Defending Against Smallpox: a Focus on Vaccines

Abstract

Smallpox has shaped human history, from the earliest human civilizations well into the 20^th century. With high mortality rates, rapid transmission, and serious long-term effects on survivors, smallpox was a much-feared disease. The eradication of smallpox represents an unprecedented medical victory for the lasting benefit of human health and prosperity. Concerns remain, however, about the development and use of the smallpox virus as a biological weapon, which necessitates the need for continued vaccine development. Smallpox vaccine development is thus a much-reviewed topic of high interest. This review focuses on the current state of smallpox vaccines and their context in biodefense efforts.

1. Introduction

Smallpox disease, the history of smallpox vaccination and eradication, and current concerns about smallpox are briefly reviewed and presented here. The authors refer readers to comprehensive works outside the scope of this review for more information on the history and eradication of this disease [1-8][9-13].

1.1 Smallpox disease

1.1.1 History

The origin of smallpox is lost to history, with signs of smallpox present for as long as human records are available. Phylogenic and historical studies suggest that smallpox may have first appeared before 10,000 B.C., or as recently as the 16^th century B.C., in regions with large human populations such as Mesopotamia, east Africa, or the Indus valley [14-16]. As smallpox was an acute disease with no non-human reservoir, it was passed around the world in a chain of human infection following human movement until human populations became large enough to support the disease endemically. Descriptions of a disease resembling smallpox have been found in texts from ancient China and India, and mentions of smallpox-like epidemics are found throughout Asia; for example, references are made to the Hittites (1350 B.C.), Egyptians (1157 B.C.), Carthaginians and Athenians (5^th and 4^th centuries B.C.) and Chinese (250 B.C.) [9,13].

Smallpox eventually spread into Europe; the first reliable description of smallpox in western Europe was recorded by Gregory of Tours in 581 A.D. [9,13]. The movement of Europeans between Europe and West Asia during the Crusades spread smallpox throughout Europe, where it became endemic during the medieval period. European explorers and colonists then spread the disease more widely to areas of the world where the disease was not yet endemic, resulting in devastating epidemics throughout the Americas in the 16^th century onwards, and throughout Africa, Australia, and southeast Asia by the 19^th century [9].

1.1.2 Pathophysiology

Smallpox is caused by the variola virus (VARV), a large, enveloped double-stranded DNA virus in the Orthopoxvirus genus of the Poxviridae family [17]. Natural smallpox infection typically spreads through close personal contact with ill persons through inhalation of droplets containing infectious virus or, less frequently, by direct contact [18]. There are indications that contaminated clothing or bedding can also transmit infection, though the details of this mode of transmission are less clear [9]. The virus can also enter through the skin, although this is uncommon outside of deliberate inoculation. The mode of transmission appears to affect the severity of the disease [18].

After initial infection with VARV, smallpox multiplies in the respiratory tract, then migrates to regional lymph nodes. Primary viremia is asymptomatic, and occurs 3-4 days after infection, further disseminating the virus to spleen, bone marrow, and distal lymph nodes. Secondary viremia occurs 7-11 days after infection, followed by the onset of fever, headache, backache, and extreme malaise. Maculopapular lesions develop on the mouth, face, and arms, spreading quickly to the trunk and legs. These lesions quickly ulcerate, become vesicular, and then pustular – typically with all lesions simultaneously in the same stage of development. Patients are most infectious during the first week of the skin rash. After 8-9 days, pustules become crusted, and scarring is typical [9].

1.1.3 Mortality

Two major forms of smallpox exist: variola major, a severe illness; and variola minor, a much less frequently fatal disease (mortality < 1%) that exhibits similar initial symptoms to variola major, but less severe and extensive. About 5-10% of people with the variola major strain develop either a hemorrhagic or a malignant (flat) variant of the rash. The hemorrhagic form is almost uniformly fatal. The malignant form classically exhibits confluent, flat, nonpustular skin lesions, and is also largely fatal [9]. Overall mortality is typically 30%, but can vary widely between outbreaks. Death typically occurs during the second week of illness, and likely results from a massive inflammatory response, shock, and major organ failure [9].

1.2 A brief history of smallpox vaccination

1.2.1 Variolation

Variolation is the deliberate introduction of infectious smallpox virus from the pustule of an infected person into a healthy, nonimmune person to induce a typically milder form of disease than normal. The practice of variolation appears to have arisen independently in several areas of the world in response to smallpox breakouts. In India, variolation became a part of certain Hindu rituals and is described in early Sanskrit texts written as early as 1500 B.C. [13]. In the 10^th century, Chinese physicians were known to inoculate smallpox from powdered scabs intradermally or intranasally to bolster immunity [9].

The practice of variolation was brought to Europe from Asia in the 18^th century and quickly spread throughout European societies and from there to the American continent and worldwide. Variolation was a great medical advance, but had many shortcomings. While improving on the 30% mortality rate associated with natural smallpox infection, variolation still carried a risk of developing severe smallpox disease and had a resulting 1-2% mortality rate. The live virus could also spread to contacts of the variolated individual, causing smallpox cases that further contributed to outbreaks.

1.2.2 Jenner and early vaccines

In 1796, Edward Jenner, an English country doctor, examined a dairymaid with a cowpox infection. Interested in folklore suggesting that people infected with cowpox could not later be infected with smallpox, Jenner inoculated his gardener's eight-year-old son subcutaneously in the arm with cowpox, resulting in mild cowpox symptoms, and then variolated the boy a month and a half later. The boy did not develop any signs of smallpox and proved resistant to smallpox in the future. In 1798, Jenner published his research, including follow-up experiments, confirming that cowpox protected against smallpox infection, without the substantial dangers of variolation [19-21].

Jenner was not the first to have deliberately inoculated people with cowpox to produce protection against smallpox. However, Jenner's publication of his work and championship of cowpox inoculation as a safer replacement for variolation succeeded in sparking a major change in the accepted medical practice [21]. Despite early problems, some 100,000 people were vaccinated worldwide by 1801 [21].

Early smallpox vaccines were largely propagated by inoculation of cowpox material from one human to another with a wide variety of transfer techniques; however, concurrent transfer of bloodborne diseases became evident and, by the latter half of the 19^th century, this process was converted in most places to propagation of cowpox virus in animals [9]. Typically, this involved calf lymph collected after infection of calf skin, although sheep, water buffalo, or other available animals were also used [9]. Contamination of vaccines was common and not well documented. By 1900, the poxvirus strains used for vaccination were no longer of cowpox derivation, having been contaminated by vaccinia virus (VACV), an orthopoxvirus closely related to, and possibly derived from, horsepox [9,22,23].

