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The Journal of Infectious Diseases logoLink to The Journal of Infectious Diseases
. 2020 Aug 11;225(7):1215–1226. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa498

Efficacy of Single-Dose Primaquine With Artemisinin Combination Therapy on Plasmodium falciparum Gametocytes and Transmission: An Individual Patient Meta-Analysis

Kasia Stepniewska 1,2,3,, Georgina S Humphreys 1,2,3,4, Bronner P Gonçalves 5, Elaine Craig 1,2,3, Roly Gosling 6,7, Philippe J Guerin 1,2,3, Ric N Price 1,2,8,9, Karen I Barnes 1,10,11, Jaishree Raman 10,12,13, Menno R Smit 14, Umberto D’Alessandro 15, Will J R Stone 5,16, Anders Bjorkman 17, Aaron M Samuels 18,19, Maria I Arroyo-Arroyo 20, Guido J H Bastiaens 16,21, Joelle M Brown 6, Alassane Dicko 22, Badria B El-Sayed 23, Salah-Eldin G Elzaki 23, Alice C Eziefula 5,24, Simon Kariuki 25, Titus K Kwambai 14,25, Amanda E Maestre 20, Andreas Martensson 26, Dominic Mosha 27,28, Richard O Mwaiswelo 29, Billy E Ngasala 29, Joseph Okebe 30, Michelle E Roh 6,7, Patrick Sawa 31, Alfred B Tiono 32, Ingrid Chen 7, Chris J Drakeley 5, Teun Bousema 5,16,
PMCID: PMC8974839  PMID: 32778875

Abstract

Background

Since the World Health Organization recommended single low-dose (0.25 mg/kg) primaquine (PQ) in combination with artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) in areas of low transmission or artemisinin-resistant Plasmodium falciparum, several single-site studies have been conducted to assess efficacy.

Methods

An individual patient meta-analysis to assess gametocytocidal and transmission-blocking efficacy of PQ in combination with different ACTs was conducted. Random effects logistic regression was used to quantify PQ effect on (1) gametocyte carriage in the first 2 weeks post treatment; and (2) the probability of infecting at least 1 mosquito or of a mosquito becoming infected.

Results

In 2574 participants from 14 studies, PQ reduced PCR-determined gametocyte carriage on days 7 and 14, most apparently in patients presenting with gametocytemia on day 0 (odds ratio [OR], 0.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], .17–.28 and OR, 0.12; 95% CI, .08–.16, respectively). Rate of decline in gametocyte carriage was faster when PQ was combined with artemether-lumefantrine (AL) compared to dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) (P = .010 for day 7). Addition of 0.25 mg/kg PQ was associated with near complete prevention of transmission to mosquitoes.

Conclusions

Transmission blocking is achieved with 0.25 mg/kg PQ. Gametocyte persistence and infectivity are lower when PQ is combined with AL compared to DP.

Keywords: single low-dose primaquine, Plasmodium falciparum, gametocytemia


An individual patient meta-analysis was performed on the gametocytocidal and transmission-blocking activities of single-dose primaquine. Gametocyte persistence and infectivity depended on the artemisinin-combination therapy that primaquine was administered with. Primaquine’s transmission-blocking effects were achieved at 0.25 mg/kg.


Antimalarial regimens based on artemisinin and its derivatives, artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) have been adopted widely as first-line treatment of uncomplicated malaria. Despite highly efficient clearance of asexual stage parasites and early gametocytes [1, 2], ACTs do not affect mature Plasmodium falciparum gametocytes. Mature gametocytes are responsible for transmission of infection from humans to mosquitoes, and they remain largely unaffected by antimalarial treatment, including ACTs [3–5]. As a result, gametocyte carriage can persist for several days and even weeks after ACT administration [3, 6] and treated individuals can continue to be a source of mosquito infections [3, 7, 8]. As malaria control programs focus their efforts on regional elimination and global eradication and the necessity to contain drug-resistant parasites, targeting gametocytes as part of routine clinical care and community treatment campaigns is being recommended [9–11].

Primaquine (PQ), a drug that is used routinely for the radical cure of Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium ovale infections, has been recast as a viable treatment strategy to reduce P. falciparum transmission. The ability of PQ and its predecessor plasmoquine to stop P. falciparum infectivity to malaria vectors has been known for many decades [12, 13]. In 2012, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended the use of PQ, in combination with ACTs, in areas approaching elimination and where artemisinin resistance was observed [10]. To mitigate concerns related to hemolysis in individuals with glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency and based on efficacy shown at low doses, a single low dose of 0.25 mg/kg of PQ was recommended for the gametocytocidal indication [10]. The safety of single low-dose PQ was confirmed in subsequent safety studies in individuals with G6PD deficiency [14, 15]. Multiple efficacy studies have been conducted to determine the gametocytocidal and transmission-blocking activity of PQ at different doses and with different partner ACTs.

