.

ROLE OF FUNDING AGENCIES

Funding agencies did not have any role in the design and conduct of the study, collection, management, or interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.

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