VACV was the basis of remarkably effective smallpox vaccines and remains the virus of choice for smallpox vaccines today. The widespread use of smallpox vaccine caused smallpox infections and outbreaks to start disappearing from large portions of the human population. The last known case of smallpox in the U.S. was in 1949.

1.2.3 Eradication

In 1959, the World Health Organization (WHO) launched a massive campaign to globally eradicate smallpox. At the time, an estimated 15 million annual cases were still occurring worldwide. As part of this campaign, teams of health workers traveled throughout the world vaccinating large populations. The development of a freeze-drying technique rendered the vaccine heat-stable and transportable to remote regions [24], and the bifurcated needle that allowed simple, reliable, and efficient intradermal delivery of vaccine and resulted in formation of an easily-monitored pock indicating vaccine take [25]. These were advances that allowed effective vaccination of large populations by minimally trained health workers. Additionally, the fact that no natural reservoir for VARV exists outside of human populations greatly aided eradication efforts. The vaccination strategy for the final stages of eradication was termed “ring vaccination,” where disease surveillance teams traced smallpox patients and vaccinated their immediate contacts to prevent further disease spread. This strategy was highly effective. The last natural case of smallpox was reported in 1977. In 1980, the WHO declared smallpox to be eradicated worldwide, the first eradication of a human pathogen.

1.2.4 Current concerns

Currently, the only known remaining stocks of VARV are in secure frozen storage in two locations – the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, GA, and the State Research Centre of Virology and Biotechnology VECTOR, Koltsovo, Novosibirsk region, Russia. Destruction of these final stocks is a topic of much discussion in scientific and political circles [26].

With the rise in terrorism, concerns about the use of smallpox as a bioweapon have arisen. While the only registered stocks are in secure facilities, other sources of infectious VARV are possible, as was demonstrated by the recent discovery of misplaced VARV samples at NIH [27]. It is known that the Soviet government adapted smallpox for use as a bioweapon in the 1980s [28]. Little information is known about the results of this research, and what became of any viral stocks resulting from that effort.

Natural or synthetic sources of infectious smallpox virus are also possible. VARV has been shown to remain infectious for more than a decade in a temperate climate without special storage [29], raising the possibility that infectious virus could be found in old medical supplies or human remains from the pre-eradication era [30,31]. With appropriate advances in biotechnology, VARV may also be deliberately synthesized in a laboratory setting; the sequence of VARV has been publicly available since the early 1990s [32,33].

Outbreaks of related emerging and zoonotic poxviruses in human populations are also a public health concern [22]. Standard smallpox vaccines have been shown to induce strong cross-protection against other poxviruses, and outbreaks of zoonotic and emerging poxviruses represent an increasing threat, as immunity in human populations decreases due to the cessation of smallpox vaccination [34]. Human monkeypox outbreaks have occurred in Africa throughout the last 25 years, with case-fatality rates of 1.5-10% [34-40]. Monkeypox was transferred to the U.S. through importation of small animals, causing a multi-state outbreak in 2003 [34,35,41]. In the U.S. outbreak, prior vaccination was not found to be protective against monkeypox disease [42]. Some studies examining the protective efficacy of smallpox vaccination against human monkeypox have not found any evidence of a protective effect, while others have determined that smallpox vaccination does confer protection [42-45]. These reports examined individuals immunized at least 25 years before monkeypox exposure. Whether or not more recent vaccination, or even post-exposure vaccination, is protective against MPXV is still an unanswered question. Similarly, cowpox, buffalopox, camelpox, and other orthopoxviruses have been known to overcome the species barrier and infect humans [35,46,47]. Vaccinia virus outbreaks in South American cattle and humans appear to be a result of emerging disease rather than escaped vaccine strains [35,48]. Recent reports of humans infected with a novel poxvirus in the U.S. underscore the potential of poxviruses as emerging human pathogens [49]. Safe and effective vaccines without significant safety contraindications designed to protect against smallpox would be highly useful in containing such outbreaks.

1.3 First-generation live vaccines used for eradication

During the WHO eradication program, vaccinia-based smallpox vaccines were manufactured worldwide by 71 independent manufacturers that used different production methods and viral strains [9]. Vaccines in the U.S. largely used the New York City Board of Health (NYCBH) strain, which was developed from seed virus obtained from England in the 1850s. These vaccines have proven protective efficacy, but are no longer in production and are being replaced by second- and third-generation products. First-generation vaccines are not likely to play a major role in future biodefense activities, but are the gold standard for smallpox vaccines and are briefly discussed here for comparison purposes. For additional information, readers are referred to more comprehensive sources [9,10,17,50].

1.3.1. Dryvax

Dryvax, a vaccine produced by Wyeth Laboratories, is based on the NYCBH VACV strain and was first licensed in 1931 [9]. Produced by infection of the skin of calves, Dryvax was successfully used in the U.S. during the eradication era. However, rare but serious adverse events (AEs) were linked to large-sale immunization with this vaccine, resulting in 1-2 deaths per million vaccinees. Dryvax was used in the early 2000s to vaccinate large numbers of military personnel and select civilians with a high level of screening for contraindications to avoid inoculating those at highest risk of adverse reactions. During the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) vaccination campaigns, there were fewer serious AEs than anticipated based on historical data, likely due to more rigorous screening and exclusion criteria; however, new findings of cardiac complications became a cause for concern [51-53]. Due to these findings and the development of more modern cell culture-based production methods, the FDA license for Dryvax was revoked as of February 29, 2008.

1.3.2. Elstree (Lister)

The Elstree vaccine, based upon the Lister strain of VACV, was used extensively throughout Europe, Africa, and Asia during the WHO eradication campaign. It stimulated excellent protective immune responses, including long-term neutralizing antibodies to poxviruses [54,55]. Large-scale retrospective studies showed the Lister/Elstree vaccine strain induced a higher rate of serious adverse reactions than NYCBH-based vaccines (approximately 8.4 deaths per million vaccinees relative to 1.4), but this number was significantly lower than various other VACV strains also in use at the time [9]. Lister vaccines, which have been stockpiled in many countries worldwide as a biodefense countermeasure, have been demonstrated to retain immunogenicity even if diluted 1:10 from the stored stock concentrations [55].

