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PLOS Global Public Health logoLink to PLOS Global Public Health
. 2024 Jan 11;4(1):e0001993. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001993

The increasing trend in the consumption of ultra-processed food products is associated with a diet related to chronic diseases in Colombia—Evidence from national nutrition surveys 2005 and 2015

Gustavo Cediel 1,*, Elisa María Cadena 2, Pamela Vallejo 3, Diego Gaitán 1, Fabio Da Silva Gomes 4
Editor: Leonor Guariguata5
PMCID: PMC10783756  PMID: 38206894

Abstract

Introduction

Ultra-processed food products (UPF) have been related to chronic diseases (CD). Public health politics has been establishing strategies to decrease the consumption of these products in the country.

Objectives

i) To assess the trend of the consumption of UPF between 2005 and 2015. (ii) its association with sociodemographic factors and the overall dietary content of nutrients related to CD in 2015. (iii) to estimate the Population Attributable Fraction of unhealthy nutrient intake in Colombia in 2015 due to ultra-processed food consumption.

Methods

We used data from the first (2005) and the last (2015) National Surveys of the Nutritional Status in Colombia. Food consumption was assessed using a 24-hour food recall. The NOVA classification classified the food items according to the extent and purpose of industrial processing.

Results

The consumption of processed and UPF increased in Colombia between 2005 and 2015. In 2015, no significant differences were found in the consumption of UPF between men and women but significant differences by age, wealth index, area of residence, and ethnicity (p<0.001). A significant positive association was found between the dietary share of UPF and the content of CD-related nutrients such as free sugars, total fats, saturated fats, trans-fats, and sodium. The prevalence of excessive intake of all CD-related nutrients (according to WHO recommendations) increased across quintiles of the dietary share of UPF. With the reduction of UPF consumption to the level seen among the 20% lowest consumers [1.0% (0–4.5%) of the total energy from UPF], the prevalence of excessive nutrient intake was almost three-fourths lower for trans fats; around one third lower for free sugar and saturated fats, 26% lower for sodium and 15% lower for total fat.

Conclusions

In Colombia, the increasing trend in the consumption of UPF is associated with increasing intake of CD-related nutrients. Thus, reducing the consumption of UPF is a potentially effective way to achieve the nutritional goals of the WHO for the prevention of CD.

Introduction

Ultra-processed food products (UPF) are industrial formulations made from substances derived from foods or synthesized from other organic sources. Usually, they contain little or no natural foods, high fat, sodium, or sugar content, and low content of dietary fiber, water, protein, micronutrients, and bioactive compounds [1]. These products dominate the food system in developed countries, contributing almost 60% of the total energy consumed in the United States [2] and the United Kingdom [3] and 50% in Canada [4]. The evidence in several countries shows that consumption of UPF generates a dietary pattern related to worsening diet quality and the presence of obesity and chronic diseases (CD) [5]. Given this evidence, efforts to reduce the intake of these products and nutrients related to CD through regulatory policies have been promoted in the region of the Americas [6, 7].

The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported a growing trend in the sales of UPFs in Latin America, with a 26% increase between 2000 and 2013. In Colombia a similar increase of 25% over the same period was observed [8]. Additionally, analysis of food consumption at the national level in 2005 showed that 15.9% of the energy consumed by the population of Colombia came from UPF [9]. The highest consumption was observed among adolescents, with UPF contributing 20.3% to the total daily energy intake [10, 11].

Data from Euromonitor International show an annual percentage growth of more than 6.0% in sales of all types of UPF in Colombia [12]. The relative increase in sales within such product categories was higher in developing countries, including Colombia, than in industrialized countries between 1998 and 2012. Other Latin American countries, such as Brazil, Chile, and Mexico, have found substantial incorporation of UPF in the diets of their populations, with 21.5% in 2008–2009, 28.6% in 2010, and 30% in 2012, respectively [1315]. These trends suggest that the population of Colombia, as in neighboring countries, is vulnerable to a dramatic increase in UPF consumption.

In concordance, evidence shows how the corporative food regime has been established in Colombia since 1990 [16, 17]. In the context of increasing foreign investment of food manufacturing companies, expanding the presence of UPF in diets and food systems, and growing trends in obesity and CD [18], it is crucial to know the pattern and direction of consumption of these UPF in Colombia. Due to this background, the objectives of this work are: i) to assess the trend consumption of ultra-processed foods between 2005 and 2015, (ii) its association with sociodemographic factors and the overall dietary content of nutrients related to CD in 2015, (iii) and to estimate the Population Attributable Fraction of unhealthy nutrient intake in Colombia in 2015 due to ultra-processed food consumption.

Methods

Data source

This cross-sectional analysis used secondary data from the first (2005) and last National Survey (2015) of the Nutritional Situation of Colombia with consumption data collected with a 24-hour recall technique (ENSIN 2005 and 2015) and the National Demographic and Health Survey of Colombia (ENDS, 2005 and 2015). ENSIN data were combined with ENDS data to link food consumption with demographic information at the individual level. The size and design of the sample were carried out to calculate the estimates of proportion and prevalence, as well as statistical models to evaluate associations [19, 20].

The dietary data within ENSIN were obtained using one 24-hour recall, administered by the interviewer, in ages between age >1y and 64 years for both sexes. The 24-hour recall captured data from random weekdays and weekends. Interviewers used standardized food models to improve the accuracy of the amount and weight of food and beverages consumed. Information on the food type, the preparation’s name, ingredients, and the amount consumed were recorded. The person responsible for preparing the food was present during the interview. In the cases in which the food consumed by a child was at school or in a daycare center, the interviewer visited the school to obtain detailed information on the preparations. The data quality was controlled throughout the process, and the interview was repeated in case of inconsistencies [19, 20].

Food classification according to processing

Food items from the two surveys were classified into one of four NOVA categories. The categories are mutually exclusive and vary depending on their extent and purpose of processing. They include 1) unprocessed or minimally processed foods, 2) processed culinary ingredients, 3) processed foods, and 4) ultra-processed products [1, 21]. Foods were categorized into one of 33 subgroups within the NOVA 4 groups (based in previous publication about diet in Colombia). In 5.6% of the cases, it was not possible to break down the typical culinary preparations into their constituent ingredients (for example, "Cooked lasagna pasta," "Arepa de chocolo," "Tamal"). They were classified as minimally processed foods in the ’freshly prepared food’ category, and those ready-to-eat fried, sweet or savory preparations were classified as processed foods (e.g., "buñuelos," "desserts," "fried empanadas").