We conducted a systematic review and individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis of clinical trials to quantify the ability of single-dose PQ given in combination with different ACTs to clear gametocytes and block transmission, and to compare efficacies of different combinations.

METHODS

Data Pooling

Details of the systematic review (PROSPERO CRD42019126710) are provided in the Supplementary Material. Studies were eligible for the inclusion in this analysis if (1) IPD came from a clinical efficacy trial of patients with uncomplicated P. falciparum infection or asymptomatic parasite carriers containing at least 1 study arm with a combination of a blood schizonticide and a single dose of PQ; (2) patient demographics and information on dosing (mg/kg) of the blood schizonticide and PQ were available; (3) transmission potential was assessed by weekly gametocyte carriage (ie, prevalence) using molecular methods and/or by membrane feeding assay conducted on day 0 and any day post treatment; and (4) patients were followed up at least until day 14. In the eligible studies, non-ACT study arms, which were randomized to receive PQ or not, were also included in the analysis as they contributed to the overall estimate of PQ effect.

Ethics

All data included in this analysis were obtained in accordance with the laws and ethical approvals applicable to the countries in which the studies were conducted, and were obtained with the knowledge and consent of the individual to which they relate. Data were fully anonymized either before or during the process of uploading to the WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network repository. Use of existing data that are fully anonymized and that researchers cannot trace back to identifiable individuals does not require the review of the Ethics Committee under the guidelines of the Oxford University Research Ethics Committee.

Statistical Analysis

Statistical analyses were carried out according to an a priori statistical analysis plan [16]. The prevalence of gametocytemia on days 7 and 14 after first administration of any treatment (day 0) was determined separately for patients without and with gametocytes on enrollment. Logistic regression models for gametocyte prevalence (0/1), as measured by molecular methods (quantitative reverse-transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction [qRT-PCR] or quantitative nucleic acid sequence-based amplification [QT-NASBA]), on each day were fitted with random intercepts for study site.

Data from membrane feeding experiments were analyzed using logistic regression to identify predictors of (1) probability of a participant infecting at least 1 mosquito, and (2) probability of a feeding mosquito being infected. Random intercepts were included to account for multiple measurements per patient (1) or clustering within a membrane feeding experiment (2).

Additional details such as predictors considered in each of the regression models and assessment of risk of bias analysis are given in Supplementary Material.

RESULTS

The systematic review identified 13 studies eligible for inclusion and 2 additional studies were identified in response to the call for data (Supplementary Figure 1). IPD from 14 studies were shared; their details are presented in Supplementary Table 1. Five studies used QT-NASBA (including 2 where quantification was not performed), 8 used qRT-PCR, and 1 study used both. The target transcripts in these molecular assays included Pfs25, Pfs230p, and Pfg377 mRNA. In addition to sexual-stage specific parasite detection, 3 of these studies also included data from membrane feeding experiments, where infectiousness was directly quantified by feeding mosquitoes on infected blood and assessing oocyst development 1 week later. G6PD deficiency was assessed using fluorescence spot test in 4 studies, rapid diagnostic test in 5 studies, or genotyping in 3 studies. All studies, except 1 from Colombia, were conducted in Africa at sites with varying transmission intensities. Administration of PQ was randomized and compared to a no-PQ arm in all studies except for 1 in which the dose of PQ was increased sequentially (study 8). A total of 66.7% (1718/2574) of participants received a dose of PQ (25.0%–100.0% in individual studies), of whom 355 (20.7%) were treated on day 0, 1241 (72.2%) on day 2, and 122 (7.1%) on day 3. Of the 1718 individuals treated with PQ, 477 (27.8%) patients received the WHO-recommended 0.25-mg/kg dose and 474 (27.6%) received a 0.40-mg/kg dose. Other doses tested included 0.0625, 0.1, 0.125, 0.2, 0.50, and 0.75 mg/kg (Table 1).

Table 1.

