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[Preprint]. 2024 Feb 23:rs.3.rs-3385716. [Version 1] doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3385716/v1

The Association Between Alcohol Use and Chronic Diseases’ Treatment Outcomes Among Adults Aged 40 Years and Above in Rural South Africa

Rumbidzai Mupfuti 1, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula 2, Joel Francis 3
PMCID: PMC10925412  PMID: 38463992

Abstract

Chronic diseases are significant problems in South Africa. Chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes are critical to the reduction of morbidity and mortality. There is limited data in South Africa on alcohol use and treatment outcomes of chronic diseases in older people. We analysed data from wave 1 of the Health and Ageing in Africa-a longitudinal Study in an INDEPTH community (HAALSI) study. We performed descriptive analysis to determine the prevalence of optimal chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes (suppressed HIV viral load, normal blood pressure and normal blood sugar) and applied multivariate modified Poisson regression to determine the association between alcohol use and chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes. The prevalence of optimal treatment outcomes were 87.4% for HIV, 42.7% for hypertension, 53.6% for diabetes mellitus and 52.4% for multimorbidity. Alcohol use did not negatively impact the treatment outcomes for HIV (aRR=1.00, 95%CI:0.93–1.09), hypertension (aRR=0.88, 95%CI:0.68–1.14), diabetes mellitus (aRR=0.73, 95%CI:0.44–1.22), and multimorbidity (aRR=1.00, 95%CI:0.93–1.09). Alcohol use was not significantly associated with treatment outcomes possibly due to underreporting of alcohol use. There is need to incorporate objective alcohol measurements in chronic diseases care settings. Furthermore, there is urgent need to strengthen the management of hypertension and diabetes, by adopting the strategies deployed for HIV management.

Keywords: Alcohol use, HIV, Hypertension, Diabetes Mellitus, Multimorbidity, Treatment Outcomes, Older Adults, South Africa

INTRODUCTION

South Africa faces a quadrupled burden of disease resulting from communicable, non-communicable diseases, maternal-child mortality, and injuries (1). This is due to the rapid epidemiological and nutritional transitions occurring because of improved healthcare and disease prevention strategies (2). HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus are among the top prevalent chronic conditions causing mortality in South Africa, with the elderly population succumbing to multiple conditions resulting in multimorbidity. Multimorbidity which is the existence of two or more chronic conditions in the same individual (3), leads to clinical complexity.

Older adults tend to experience a disproportionate share of NCDs (non-communicable diseases) burden and related complications such as CVDs (cardiovascular diseases) (4). A demographic shift in PLHIV (people living with HIV) to older age has led to an increased risk of acquiring NCDs (5). Uncontrolled hypertension and diabetes mellitus are among the leading risk factors for CVDs (4). In addition, HIV-infected individuals are also at an increased risk for CVDs. There is a great need to prioritize treatment control strategies for chronic diseases as part of an initiative to prevent the growing incidence of CVD and premature mortality.

The rates of control of chronic diseases (HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus) are still low in Africa, despite advances in treatment. According to the WHO SAGE wave 2, only 18% of people on antihypertensives were controlled (6). An estimated 19% of people on treatment for diabetes mellitus achieved glycemic control according to the SADHS 2016 (7). Conversely, according to the 2017 National Population-Based Survey about 87% of those on HIV antiretroviral treatment achieved viral suppression (8). Achieving treatment control is multifaceted, requiring the synergy of different prevention interventions.

Alcohol consumption has been recognized as a unique modifiable risk factor for population health, affecting both infectious and non-communicable diseases (9). Alcohol is a toxic and addictive drug that has been shown to play a role in some mechanisms suggesting a multiplicative effect in acquiring the chronic condition (10). The aging population is more susceptible to the toxic effects of alcohol, with the already increased chronic disease burden amongst this group. As of 2016, the percentage of alcohol-attributable deaths was 12.9% for infectious diseases and 19% for cardiovascular disease and diabetes worldwide with the highest age-standardized alcohol-attributable burden of disease and injury of 70.6 deaths per 100 000 people occurring within the African region (9). The 2016 SADHS reported problem drinking in 15% of men and 2.5% of women aged between 45 and 64 years old (11). Harmful alcohol use is an important public health concern that needs to be addressed among the older population to control chronic diseases.