Assessing energy and nutrient intake

The energy content and CD-related nutrients (i.e., free sugars, total fats, saturated fats, trans fats, and sodium) in consumed foods were obtained from the Colombian Food Composition Table [19, 20] or the nutrient fact panels obtained from Colombian packaged foods. The nutritional information from packaged foods was collected in diverse supermarket chains in Colombia. Free sugars were estimated using the algorithm proposed by the nutrient profile model launched by the Pan American Health Organization [6]. The World Health Organization (WHO) nutrient intake goals were used to determine the prevalence of excessive intake of CD-related nutrients: > = 10% K.J. of total energy intake for free sugars, > = 30% K.J. of total energy intake for total fats, > = 10% K.J. of total energy intake for saturated fats, > = 1% K.J. of total energy intake for trans fats, and > = 2000 mg/8372 KJ for sodium [7, 22, 23].

Sociodemographic characteristics

The sociodemographic characteristics available within ENDS included sex, age category (less than one y, 1-4y, 5-12y, 13-17y, 18-26y, 27-49y, 50-64y and pregnant woman), ethnicity (indigenous, Black/ Mulatto/Afro-Colombian and other ethnicities identified by self-reporting), area (urban/rural) and the wealth index makes it possible to compare the household economic conditions considering three aspects: Asset ownership, availability of utilities and home construction materials. The information was collected by a questionnaire sent to adult family members and households [20].

Ethics statement

The research protocols have international and national endorsement from ethics committees in investigation and contemplated the return of the sampling results to the participants in ENSIN 2005 and 2015. The name of the Ethics Committees, the numbers or a statement that approval was granted by the named board(s), and a report that formal consent was obtained from the parent/guardian (including whether it was verbal or written) OR the reason consent is presented anonymously and confidentially in these technical reports [19, 20].

Data analysis

First, we estimated the mean contribution to the total energy intake of each of the NOVA groups and subgroups, and a combination of groups in the consumption of culinary preparations combining energy intake from unprocessed or minimally processed foods and processed culinary ingredients, and of ready-to-eat food products (processed and UPF), to evaluate a proxy of consumption behavior by dietary patterns, in 2005 and 2015. Second, we estimated the mean content of CD-related nutrients (i.e., nutrients of which excessive intake according to the WHO thresholds has been linked to CD: energy density (KJ/g), free sugars (% of total energy intake), total fats (% of total energy intake), saturated fats (% of total energy intake), trans fats (% of total energy intake) and sodium (mg/8372 KJ)). It was done in the overall Colombian diet and two population diet fractions, one restricted to UPF items and the other limited to non-UPF items (unprocessed or minimally processed foods, processed culinary ingredients, and processed foods).

Third, we estimated the mean content of nutrients related to CD in the overall diet across quintiles of the dietary share of UPF. Linear regression models were used to test linear trends across quintiles. Crude- and sociodemographic-adjusted beta regression coefficients (β) were estimated to allow comparisons across variables with different measuring units. Fourth, we analyzed the association between the dietary share of ultra-processed foods (quintiles) and the frequency of dietary nutrient inadequacies using Poisson regression models, where the status of each individual regarding dietary inadequacy on each nutrient is the outcome variable (No: 0; Yes: 1) and quintiles of the dietary share of UPF (1–5) are the explanatory variable. Fifth, adjusted linear regression analyses were performed with sociodemographic indicators and all NOVA categories.

Finally, population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated to estimate the reduction in the prevalence of excessive intake of nutrients that, according to the WHO thresholds, has been linked to CD if the consumption of ultra-processed foods in Colombia was the one seen in the 20% lowest consumers of ultra-processed foods (the first quintile). The dietary share of ultra-processed foods among these consumers (n = 6820) represented 1.0% of total energy intake ranging from 0% to 4.5%. PAFs were calculated using the following equation:

PAF=PPq1P

P is the prevalence of nutrient inadequacy in the population, and Pq1 is in the first quintile of ultra-processed food consumption. The analysis of the "Taylor series linearization variance approximation procedure" was used for variance estimation in all analyses to account for the complex sample design and the sample weights. Data were analyzed using the Stata 15. Excel was used for Figures.

Results

In 2015, all foods and beverages’ average daily energy intake was 8150 KJ. Natural or minimally processed foods accounted for 59.2% of total energy intake, processed culinary ingredients contributed 7.2%, and processed foods and UPF 14.4% and 19.2%, respectively (Table 1).

Table 1. Mean and standard error consumption (Energy intake (%)) of food according to NOVA classification in Colombia between 2005 and 2015.

  2015 y 2005 y Change in consumption
  Energy intake (%)
  mean (se) mean (se) Difference
Group 1. Natural or minimally processed foods § 59.2 (0.2) 63.3 (0.3) * -4.1
Cereals, roots y, tubers (includes flours) 26 (0.2) 30.2 (0.3)* -4.2
Red meat 9.2 (0.1) 5.1 (0.1)* 4.1
Traditional culinary preparations 4.5 (0.1) 7.1 (0.2)* -2.6
Fruits 3.3 (0.1) 3.6 (0.1) -0.3
Milk, yogurt (plain) 3.2 (0.1) 5.5 (0.1)* -2.3
Vegetables 3.1 (0.1) 3.6 (0.0) -0.5
Eggs 2.6 (0.1) 2.5 (0.0) 0.1
Beans, legumes (includes flour) 2.3 (0.1) 3.5 (0.1)* -1.2
Fish and shellfish 0.7 (0.0) 0.8 (0.0) -0.1
Group 2. Processed culinary ingredients # 7.2 (0.1) 15.8 (0.2) * -8.6
Sugar 3.8 (0.1) 8.9 (0.2) -5.1
Vegetable oils 3.1 (0.1) 6.1 (0.1) -3.0
Animal fat 0.2 (0.0) 0.8 (0.0) -0.6
Group 3. Processed foods & 14.4 (0.2) 4.9 (0.1) * 9.5
Fried, salty, sweet processed foods 4.9 (0.1) 1.2 (0.1)* 3.7
Bakery (fresh unpackaged) 3.1 (0.1) 1.7 (0.1)* 1.4
Cheese 2.2 (0.1) 1.9 (0.1) 0.3
Meats (canned, smoked) 0.1 (0.0) 0.2 (0.0) -0.1
Canned fruits and vegetables 0.03 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0
Group 4. Ultra-processed food products ¢ 19.2 (0.2) 15.9 (0.3) * 3.3
Industrialized breads 4.8 (0.1) 5.0 (0.1) -0.2
Snacks (sweet and salty) 4.0 (0.1) 2.5 (0.1)* 1.5
Sugary drinks c 3.7 (0.1) 2.5 (0.1)* 1.2
Ice Cream, Industrial Commercial Milk Drinks £ 2.3 (0.1) 0.2 (0.0)* 2.1
Processed meats 1.6 (0.0) 1.3 (0.1) 0.3
Confectionery (chocolate, candies, sweets) 0.7 (0.0) 1.5 (0.1)* -0.8
Ready-to-eat “junk food” preparations 0.6 (0.1) 0.6 (0.0) 0.0
Industrial and commercial desserts 0.4 (0.0) 0.5 (0.0) -0.1
Industrial and commercial cereals 0.4 (0.0) 0.3 (0.0) 0.1
Energy drinks 0.08 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.1

* p<0.05 comparison between 2005 and 2015y

⊥ Includes pasta, sweet and savory foods that cannot be broken down into individual ingredients

‡Includes fruit pulp, coconut water

§ Includes cocoa, insect meat, coconut milk, soy milk, nuts, coffee, tea, tofu

# Includes spices, vinegar, yeast, vanilla extract, and plain gelatin.

& Includes canned fruits, canned vegetables, salted, sweetened, or in oil, roasted nuts or seeds, condensed milk, beer, and wine

∞ Includes chips, crackers, wafers, and cookies.

