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JHEP Reports logoLink to JHEP Reports
. 2023 Jul 29;5(11):100868. doi: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2023.100868

Trends in hepatocellular carcinoma stage by racial/ethnic group in the United States, 1992–2019

Christian S Alvarez 1, Jennifer Ruhl 2, Gretchen Flynn 3, Barry I Graubard 1, Katherine A McGlynn 1,
PMCID: PMC10550401  PMID: 37799980

Abstract

Background & Aims

Although incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) began to decline in the United States in the past decade, disparities in rates among racial/ethnic groups have persisted. Whether disparities in stage at diagnosis have remained over time, however, is unclear.

Methods

National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program has created a new staging-over-time variable that facilitates the examination of trends in HCC stage. Thus, the proportions of HCCs diagnosed by stage between 1992 and 2019 were examined among non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, and American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) individuals. HCC incidence between 1992 and 2019 was also analysed using Joinpoint regression.

Results

Between 1992 and 2019, the proportion of stage 1 HCCs increased and the proportion of stage 4 HCCs decreased among non-Hispanic White, NHB, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander individuals. Among AI/AN persons, the proportion of stage 1 tumours remained stable, and the proportion of stage 4 tumours declined. In the most recent time period, NHB individuals had the lowest proportions of stage 1 HCCs (32%) and the highest proportion of stage 4 HCCs (20%) of any group. Joinpoint analysis found that HCC incidence began to decline by 2013 among all groups except AI/AN individuals, the only group that had an increase in incidence.

Conclusions

Despite generally favourable trends in HCC stage and incidence rates, disparities remain. NHB persons continue to have less favourable stages at diagnosis, and incidence rates continue to increase among AI/AN persons.

Impact and implications

HCC incidence rates among most United States racial/ethnic groups began to decline in recent years, but whether stage at diagnosis also improved was unclear. As a result, a new SEER stage variable was used to examine stage trends by race/ethnicity. Although the finding of generally favourable trends in stage as well as incidence is encouraging, continuity disparities in both stage and incidence require serious attention.

Keywords: Carcinomas, Hepatocellular, Neoplasm staging, Trends, US population, Race/ethnicity

Graphical abstract

graphic file with name ga1.jpg

Highlights

  • From 1992–2019, the proportion of stage 1 HCCs increased and the proportion of stage 4 HCCs decreased among all racial/ethnic groups except American Indians/Alaska Natives.

  • Among American Indians/Alaska Natives, the proportion of stage 1 HCCs remained stable, and the proportion of stage 4 HCCs declined.

  • Non-Hispanic Black persons had the lowest proportion of stage 1 HCCs and the highest proportion of stage 4 HCCs of any racial/ethnic group.

  • Incidence rates of HCC have continued to decline for all racial/ethnic groups except American Indians/Alaska Natives.

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterised by sex and racial/ethnic disparities in the USA.1 Our previous reports from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) cancer registries have shown that HCC rates began to decline among both sexes and most racial/ethnic groups in the past decade.2,3 However, differences in rates among groups have continued to persist.2 In addition, differences in HCC stage at diagnosis have been reported by some studies.4 HCC staging criteria have changed over time, however, thus suggesting that previous temporal analyses might have been misleading. The development of new SEER staging-over-time variables has enabled us to examine HCC stage by race/ethnicity and sex between 1992 and 2019 in the United States population.