A few studies have reported on the alcohol use and treatment outcomes for chronic diseases in an aging population in sub-Sahara Africa. The studies done have reported inconsistent findings. Some researchers reported an association between alcohol use and treatment outcomes for HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus (12–14) while other researchers reported no association (15–17). Findings from this study will help to inform interventions targeted at improving treatment outcomes of chronic diseases (HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus. The main aim of this study was to determine the association between alcohol use and treatment outcomes of HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus among adults aged 40 years and above in rural South Africa.

METHODS

Study setting

The primary study was conducted in South Africa, Mpumalanga Province in a rural sub-district where the Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (HDSS) has been in operation since 1992 (18). The Agincourt HDSS study area of approximately 450km2 is spread across thirty-one villages and covers a population of 116000 individuals (18).

We used data from wave 1 of the “Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI)” study. The baseline survey comprised men and women aged 40 years or older sampled from the ongoing Agincourt HDSS (18). The study was conducted between November 2014 and November 2015. Information on cognitive and physical functioning, social networks, economic well-being, cardiometabolic disease and HIV risk factors was collected through interviewer-administered questionnaires. Also included in the survey were anthropometric measurements and point-of-care blood tests for haemoglobin, glucose, and lipids. dried blood spots were collected and later tested for HIV, HIV viral load, and C-Reactive Protein (18).

Study Design and Population

This is a cross-sectional study addressing the research question through secondary data analysis of the HAALSI dataset. There were 12875 men and women from the Agincourt HDSS who met the eligibility criteria of being aged 40 years and above and permanently residing in the Agincourt HDSS study site for 12 months preceding the 2013 census (18). From the sampling frame, 6281 were randomly chosen to participate with gender-specific sampling fractions being developed. However, 5059 people (2345 men and 2714 women) completed their interviews and were enrolled in the study (18). The eligibility criteria for our study is all participants aged 40 years and above in the 2014 HAALSI study who self-reported being on treatment for the following chronic diseases: HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus.

Outcomes

The main outcomes are optimal treatment outcomes for HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity. Ascertainment of being on treatment was self-reported for hypertension, diabetes mellitus and HIV based on the questions: “ever received treatment for high blood pressure?”, “ever received treatment for diabetes?” and “ever received ART?” respectively. The optimal treatment outcomes is based on local South African guidelines. The optimal HIV treatment outcome (controlled) is defined as a viral load of less than 1000 copies/ml (19). The optimal treatment outcome (controlled) for hypertension is defined as systolic blood pressure < 140mmHg and diastolic blood pressure < 90mmHg (20). The optimal treatment outcome (controlled) for diabetes mellitus is defined as a random blood glucose of less than 11.1mmol/l or fasting blood glucose of less than 7mmol/l (21). Multimorbidity is defined as the existence of 2 or more chronic conditions from the following diseases (HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus). The optimal treatment outcome for multimorbidity is defined as having optimal treatment outcomes for all 3 chronic diseases. Outcome variables were categorized as 0 = controlled and 1 = uncontrolled.

Primary exposure

The main exposure is alcohol use which is defined according to the frequency of drinking alcohol in the past 30 days by the following question: “How often do you have at least 1 alcoholic drink?” The following responses are given: daily drinking, 5–6 days per week, 1–4 days per week, 1–3 days per month, less than once per month and does not currently drink. alcohol use was recategorized into 3 groups for HIV, hypertension, and multimorbidity treatment outcomes: at least once a week (daily drinking, 5–6 drinks per week and 1–4 days a week), at least once a month (1–3 drinks per month and less than 1 per month) and none (does not currently drink). For diabetes mellitus treatment outcome, alcohol use was categorized into 2 groups, 0 = none and 1 = Yes.

Covariates

The covariates include age group, sex, education category, nationality, BMI, employment status, wealth asset index, marital status, size of the household and tobacco use which were self-reported. Age group was recategorized into 2 groups: “40–60 years” and “60 years and older” (22). Wealth index was created from household characteristics and asset ownership using the Principal Component Analysis.