1.3.4 Aventis Pasteur (APSV)

APSV, produced by Aventis Pasteur from 1956 to 1957, was a frozen vaccine preparation based on the NYCBH VACV strain, and some 85 million doses were stockpiled by the DoD. The APSV vaccine effectively induces neutralizing antibody levels and produces high take rates similar to Dryvax, even at a 1:10 dilution of frozen stock preparations. Later trials in the 2000s suggested that APSV has a higher reactogenicity (larger lesion size, higher incidence of fever) than Dryvax, and thus stockpiles APSV is unlikely to be used in future non-emergency vaccination efforts [8,56].

1.3.5 EM-63

The EM-63 vaccine was used widely in the USSR in the 1960s and 1970s, and appears to have originated from the NYCBH VACV strain. Large-scale use of the EM-63 vaccine resulted in low rates of serious AEs (17 per million doses) similar to Dryvax and similarly effective protection against smallpox disease [9]. Depending on remaining stockpiles, this vaccine may be utilized in biodefense preparations or in response to a smallpox outbreak.

1.3.6 Lancy-Vaxina

The Lancy-Vaxina Berna vaccine was based upon the Lister VACV strain and was manufactured on the skin of sheep. Lyophilized vaccine has been stockpiled by several European countries against the threat of bioterrorism. Efficacy, safety, and immunogenicity were tested in the early 2000s and found to be similar to the original Lister/Elstree vaccine. Vaccine stored since the 1970s has been found to be still viable and retains immunogenicity at dilutions up to 1:10 [57].

1.3.7 Temple of Heaven/Tiantan

The Tiantan vaccine, from the Temple of Heaven strain, was developed and used heavily in China during the eradication era. It was originally derived from a smallpox patient, passaged several times in animals, and during this process was contaminated with the VACV it contains today [9]. This vaccine induces antibody responses similar to the Lister or NYCBH strains, but has a very high rate of AEs relative to Lister and NYCBH-derived vaccines, and is more pathogenic in animals than these other vaccines.

1.4 Immune Responses to First-Generation Vaccines

1.4.1 Cutaneous Responses

After successful primary vaccination, a pock forms at the vaccine site 3-4 days after vaccination; this pock forms a vesicle two to three days later, then pustulates. The pock reaches maximum size 8-12 days after vaccination, scabs over, and separates 14-21 days post-vaccination [9]. A lack of viremia after vaccination has been reported, suggesting infection remains localized to the vaccination site [58]. Vaccination also elicits strong immune responses that peak several weeks after immunization. A high-level overview of these responses are provide here. For more detailed descriptions of humoral and cellular immunity following smallpox vaccination, the readers are referred to the following references: [6,59-65].

1.4.2 Cytokine responses

Cytokine responses to smallpox vaccines begin shortly after primary vaccination. A strong inflammatory response occurs, with elevated serum levels of IFNγ, TNFα, IL-1, and IL-6 [66-68]. IFNγ serum levels clearly peak 8-9 days after vaccination [66]. Other cytokines relevant to induction of cellular responses are also present at elevated levels, including IFN-inducible protein 10 (IP-10), monokine induced by IFNγ (MIG), granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) and granulocytomacrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) [66,67]. Levels of cytokine production have been shown to be affected by sex [69] and race [70].

1.4.3 Cellular responses

T cell responses are responsible for containing VACV infection in a naïve host after vaccination [71]. VACV-specific T cells are detected in humans by day 7 after primary vaccination, and peak at 14 days post-vaccination [72]. Strong CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses peak and then contract to form a stable memory population [73]. Conberg et al. have demonstrated that memory CD8+ T cells alone play a major role in immunity to VACV [74], but CD4+ T cell memory populations have been shown to be better maintained over time [75] and have been shown in mice to be more critical than CD8+ T cell populations in fighting VACV infection [76]. The important role of T cell memory in containing initial vaccinia infection is also suggested by the fact that defects in subjects' cellular immunity allow for uncontrolled VACV infection [77]. VACV-specific T-cell responses slowly wane over a period of decades, but appear to retain the ability to respond for up to 50 years [63,78].

1.4.4 Humoral responses

IgM neutralizing antibodies appear as early as 4 days after primary vaccination [79]. IgG responses appear later, typically after 10 days post-vaccination [73,80]. For smallpox vaccination, IgG antibodies to poxvirus antigens are the immune measure most correlated with protection against smallpox disease. Four weeks after vaccination, VACV-specific IgG B cells expand to approximately 1.5% of the circulating IgG memory B cell compartment [64]. B cell responses are likely necessary for long-term protection regardless of the robustness of T cell responses, as demonstrated in mice [81]. Antibody responses initially decline in the first years after vaccination, followed by maintenance of long-term stable levels for 50 years or longer [63,64]. Full protection requires antibody responses to both of the major virions formed during infection: the intracellular mature virion (IMV) and extracellular virion (EEV) [82,83].

The rapid induction of cellular and humoral antibody by smallpox vaccines, and relatively long time required for disease development (secondary viremia and onset of full symptoms begin 7-11 days after infection), allow for successful post-exposure vaccination [9]. Primary vaccination within four to five days of exposure is typically at least partially protective; vaccination reduces the severity of disease if it develops at all. Revaccination in this timeframe typically prevents illness entirely, and attenuates disease to some degree even into the second week of the incubation period [84-87].

1.5 Adverse Events

VACV-based smallpox vaccines are associated with significant rates of AEs, resulting in a minimum of 1-2 deaths per million primary vaccines [88] and an overall higher chance of hospitalization across vaccinated populations in the year postvaccination [89]. Routine civilian smallpox vaccination has ceased due to these risks, risks that must be considered in any biodefense-related vaccination campaigns.

Common non-serious reactions to smallpox vaccines include the development of inflammation and/or satellite lesions around the site of vaccination, localized edema, headache, fever, myalgia, lymphadenopathy, and erythema [9,90,91]. Autoinoculation, or the inadvertent transfer of VACV from the vaccination site to secondary locations on the vaccinee or close contacts, is also a common complication of smallpox vaccination [90].

More serious AEs resulting from smallpox vaccines (see Table 1) include generalized vaccinia (GV), eczema vaccinatum (EV), progressive vaccinia (PV), postvaccinial central nervous system disease, and fetal vaccinia. Treatments for adverse reactions to smallpox include vaccinia immune globulin (VIG) as the first-line therapy, and/or the potential use of cidofovir, an antiviral with broad-spectrum effects against DNA viruses. These drugs are available through Investigational New Drug protocols from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Department of Defense [90].

Table 1. Serious adverse events resulting from smallpox vaccination (numbers reflect U.S. epidemiological data from NYCBH-based vaccines) [9,52,77,90,99,101-104].