€ Including frozen foods, frozen pizza, soups, instant noodles

£ Includes custard, sweetened yogurts, milkshakes

¢ Includes spreads, margarine, broths, sauces, commercial baby foods, and distilled alcohol

Table 1 also shows the contribution of different subcategories of products within the NOVA categories to energy intake. Within the natural or minimally processed foods category, those that contributed the most to energy intake were cereal grains, bananas, roots, and tubers (26%), followed by red meat with 9.2%. Freshly prepared foods (mainly prepared from unprocessed foods) accounted for 4.5% of total energy, fruits (not sources of vitamin A) contributed 3.3%, and dairy (milk/yogurt) and vegetables contributed 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively.

Among processed culinary ingredients, sugars were the most significant contributors to total energy (3.8%), followed by vegetable oils (3.1%). In the category of processed foods, the most significant contribution came from fried, salty, or sweet preparations (4.9%), followed by fresh bread and bakery products (3.1%) and cheeses (2.2%). Within the UPF, those that contributed the most to total energy intake were industrial bread (4.8%), sweet and salty packaged snacks (4.0%), sugar-sweetened beverages (3.7%), ice creams and commercial dairy drinks (2.3%), sausages and reconstituted meats (1.6%), were some of the other essential subcategories.

When evaluating the change in the consumption of foods and products by NOVA subgroups between 2005 and 2015, a decrease in the consumption of almost all food subgroups is observed in the group of natural or minimally processed foods, being more remarkable in the group of cereals, bananas, roots and tubers (-4.2%), followed by the group of homemade culinary preparations (-2.6%), the group of natural milk and yogurt (-2.3%) and legumes and legumes (-1.2%). On the contrary, there is an increase in the consumption of red meat (4.1%) and slightly of vegetables (1.5%). In the group of processed culinary ingredients, a decrease was observed in all the subgroups, being higher in sugars (-5.1%), followed by vegetable oils (-3.0%) and animal fat (-0.6%).

In the group of processed foods, an increase in consumption is observed in all subgroups, being higher in fried preparations (3.7%), followed by fresh bakery (1.4%) and slightly cheeses (0.3%). In the UPF group, an increase is observed in most of the subgroups, being higher in the subgroup of ice cream, industrial, commercial milk drinks (2.1%), followed by sweet and salty snacks (1.5%), sugar-sweetened beverages (1.2%), there was a slight decrease in confectionery (-0.8%).

Table 1 also shows the distribution of energy consumption in 2005 and 2015 in Colombia, according to the degree of food processing. In the groups of natural and minimally processed foods and processed culinary ingredients, a reduction in consumption is observed when comparing the years 2005 and 2015, of -4.1% and -8.6%, respectively. On the contrary, an increase in processed foods and UPF consumption has been observed, of 9.5% and 3.3%, respectively.

Making a combination of groups to evaluate a proxy of consumption behavior by dietary patterns, a decrease in the consumption of culinary preparations (-12.7%, combining energy intake from unprocessed or minimally processed foods and processed culinary ingredients) is observed between 2005 and 2015. On the contrary, when evaluating the trend in the consumption of ready-to-eat food products (processed and UPF), an increase (12.8%) in consumption is observed between the same years.

Fig 1 shows Colombia’s share of UPF consumption by sociodemographic determinants in 2015. Those individuals that live in urban areas, with higher wealth index, children and adolescents, and without ethnicity or black/mulato/afro-descendant, according to the self-report, present the higher consumption of UPF in Colombia.

Fig 1. Distribution of total energy intake according to NOVA classification and sociodemographic determinants in Colombia in 2015 y.

Fig 1

No significant differences were found between men and women in the consumption of ultra-processed foods. We observed significant differences by age, wealth index, area of residence, and ethnicity. The oldest participants had the highest consumption of natural or minimally processed foods. In contrast, the youngest participants (1–4 years old) had the highest intake of ultra-processed foods: more than double that of the participants aged over 50 years. The highest consumers of natural or minimally processed foods and the lowest consumers of ultra-processed foods were from the most lower wealth status and resided in rural areas.

The mean nutrient intake of the overall diet across quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods in ENSIN 2015 is presented in Table 2. From the lower to the upper quintile, there were increases in free sugars (from 8.1 to 15.4% of total energy intake), total fats (from 22.4 to 27.4% of total energy intake), saturated fats (from 8.1 to 11.1% of total energy intake), trans fats (from 0.21 to 0.60% of total energy intake), and sodium (from 1332 to 2169 mg/day). Trends of the increase of CD-promoting nutrients across quintiles of ultra-processed food consumption were statistically significant even after adjusting for potential sociodemographic confounders (P≤0.001).

Table 2. The mean content of CD-related nutrients in the overall diet across quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods.

Colombian population aged one year or over (2015).

Nutrient dietary content Quintiles (Q) of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods (% of total energy) Regression Coefficients a
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Crude Adjusted b
Free sugar (% of total energy intake) 8.1 10.2 11.1 12.7 15.4 1.71* 1.64*
Total fat (% of total energy intake) 22.4 24.7 24.8 25.9 27.4 1.12* 0.90*
Saturated fat (% of total energy intake) 8.1 9.0 9.3 10.2 11.1 0.83* 0.62*
Trans fat (% of total energy intake) 0.21 0.30 0.39 0.48 0.60 0.09* 0.10*
Sodium (mg/day) 1332 1712 1885 2079 2169 205.1* 221.1*

National Nutrition Examination Survey 2015 (n = 34600).