Materials and methods

Data on HCC incidence, including the new staging-over-time variable, were retrieved from the SEER-12 database for 1992–2019.5 To derive the new variable, SEER harmonised T, N, and M definitions with data on histology, tumour size, regional nodes positivity, summary stage, and other items. HCCs were identified using the International Classification of Disease for Oncology, third edition, topography code C22 and morphology codes 8170-8174 (code 8175 was not eligible for TNM staging per the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition6 guidelines). Single HCC counts were grouped into seven 4-year periods. Proportions of cases diagnosed at stages 1 through 4, and an unknown stage, were calculated by sex and race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White [NHW], non-Hispanic Black [NHB], Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander [API], and American Indian/Alaska Native [AI/AN] [purchased/referred care delivery area only]). 95% CIs for each proportion were estimated using a binomial distribution. In addition, age-standardised incidence rates (ASRs) were calculated by race/ethnicity and sex for the entire study period, and trends in incidence were analysed using Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percent change (APC). All rates were adjusted using the direct method to the 2000 United States standard population (19 age groups).

Results

Between 1992–1995 and 2016–2019, favourable trends in stage distribution were seen among NHW, NHB, Hispanic, and API persons (Table 1). Among these groups, the proportion of HCCs diagnosed at stage 1 increased, whereas the proportions diagnosed at stages 2 and 3 remained stable, and the proportions diagnosed at stage 4 decreased. The largest increase in stage 1, from 20% (95% CI 18–23%) to 39% (95% CI 38–41%), was observed among API persons. The greatest decrease in stage 4 HCCs, from 21 to 14%, was seen among Hispanic persons (Fig. S1). Despite the favourable trends among these groups, in the most recent time period, NHB persons had a lower proportion of stage 1 HCCs (32%) and a higher proportion of stage 4 HCCs (20%) than the other three groups.

Table 1.

Stage-specific proportions and 95% CIs of hepatocellular carcinomas overall and by sex and race/ethnicity in the USA, SEER-12 registries with specialised staging over time fields, 1992–2019.

All Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Stage 4
Stage unknown
Cases % 95% CI Cases % 95% CI Cases % 95% CI Cases % 95% CI Cases % 95% CI
Non-Hispanic White 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
381
506
756
1,033
1,500
2,052
2,067
22
23
30
31
33
38
39
(20% 24%)
(21% 25%)
(28% 31%)
(29% 32%)
(31% 34%)
(36% 39%)
(38% 41%)
228
385
499
733
1,015
1,157
950
13
18
20
22
22
21
18
(12% 15%)
(16% 19%)
(18% 21%)
(20% 23%)
(21% 23%)
(20% 22%)
(17% 19%)
248
328
430
545
835
973
917
14
15
17
16
18
18
17
(13% 16%)
(14% 17%)
(15% 18%)
(15% 17%)
(17% 19%)
(17% 19%)
(16% 18%)
336
420
465
609
803
825
843
20
19
18
18
18
15
16
(18% 21%)
(18% 21%)
(17% 20%)
(17% 19%)
(16% 19%)
(14% 16%)
(15% 17%)
520
537
396
459
427
461
495
30
25
16
14
9
8
9
(28% 33%)
(23% 26%)
(14% 17%)
(12% 15%)
(8% 10%)
(8% 9%)
(9% 10%)
Non-Hispanic Black 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
57
80
124
247
345
488
439
19
18
21
28
31
35
32
(14% 23%)
(15% 22%)
(18% 25%)
(25% 31%)
(28% 33%)
(33% 38%)
(30% 35%)
40
93
119
177
225
263
224
13
21
21
20
20
19
16
(9% 17%)
(17% 25%)
(17% 24%)
(17% 23%)
(18% 22%)
(17% 21%)
(14% 18%)
55
79
119
181
232
272
295
18
18
21
20
21
20
22
(14% 22%)
(14% 22%)
(17% 24%)
(18% 23%)
(18% 23%)
(17% 22%)
(19% 24%)
72
99
125
208
218
251
273
24
23
22
23
19
18
20
(19% 28%)
(19% 26%)
(18% 25%)
(21% 26%)
(17% 22%)
(16% 20%)
(18% 22%)
81
89
92
73
105
116
136
27
20
16
8
9
8
10
(22% 32%)
(16% 24%)
(13% 19%)
(6% 10%)
(8% 11%)
(7% 10%)
(8% 12%)
Hispanic 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
120
206
333
519
728
1,051
1,038
22
24
28
31
32
37
36
(19% 26%)
(22% 27%)
(26% 31%)
(28% 33%)
(30% 34%)
(35% 39%)
(34% 37%)
91
152
256
360
517
573
568
17
18
22
21
23
20
19