Serious adverse event	Frequency after primary (P) or re-vaccination (R)(cases/million vaccinees)	Susceptible populations	Treatment	Mortality rate	Notes
Generalized vaccinia	P: 23.4 – 241.5 R: 0.4-42.1	Immuno-compromised	VIG in rare immunosuppressed cases	Low
Eczema Vaccinatum	P: 8.0 – 80.5 R: 0.4 – 5.4	Individuals with atopic dermatitis/eczema	Hospitalization and VIG	High	Can be caused by primary vaccinee with active lesions coming in contact with susceptible person.
Progressive Vaccinia (Vaccinia necrosum)	P: 0 – 2.7 R: 0.3 – 3.0	Individuals with cell-mediated or humoral immune defects	VIG and antivirals	Very high	Those with cell-mediated defects have worst prognosis.
Post-Vaccinial Encephalitis	P: 1.9 – 3.4 R: 0 – 3.0	Most common in infants <12 months. Autoimmunity or allergic reactions to vaccines?	Supportive care	High	Low rate means causality is difficult to prove. Not believed to be result of replicating VACV.
Myo-/pericarditis	P: 4,000-5,000 R: Unknown	Unknown	Unknown	Low	Effects first noted during the 2003 DOD vaccination campaign.
Death	P: ∼2.9 R: ∼0				Incidence rate is vaccine strain dependent. Most often due to encephalitis or progressive vaccinia

1.5.1 Generalized vaccinia

Generalized vaccinia is a generalized eruption of skin lesions that typically appear approximately a week after vaccination. This condition is usually benign and self-limiting, except in some immunosuppressed individuals who may require VIG. The underlying causes of generalized vaccinia are not fully understood. In some cases, it appears to be the result of VACV viremia after vaccination, often associated with an immunodeficiency [92]. In others, generalized erythematous rashes may be a result of hypersensitivity reactions [51].

1.5.2 Vaccinia keratitis

Ocular vaccinial infections are typically a result of autoinoculation of the eye area after touching the area of vaccination. Ocular vaccinia poses a risk to eyesight, particularly with infection of the cornea (keratitis). Prevention is the focus; topical antivirals may be used to treat the cornea during VACV infections to reduce scarring [90,93,94].

1.5.3 Fetal vaccinia

Fetal vaccinia is a rare complication of pregnancy after smallpox vaccination. Transmission of VACV from the mother to the fetus has been reported in a small number of cases (<50), usually resulting in stillbirth or death of the infant [90]. Pregnancy is a standard counter indication for smallpox vaccine. During recent smallpox vaccination campaigns, women inadvertently vaccinated during early pregnancy were tracked and no associations were found between vaccination and preterm delivery or birth defects [95].

1.5.4 Myopericarditis

DoD vaccine campaigns during the early 2000s identified myopericarditis as a possible AE resulting from smallpox vaccination [51,53]. Further investigation of possible cardiac AEs resulted in the identification of 59 carditis cases found in 492,671 predominantly male vaccines in a 2003 cohort, an estimated carditis incidence rate approximately 7.4 times higher than in an unvaccinated control cohort [96], a rate estimated to be closer to 214-fold in a recent prospective study [52]. The etiology of these side effects remains unclear. Cardiac pre-screening has been shown not to significantly reduce cardiac events [97].

1.5.5 Eczema vaccinatum

Eczema vaccinatum (EV) is a rare, but serious, systemic complication of VACV inoculation in individuals with eczema/atopic dermatitis, regardless of the severity of the skin condition or whether the condition is active at the time of vaccination. It is characterized by a rash and severe systemic illness. Due to the heightened risk of EV, eczema/atopic dermatitis is a contraindication for smallpox vaccine. Many EV cases are, however, caused by contact of susceptible individuals with primary vaccines [98,99]. EV historically has a high mortality rate between 30-40% of those affected; however, VIG given in a timely manner has been shown to significantly reduce the mortality rate to less than 10% [100].

1.5.6 Progressive vaccinia

Progressive vaccinia (PV), also known as vaccinia necrosum, is a severe and often lethal complication of smallpox vaccination, generally in individuals with serious defects in cell-mediated immunity and underlying immune-related diseases such as leukemia and HIV/AIDs, conditions that are contraindications for the vaccine. Initially, the vaccination lesion necroses in a painless and progressive manner, eventually resulting in massive destruction of tissue. PV was universally fatal before VIG, though survivability has increased since VIG treatment became available [77,99].

1.5.7 Postvaccinial encephalitis

Postvaccinial encephalitis (PVE) is a rare adverse event that reflects cerebral damage. Symptoms include headache, drowsiness, coma, seizures, and other non-specific neurological symptoms occurring 6-10 days postvaccination. This AE has a case-fatality rate of approximately 15-30%, and 15-50% of survivors experience neurological damage [90,92,99]. It appears to have a higher incidence rate in infants <12 months, but may affect any age group. The pathology of PVE is not well understood, the low incidence rate makes causality difficult to investigate, and autoimmunity is suggested as a mechanism, though not definitively demonstrated. There are some indications that the incidence of PVE varies based on the VACV strain used for immunization [90]. Therapy is supportive.

1.5.8 Adverse Event Summary

Although proper screening for contraindications results in lower rates of significant AEs after smallpox vaccination, as demonstrated in the 2002-2003 DoD vaccination campaign [51], large population-based immunization programs would result in some level of serious AEs, including death. Looking forward, the incidence of AEs may increase as an increasing fraction of the population are now immunosuppressed or have autoimmune skin conditions such as eczema.

2. Contemporary vaccines

Modern smallpox vaccines have been developed since the eradication era in attempt to improve vaccine manufacturing processes and safety profiles. These include tissue-culture-based live vaccines, attenuated live-virus vaccines, and subunit vaccines. Currently marketed vaccines and promising vaccine candidates are discussed here and summarized in Table 2.

Table 2. Modern smallpox vaccines [71,106,110,111,113,116,121,129,134,139,145,150].