‡ Quintiles (Q) of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods (mean % of total energy (min and max)): Q1: (n = 6820): 1.0% (0.0, 4.5), Q2: (n = 6819): 8.7% (4.5, 12.5), Q3: n = 6819: 16.7 (12.5, 21.1), Q4: (n = 6819): 26.6 (21.1, 33.3), Q5: (n = 6819) 47.0 (33.3, 100).

an Obtained from regressing dietary nutrient contents on quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods

b Adjusted for age, residential area, education level, and wealth index

*p<0.01 for linear trend across quintiles

Table 3 presents the prevalence of nutrient intake inadequacies for the overall population and across quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods. The higher prevalence of CD-related nutrients excess consumption was found for sodium (67.6%), followed by free sugars (48.6%), saturated fats (40.8%), total fats (26.7%), and trans fats (9.7%). The prevalence of CD-related nutrients excess consumption significantly increased with ultra-processed foods, even after adjusting for potential sociodemographic confounders (P≤0.001). Thus, compared with individuals in the lowest quintile, individuals in the highest quintile of ultra-processed food consumption were significantly more likely to have diets exceeding the dietary goals for trans fats (5.7 times), free sugars (2.7 times), sodium (2.3 times), saturated fats (2.1 times) and total fats (1.9 times).

Table 3. Prevalence of diets with excessive content of CD-related nutrients δ in the whole population and across quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods.

Colombian population aged one year or over (2015).

Nutrient Whole population Quintiles (Q) of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods (% of total energy) P.R. a
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Crude Adjusted
Individuals who did not meet the recommendation (%) *
Free sugars 48.6 27.2 39.5 48.8 58.2 72.8 1.45* 1.25*
Total Fat 26.7 19.4 24.8 24.9 29.4 36.4 1.15* 1.08*
Saturated fats 40.8 28.1 32.8 38.0 49.3 58.8 1.21* 1.16*
Trans Fat 9.7 3.9 5.1 5.8 13.1 22.3 1.63* 1.71*
Sodium 67.6 36.2 62.6 75.1 82.3 83.7 1.18* 1.15*

National Nutrition Examination Survey 2015 (n = 34600).

P.R. = Prevalence ratios estimated using Poisson regression

δ See methods for cut-offs used to define inadequate dietary nutrient contents.

‡ Quintiles (Q) of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods (mean % of total energy (min and max)): Q1: (n = 6820): 1.0% (0.0, 4.5), Q2: (n = 6819): 8.7% (4.5, 12.5), Q3: n = 6819: 16.7 (12.5, 21.1), Q4: (n = 6819): 26.6 (21.1, 33.3), Q5: (n = 6819) 47.0 (33.3, 100).

a Obtained from a logistic regressing model of the inadequacy of dietary nutrient intake on quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed foods

♮ Adjusted for age, residential area, education level, and wealth index

*p < 0.001, for linear trend across quintiles of ultra-processed food consumption

*p<0.01 for linear trend across quintiles

Fig 2 presents estimates of the fractions of the populations that have an inadequate intake of CD-related nutrients attributable to high consumption of ultra-processed foods in Colombia (higher than the one found among the 20% lowest consumers of UPF, who consume 1.0% of the total energy intake on average, ranging from 0 to 4.5%). Three-fourths of the population’s excessive intake of trans fats; around one-third of the population’s excessive intake of free sugars and saturated fats; nearly 26% population’s excessive intake of sodium; and 15% population’s excessive intake of total fats; are due to the referred excessive intake of UPF.

Fig 2. Population attributable fraction due to the high consumption of ultra-processed foods (higher than the observed in the first quintile) of inadequate NCD-related nutrients dietary content.

Fig 2

Colombian population aged one years or over (2015).

Discussion

In Colombia, there is an increase in the consumption of UPF. In 2015, no significant differences were found in the consumption of UPF between men and women. But, significant differences by age, wealth index, area of residence, and ethnicity. A significant positive association was found between the dietary share of UPF and the intake of CD-related nutrients such as content of free sugars, total fats, saturated fats, trans-fats, and sodium. The prevalence of excessive intake of all these nutrients (WHO recommendations) increased across quintiles of the dietary share of UPF. In concordance, with the reduction of UPF consumption to the level seen among the 20% lowest consumers, the prevalence of excessive nutrient intake would be reduced in 72% for trans fats; in 39% for free sugar, 27.5% in saturated fats, in 26% for sodium and 15% for total fat.

These observed trends of increased consumption of UPF in Colombia are consistent with the data described by PAHO on the increase in the sale of UPF in recent decades in the country and the region [24]. It is essential to highlight that parallel to the risk associated with the increase in the presence and consumption of these unhealthy UPF in the country, a decrease in the consumption of natural or minimally processed foods and culinary preparations is observed. Both phenomena (increase in the consumption of UPF and decrease in the consumption of culinary preparations based on natural foods) generate a deterioration in the quality of the diet due to an increase in the content of critical nutrients related to the presence of obesity and chronic diseases (i.e., free sugars, total, saturated and trans fats, and sodium) and the reduction of dietary diversity of natural foods [25], and essential nutrients for health like micronutrients, fiber and protein [11].

In Colombia, in 2015, rural residents and older adults are likely to have more traditional cooking and eating practices and more stable dietary patterns. These groups may also be more protected from marketing practices that appeal to the younger generation and more advantaged people with less stable dietary habits and, therefore, more likely to try these products. These findings are in line with the ENSIN 2005 results [10].

In light of the substantial amount of recent research accentuating the risks of UPFs [5], the results presented above reflect an alarming situation which has been associated with the corporate food regime [26]. According to Ordoñez, this regime emerged in the 1990s in Colombia [17, 27], presenting the following characteristics: (i) institutional frameworks and functional regulatory frameworks for the industrial agri-food system; (ii) privatization of seeds and the restriction of their conservation and free circulation; (iii) intensive use of chemical poisons and fertilizers in agriculture; (iv) corporate concentration of its production, import and sale; (v) land grabbing by national and foreign businessmen in large regions of the country such as the “Altillanura”; (vi) deepening of agro-industrial bets and the extension of monocultures; (vii) expansion and increase of food distribution chains in large supermarkets and express formats; (viii) proliferation of UPF sales (of national and international origin), and fast-food chains in the different food environments [24]; (viii) increase obesity, chronic diseases and standardization of people in a situation of malnutrition; and (ix) he precise definition of a vital business bloc in the agricultural and food sectors. Additionally, this trend in the increase of UPF may be due to the different marketing and advertising techniques used by the food industry, which is based on the management of emotions, for the sale of their products, such as selling: fun/ happiness, fantasy and imagination, palatability, drawings or animated characters, music/jingles and messages aimed at children [28].

According to Mialon et al. [16, 29], proximity between the industry, government, and the media is particularly evident and remains unquestioned in Colombia. The influence of vulnerable populations in communities and the feeling of insecurity by public health advocates is also problematic. The Corporative Political Activity of the food industry has the potential to weaken and delay efforts to develop and implement public health policies that could improve the healthiness of food environments. Mechanisms to prevent and manage the influence of the food industry must be developed in the country [16, 2933].