Data management and analysis

STATA version 17 has been used for data management and analysis (23). Descriptive statistics of the total study population have been computed for alcohol use and covariates. This is reported as frequencies and proportions. Pearson’s Chi-square test is used to determine the prevalence of optimal treatment outcomes for each chronic condition (HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity) across alcohol use and other covariates. Each selected exposure variable is cross tabulated with the optimal treatment outcome of each chronic disease (HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity). The output of this cross-tabulation is reported as proportions (n, %). (Supplementary Tables 1–5). Univariate modified Poisson regression is used to assess the relationship between the optimal treatment outcome of each chronic disease (HIV – viral load suppression, hypertension – controlled blood pressure, diabetes mellitus – controlled glycemia, and multimorbidity – optimal for all the three conditions) with alcohol use and the covariates. Then, all exposures with p-value (< 0.20) are added in the multivariate modified Poisson regression(24) to determine the association of alcohol use and each chronic disease treatment outcome adjusting for other factors. The final model also includes exposure variables considered as apriori confounders including sex, age, tobacco use and wealth index (12–14). Interaction terms among alcohol use and exposure variables (age and sex) are checked for all the four models and all are not statistically significant. The final model fit for the association between alcohol use and the chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes (HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity) is assessed using a post-estimation goodness-of-fit test. Finally, adjusted relative risk (aRR) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) and p values from the final models are reported. A p value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Ethical considerations

The HAALSI study received ethics approval from the following institutions: The University of the Witwatersrand ref M141159 (Appendix 4), the Harvard School of Public Health ref C13–1608-02 and the Mpumalanga Provincial Office. The participants’ data were coded and de-identified. For this study, ethics approval was obtained from the University of the Witwatersrand Human Research Ethics Committee ref M230446 (Appendix 3).

RESULTS

Population Characteristics

Out of the 5055 participants, almost three quarters (76.9%) reported no alcohol use with only 12.2% reporting alcohol use at least once a week and 10.9% reporting alcohol use at least once a month. More than half of the participants (53.7%) were female and 51% of participants were aged 60 years and above. 1526 (30%) of the participants within the study population were migrants. 2306 participants (45.7%) received no formal education and a third of the participants (34%) received some primary level of education. Just over half of the participants (50.9%) were married and participants were approximately equally distributed with an average of 20% of participants per wealth index quintile. Most of the participants (73.7%) were not working and 48.2% (n = 2438) of participants lived in a 3 to 6 people household. Lastly, the majority of the participants (n = 4608) reported no tobacco use and only 36.7% of participants had a normal BMI. (Table 1) Prevalence of HIV viral load suppression controlled (glycemia and blood pressure) and optimal outcomes for all conditions among those with multimorbidity.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of HAALSI population (N = 5059) enrolled between November 2014 and November 2015.

Characteristic Categories n %
Age Group (years) 40–60 2479 49.0
61 and above 2580 51.0
Sex Female 2714 53.7
Male 2345 46.3
Country of origin South Africa 3528 69.8
Mozambique/other 1526 30.2
No formal education 2306 45.7
Level of education Some primary (1–7 years) 1716 34.0
Some secondary (8–11 years) 574 11.4
Secondary or more (12 + years) 446 8.9
Never married 290 5.7
Marital status Separated / divorced 650 12.9
Widowed 1540 30.5
Currently married 2575 50.9
1 1046 20.7
2 1001 19.8
Wealth asset index 3 991 19.6
4 1007 19.9
5 1014 20.0
Living alone 534 10.6
Household size Living with one other person 538 10.6
Living in 3–6-person household 2438 48.2
Living in 7 + person household 1549 30.6
Underweight 258 5.5
BMI category Normal 1719 36.7
Overweight 1328 28.3
Obese 1384 29.5
Employed (part or full time) 805 16.0
Employment status Not working 3719 73.7
Homemaker 521 10.3
Tobacco use Yes 447 8.4
No 4608 91.6
None 3887 76.9
Alcohol use At least once a week 617 12.2
At least once a month 551 10.9

The total number of observations for each variable does not add up to (N = 5059) in each column due to missing values.