Second-generation vaccines

Vaccine	Original VACV strain	Production method	Usage	Efficacy and reactogenicity	Dose/route
ACAM2000	NYCBH	Vero cells	Part of US national stockpile, approved by FDA in 2008	Immunogenicity equivalent to Dryvax. Safety profile similar to Dryvax.	0.0025 mL of live VACV containing 2.5-12.5 × 105pfu, 1 dose, percutaneous
CCSV (DynPort)*	NYCBH	MRC-5 cells	Clinical trials	Immunogenicity equivalent to Dryvax. Safety profile not well established.	1 dose, delivered dose similar to Dryvax, percutaneous
Elstree-BN*	Lister	Chicken embryo fibroblast cells	Clinical trials	Similar efficacy and safety as Elstree/Lister.	1 dose, percutaneous, 1 × 108 pfu/ml
CJ-50300	NYCBH	MRC-5 cells	Clinical trials	Similar efficacy as Dryvax.	1 dose, percutaneous, 1 × 108 pfu/ml
* no longer in development

Third-generation vaccines
Live, attenuated vaccinia virus strains
Vaccine	Original VACV strain	Production method	Usage	Efficacy and reactogenicity	Dose/route
MVA (IMVAMUNE, TBC-MVA, ACAM3000)	Ankara, serially passaged in chicken embryo fibroblast cells	Cell culture	Used in 120,000 people at end of eradication. Extensive clinical and animal trials.	Excellent safety profile. Immunogenicity may be lower than replication-competent vaccines.	2 doses, subcutaneous, 5 × 107 TCID50
LC16m8	Lister, serially passaged in rabbit kidney cells	Cell culture	Used in Japan at end of eradication. Stockpiled in Japan.	Excellent safety profile. Similar reactogenicity to Dryvax.	1 dose, percutaneous, ∼4 ul of 1 × 108pfu/ml
NYVAC	Copenhagen, with genomic deletions	Cell culture	Early clinical trials	18 ORFs deleted, coding genes related to pathogenicity, virulence, and host range. Immunogenicity may be lower than live vaccines	Likely 2 doses, intramuscular
dVV-L	Lister, with deleted UDG enzyme	Cell culture	Animal trials	Early animal studies show good immunogenicity and safety profiles in mice.	Likely 2 doses, intramuscular, 1 × 106 pfu in mouse
Subunit vaccines
Protein-based, various	Various		Non-human trials	Theoretically better safety profile. Sufficient immunogenicity in animals when adjuvanted and boosted.	2-3 doses, intramuscular, likely adjuvanted, human dosage TBD
DNA-based, various	Various		Non-human trials	Theoretically better safety profile. Sufficient immunogenicity in animals when adjuvanted and boosted.	2-3 doses, intramuscular, likely adjuvanted, human dosage TBD

2.1 Tissue-culture-based live vaccines

2.1.1 ACAM2000

Acambis and Baxter labs created two new vaccines, ACAM1000 and ACAM2000, from a plaque-purified viral isolate of Dryvax (NYCBH), grown in Vero cell culture. The ACAM1000 and ACAM2000 viral strains differed by only 7 passages in cell culture, were identical at the genomic level, induced similar responses and ACAM2000 was further developed [105]. ACAM2000 showed an improved safety profile in animal infection models [106]. ACAM2000 has been tested extensively in human clinical trials and demonstrated to have a similar take rate to Dryvax in primary vaccinees, and to induce equal levels of neutralizing antibodies and both T-cell and lymphocyte proliferation [105].

Revaccination with ACAM2000, however, was shown to be inferior to revaccination with Dryvax (84% vs. 98% take rates), possibly due to lower virulence of the viral vaccine strain [107]. Antibodies induced by ACAM2000 have epitope profiles distinguishable from antibodies induced by Dryvax, likely due to the monoclonal nature of the ACAM2000 VACV strain relative to the highly polyclonal Dryvax [108,109]. The safety profile in humans has been shown to be similar to that of Dryvax in terms of cardiac and other AEs, though careful prescreening avoided most serious AEs [107]. ACAM2000 was licensed in the U.S. in 2007 and millions of doses have been produced for the U.S. national stockpile [106]. It should be noted that, in contrast to Dryvax, ACAM2000 did not retain full immunogenicity when diluted. This vaccine is a major component of the US Strategic National Stockpile and is being stockpiled in other countries as well.

2.1.2 CCSV

CCSV is a new cell-cultured vaccine developed by DynPort Vaccine Company, LLC, from the NYCBH vaccinia strain; it is produced in MRC-5 cells. In phase I clinical trials, CCSV was demonstrated to induce similar levels of neutralizing antibodies and T-cell responses, and was immunogenic at doses 50-times lower than approved Dryvax doses [110]. This study was underpowered to properly assess adverse events. This vaccine is no longer in development.

2.1.3 Elstree-BN

Elstree-BN is a Bavarian Nordic vaccine based on the Lister/Elstree strain and adapted for production in cell culture. The Elstree-BN vaccine induces comparable immune responses to the traditional Elstree vaccine in preclinical studies in macaques [111]. In a small clinical study in 2004, Bavarian Nordic reported similar safety profiles and efficacy to the traditional Elstree Lister-based vaccine. This vaccine is not being pursued for further development

2.1.4 CJ-50300

CJ-50300 is a cell-culture adapted derivative of the NYCBH strain of VACV developed in South Korea and produced in MRC-5 cells, which induces similar responses in mice to the Lancy-Vaxina strain. Lyophilized virus, given at two different doses in >100 subjects, showed a 99% take rate and cellular immunogenicity similar to that of other second-generation (tissue-culture based live) smallpox vaccines with one possible case of generalized vaccinia [112]. Further phase III studies conducted in Korea showed similar immune responses, and no occurrence of severe AEs [113]. It is unclear if there are any advantages to this vaccine strain relative to other, more-heavily studied vaccine strains such as ACAM2000 and CCSV.

2.2 Attenuated vaccines

2.2.1 Modified Vaccinia Ankara

Modified vaccinia Ankara (MVA) is a highly attenuated strain of VACV formed by over 500 serial passages of a Turkish smallpox vaccine strain in primary chicken embryo fibroblast cells, during which 15% of its genome was lost [114]. MVA is largely replication incompetent in most mammalian cell lines and is considered safe for humans, including immunosuppressed individuals. It has been widely studied both as a potential smallpox vaccine and as a potential backbone vector for many recombinant non-smallpox vaccines. Over 120,000 people have been immunized by an MVA-based vaccine, with an excellent safety profile (i.e., no reported severe AEs). MVA is considered a strong candidate for a safer, well-tolerated modern smallpox vaccine. Several MVA-based vaccines are in development, most notably IMVAMUNE (Bavarian Nordic) and ACAM3000 (Acambis), which have each been through phase I and II clinical trials with similar results.