Baseline Characteristics of Analysis Populationa

Baseline Characteristics Primaquine No Primaquine All
N Median (Range) or n (%) N Median (Range) or n (%) N Median (Range) or n (%)
Age, y 1711 9 (0.5–84) 852 9 (1–84) 2563 9 (0.5–84)
Age group
 <5 y 1711 342 (20) 852 162 (19) 2563 504 (20)
 5–11 y 1711 799 (47) 852 376 (44) 2563 1175 (46)
 12+ y 1711 570 (33) 852 314 (37) 2563 884 (34)
Sex, male 1598 901 (56) 835 472 (57) 2433 1373 (56)
WAZ 328 −0.7 (−3.5 to 2.6) 156 −0.6 (−3.8 to 2.5) 484 −0.7 (−3.8 to 2.6)
Underweight, WAZ <−2 328 38 (12) 156 21 (13) 484 59 (12)
Temperature, °C 1188 36.5 (34.2–40.3) 653 36.7 (34.3–40.4) 1841 36.6 (34.2–40.4)
Fever, >37.5°C 1207 120 (10) 653 119 (18) 1860 239 (13)
Hemoglobin, g/dL 1688 11.7 (6–18.7) 837 11.7 (6.8–17.8) 2525 11.7 (6–18.7)
Anemia, Hb < 10 g/dL 1688 240 (14) 837 126 (15) 2525 366 (14)
Parasitemia, /µL 1618 560 (0–518 180) 774 1000 (0–432 000) 2392 687.5 (0–518 180)
Hyperparasitemia, >105/µL 1618 103 (6) 774 36 (5) 2392 139 (6)
Presence of gametocytes
 Microscope 833 212 (25) 491 162 (33) 1324 375 (28)
 QT-NASBA 1215 925 (76) 501 385 (77) 1716 1310 (76)
 RT-PCR 525 408 (76) 410 407 (75) 945 715 (76)
Gametocytemia, /µL
 Microscope 132 64 (12–1136) 133 43 (16–3000) 265 48 (12–3000)
 QT-NASBA 871 22.7 (0–32 733.6) 376 32.1 (0–17 944.5) 1247 25.7 (0–32 733.6)
 RT-PCR 249 29.6 (0–4988.8) 172 31.7 (0–6529.5) 421 30.5 (0–6529.5)
G6PD deficient 1581 96 (6) 743 49 (7) 2324 145 (6)
Treatment administered
 Schizontal treatment
  AL 1718 858 (50) 856 420 (49) 2574 1278 (50)
  ASSP 1718 106 (6) 856 106 (12) 2574 212 (8)
  DP 1718 734 (43) 856 310 (36) 2574 1044 (41)
  SPAQ 1718 20 (1) 856 20 (2) 2574 40 (2)
 Dose of primaquine, mg/kg
  0.0625 1718 16 (1)
  0.100 1718 115 (7)
  0.125 1718 25 (1)
  0.200 1718 172 (10)
  0.250 1718 477 (28)
  0.400 1718 474 (28)
  0.500 1718 17 (1)
  0.750 1718 422 (25)

Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; ASSP, artesunate and sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; G6PD, glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase; Hb, hemoglobin; N, number of patients evaluated; n, number of patients in that category; QT-NASBA, quantitative nucleic acid sequence-based amplification; RT-PCR, reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; SPAQ, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine; WAZ, weight-for-age score.

aIncludes 20 patients who received DP and methylene blue and only contributed baseline data from membrane feeding experiments.

The median age of study participants was 9 years (interquartile range [IQR], 5–14) with 19.7% (504/2563) younger than 5 years. Most of the 2574 study participants were treated with artemether-lumefantrine (AL) (1278; 49.7%) or dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) (1044; 40.7%). Other treatments administered included: artesunate-sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (ASSP) (212; 8.3%) and sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine-amodiaquine (SPAQ) (40; 1.6%). At enrolment, 14.5% (366/2525) of patients presented with anemia (hemoglobin level below 10.0 g/dL), 12.8% (239/1860) with fever, and 5.8% (139/2392) had more than 100 000 parasites/µL (Table 1); 12.2% (59/484) of the children <5 years of age were underweight (weight-for-age z-score < −2). The proportion of participants with fever at enrolment was lower in the group of individuals receiving PQ compared to the group that did not receive PQ (9.9% vs 18.2%, respectively); however, the difference was not significant after adjusting for study site (P = .966). Six studies’ protocols excluded individuals with G6PD deficiency (Supplementary Table 1).