The results of this study from 2015 support the hypothesis that strategies to reduce the consumption of UPF are a potentially effective way to achieve the nutritional goals of the WHO for the prevention of diet-related CD. We observed that a reduction of UPF consumption to the level seen among the 20% lowest consumers significantly reduced the prevalence of excessive CD-related nutrients intake. In concordance, Martinez and Cols also found that inadequate intakes of these nutrients would be reduced considerably in all eight countries studied (Brazil, Chile, Canada, Mexico, Australia, UK, US, and Colombia with data from 2005) if ultra-processed food consumption were decreased to levels observed among the lowest quintile of UPF consumption in each country [9].

The results of this study highlight the need for regulations of UPFs, including:

(i) implementation of law 2120 approved by the Colombian parliament to improve the food environments to prevent CD [34].

(ii) disseminate health promotion tools, such as plant-based dietary guidelines that consider the extent and purpose of processing, such as those adopted in Brazil [35] and Uruguay [36], where have these recommendations: Make natural or minimally processed foods the basis of your diet, use oils, fats, salt, and sugar in small amounts when seasoning and cooking natural or minimally processed foods and to create culinary preparations, limit consumption of processed foods, and avoid consumption of ultra-processed foods.

(iii) implementing the warning labeling to encourage healthier options at points of purchase, such as the octagonal warning labels adopted in several Latin American countries, as recommended by PAHO [3739]

(iv) counteracting the different strategies of political activity by the corporate food regime that has been established in Colombia [16, 29]

(v) Adopt healthy taxes on UPF products high in CD-promoting nutrients and the presence of sweeteners

(vi) apply the PAHO nutrient profile model in food policies to regulated de UPF, which has demonstrated in nine countries (including Colombia) that those individuals that consume UPF or processed products with excess content of nutrients related to a CD according to PAHO presented two to four times more probability to have a diet associated with a risk of CD [6, 40]

(vii) regulate UPF advertising for children and adolescents complying with the WHO set of Recommendations on the Marketing of Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages to Children.

(viii) improve food systems so that they are healthy and sustainable, based on clean production, avoiding the UPF in social programs, support and subsidies for local producers of natural foods, short marketing circuits, and supported by food and nutrition education strategies.

This study has its limitations. All dietary information available within ENSIN was of 24-hour dietary recall. Beyond recall bias, participants may choose to retain information about certain food products considered socially undesirable in terms of product categories and quantities consumed. This single point of dietary information may not capture the participants’ usual diet and therefore be less representative of their intake. Nonetheless, the probabilistic nature of the sample studied, the national representativeness of the Colombian population using national surveys with available 24-hour dietary recall, and the standardization of dietary data collection are some of the strengths of this study.

In addition, it also represents a strength, the fact that the study provides intake reference levels using the ENSIN 2005 as a baseline and compares with the most recent dietary evaluations in the country (ENSIN 2015), capturing trends in the consumption of UPF in Colombia. Additionally, this work considers the nutrients related to chronic diseases that are the focus of the recent food policy on Front of package labeling and healthy taxes on UPF in the country. Finally, the analysis of PAFs of unhealthy nutrient intake in Colombia in 2015 due to ultra-processed food consumption could be a reference as a baseline for follow-up in the political to reduce ultra-processed foods in Colombia. These results suggest an installation of the corporate food regime in Colombia, displacing the ancestral traditional food system related to a diet based on natural foods and typical culinary preparations associated with a healthy and sustainable diet. These data highlight the need to improve the current health promotion and prevention policies reducing the sale of UPF to achieve the nutritional goals of the WHO for the prevention of diet-related CD.

Conclusions

This study shows an increasing trend in the consumption of UPF by the population of Colombia from 2005 to 2015 and a decrease in the consumption of natural and minimally processed foods and culinary preparations (except red meat). Children and adolescents were found to have a higher consumption of UPF, which is probably due to the fact that they are more easily hooked up by marketing practices of UPF and, therefore, are more vulnerable to their deleterious effects on diet, increasing the consumption of CD-related nutrients. Adopting low-UPF diets, following the 20% lowest consumers of UPF (≤1.0% (0–4.5%) of the total energy from UPF), would allow the prevalence of unhealthy diets among the Colombian population to reduce significantly. Strategies to reduce the consumption of UPF are a potentially effective way to achieve the nutritional goals of the WHO for the prevention of diet-related CD.

Supporting information

S1 Appendix

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Food consumption, according to NOVA classification and sociodemographics factors in Colombia.

(XLSX)

Acknowledgments

Thanks to Colombia’s Ministry of Health and social protection for providing the database.

Data Availability

This cross-sectional analysis used data from the first (2005 y) and last National Survey (2015 y) of the Nutritional Situation of Colombia with consumption data collected with a 24-hour recall technique (ENSIN, 2005, 2015) and the National Demographic and Health Survey of Colombia (ENDS, 2005, 2015). ENSIN data were combined with ENDS data to link food consumption with demographic information at the individual level. The size and design of the sample were carried out to calculate the estimates of proportion and prevalence, as well as statistical models to evaluate associations -ICBF. Instituto Colombiano de Bienestar Familiar. ENSIN - Encuesta Nacional de Situación Nutricional en Colombia. Primera Ed. Bogotá, 2005. -Gobierno Nacional. ENSIN: Encuesta Nacional de Situación Nutricional 2015. Instituto Colombiano. Bogotá, 2019https://www.icbf.gov.co/bienestar/nutricion/encuesta-nacional-situacion-nutricional.

Funding Statement

This work was supported by the “Vicerrectoria de Investigación de la Universidad de Antioquia” under the project number 2020-35090 where GC is the principal investigator and DG is coinvestigator. The Ministry of health and social protection of Colombia provide the database. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

References

PLOS Glob Public Health. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001993.r001

Decision Letter 0

Leonor Guariguata

10 May 2023

PGPH-D-23-00294

The increasing trend in the consumption of ultra-processed food products is associated with a diet related to chronic diseases in Colombia. Evidence from National Nutrition Surveys 2005 and 2015.

PLOS Global Public Health

Dear Dr. Cediel,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Global Public Health. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Jun 24 2023 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at globalpubhealth@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pgph/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

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Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Leonor Guariguata, MPH, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS Global Public Health

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1. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: I don't know

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS Global Public Health does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

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5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: I would like to thank the Editor and authors for the opportunity to review this manuscript. The topic is very relevant due to the increased concern of the role of ultra-processed foods in the nutrition transition underway, particularly in low and middle-income countries. The authors analysed data from a nationally representative sample of Colombians, providing first time evidence of trends using individual-level consumption data. Some suggestions to improve the quality of the manuscript are presented below:

General comments:

- The manuscript needs proofreading throughout (e.g., line 148).