MVA-based vaccines administered in a prime-boost regimen have been shown to induce similar immune (neutralizing antibody and T-cell) responses to ACAM2000 in macaques [115], indicating strong immunogenicity. The safety profile of MVA-based vaccines has been well-characterized. Tests for myo-/pericarditis in several hundred people showed no such AEs, and that the vaccine was safe and well tolerated. Of particular note are studies of MVA vaccines in people with eczema/atopic dermatitis or under immunosuppressive conditions. IMVAMUNE has been tested in several hundred atopic dermatitis (AD) patients, including many with active disease. While the AD individuals showed somewhat higher levels of minor AEs, no major AEs were found and the levels of VACV-specific antibody titers were similar between AD and healthy groups [116,117]. Similarly, the vaccine was tested in HIV-infected patients and was demonstrated to be safe, immunogenic, and well tolerated, without cardiac complications [118]. Lyophilization of MVA-based vaccines for long-term stable storage has been shown not to affect immunogenicity, and intradermal injection of low doses has been demonstrated to have similar immunogenicity to the standard subcutaneous injection route typically used in smallpox vaccination [119]. As a result of such studies, IMVAMUNE was added to the U.S. National Strategic Stockpile in 2010 for individuals with HIV and atopic dermatitis, and since has been approved for the entire adult population in Europe and in Canada for adults with immune deficiencies or skin disorders.

There is some concern about the protection provided by the MVA vaccines relative to the traditional smallpox vaccines. A single dose of MVA-based vaccine failed to protect macaques against aerosolized monkeypox in a recent trial, though protective effects and neutralizing antibody titers similar to ACAM2000 were induced by a prime-booster sequence [120]. MVA-vaccinated monkeys challenged with monkeypox also demonstrated higher levels of viremia than Dryvax or MVA/Dryvax vaccinated monkeys, and some developed self-resolving minor monkeypox lesions while remaining otherwise healthy. It is unclear if this difference is due to the method of inoculation or differences in vaccine immunogenicity [115].

The necessity of such a prime-boost vaccination regimen suggests that MVA may be more suitable for long-term smallpox prevention strategies than in combating serious smallpox outbreaks or bioterror events. The delay in inducing full protective immunity with two doses of an MVA vaccine is a serious drawback relative to traditional smallpox vaccines in situations where time is of the essence.

2.2.2 LC16m8

The live, attenuated, cell-culture vaccine LC16m8 was created in Japan toward the end of the eradication effort in an attempt to create a safer vaccine with fewer AEs. This low-virulence, temperature-sensitive, but replication-competent, VACV strain was created by serial passage of the Lister VACV strain through rabbit kidney cells, with the loss of membrane protein B5R expression due to a frameshift mutation [121]. LC16m8 was used to vaccinate infants in Japan during the 1970s eradication era without serious AEs. In recent primate studies comparing the virulence of VACV vaccine strains, LC16m8 was shown to be less virulent than both NYCBH and Lister virus strains [122]. Despite lower virulence, LC16m8 successfully protected mice from fatal vaccinia challenge similarly to its parental Lister VACV strain, [123] and successfully protected monkeys from monkeypox [124]. Protection against fatal VACV infection has been demonstrated using LC16m8 even in immunodeficient mice lacking either CD4, MHC class I, MHC class II or MHC classes I and II [123].

Over 100,000 people have been vaccinated with LC16m8 in Japan, with no serious AEs, reported evidence of cardiac toxicity, or deaths, suggesting a possibly improved safety profile over Lister and NYCBH strains. A recent study has demonstrated that in macaques depleted of T or B cells prior to vaccination, LC16m8 vaccination did not result in AEs, while progressive vaccinia resulted from vaccination with Dryvax [71]. These results suggest that LC16m8 may be a safer and effective vaccine for immunocompromised individuals, or those with atopic dermatitis. Recent clinical studies demonstrated safety and efficacy in Japanese military cohorts (3221 and 268 subjects) [125,126] and U.S. volunteers (125 subjects); however, although LC16m8 was demonstrated to induce robust cellular immune responses, lower neutralizing antibody titers were found relative to volunteers immunized with Dryvax [127], possibly due to the lower virulence of the LC16m8 strain. The sample sizes of recent clinical studies in humans and rarity of AEs are small; hence, larger clinical studies should be done to better characterize the safety profile of LC16m8.

Observations have been made that the attenuated LC16m8 VACV strain could spontaneously revert to higher virulence [128], suggesting that the frameshift mutation nature of LC16m8 attenuation is not genetically stable, which is a major potential issue for vaccine stability. A genetically stable version of the LC16m8 vaccine strain has been created by completely deleting the B5R gene (m8Δ), and has been demonstrated in mice to induce antibody responses and confer protective immunity at similar levels to the original LC16m8 strain and significantly higher than MVA-induced immunity at similar virus doses [128]. This is a potential genetically stable variant of the LC16m8 strain for further vaccine development.

LC16M8, currently licensed in Japan, is proposed as a candidate for bioterrorism prevention stockpiles. This smallpox vaccine is a promising candidate for future large-scale use, but questions regarding its genetic stability and lower antibody responses than Dryvax must still be fully addressed.

2.2.3 NYVAC

NYVAC, a highly attenuated VACV strain, was derived from the Copenhagen vaccine strain by targeted deletion of 18 open reading frames from the viral genome that were suspected to affect pathogenicity and virulence [129]. NYVAC is highly immunogenic despite its attenuation, and is also being considered as a backbone vector for recombinant HIV vaccines [130]. Genetic comparisons of NYVAC and MVA have been conducted; they identified differences in the nature of replication attenuation between these virus strains [130]. NYVAC upregulates a largely different set of cytokines than MVA in in vitro studies on immature human dendritic cells, with MVA inducing a stronger overall cytokine response than the distinct NYVAC response [131]. NYVAC and MVA also trigger different cellular responses; NYVAC induces a predominantly CD4+ T-cell response, while MVA induces both CD4+ and CD8+ responses [132]. Immunization of humans with NYVAC induces significantly lower VACV-specific neutralizing antibody titers than both Dryvax and Lister strains, suggesting that NYVAC may not be an optimal smallpox vaccine strain, or may require multiple doses [133]. This vaccine has not been tested in clinical trials; however, NYVAC-vectored vaccines for other infectious agents have been tested in clinical trials and typically exhibit fewer local/systemic reactions than NYCBH.

2.2.4 dVV-L

dVV-L is a replication-incompetent VACV strain derived from the Lister vaccine strain. This virus was created by targeted deletion of the gene for the uracil-DNA-glycosylase (UDG) enzyme essential for viral replication; the dVV-L virus retains, however, the ability to infect human cells and express early viral genes [134]. It is grown on a rabbit kidney cell line (RK-13) engineered to provide the missing UDG enzyme. Prime-boost immunizations induced robust cellular and long-term immunity in mice similar to MVA-induced responses, and dVV-L was shown to be well tolerated, even by immunodeficient mice for which the normal Lister VACV strain is quickly fatal [134,135]. Data on human vaccinees is not available and this product is not likely to be utilized in biodefense efforts in the near future.