(14% 20%)
(15% 21%)
(19% 24%)
(19% 23%)
(21% 24%)
(19% 22%)
(18% 21%)
71
122
185
308
373
465
473
13
14
16
18
16
16
16
(10% 16%)
(12% 17%)
(14% 18%)
(16% 20%)
(15% 18%)
(15% 18%)
(15% 18%)
113
157
194
297
368
406
412
21
19
17
17
16
14
14
(17% 24%)
(16% 21%)
(14% 19%)
(16% 19%)
(15% 18%)
(13% 16%)
(13% 15%)
145
205
207
217
287
349
427
27
24
18
13
13
12
15
(23% 31%)
(21% 27%)
(15% 20%)
(11% 14%)
(11% 14%)
(11% 13%)
(13% 16%)
Asian/Pacific Islander 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
229
342
504
720
870
1,057
993
20
23
27
32
34
40
39
(18% 23%)
(21% 25%)
(25% 29%)
(30% 34%)
(32% 36%)
(38% 41%)
(38% 41%)
192
302
395
483
509
459
397
17
20
22
21
20
17
16
(15% 19%)
(18% 22%)
(20% 23%)
(20% 23%)
(18% 22%)
(16% 19%)
(14% 17%)
225
324
404
480
511
526
525
20
22
22
21
20
20
21
(18% 22%)
(19% 24%)
(20% 24%)
(20% 23%)
(19% 22%)
(18% 21%)
(19% 22%)
188
272
292
350
356
383
348
17
18
16
16
14
14
14
(14% 19%)
(16% 20%)
(14% 18%)
(14% 17%)
(13% 15%)
(13% 16%)
(12% 15%)
295
266
242
221
297
250
251
26
18
13
10
12
9
10
(24% 29%)
(16% 20%)
(12% 15%)
(9% 11%)
(10% 13%)
(8% 10%)
(9% 11%)
American Indian/Alaska Native 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
15
15
30
35
63
94
90
32
34
40
28
34
43
35
(19% 45%)
(20% 48%)
(29% 51%)
(20% 36%)
(27% 41%)
(36% 49%)
(29% 41%)
6
10
9
33
30
40
56
13
23
12
26
16
18
22
(3% 22%)
(10% 35%)
(5% 19%)
(19% 34%)
(11% 22%)
(13% 23%)
(17% 27%)
9
6
16
18
30
39
31
19
14
21
14
16
18
12
(8% 30%)
(3% 24%)
(12% 31%)
(8% 21%)
(11% 22%)
(13% 23%)
(8% 16%)
11
≤5
12
20
35
29
33
23
9
16
16
19
13
13
(11% 36%)
(1% 18%)
(8% 24%)
(10% 22%)
(13% 25%)
(9% 18%)
(9% 17%)
6
9
8
19
26
19
47
13
20
11
15
14
9
18
(3% 22%)
(9% 32%)
(4% 18%)
(9% 21%)
(9% 19%)
(5% 12%)
(14% 23%)