Gametocytemia After Treatment in Participants With No Detectable Gametocytes at Baseline

In total, 632 (31.3%) patients presented without detectable gametocytes on enrolment, of whom 481 (76.1%) were assessed weekly for gametocyte carriage during the first 14 days of follow-up. Detectable posttreatment gametocytemia was present in 12.9% (39/302) of patients treated with PQ compared to 19.6% (35/179) of those not treated with PQ (odds ratio [OR], 0.55; confidence interval [95% CI], .32–.96; P = .035, adjusted for study-site random effect) (Supplementary Table 2). The effect of PQ on gametocyte appearance was similar (P = .308) between day 7 (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, .33–1.01; P = .053) and day 14 (OR, 0.30; 95% CI, .14–.63; P = .002).

Gametocytemia After Treatment in Participants With Gametocytes at Baseline

At enrolment, 1754 (68.7%) patients had gametocytes detected by molecular methods. Among those patients treated with PQ, 23.4% (258/1101) had gametocytes detected on day 7 compared to 57.4% (316/551) of those not treated with PQ (OR, 0.22; 95% CI, .17–.28; P < .001). The corresponding proportions of individuals who were still gametocytemic on day 14 were 11.4% (106/931) and 42.9% (202/471), respectively (OR, 0.12; 95% CI, .08–.16; P < .001) (Supplementary Table 2 and Figure 1). In multivariable mixed effects models, gametocyte positivity on day 7 was associated significantly with gametocyte and asexual parasite densities and hemoglobin concentration at baseline (Table 2). Compared to patients treated with DP, those treated with AL were significantly less likely to have gametocytes on day 7 (adjusted OR [AOR], 0.50; 95% CI, .28–.90; P = .021), while those treated with SPAQ were more likely to carry gametocytes (AOR, 16.16; 95% CI, 1.88–139; P = .011). On day 14, only the baseline gametocyte density and antimalarial treatment were associated with gametocyte carriage. After adjustment for these factors, a higher dose of PQ was associated with lower prevalence of gametocyte positivity on days 7 and 14 (AOR, 0.69; 95% CI, .65–.74 and AOR, 0.58; 95% CI, .53–.64 for each 0.1-mg/kg increase in dose, respectively; both P < .001). This dose effect translates to an AOR of 0.40 (95% CI, .34–.46) for day 7 gametocyte carriage and AOR 0.26 (95% CI, .20–.33) for day 14 gametocyte carriage for patients who received 0.25-mg/kg dose of PQ compared to those who did not receive PQ.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Forest plots of difference in proportions of participants with gametocytes (risk difference) on each day of follow-up. Only individuals with gametocytes at enrolment were included. Day 3, heterogeneity χ 2 = 14.90 (df = 8); P = .061; I2 = 46.3. Day 7, heterogeneity χ 2 = 45.75 (df = 8); P < .001; I2 = 82.5%. Day 14, heterogeneity χ 2 = 70.21 (df = 8); P < .001; I2 = 88.6%. Studies were excluded if no data were collected on a specific day, except for study 8, which only included PQ arms (all days), and study 14 (day 3) in which PQ was administered on day 3. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; PQ, primaquine; RD, risk difference.

Table 2.

Multivariable Mixed Effects Logistic Regression for Gametocyte Positivitya on Days 7 and 14 in Patients With Detectable Gametocytemia on Day 0.

Parameter Day 7 Gametocyte Positivity (N = 1509, n = 546) Day 14 Gametocyte Positivity (N = 1316, n = 306)
AOR 95% CI P  Value AOR 95% CI P  Value
PQ dose per 0.1 mg/kg 0.69 .65–.74 <.001 0.58 .53–.64 <.001
Log10 gametocytemiab 1.85 1.61–2.13 <.001 1.87 1.56–2.25 <.001
Hyperparasitemia, >105 parasites/µL 0.28 .15–.53 <.001
Hemoglobin, g/dL 0.85 .78–.92 <.001
Treatment
 DP Reference Reference
 AL 0.50 .28–.90 .021 0.18 .08–.44 <.001
 ASSP 1.20 .45–3.21 .723 0.99 .26–3.80 .983
 SPAQ 16.16 1.88–138.70 .011 1.30 .30–5.72 .726

Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; AOR, adjusted odds ratio; ASSP, artesunate and suphadoxine-pyrimethamine; CI, confidence interval; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; N, number of patients included in the model; n, number of patients with positive outcome; PQ, primaquine; qRT-PCR, quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; SPAQ, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine.

aWhen results from both molecular methods were available, gametocyte density was defined by qRT-PCR.

bIn studies where only gametocyte positivity was determined by a molecular method, density measures by microscopy were included. For patients with positive samples by molecular method and zero microscopy count (n = 230 on day 7 and n = 180 on day 14), density was assumed to be 8 (half of the detection limit by microscopy assuming microscopic quantification against 500 white blood cells or 1/16th of a microliter).