- It is unclear how objectives ii and iii add to previous evidence using 2005 data. The originality and relevance of new analysis should be explained further in the introduction and discussion; e.g., the rising in UPF consumption could explain changes in prevalence of inadequate intake. For that end, instead of presenting aims ii and iii only with 2015 that, would be interesting to see changes in prevalence between 2005-15 attributable to increased intake of UPF. For instance, following this methodology: doi:10.3389/ijph.2022.1604103

- Table 1 requires t-test of mean differences to state that there are significant temporal variance.

- Figure 1 is a good visual, but would be better if accompanied by a table (could be supplementary material) presenting coefficients of associations (and respective 95%CI or p-values) of UPF consumption among different strata of the population. Similarly, would be good to present the variation in UPF consumption between 2005-2015 in different sociodemographic groups.

- Although methods and discussion mention the use of standardized coefficients, these do not seem to be presented in Table 2.

- Could you please provide as supplementary material or in the main manuscript beta coefficients of the association of UPF consumption continuous and CD-nutrient intakes of Table 2? This is useful because quintile 5 has a large variability in UPF intake (33 to 100%).

- Figure 2 methods, results and discussion: if the level represented is the one among the 20% lowest consumers, UPF intake was then set to the upper bound (4.5%) instead of 1%?

- Discussion is lacking explanation why more advantaged people have higher intakes of UPFs in Colombia.

Minor comments:

Abstract:

- Methods: replace “degree and extent” with “extent and purpose”

- Results: Please provide p-value considered significative

- Conclusions: Missed comments related to the time trends and implications of UPF to the decreasing in the quality of diets in Colombia.

Line 138: sociodemographics: missing rural/urban residence and description of pregnant women presented in Fig 1. It is unclear why pregnant women were included in Fig 1.

Table 2: Sodium is mg/day or density?

Table 3: ** p<0.05 can be removed

Line 78: missing “respectively” in the end of the sentence

Line 80: UPF consumption instead of use?

Line 82: Would be good to provide evidence on the prevalence of chronic diseases (e.g., obesity) in Colombia, particularly if there was growth.

Line 115: extent and purpose? Keep it consistent throughout.

Line 118: subgroups within the NOVA 4 groups?

Line 103: age >1y instead?

Thank you very much again for the opportunity to review this manuscript.

Reviewer #2: General

First off I would like to congratulate the authors on the interesting study they conducted. Nonetheless, the manuscript would benefit from being thoroughly revised as to improve the strength and readability.

• At times the language is unclear, making it difficult to follow. I would advise the authors to work with a native English speaker or English speaking copyeditor to improve the readability.

• The term ‘Chronic diseases (CD)-promoting nutrients’ is used throughout the text to refer to sugar, fat (total, saturated and trans) and sodium. This seems a strong statement to me. There is a strong link between diets and chronic diseases, but is there sufficient evidence to support a direct link with nutrients?

• The introduction needs to be strengthened. Currently it provides numerical information, but does not clearly lead up to the objectives. For example, in the discussion the corporate food regime and corporate political activity are brought up. It could be interesting to already add this in the introduction leading up to the objectives of the study.

• Methods needs to be more clear and to the point:

o Make a more clear distinction between what you as researchers/authors did and what was obtained from existing surveys. For example, ENSIN data were 24-hour recall data, but when in the text describing these data it sometimes seems these were collected by the researchers

o When reading the results it says ‘making a combination of groups with the aim of evaluating a proxy of consumption behavior by dietary patterns…’. It would be beneficial to already describe what was done, why and how in the methods section.

• The current results section often describes in rather lengthy detail what is shown in the table. In my opinion this section could benefit from in text solely writing the important results and referring to the tables for the details.

• Although there is a lot of very interesting information within the current discussion, it feels a little all over the place. I would recommend to focus on discussion points directly stemming from the results from the study and placed within the context introduced at the beginning (within the introduction).

Below I have included some thoughts that came to mind when reading the different sections, which might help clarify some of the issues mentioned above.

Abstract

• Tine layout remark: I would start each section (e.g. objectives, methods,…) on a new line to create a better overview.

• In the beginning, maybe add at least one introductory sentence. Just listing the objectives feels like a strange beginning.

• Line 36-37: There is a strong link between diets and chronic diseases, but is there sufficient evidence to support the claim ‘…CD-promoting nutrients such as…’. In my opinion this might be too strong a statement.

• Line 39-40: ‘excessive intake of all CD-promoting nutrients (according to WHO recommendations)’ - CD-promoting nutrients according to WHO or nutrients above the thresholds defined by WHO? Not 100% clear to me.

Introduction

• Apart from the first paragraph, the current introduction provides a lot of interesting numerical information, but does not clearly lead up to the objectives. The introduction could be made stronger by making it more clear why this study is so important within the current setting and context.

• Line 65-66: ‘…these products in Latin America, with a 26% increase between the year 2000 and 2013, being 25%, the increase in Colombia for the same period.’ Not completely clear. Do you mean that the trend in Colombia was similar with a 25% increase over the same time period? If so, split up into two sentences.

• Line 67: remove from (‘national level from in 2005-> national level in 2005)

• Line 68: change to ‘came from UPF’ – was in the past (2005).

• Line 66-70. Sentence is rather long. Maybe split up into two sentences to make it more clear? E.g. ‘Additionally, analysis of food consumption at the national level in 2005 showed that 15.9% of energy consumed by the population of Colombia came from UPF. The highest consumption was observed among adolescents with a contribution of 20.3% to the total energy consumed per day.’.

• Line 72: Move ‘in Colombia to after ‘all types of UPF’.

• Line 73-74: Frozen products, canned products, preserved products and dairy products aren’t necessarily ultra-processed.

• Line 76-78: Is this overarching for Brazil, Chile and Mexico? Or respectively for each country?

• Line 76: comma before such as.

• Line 77: comma after Mexico.

• Line 78: of-> with

• Line 82-85: Apart from the first sentence, this paragraph does not clearly lead up to the objectives.

o Nothing has been mentioned before on foreign investment within the introduction.

o Nothing has been mentioned on overweight and obesity in Colombia within the introduction.

o Apart from the first paragraph, the introduction does not reflect well the issue of UPF.

• In the discussion (line 368-372) the study of Martinez and cols is mentioned which was conducted across 8 countries, including Colombia, and had similar findings. This immediately made me wonder about the added value of this study. There definitely is an added value as you had data from 2005 and 2015 and (from the current text), seem to have gone more into depth, but this needs to be made more clear in the introduction leading up to objectives.

Methods

• Line 94-95: remove ‘y’ after the dates in brackets.

• Line 96-97: between the brackets change to ‘ENSIN 2005 and 2015’.

• Line 102-111: From this paragraph it sounds as if the authors did this, but in the previous paragraph it says that the data from ENSIN were used for this. Assuming that this is about how the ENSIN data were collected, reformulate the paragraph to make this clear.