Men

Non-Hispanic White 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
278
362
547
786
1,157
1,575
1,558
22
23
29
30
32
36
38
(20% 25%)
(21% 25%)
(27% 31%)
(28% 32%)
(30% 33%)
(35% 38%)
(36% 39%)
169
285
388
572
797
933
753
14
18
20
22
22
21
18
(12% 15%)
(16% 20%)
(19% 22%)
(20% 23%)
(21% 23%)
(20% 23%)
(17% 19%)
173
236
327
432
666
806
728
14
15
17
16
18
19
18
(12% 16%)
(13,% .17%)
(15% 19%)
(15% 18%)
(17% 20%)
(17% 20%)
(17% 19%)
254
328
355
486
653
662
690
20
21
19
18
18
15
17
(18% 23%)
(19% 23%)
(17% 20%)
(17% 20%)
(17% 19%)
(14% 16%)
(16% 18%)
376
386
286
356
347
365
388
30
24
15
14
10
8
9
(28% 33%)
(22% 26%)
(13% 17%)
(12% 15%)
(9% 11%)
(8% 9%)
(9% 10%)
Non-Hispanic Black 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
39
50
85
184
255
358
312
17
16
19
27
29
33
31
(13% 22%)
(12% 20%)
(15% 23%)
(24% 30%)
(26% 32%)
(31% 36%)
(28% 33%)
33
66
93
136
187
198
167
15
21
21
20
21
19
16
(13% 17%)
(19% 23%)
(19% 22%)
(18% 21%)
(20% 23%)
(17% 20%)
(15% 18%)
46
64
91
137
187
217
216
21
20
20
20
21
20
21
(18% 23%)
(18% 22%)
(18% 22%)
(18% 21%)
(20% 23%)
(19% 21%)
(20% 22%)
48
70
105
170
182
206
211
22
22
23
25
21
19
21
(19% 24%)
(20% 24%)
(21% 25%)
(23% 26%)
(19% 22%)
(18% 20%)
(19% 22%)
57
66
76
59
70
91
114
26
21
17
9
8
9
11
(23% 28%)
(19% 23%)
(15% 19%)
(8% 10%)
(7% 9%)
(8% 9%)
(10% 12%)
Hispanic 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
75
134
233
360
536
733
702
17
16
19
27
29
33
31
(15% 23%)
(19% 25%)
(24% 30%)
(26% 30%)
(29% 33%)
(33% 37%)
(31% 35%)
68
120
187
288
388
423
416
17
20
22
22
23
20
19
(14% 20%)
(17% 22%)
(19% 24%)
(20% 24%)
(21% 24%)
(18% 22%)
(18% 21%)
56
84
148
236
299
363
367
14
14
17
18
17
17
17
(12% 16%)
(12% 16%)
(15% 19%)
(16% 20%)
(16% 19%)
(16% 19%)
(15% 19%)
89
123
140
242
291
319
323
22
20
16
19
17
15
15
(19% 25%)
(18% 23%)
(14% 18%)
(17% 21%)
(15% 19%)
(14% 17%)
(13% 17%)
110
148
158
158
209
265
330
28
24
18
12
12
13
15
(25% 31%)
(22% 27%)
(16% 20%)
(11% 14%)
(11% 14%)
(11% 14%)
(14% 17%)
Asian/Pacific Islander 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
163
251
319
495
587
714
689
20
23
24
30
32
37
38
(17% 23%)
(21% 26%)
(22% 27%)
(28% 33%)
(30% 34%)
(35% 39%)
(35% 40%)
139
213
287
351
359
343
298
17
20
22
22
20
18
16
(3% 31%)
(4% 35%)
(11% 33%)
(13% 30%)
(13% 27%)
(12% 24%)
(11% 22%)
164
240
305
373
385
398
395
20
22
23
23
21
21
22
(5% 35%)
(6% 38%)
(12% 35%)
(14% 32%)
(14% 28%)
(14% 27%)
(16% 28%)
134
203
229
269
285
313
267
16
19
18
17
16
16
15
(2% 30%)
(3% 34%)
(7% 28%)
(9% 24%)
(9% 22%)
(10% 22%)
(9% 20%)
214
183
168
142
201
158
183
26
17
13
9
11
8
10
(10% 43%)
(2% 31%)
(4% 22%)
(3% 15%)
(6% 16%)
(4% 13%)
(6% 14%)
American Indian/Alaska Native 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
8
8
23
24
50
56
55
30
32
43
28
38
37
31
(12% 47%)
(14% 50%)
(30% 57%)
(18% 37%)
(30% 47%)
(30% 45%)
(24% 37%)
≤5
6
≤5
23
19
29
44
19
24
9
26
15
19
25
(13% 24%)
(19% 29%)
(7% 12%)
(23% 30%)
(12% 17%)
(17% 22%)
(22% 27%)
≤5
≤5
13
12
18
31
23
15
12
25
14
14
21
13
(10% 19%)
(8% 16%)
(21% 29%)
(11% 16%)
(12% 16%)
(18% 23%)
(11% 15%)
8
≤5
7
16
29
24
25
30
8
13
18
22
16
14
(24% 36%)
(5% 11%)
(10% 16%)
(15% 21%)
(20% 25%)
(14% 18%)
(12% 16%)
≤5
6
≤5
12
14
10
32
7
24
9
14
11
7
18
(4% 11%)
(19% 29%)
(7% 12%)
(11% 16%)
(9% 13%)
(5% 8%)
(16% 20%)