A fractional polynomial model was used to estimate the probability of gametocyte carriage on days 7 and 14 for 1543 individuals receiving different PQ doses with AL or DP (Figure 2). Whilst addition of PQ reduced gametocyte carriage for both ACTs, the rate of decline in gametocyte carriage associated with PQ dose differed between patients treated with AL and DP (test for interaction, P = .010 for day 7 and P < .001 for day 14). Among individuals treated with AL, most of the reduction in gametocyte carriage probability was achieved with the recommended 0.25-mg/kg PQ dose, whereas in individuals treated with DP higher doses of PQ were associated with additional substantial reductions in gametocyte carriage. Administration of a PQ dose of 0.25 mg/kg in patients treated with AL reduced risk of gametocytemia on day 7 to 26.0% (95% CI, 18.7%–34.9%) and on day 14 to 7.6% (95% CI, 4.3%–13.2%) compared to 37.1% (95% CI, 27.6%–47.8%) and 18.2% (95% CI, 11.4%–27.9%) in patients treated with DP, respectively.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Predicted relationship between probability of gametocyte carriage on days 7 (A) and 14 (B) post treatment initiation and PQ dose. The dashed line represents this relationship for individuals treated with AL and the solid line for individuals treated with DP. Shaded areas correspond to 95% confidence intervals. Median values for other variables were assumed. Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; PQ, primaquine.

The risk for gametocyte carriage was significantly higher on day 7 in patients treated with PQ on day 2 or 3 compared to patients treated with PQ on day 0 (AOR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.66–3.69; P < .001, adjusted for covariates in the main analysis; Table 2). However, this difference was not statistically significant by day 14 (AOR, 1.74; 95% CI, .80–3.81; P = .164, adjusted for covariates in the main analysis; Table 2).

Administration of PQ also reduced gametocyte density in those positive on days 7 or 14. Expressed as a proportion of the baseline gametocyte density, gametocyte densities reached median values of 2.0% (interquartile range [IQR], 0.3%–10.2%) relative to baseline by day 7 in PQ-treated individuals compared to 29.8% (IQR, 8.1%–77.4%) in individuals who did not receive PQ (P < .001 Wald test, adjusted for ACT and study). The corresponding values on day 14 were 0.5% (IQR, 0.1%–5.6%) in PQ-treated individuals and 9.6% (IQR, 1.5%–36.0%) in individuals who did not receive PQ (P < .001, Wald test adjusted for ACT and study).

Mosquito Feeding Assays

In the 3 studies undertaking mosquito feeding experiments (Supplementary Table 1 and Supplementary Table 3), participants were treated with either AL (1 study), DP (2 studies), or SPAQ (1 study) and a PQ dose of 0.25 mg/kg was compared to ACT alone in all studies. In 1 of these studies, the 0.40-mg/kg dose was tested, and in another study, PQ doses of 0.0625, 0.125, and 0.50 mg/kg were also administered. These data are presented in Supplementary Table 4.

Among 316 feeding experiments conducted prior to treatment on participants with baseline gametocytemia, 186 (58.9%) infected at least 1 mosquito, with a median of 13.9% (range, 1.2%–96.5%) of mosquitoes infected (Figure 3 and Supplementary Table 4). While the proportion of the infected mosquitoes (in infectious feeds) was similar between the 3 studies (P = .369), the number of noninfectious feeds ranged from 37.8% to 67.9% (P < .001) between studies, with the lowest proportion observed in study 6 (AL/AL + PQ). This study had the lowest baseline gametocytes levels; 79.0% of patients had fewer than 50 gametocytes/µL compared to 24.7% and 42.5% in the other 2 studies.

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Results of membrane feeding experiments on different days of follow-up, in relation to starting treatment (A and C) and time of PQ administration (B and D). Whiskers represent 95% confidence intervals adjusted for clustering within patients (A and B) and within feeding experiments (C and D). Red boxes represent data for PQ arms and blue boxes for arms without PQ administration. This figure includes all data combined from AL, DP, and SPAQ treatment arms. Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; PQ, primaquine; SPAQ, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine.