• Line 118: 33 subgroups? Only explained the NOVA classification above (with 4 groups), so please explain what is meant here.

• Line 118-123: Not clear what is meant. Please clarify.

• Line 126: energy content.

• Line 126: what type of sugars? Added, total,…?

• Line 132: ‘were used for evaluating the prevalence of non-recommended intake of different key nutrients’ -> Were used to determine the prevalence of excessive intake of nutrients of concern? Non recommended intake can also be too little, while I assume the focus here is on too much.

• Line 138-145: About extra data collected by authors or about the data available within ENDS?

• Line 147-154: Improve this paragraph. Currently there is quite some rather vague information there.

• Line 159: CD-promoting nutrients seems like a too strong choice of words. Maybe rather something in the lines of ‘nutrients of which excessive intake according to the WHO thresholds has been linked to CD?

• Line 165: Minor questions, but why did you chose for quintiles?

• Line 176-177: ‘reduction in the prevalence of nutrient inadequacies’ -> Inadequate sounds like people aren’t getting enough, but I suppose that you want to say the opposite.

Results

• The text currently repeats a lot what is already shown in Table 1 (e.g. line 200-232). In the text I would suggest to focus on the overarching findings that are interesting and reference to Table 1 for the details.

• Table 1: the ‘se’ in brackets after the mean, does this refer to the standard deviation? If so, please clarify in the title.

• Line 200-201: ‘Table 1 also shows the contribution of different subcategories of products within the NOVA categories to energy and nutrients intake’ – Within the current table I only see the contribution to energy, not nutrients.

• Line 237: In text says -4.2% while in the table it says -4.1%. Check which one is correct and adjust.

• Line 241: Making a combination of groups? Please add some information on this in the methods section

• Figure 1: Currently the numbers are rather small. Maybe increase the overall figure?

Discussion

• The current discussion doesn’t always flow naturally from the results that were really found during this study. E.g. on line 319 it suddenly mentions ‘unsustainable’ which is less relevant for this article and these findings.

• Line 334: ‘in analysis from 2005’. Which analysis? Please provide some more information.

• Line 336-349: In the introduction the corporate food regime was hardly mentioned or introduced. This makes it very strange to then here have such a long paragraph about this.

• Line 355-362: Same as for the above. The Corporative Political Activity (CPA) was not yet touched upon in the introduction, which makes it a little strange to have this here. Both corporate food regimes and CPA could however be very interesting to include in the introduction if you feel this is an important reason for doing this study and context for the results.

• Line 376: Law 2120 – Please provide some context. Most readers (like me) won’t know this law.

• Line 378-379: Shortly explain the examples of Brazil and Uruguay

• Line 378: Apply the PAHO nutrient profile model for what? Restricting marketing? Accessibility of products?

• Line 394-396: Although I completely agree, I don’t see how this recommendation flows from the results of this study.

• Line 398: Was collected? This gives the impression that this was done within this study, but earlier I had understood that this were the ENSIN data. Please be specific about this.

Conclusions

• The conclusion could be a little more focused on the results itself and the most important conclusions. Currently it still feels a little too much like a continuation of the discussion.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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PLOS Glob Public Health. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001993.r003

Decision Letter 1

Leonor Guariguata

25 Oct 2023

PGPH-D-23-00294R1

The increasing trend in the consumption of ultra-processed food products is associated with a diet related to chronic diseases in Colombia. Evidence from National Nutrition Surveys 2005 and 2015.

PLOS Global Public Health

Dear Dr. Cediel,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Global Public Health. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Dear authors,

There are just some minor edits to include and then we can move forward with the manuscript. Thank you for your work.

Kind regards,

Leonor

Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 24 2023 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at globalpubhealth@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pgph/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Leonor Guariguata, MPH, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS Global Public Health

Journal Requirements:

1. Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

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Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

2. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS Global Public Health does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

Reviewer #2: General

First off, I would like to congratulate the authors on the major improvements made to the manuscript, particularly the methods and results section. Nonetheless, some suggestions remain to improve the overall quality of the manuscript. Overall I would suggest to:

• Have someone thoroughly check the English, particularly the construction of some sentences could be improved (some examples provided below).

• Change the term ‘Chronic diseases (CD)-promoting nutrients’ to ‘Nutrients of concern’ which (in my experience) is a more accepted term. In case it is chosen to stick with CD-promoting nutrients or NCD-related nutrients (as in Table 2 and Table 3), make sure to use the same terminology throughout the manuscript. For example, in the discussion also the term critical nutrients is introduced.

• Improve the relation between the introduction and the discussion. Both currently still feel a little all over the place, especially the discussion. I would recommend to choose the core topics you want to discuss in both sections and double check that no new topics are discussed in detail in the discussion section which have not been introduced in the introduction.

Abstract

• The abstract would benefit from some reorganisation. Currently it still lacks a little information in the background section while it goes very much into detail in the results section. I would recommend to really focus on the key findings.

• In the conclusion of the abstract it is stated that ‘the increasing trend in the consumption of UPF is associated with diet-related CD’. This isn’t a conclusion that can be made solely on these results as this study did not look at CD, solely at nutrients of concern/ CD-promoting nutrients. It would be good to formulate a more accurate and to the point conclusion.

Introduction

• Line 66-67: ‘The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported a growing trend in the sales of these products in Latin America’ -> Change ‘these products’ to ‘UPFs’. Remove the comma at the end of the sentence (after 2013).

• Line 67-68: ‘In Colombia, it was similar, being 25%, the gain for the same period’ -> Change to something in the lines of ‘In Colombia a similar increase of 25% over the same period was observed’.

• Line 70-71: ‘The highest consumption was observed among adolescents, contributing 20.3% to the total daily energy consumed’ -> Change to something in the lines of ‘The highest consumption was observed among adolescents, with UPF contributing 20.3% to the total daily energy intake’.

• Line 80-81: The last sentence linking to the corporative food regime appears rather suddenly. Maybe add some literature about the link between the corporate food regime and the increased sales of UPFs. The same goes for the next sentence (line 84-87) which could be in the same paragraph as the previous one. As this aspect is also thoroughly discussed later on it would make sense to allocate one paragraph on the food industry in the introduction.

Methods

• Overall I would recommend to make it clear which explanation is about the work that the authors/researchers did themselves and which parts are rather an explanation about existing databases (ENDS and ENSIN).

• Line 98: Idem as for ENSIN between brackets, change ‘(ENDS, 2005, 2015)’ to ‘(ENDS 2005 and 2015)’.

• Line 103-112: From how the paragraph is currently formulated it still seems as if the authors/researchers collected the dietary data, while these data seem to be obtained from ENSIN. Still assuming that this is about how the ENSIN data were collected, I suggest to make this more clear in this paragraph (e.g. start the paragraph with ‘The dietary data within ENSIN were obtained using….’).