2.3 Subunit or other vaccines

Contemporary and future biodefense preparations have an increased emphasis on vaccine safety. In the following section, we briefly outline subunit vaccine approaches that avoid use of live, potentially pathogenic VACV currently under investigation.

2.3.1 Gene-based vectors

Various gene-based subunit vaccines are currently in development, with the goal of inducing lasting immunity without the risks of live virus. These vaccines consist of combinations of plasmids carrying individual VACV genes; and proteins from both the IMV and EEV virion forms were demonstrated to be necessary for complete protection in early efforts [136-138].

The 4pox-VRP (virus-like replicon particle) smallpox vaccine expresses VACV A33R, B5R, A27L, and L1R genes that successfully induce protective immunity in mice and nonhuman primates [139]. Studies of this vaccine, when combined with molecular adjuvants, show protection in monkeys against severe monkeypox disease at levels at least as high as MVA, though vaccinated monkeys in both MVA and 4pox-VRP immunized groups developed some form of disease [140].

An obstacle in the development of gene-based subunit vaccines is the fact that vaccinia and variola viruses are different, and the cross-reactivity of VACV subunit-induced antibodies with smallpox (VARV) antigens may be diminished relative to whole virus vaccines. For example, the VACV B5 gene has 23 amino acid differences from the B6 VARV homologue, resulting in many polyclonal antibodies against B5 that do not cross-react against B6 [141]. Heterogeneity in VACV A33 protein also affects the efficacy of the vaccine [142], and as such careful design of subunit vaccines is necessary. As live virus is not used in subunit vaccines, use of VARV rather than VACV genes should be safe and may avoid these problems. Some efforts in this area have been made. For example, a DNA-based vaccine expressing three VARV antigens and their recombinant protein counterparts has been shown to induce high-titer, cross-reactive antibody responses in mice that protect against VACV infection [143]. Due to lack of replicating virus, adjuvants may be needed to boost immune responses to levels necessary to provide protective immunity; efforts to identify appropriate adjuvants are currently underway [144].

2.3.2 Protein-based subunit vaccines

Subunit vaccines based on viral proteins are also in development. Mice vaccinated with adjuvanted VACV proteins from both the intracellular mature virus and extracellular virus forms were protected from lethal VACV challenge [145]. A similar three-protein combination vaccine also protected mice against live VACV challenge when adjuvanted and given in three doses [146]. A four VACV protein vaccine (A33, B5, L1, A27, adjuvanted with alum) was shown to partially protect nonhuman primates from a lethal dose of monkeypox virus, and to protect fully when further adjuvanted with CpG [147]. Other similar protein subunit vaccines have been proposed and studied [148,149]. As with gene-based vector vaccines, cross-reactivity between poxviruses is a concern with protein-based subunit vaccines. Finally, a vaccine has been proposed that combines DNA and protein vaccine technologies with a DNA-prime, peptide-boost methodology that induces protective immunity in mice against VACV using T-cell epitopes alone [150].

The need for prime-boost regimens limits the use of gene- and protein-based vaccines in the early stages of reacting to a bioterror event or poxvirus outbreak where time is critical; however, such vaccines may be of great use in long-term prevention strategies.

3. Issues facing new vaccine development, testing, and regulation

3.1 Lack of variola virus infection models to prove efficacy

New smallpox vaccines face major challenges in their development, testing, and licensure. The absence of VARV and the seriousness of smallpox disease make human trials with VARV challenge ethically impossible. While safety can be demonstrated, the effectiveness of protection against smallpox disease cannot be directly tested. Correlates of protection may be used, such as observation of vaccine take and neutralizing antibody titers, and levels of poxvirus-specific immune cells. These may or may not be well related to protection against smallpox challenge. The traditional observation of vaccine take, for example, cannot be used as an endpoint for highly attenuated or subunit vaccines that do not form classic vaccinia lesions.

Animal models of smallpox vaccination and infection are frequently used in vaccine development. Monkeypox virus challenge of nonhuman primates, such as macaques, is currently considered the gold-standard animal model for smallpox. Prior to nonhuman primate testing, smallpox vaccine candidates are often tested in rabbits by challenge with rabbitpox, and mice by challenge with ectromelia. Cross-reactivity between smallpox vaccines and diverse poxviruses allows for some confidence that smallpox vaccines tested in the monkeypox system will induce human protection against VARV.

3.2 Regulatory testing

In 2002, the U.S. FDA introduced a new “Animal Rule” (21 CFR 601.90) to guide testing and regulation of products, such as smallpox vaccines, whose efficacy cannot be field-tested in humans due to ethical or feasibility concerns. This rule allows for approval of products that have been established as safe in human trials and have a well-understood pathophysiological mechanism as “reasonably likely to provide clinical benefit in humans” based on appropriate animal studies conducted in more than one well-characterized animal model species. Licensure of smallpox vaccines for human use is currently based on an acceptable safety profile in humans, efficacy based on monkeypox virus studies in nonhuman primates, efficacy demonstrated in a second animal model such as mice or rabbits, and the “non-inferiority” of human immune responses relative to currently licensed vaccines. The appropriateness of the non-inferiority requirement is often debated, with the fear that this may incrementally decrease the efficacy and protection thresholds each time that it is applied to a new vaccine. One potential example is that, despite the relative similarities between ACAM2000 and Dryvax, only Dryvax retains full immunogenicity upon dilution. In this case non-inferiority does not equate with identical efficacy in some situations.

3.3 Uncertain markets

As smallpox is currently eradicated, no clear markets currently exist for smallpox vaccines outside of biodefense efforts. The high cost of developing a new vaccine, and the large size of clinical trials needed to demonstrate incidence of rare AEs, prove a significant challenge to current smallpox vaccine development efforts.

4. Promising developments in the field

New development of safer and more effective smallpox vaccines is progressing rapidly due to a better understanding of poxvirus virology allowing for new vaccine formulations, the introduction of new paradigms for both developing novel targeted vaccine candidates designed to maximize immunogenicity while minimizing adverse side effects (vaccinomics [151]), and identifying genetic markers of individuals predisposed for AEs (adversomics [152]) for vaccine personalization.