In patients with confirmed gametocytemia at baseline and at the time of sampling post treatment, 13.2% of feeds (36/272) of those treated with PQ infected at least 1 mosquito, compared to 35.6% (63/177) of non-PQ–treated patients sampled at the same timepoints (Figure 3 and Supplementary Table 4). There were significant differences between studies/treatments: among patients who did not receive PQ, only 1 feed (1/61, 1.6%; days tested 3, 7, 10, and 14) infected any mosquitoes after AL compared to 49.4% (39/79; days tested 1, 2, and 7) for DP and 59.0% (23/39; days tested 1, 2, 6, 7, and 8) for SPAQ. In the PQ arms, the proportion of feeds that infected any mosquitoes was 0.0% (0/83) with AL, 2.6% (1/38) with SPAQ, and 22.2% (35/158) with DP. From day 5 after PQ administration, of 283 feeds only 2 feeds were infectious, both in DP arms with PQ doses of 0.0625 and 0.5 mg/kg.

The risk of a participant infecting at least 1 mosquito and the risk of a feeding mosquito becoming infected were strongly associated with gametocyte density at the time of mosquito feeding (AOR, 8.33; 95% CI, 3.91–17.78 and AOR, 6.58; 95% CI, 4.16–10.40 for 10-fold increases in gametocyte density, respectively) and significantly decreased following PQ treatment (Table 3). The reduction in odds of mosquito infectivity over time associated with PQ dose of 0.25 mg/kg was significantly higher compared to lower doses (0.0625–0.125 mg/kg) (ratio of AORs per day, 17.84; 95% CI, 4.93–64.52; P < .001 for a participant infecting at least 1 mosquito and 10.36; 95% CI, 4.67–22.98; P < .001 for a mosquito becoming infected) and not statistically different from higher doses (0.4–0.5 mg/kg) (P = .433 and P = .070, respectively). With the exception of those treated with AL, the odds did not decrease significantly over time for any of the schizontocidal drugs. A PQ dose of 0.25 mg/kg decreased the risk of infecting at least 1 mosquito practically to zero by day 3 (Figure 4 and Supplementary Figure 2).

Table 3.

Multivariable Mixed Effects Logistic Regression for Probability of a Patient Infecting at Least 1 Mosquito and Probability of a Mosquito Being Infected in Membrane Experiments Conducted on Blood Taken Within 14 Days From Treatment in Patients With Gametocytemia at Baseline and at the Time of Sampling

Parameter Patient Infecting at Least 1 Mosquito (N = 317 Patients, n = 684 Feeds) Mosquito Gets Infected (N = 41 840 Mosquitoes, n = 664 Feeds, 317 Patients)
AORa 95% CI P  Value AORa 95% CI P  Value
Effect of PQ dose over time, per day
 0.0625–0.125 mg/kg 0.50 .31–.81 .004 0.57 .41–.70 .001
 0.25 mg/kg 0.03 .01–.11 <.001 0.05 .03–.12 <.001
 0.4–0.5 mg/kg 0.06 .01–.32 .001 0.18 .06–.54 .002
Effect of treatment over time, per day
 AL 0.56 .36–.87 .010 0.52 .37–.73 <.001
 DP 0.84 .69–1.02 .082 0.96 .83–1.11 .593
 SPAQ 0.97 .76–1.23 .798 0.98 .83–1.16 .807
Log10 gametocytemia at the time of sampling 8.33 3.91–17.78 <.001 6.58 4.16–10.40 <.001

Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; AOR, adjusted odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; PQ, primaquine; SPAQ, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine.

aEstimates also adjusted for study included as a covariate

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Predicted risk of infecting at least 1 mosquito in the membrane feeding experiment, after administration of 0.25-mg/kg dose of PQ (red line) or without PQ administration (blue line). Gametocytemia of 100 gametocytes per microliter was assumed at the time of sampling. Results are presented for patients treated with AL (A) or DP (B). Abbreviations: AL, artemether-lumefantrine; DP, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine; PQ, primaquine.

Risk of Bias

Methodological factors potentially contributing to the risk bias and attrition bias are presented in Supplementary Table 5. Measurement of gametocyte carriage using molecular methods is automated, minimizing the risk of observer bias; laboratory personnel performing molecular assays or dissecting mosquitoes were blinded in all studies. Sensitivity analyses showed that exclusion of any of the studies did not change the main conclusions of the analysis. The effect of PQ dose on gametocyte positivity was estimated as median AOR 0.69 (range, 0.65–0.70) on day 7 and 0.58 (range, 0.54–0.62) on day 14 for a 0.1-mg/kg increase.

The only eligible study for which data were not available for this meta-analysis [8] presented similar findings to results of this analysis. In this study, the addition of a single dose of 45 mg of PQ to DP treatment was associated with increased clearance of gametocytes (measured by PCR) on day 7 and day 14. In the PQ arm, of 24 patients with gametocytes on enrolment, 22 cleared gametocytemia by day 7 and all by day 14, compared to 11 (day 7) and 16 (day 14) of the 22 patients in the DP only arm. In their membrane feeding experiments, no mosquito infections occurred in the PQ arm 1 and 2 weeks post treatment, while in the no-PQ arm 6.9% of feeding mosquitoes were infected on day 7 and 5.0% on day 14.