Missing data for marital status: 4, alcohol use: 4, tobacco use: 4, country of origin: 5, employment status: 14, level of education: 17 and BMI: 370

Figure 1 shows the prevalence of optimal chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes for HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity. The prevalence of optimal treatment outcomes was 87.4% (450/515) HIV viral load suppression, 42.7% (713/1668) for controlled hypertension, 53.6% (140/261) for diabetes mellitus and 52.4% (475/907) for multimorbidity.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Prevalence of HIV viral load suppression, controlled (glycemia and blood pressure) and optimal outcomes for those with multimorbidity.

Alcohol use and HIV viral load suppression

There was no statistical difference on HIV viral load suppression between participants reporting alcohol use at least once a week (aRR = 1.00, 95% C.I: 0.93–1.09) and those reporting alcohol use at least once a month (aRR = 0.92, 95% C.I: 0.8–1.05) compared to those that reported no alcohol use (Table 2).

Table 2.

Association between reported alcohol use and HIV Viral load suppression amongst participants of the HAALSI study (N = 5059), enrolled between November 2014 and November 2015.

Characteristic Categories Total N(%)a RRb (95% C.I) p valued aRRc (95% C.I) p valued
None 358 (89.5) 1 0.080 1 0.438
Alcohol Use At least once a week 46 (80.7) 0.90 (0.79–1.02) 1.00 (0.93–1.09)
At least once a month 46 (79.3) 0.87 (0.77–1.02) 0.92 (0.80–1.05)
Sex Male 198 (82.2) 1 0.001 1 0.296
Female 252 (92.0) 1.12 (1.04–1.20) 1.13 (1.04–1.24)
Age group (in years) 40–60 312 (86.0) 1 0.102 1 0.106
61 and above 138 (90.8) 1.06 (0.99–1.12) 1.06 (0.98–1.13)
No formal education 171 (86.4) 1 0.097 1 0.045
Education category Some primary (1–7 years) 182 (89.7) 1.03 (0.97–1.12) 1.07 (0.98–1.16)
Some secondary (8–11 years) 60 (81.1) 0.94 (0.83–1.06) 0.98 (0.85–1.12)
Secondary or more (12 + years) 35 (94.6) 1.10 (0.99–1.20) 1.14 (1.01–1.25)
Never married 27 (77.1) 1 0.099 1 0.058
Marital status Separated / divorced 93 (82.3) 1.07 (0.87–1.30) 1.02 (0.85–1.23) 0.798
Widowed 156 (89.7) 1.16 (0.96–1.40) 1.08 (0.90–1.28) 0.399
Currently married 174 (90.6) 1.17 (0.98–1.41) 1.16 (0.98–1.40) 0.092
1 102 (83.6) 1 0.230 1 0.510
2 102 (89.5) 1.07 (0.97–1.18) 1.07 (0.96–1.20)
Wealth asset index 3 95 (91.3) 1.09 (0.99–1.2) 1.06 (0.95–1.18)
4 83 (83.0) 0.99 (0.88–1.12) 0.99 (0.87–1.13)
5 68 (90.7) 1.08 (0.90–1.20) 1.04 (0.92–1.18)
Underweight 38 (82.6) 0.98 (0.85–1.13) 0.014 0.98 (0.85–1.13) 0.208
BMI category Normal 204 (84.3) 1 1
Overweight 110 (94) 1.12 (1.03–1.20) 1.06 (0.99–1.14)
Obese 87 (90.6 1.08 (0.98–1.16) 1.02 (0.93–1.11)
Tobacco Use Yes 32 (94.1) 1 0.086 1 0.119
No 418 (86.9) 0.92 (0.84–1.01) 0.92 (0.81–1.02)

C.I = confidence interval.

a

Sample of each exposure category.

b

Crude relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

c

Adjusted relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

d

The overall P-value for trend across all categories of individual variable. Significant values are in bold. 1 = > Reference category. Deviance Goodness of fit model = (108.498), p = 0.999

Other factors associated with HIV viral load suppression:

Females were 13% more likely to have HIV viral load suppression (aRR = 1.13, 95% C.I: 1.04–1.24) compared to males. Similarly, participants who reported to have attained secondary education or more were 14% more likely to have HIV viral load suppression (aRR = 1.14, 95% C.I: 1.01–1.21) compared to participants that reported no formal education. Overall, there was no association found between HIV treatment outcomes and the following covariates: age, wealth index, BMI, tobacco use and marital status. (Table 2)

Alcohol use and controlled hypertension

Participants reporting alcohol use at least once a week and at least once a month were 12% less likely to have controlled hypertension (aRR = 0.88, 95% C.I: 0.68–1.14) compared to those that reported no alcohol use. However, the associations were not statistically significant. (Table 3)

Table 3.