• Line 119: Currently it remains unclear how these 33 subgroups were decided upon. Is it based on a certain classification? Based on how the ENSIN database is organised?

• Line 130-131: ‘The nutritional information from packaged foods was collected in significant supermarket chains in Colombia.’ -> Collected by who is in charge of the Colombian food composition table or by the authors/researchers? Moreover, what is meant by significant supermarket chains? Significant because of their market share in general in the country? Or because of there presence in bigger cities? How were the supermarkets selected?

• Line 136: Add fats after trans (~trans fats).

• Line 140: Do you mean the sociodemographic information available within ENDS? If sociodemographic information was already available in ENSIN, for what exactly was the ENDS information used?

• Line 146-147: ‘The collected data was classified into one of four levels.’ -> Four levels of what?

• Line 162: Remove bracket after ingredients.

Results

• Figures: The current figures (Figure 1 and Figure 2) as attached to the manuscript need to be sharpened to make them readable.

• Tables: Just a minor detail, but it would be nicer to have the legend in order of appearance of the symbols in the table.

• Line 249-252: Reorganise this sentence to something like: Making a combination of groups to evaluate a proxy of consumption behavior by dietary patterns, a decrease in the consumption of culinary preparations (-12.7%, combining energy intake from unprocessed or minimally processed foods and processed culinary ingredients) is observed between 2005 and 2015.

• Line 261-268: In the discussion it is mentioned ‘that people aged below 19 years, in the higher wealth index quintiles, living in urban areas, and without ethnicity or black/mulato/afro-descendant, according to the self-report, were the primary consumers of UPF’. In the current manuscript this result doesn’t seem to be reported in the result section yet. Maybe something about this could be added to this paragraph?

• Line 267: Most inferior wealth status sounds a little condescending. I would suggest to formulate this in a more neutral way (potentially something like ‘from the lower wealth index quintiles’ or ‘had a lower wealth status’).

• Line 292: As earlier the abbreviation PAF was introduced for population attributable fractions, maybe stick to using this same abbreviation?

• Line 292-293: Change ‘inadequate intake’ to ‘excessive intake’?

Discussion

• Overall I would recommend to discuss the results more thoroughly. Currently there are a lot of longer lists with characteristics and suggestions for regulations in comparison to the extent in which the results are discussed.

• The first paragraph of the discussion provides a very nice summary!

• Line 309-311: Change to ‘would be reduced to’. Moreover I would suggest to use the same expression for all the nutrients (fractions or percentages).

• Line 320: Here a new terminology is introduced ~ ‘critical nutrients’ instead of ‘CD-promoting nutrients’. Stick to the same terminology throughout the manuscript.

• Line 325-332: This is a result from the study, so important to add this to the result section (for example to paragraph line 261-268; see suggestion above).

• Line 331-332: Maybe simplify this last sentence to something like ‘These findings are in line with the ENSIN 2005 results (ref)’.

• Line 334: Remove ‘alarming’, or, as I do agree that it is kind of alarming, explain better to the reader why this situation is alarming. This could be done, for example, by adding some more literature on the risks of UPFs (~In light of the substantial amount of recent research accentuating the risks of UPFs (references), the results presented above reflect an alarming situation which has been associated with the corporate food regime…’.

• Line 335: Since-> in (emerged in the 1990s).

• Line 345: Can remove ‘in the population’.

• Line 345-346: Minor detail - before the different characteristics didn’t start with a capital letter and from (viii) onwards they do. I would recommend to be consistent.

• Line 354: Remove mainly.

• Line 356-359: This is very true and highly important, but within the discussion I would stick to discussing issues related directly to the findings of this study.

• Line 365-369: As Martinez and Cols found similar results, including for Colombia, it might be good to add in the introduction what the added value is of this study compared to theirs.

• Line 367: The questions that immediately came to mind was, which eight countries. Maybe add between brackets?

• Line 371: Maybe slightly reformulate this sentence? For example ‘The results of this study highlight the need for regulations of UPFs…’.

• Line 371-398: I would recommend to stick to suggesting regulations related directly to the results of this study. For example, I completely support the recommendation to implement warning labels, but this isn’t directly related to UPFs. In line with this I also completely agree with suggestion (iv), but this isn’t really a policy recommendation that can be made based on the current results (could be if this becomes a more important focus of the discussion, but that currently isn’t the case).

• Line 377: Change to ‘where they have these recommendations:…’ (without capital letter).

• Line 404: Maybe use ‘nonetheless’ instead of ‘however’?

Conclusions

• Overall I would recommend to keep the conclusion shorter and more focussed on the true results of the study itself.

• Line 430-433: In my opinion this would better fit under the discussion as this is not a results of the study itself.

• Line 433: Potentially reformulate to something like ‘These data highlight the need to improve the current health promotion and prevention policies….’.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes: Iris Van Dam

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PLOS Glob Public Health. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001993.r005

Decision Letter 2

Leonor Guariguata

7 Dec 2023

The increasing trend in the consumption of ultra-processed food products is associated with a diet related to chronic diseases in Colombia. Evidence from National Nutrition Surveys 2005 and 2015.

PGPH-D-23-00294R2

Dear Dr Cediel,

We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'The increasing trend in the consumption of ultra-processed food products is associated with a diet related to chronic diseases in Colombia. Evidence from National Nutrition Surveys 2005 and 2015.' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Global Public Health.

Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests.

Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.

IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.

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Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Global Public Health.

Best regards,

Leonor Guariguata, MPH, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS Global Public Health

***********************************************************

Reviewer Comments (if any, and for reference):

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Appendix

    (DOCX)

    S1 Fig. Food consumption, according to NOVA classification and sociodemographics factors in Colombia.

    (XLSX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Responses to the journal_GCed.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: RESPONSE_REVIEWERS_V3.pdf

    Data Availability Statement

    This cross-sectional analysis used data from the first (2005 y) and last National Survey (2015 y) of the Nutritional Situation of Colombia with consumption data collected with a 24-hour recall technique (ENSIN, 2005, 2015) and the National Demographic and Health Survey of Colombia (ENDS, 2005, 2015). ENSIN data were combined with ENDS data to link food consumption with demographic information at the individual level. The size and design of the sample were carried out to calculate the estimates of proportion and prevalence, as well as statistical models to evaluate associations -ICBF. Instituto Colombiano de Bienestar Familiar. ENSIN - Encuesta Nacional de Situación Nutricional en Colombia. Primera Ed. Bogotá, 2005. -Gobierno Nacional. ENSIN: Encuesta Nacional de Situación Nutricional 2015. Instituto Colombiano. Bogotá, 2019https://www.icbf.gov.co/bienestar/nutricion/encuesta-nacional-situacion-nutricional.


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