DISCUSSION

This IPD meta-analysis estimated the effect of PQ as a single dose (ranging from 0.0625 to 0.75 mg/kg) on the transmission potential of falciparum malaria infections, when coadministered with schizonticidal drugs. Our findings confirm the gametocyte clearing and sterilizing effects of single-dose PQ and indicate that both the PQ and the schizonticidal partner drug are important determinants of gametocyte clearance and transmission potential. Regardless of the schizonticidal partner drug, mosquito infections were rarely observed 1 week after administration of PQ; however, only 3 of the 14 studies contributed data to this analysis.

Among currently licensed antimalarials for P. falciparum, PQ is unique in its ability to clear mature gametocytes persisting after ACT treatment. Because the impact of ACTs is largely restricted to immature, developing gametocytes [17], only a small proportion of infections develop gametocytes after ACTs whilst gametocytes that are present prior to treatment may persist [6]. In the current analysis, more than 20% of individuals who were gametocyte negative at enrolment became gametocyte positive by molecular gametocyte detection methods shortly after treatment. Given that gametocytes first appear 8.5–12 days after their asexual progenitors [18] and transcripts specific to mature gametocytes are first observed on day 3 based on the current data, it is likely that this reflects density fluctuations of mature gametocytes already present prior to treatment [19], rather than de novo gametocyte production. In line with this, PQ administration prior to first detection of gametocytes reduced the proportion of patients with gametocytes during follow-up.

Gametocyte kinetics in patients who presented with peripheral gametocytemia were strongly dependent on the schizontocidal treatment administered. Non-ACTs leave gametocytes largely unaffected, with gametocyte kinetics resembling a natural decay, while ACTs are only effective against early gametocytes [2, 20]. Also, ACTs differ markedly in their impact on gametocyte carriage [6, 7, 21], potentially due to the effects of the nonartemisinin partner drugs. Whilst lumefantrine affects gametocytes and their infectivity [22], piperaquine has limited effect on either developing or mature gametocytes [23]. Furthermore, the artemisinin derivative dose recommended by the manufacturer is significantly higher for AL than for DP. In the current pooled analysis, individuals receiving AL were considerably less likely to have gametocytemia on day 14 compared to DP (AOR, 0.18; 95% CI, .08–.44) and considerably less likely to infect mosquitoes. The addition of PQ significantly reduced gametocyte carriage in all treatment groups [24] and did so in a dose-dependent manner [25]. When given in combination with AL, the 0.25-mg/kg WHO-recommended dose reduced gametocyte prevalence 7 days after treatment initiation to 22%, and this reduction is similar to that observed for higher PQ doses (16%, P = .202). For individuals receiving DP, the average gametocyte prevalence reduction for 0.25 mg/kg PQ was only to 39% on day 7 post treatment but higher PQ doses accelerated gametocyte clearance (to 15%, P = .002), and a 0.40-mg/kg PQ dose coadministered with DP achieves a similar effect to a 0.25-mg/kg dose coadministered with AL.

However, gametocyte sterilization may precede gametocyte clearance [26, 27]. In 3 studies included where mosquito infection was used as an endpoint, the effect of PQ on preventing mosquito infection was apparent before gametocytes were fully cleared. Whilst the gametocyte clearing effect of PQ only became apparent on day 7 post initiation of treatment, mosquito infections were already very rare on day 3 following treatment with 0.25 mg/kg PQ. PQ doses below 0.25 mg/kg were associated with higher mosquito infection rates on day 3 whilst doses higher than 0.25 mg/kg did not augment or accelerate the transmission-blocking properties of PQ.

Use scenarios for single-dose PQ include elimination settings and areas threatened by drug resistance [10]. The findings from this meta-analysis, of increased gametocyte clearance and near absence of mosquito infections after administration (only 10/220 individuals who received at least 0.25 mg/kg PQ infected mosquitoes in feeding assays), support PQ deployment in these scenarios. PQ has been coadministered with schizonticides in community-wide treatment campaigns [9, 28, 29], on the assumption that asymptomatic infections constitute a substantial proportion of the human infectious reservoir for malaria in low-endemic settings [30, 31]. However, concerns have been raised regarding the risk to benefit ratio in these settings. A proportion of these populations are likely to be G6PD deficient with a concern that they may be at an increased risk of PQ-induced hemolysis. The WHO-recommended single low dose of PQ has shown no significant risk in recent studies specifically designed to assess safety in this population [14, 15], nor in recent studies primarily designed to determine PQ efficacy [32–34]. Results of an IPD meta-analysis of all available safety data will be published separately (PROSPERO CRD42019128185).