4.1 Vaccine delivery and formulation advances

Better understanding of poxvirus virology and immunology may lead to improvements in vaccine formulations. Concurrent smallpox vaccination and antiviral drug administration, such as with the anti-poxvirus Tecovirimat (ST-246), may help reduce vaccine reactogenicity without affecting humoral or cell-mediated immune responses [153]. In the case of an epidemic or bioterrorist attack involving poxviruses, administration of both the vaccine and antiviral may be an appropriate dual treatment/prevention strategy for potentially exposed populations. Application of a povidone iodine ointment to smallpox vaccination sites has been demonstrated to reduce viral shedding without altering the immune response, thereby reducing the risk of contact transmission from the vaccination site [154]. Additionally, studies indicate that altering the smallpox vaccination schedule to include an initial vaccination with MVA, followed by a subsequent dose of a highly immunogenic smallpox vaccine such as Dryvax, may induce an ideal combination of low reactogenicity and high immunity [115].

4.2 Systems Vaccinology

Systems vaccinology – the application of systems biology tools to the study of vaccines – shows great potential for elucidating mechanisms of human responses to vaccines, which may result in an improved understanding of vaccine design factors that lead to greater vaccine efficacy [155]. Such approaches have been used to great effect in the study of other human vaccines. For example, a systems vaccinology approach to studying yellow fever vaccine discovered gene signatures that correlated with T and B cell responses with 90% and nearly 100% accuracy [156]. These signatures identified specific genes and proteins involved in yellow fever vaccine responses crucial to the development of protective immunity. Similarly, use of systems vaccinology approaches to the study of seasonal influenza vaccine identified novel genes that correlated with vaccine response, and identified baseline predictors of post-vaccination responses [157-160]. Application of systems vaccinology to smallpox vaccines may result in similar elucidation of the mechanisms of vaccine responses, and lead to more directed design of safe and effective vaccines.

4.3 Vaccinomics

The emerging field of vaccinomics – the holistic application of immunogenetics, immunogenomics, and systems biology to understanding vaccine-induced immune responses – allows for engineering of new viral vaccine candidates that optimize immunogenicity at the population or individual level [161,162]. For example, identification of SNPs associated with poor protective responses in smallpox-immunized individuals identifies genes important to the development of full cellular and humoral memory responses [163]. This information can be used to elucidate immune mechanisms, and predict individuals' responses to the smallpox vaccine.

Vaccinomics and systems vaccinology can also guide the design of safe and effective vaccines. Specific VACV proteins associated with virulence and pathogenicity can now be identified, and selective deletion of the corresponding genes from the VACV genome can occur; this leaves highly immunogenic proteins intact, which can create attenuated VACV strains with improved safety profiles retaining high levels of immunogenicity [164]. Transcriptomic studies are similarly elucidating the key biological pathways involved in the generation and maintenance of poxvirus immunity [165]. Mass spectrometry has also been used to identify naturally processed VACV-derived peptides with high immunogenicity. Selection of a subset of these peptides conserved between VACV and VARV show great promise as components of new, safe, and highly effective subunit vaccines against smallpox [166].

4.4 Adversomics

With contraindications to the current smallpox vaccines existing in up to 30% or more of the population, safer smallpox vaccines are increasingly needed. Efforts to identify genetic markers associated with vaccine AE phenotypes are being made at the genetic level in such an attempt. For example, genetic factors associated with AEs are being identified [167], and the mechanisms underlying these AEs may then be studied. This emerging field of adversomics—using genomic and other information to predict the complex interactions that result in non-random AEs—may be used to establish and refine genomic-level counter indications for smallpox vaccines and reduce the future incidence of AEs, and/or design vaccines that bypass the mechanisms that trigger serious AEs [152].

5. Expert Commentary

By now, second-generation vaccines have largely replaced their first-generation counterparts. The new manufacturing processes offer greater control over the contents of the vaccines, lower levels of adventitious agents, and have allowed the removal of potentially dangerous strains and quasi-species. Development of third-generation vaccines provides potentially safer alternatives that may be more appropriate for today's populations with higher rates of immune deficiencies, skin disorders, and cardiovascular issues, and a lower risk of wild virus exposure/infection. Although immune reactivity seems to be lower with these attenuated vaccines, prime-boost strategies may be able to balance safety and immune protection. Work continues on protein and plasmid DNA vaccines and provides not only opportunities to reduce side effects, but also to explore the utility of poxvirus-based vaccines for other diseases.

6. Five-year View

We believe that the next 5 years will see significant advances in our understanding of poxvirus biology and host response. The following are just some of the developments that can be expected to occur:

1. The ability to manipulate poxvirus genomes will allow us to expand the use of poxvirus vectors as vaccine “backbones” for vaccines against other pathogens of interest.

2. Poxvirus immunomodulatory proteins possess remarkable capabilities that are beginning to be examined and tested for clinical utility.

3. As more and more VACV genomes are sequenced, it becomes possible to identify correlations between virus genetic heterogeneity and safety/efficacy of smallpox vaccines [168-170].

4. A large number of poxvirus genes remain uncharacterized. Further studies into poxvirus biology may yield important insights into viral pathogenesis and host responses.

5. Increasingly sophisticated immune monitoring and high dimensional technology, combined with integrated systems biology approaches, may identify more pertinent correlates of protection and predictive immune response biomarkers that can be applied toward the development of diagnostic tools and new vaccine development.

6. Advances in animal models of poxvirus infection will allow us to better characterize vaccine immunogenicity and protection, an area of particular importance given the absence of disease.

7. The discovery of genetic markers linked to AEs will improve contraindications for smallpox vaccines and guide the development of new vaccines that do not induce serious adverse reactions.

8. Continued research into third-generation (DNA, protein, or peptide-based) vaccines may allow for the development of products with greatly improved safety profiles.

Key Issues.

• Smallpox is a deadly debilitating disease with mortality rate of 30%

• Following a decade-long, worldwide effort involving vaccination and disease surveillance, smallpox was declared eradicated in 1980

• Despite its eradication, smallpox vaccine remains a public health issue due to concerns about bioterrorism and zoonotic orthopoxvirus outbreaks

• First-generation vaccines contained live vaccinia virus and elicited long-lasting, protective immunity against disease

• Current vaccines are second-generation vaccines (cell culture derivatives of 1^st generation vaccines) and third-generation vaccines (containing attenuated vaccinia virus strains)

• Subunit-based (protein, peptide, and DNA) smallpox vaccines have shown promise in animal models

• Recent advances in adjuvants, “omics” technologies, and animal models, as well as vaccinomics and systems biology approaches, are yielding additional insights into poxvirus immunology and can be applied to developing novel vaccine candidates