Women
Non-Hispanic White 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
103
144
209
247
343
477
509
22
25
33
33
36
42
44
(18% 26%)
(21% 28%)
(29% 36%)
(30% 36%)
(33% 39%)
(39% 45%)
(41% 47%)
59
100
111
161
218
224
197
13
17
17
22
23
20
17
(10% 16%)
(14% 20%)
(14% 20%)
(19% 25%)
(20% 25%)
(18% 22%)
(15% 19%)
75
92
103
113
169
167
189
16
16
16
15
18
15
16
(13% 20%)
(13% 19%)
(13% 19%)
(13% 18%)
(15% 20%)
(13% 17%)
(14% 18%)
82
92
110
123
150
163
153
18
16
17
16
16
14
13
(14% 21%)
(13% 19%)
(14% 20%)
(14% 19%)
(13% 18%)
(12% 17%)
(11% 15%)
144
151
110
103
80
96
107
31
26
17
14
8
9
9
(27% 35%)
(23% 30%)
(14% 20%)
(11% 16%)
(7% 10%)
(7% 10%)
(8% 11%)
Non-Hispanic Black 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
18
30
39
63
90
130
127
22
24
30
32
37
41
37
(13% 31%)
(17% 32%)
(22% 38%)
(25% 38%)
(31% 43%)
(35% 46%)
(32% 42%)
7
27
26
41
38
65
57
9
22
20
21
16
20
16
(2% 15%)
(15% 29%)
(13% 27%)
(15% 26%)
(11% 20%)
(16% 25%)
(13% 20%)
9
15
28
44
45
55
79
11
12
22
22
18
17
23
(4% 18%)
(6% 18%)
(15% 29%)
(16% 28%)
(14% 23%)
(13% 21%)
(18% 27%)
24
29
20
38
36
45
62
29
23
16
19
15
14
18
(19% 39%)
(16% 31%)
(9% 22%)
(14% 24%)
(10% 19%)
(10% 18%)
(14% 22%)
24
23
16
14
35
25
22
29
19
12
7
14
8
6
(19% 39%)
(12% 25%)
(7% 18%)
(3% 11%)
(10% 19%)
(5% 11%)
(4% 9%)
Hispanic 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
45
72
100
159
192
318
336
32
31
32
38
35
43
43
(24% 39%)
(25% 37%)
(27% 38%)
(33% 43%)
(31% 39%)
(39% 46%)
(40% 47%)
23
32
69
72
129
150
152
16
14
22
17
23
20
19
(10% 22%)
(9% 18%)
(18% 27%)
(14% 21%)
(20% 27%)
(17% 23%)
(17% 22%)
15
38
37
72
74
102
106
11
16
12
17
13
14
14
(6% 16%)
(12% 21%)
(8% 16%)
(14% 21%)
(11% 16%)
(11% 16%)
(11% 16%)
24
34
54
55
77
87
89
17
15
17
13
14
12
11
(11% 23%)
(10% 19%)
(13% 22%)
(10% 16%)
(11% 17%)
(9% 14%)
(9% 14%)
35
57
49
59
78
84
97
25
24
16
14
14
11
12
(18% 32%)
(19% 30%)
(12% 20%)
(11% 17%)
(11% 17%)
(9% 14%)
(10% 15%)
Asian/Pacific Islander 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
66
91
185
225
283
343
304
21
22
35
36
39
46
45
(16% 25%)
(18% 26%)
(31% 39%)
(32% 40%)
(35% 43%)
(42% 49%)
(41% 48%)
53
89
108
132
150
116
99
17
21
20
21
21
15
15
(13% 21%)
(17% 25%)
(17% 24%)
(18% 24%)
(18% 24%)
(13% 18%)
(12% 17%)
61
84
99
107
126
128
130
19
20
19
17
17
17
19
(15% 24%)
(16% 24%)
(15% 22%)
(14% 20%)
(15% 20%)
(14% 20%)
(16% 22%)
54
69
63
81
71
70
81
17
17
12
13
10
9
12
(13% 21%)
(13% 20%)
(9% 15%)
(10% 16%)
(8% 12%)
(7% 11%)
(9% 14%)
≤5
≤5
≤5
7
12
9
15
26
20
14
13
13
12
10
(21% 31%)
(16% 24%)
(11% 17%)
(10% 15%)
(11% 16%)
(10% 15%)
(8% 12%)
American Indian/Alaska Native 1992–1995
1996–1999
2000–2003
2004–2007
2008–2011
2012–2015
2016–2019
7
7
7
11
13
38
35
35
37
32
29
24
54
45
(14% 56%)
(15% 59%)
(12% 51%)
(15% 43%)
(13% 35%)
(42% 65%)
(34% 56%)
≤5
≤5
≤5
10
11
11
12
5
21
18
26
20
15
15
(0% 15%)
(3% 39%)
(2% 34%)
(12% 40%)
(10% 31%)
(7% 24%)
(7% 23%)
≤5
≤5
≤5
6
12
8
8
25
16
14
16
22
11
10
(6% 44%)
(0% 32%)
(0% 28%)
(4% 27%)
(11% 33%)
(4% 19%)
(4% 17%)
≤5
≤5
≤5
≤5
6
≤5
8
15
11
23
11
11
7
10
(0% 31%)
(0% 24%)
(5% 40%)
(1% 20%)
(3% 19%)
(1% 13%)
(4% 17%)
≤5
≤5
≤5
7
12
9
15
20
16
14
18
22
13
19
(2% 38%)
(0% 32%)
(0% 28%)
(6% 31%)
(11% 33%)
(5% 20%)
(10% 28%)

SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results.

HCC stage trends among AI/AN persons were less favourable than those among the other four groups. The proportion of stage 1 disease remained stable, whereas the proportion of stage 2 HCCs increased from 13% (95% CI 3–22%) to 22% (95% CI 17–27%). The proportions of stages 3 and 4 HCCs both declined, from 19% (95% CI 8–30%) to 12% (95% CI 8–16%) and from 23% (95% CI 11–36%) to 13% (95% CI 9–17%), respectively. Even with less favourable trends, however, AI/AN persons still had a higher proportion of stage 1 HCCs (35%; 95% CI 29–41%) and a lower proportion of stage 4 HCCs (13%; 95% CI 9–17%) than did NHB persons.

Stratification by sex found that API women had the largest increase in stage 1 HCC, from 21% (95% CI 16–25%) to 45% (95% CI 41–48%), whereas the greatest decrease in stage 4 HCC, from 29% (95% CI 19–39%) to 18% (95% CI 14–22%), was observed among NHB women. No reduction in stage 4 HCC was observed among NHB or API men.

The Joinpoint regression analyses found that HCC incidence rates significantly declined between 2015 and 2019 (APC -4.6%) (Table S1). The decline occurred in both sexes, but the decrease was greater among men (APC2015–2019 -5.4%) than among women (APC2013–2019 -2.8%). Significant declines in incidence rates were observed among API (APC2010-2019 -4.6%), Hispanic (APC2012–2019 -2.9%), and NHW individuals (APC2013-2019 -2.7%). Although a slight decline (APC2009–2019 -1.0%) was observed among NHB persons, the result was not statistically significant. In contrast to the trends among the other groups, rates among AI/AN persons significantly increased (APC1992–2019 4.0%). In 2019, HCC incidence rates were highest in AI/AN persons (ASR 12.12), followed by Hispanic persons (ASR 9.33).

Discussion

Our findings, using the new SEER staging-over-time variable, are consistent with some, but not all, prior analyses of racial/ethnic differences in SEER data. For example, a previous study in which HCC stage was categorised as local, regional, distant, and unstaged did not examine trends over time, but it did report that NHB persons had the highest proportion of distant-stage HCC during the period 2000–2015.7 The finding of NHB persons being less likely than other groups to have early-stage disease has been replicated in a number of other studies, as reported by a recent meta-analysis.8 In contrast, a study that used SEER data to examine HCC stage between 2004 and 2019 reported that although local-stage HCC significantly declined in all groups, distant-stage HCC increased among NHW persons between 2014 and 2019.5 This finding could differ from that of the current study owing to less precise stage data than are available in the new staging-over-time variable.

Although the current study found favourable HCC stage trends among most groups, differences in stage among the groups were evident. These differences could be related to disparities in surveillance. A recent study reported that NHB persons were less likely than other groups to be screened for HCC, whereas persons with HBV infection were more likely to be screened.9 As HBV has been a dominant risk factor among API persons, screening in this group may be substantially more likely.10

In conclusion, although favourable trends in HCC stage were seen for many racial/ethnic groups, differences in the stage distribution of HCC were apparent. Particular attention should be paid to rectifying the lower proportion of stage 1 disease and higher proportion of stage 4 disease among NHB persons and the less favourable trends in stage seen among AI/AN persons. Efforts to reduce the HCC burden among all segments of the American population are clearly warranted.

Financial support

This study was supported by the NIH Intramural Research Program.

Authors’ contributions

Conception: KAM. Data analysis: CSA. Data acquisition: JR. Data manipulation: GF. Supervision: BIG, KAM. Writing of the manuscript: CSA. Editing of the manuscript: CSA. Reading of the manuscript: GF. Reviewing of the manuscript: JR, GF, BIG, KAM.

Data availability statement

Data used in this study are publicly available at www.seer.cancer.gov. SEER∗Stat Database: Incidence – SEER Research Data, 12 Registries, Nov 2021 Sub (1992–2019).

Conflicts of Interest

None of the authors have any conflicts of interest.

Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details.

Footnotes

Author names in bold designate shared co-first authorship

Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhepr.2023.100868.

Supplementary data

The following are the supplementary data to this article.

Multimedia component 1
mmc1.pdf (185.1KB, pdf)
Multimedia component 2
mmc2.docx (35.2KB, docx)
Multimedia component 3
mmc3.pdf (347.1KB, pdf)
Multimedia component 4
mmc4.pdf (584.7KB, pdf)

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Multimedia component 1
mmc1.pdf (185.1KB, pdf)
Multimedia component 2
mmc2.docx (35.2KB, docx)
Multimedia component 3
mmc3.pdf (347.1KB, pdf)
Multimedia component 4
mmc4.pdf (584.7KB, pdf)

Data Availability Statement

Data used in this study are publicly available at www.seer.cancer.gov. SEER∗Stat Database: Incidence – SEER Research Data, 12 Registries, Nov 2021 Sub (1992–2019).


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