While CYP2D6 activity is essential for the generation of metabolites implicated in hypnozoite-clearance in P. vivax [35, 36], less is known about its potential impact on gametocytocidal or transmission-blocking properties of PQ. Whilst PQ’s gametocytocidal activity may in part be unrelated to cytochrome CYP2D6 activity [36], gametocytes may persist longer after PQ treatment in individuals with low-moderate CYP2D6 activity [37]. A shortcoming of our meta-analysis is that we could not incorporate these possible effects of CYP2D6 metabolizer status on post-PQ gametocyte carriage or transmission. In general, the added value of gametocytocidal drugs in community treatment campaigns continues to be a matter of debate. Mathematical simulations indicate that the fraction of the asymptomatic population that is successfully treated with ACTs is considerably more important for the impact of treatment campaigns than the addition of PQ to ACTs and that impact will depend on transmission intensity [38–40].

This study also highlights SPAQ’s poor ability to clear gametocytes with a considerably higher gametocyte prevalence on day 7 post initiation of treatment compared to DP or AL [41]. Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) using SPAQ is widely deployed across the Sahel region of Africa to reduce malaria morbidity in children younger than 5 years and consists of giving all children SPAQ 3 to 4 times monthly during the transmission season. In scenarios where SMC campaigns are considered in wider age groups, SMC may impact gametocyte carriage [42] and malaria transmission. For such scenarios, our findings suggest that either adding single low-dose PQ to SPAQ or changing to an artemisinin-based combination of drugs may increase SMC impact [3].

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis, based on IPD from clinical trials that were primarily conducted in Africa, supports the use of PQ as a potent gametocytocide and transmission-blocking tool for P. falciparum malaria. Gametocyte carriage and transmission after PQ treatment depend on the schizonticidal drug that PQ is combined with, and PQ doses higher than 0.25 mg/kg may accelerate gametocyte clearance. However, this WHO-recommended dose effectively achieves near-complete reductions in mosquito infections regardless of ACT. Additional clinical trials are necessary to quantify the effect of PQ use at community level; that is, to determine whether the effect of PQ observed in mosquito feeding assays leads to detectable changes in community-wide transmission levels when the drug is systematically used in clusters of transmission.

Supplementary Data

Supplementary materials are available at The Journal of Infectious Diseases online. Consisting of data provided by the authors to benefit the reader, the posted materials are not copyedited and are the sole responsibility of the authors, so questions or comments should be addressed to the corresponding author.

jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_1
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_2
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_3
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_4
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_5
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Figure_1
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Figure_2
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Methods

Notes

Acknowledgments. The authors thank all participating patients and everyone involved in the original studies. We also thank Caitlin Richmond for project management support.

Author contributions. A. D., C. J. D., I. C., P. J. G., R. G., and T. B. conceived the study. A. M. S., A. D., A. C. E., A. E. M., A. B., A. M., B. B. E. S., B. E. N., B. P. G., C. C. D., D. M., G. J. B., I. I. C., J. R., J. M. B., J. O., K. I. B., M. I. A. A., M. R. S., M. E. R., P. S., R. R. M., R. G., S. E. G. E., S. K., T. B., T. K. K., U. D. A., and W. J. R. S. conceived and undertook individual studies and enrolled patients. G. S. H., I. C., E. C., and K. S. conducted systematic review and data pooling. K. S., T. B., B. P. G., C. J. D., I. C., K. I. B., P. J. G., R. N. P., and R. G. analyzed the data and interpreted the results. B. P. G., K. S., and T. B. wrote the first draft of the manuscript. All authors reviewed and edited the manuscript, and read and approved the final manuscript.

Disclaimer . The findings and conclusions presented in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The funders did not participate in the study development, the writing of the paper, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Financial support. This work was supported by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (grant number OPP1089413). The WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network is funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the ExxonMobil Foundation.

Potential conflicts of interest. U. D. A. attended Sanofi meeting in Dakar, 13–14 December 2019, and received consultancy fee, travel, and accommodation reimbursement. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_1
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_2
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_3
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_4
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Table_5
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Figure_1
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Figure_2
jiaa498_suppl_Supplementary_Methods

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