Crude and adjusted association between alcohol use and controlled hypertension amongst participants of the HAALSI study (N = 5059), enrolled between November 2014 and November 2015.

Characteristic Categories Total N(%)a RRb (95% C.I) p valued aRRc (95% C.I) p valued
None 613 (43.7) 1 0.230 1 0.350
Alcohol Use At least once a week 43 (36.8) 0.84 (0.65–1.07) 0.88 (0.68–1.14)
At least once a month 57 (38.8) 0.89 (0.71–1.09) 0.88 (0.70–1.09)
Sex Male 238 (39.6) 1 0.055 1 0.003
Female 475 (44.5) 1.12 (0.99–1.26) 1.22 (1.07–1.39)
Age group (in years) 40–60 222 (38.1) 1 0.006 1 0.007
61 and above 491 (45.3) 1.18 (1.05–1.34) 1.18 (1.05–1.34)
Country of origin South Africa 533 (43.7) 1 0.201 1 0.343
Mozambique/other 179 (40.1) 0.92 (0.80–1.05) 0.93 (0.81–1.08)
1 114 (40.6) 1 0.557 1 0.583
2 128 (41.6) 1.02 (0.84–1.23) 1.01 (0.83–1.23)
Wealth asset index 3 129 (42.3) 1.04 (0.85–1.26) 1.00 (0.82–1.23)
4 175 (46.4) 1.14 (0.95–1.36) 1.13 (0.94–1.37)
5 167 (42.1) 1.03 (0.86–1.24) 1.08 (0.89–1.31)
Underweight 28 (53.8) 1.08 (0.82–1.42) 0.005 1.13 (0.85–1.49) < 0.001
BMI category Normal 188 (49.7) 1 1
Overweight 202 (43.1) 0.87 (0.74–1.00) 0.84 (0.73–0.97)
Obese 251 (39.5) 0.79 (0.69–0.91) 0.75 (0.64–0.86)
Tobacco Use Yes 80 (45.2) 1 0.477 1 0.646
No 633 (42.5) 0.93 (0.79–1.11) 1.05 (0.86–1.27)

C.I = confidence interval.

a

Sample of each exposure category.

b

Crude relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

c

Adjusted relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

d

The overall P-value for trend across all categories of individual variable. Significant values are in bold. 1 = > Reference category. Deviance Goodness of fit model = (1087.7), p = 0.990

Other factors associated with controlled hypertension:

Female participants were 22% more likely to have controlled hypertension (aRR = 1.22, 95% C.I: 1.07–1.39) compared to male participants. Participants aged above 60 years were 18% more likely to have controlled hypertension (aRR = 1.18, 95% C.I: 1.05–1.34) compared to participants aged between 40 and 60 years old. Conversely, obese (aRR = 0.75, 95% C.I: 0.64–0.84) and overweight (aRR = 0.84, 95% C.I: 0.73–0.97) participants were 25% and 16% less likely to have controlled hypertension respectively compared to participants with a normal BMI. There was no association between hypertension treatment outcomes and the following covariates: country of origin, wealth index and tobacco use. (Table 3)

Alcohol use and controlled glycemia

Among those with diabetes, participants reporting alcohol use were 27% less likely to have controlled glycemia (aRR = 0.73, 95% C.I: 0.44–1.22) compared to those that reported no alcohol use. However, this association was not statistically significant. (Table 4)

Table 4.

Crude and adjusted association between alcohol use and controlled glycemia amongst participants of the HAALSI study (N = 5059), enrolled between November 2014 and November 2015.

Characteristic Categories Total N(%)a RRb (95% C.I) p valued aRRc (95% C.I) p valued
Alcohol Use None 128 (54.5) 1 0.453 1 0.23
Yes 12 (46.2) 0.85 (0.55–1.3) 0.73 (0.44–1.22)
Sex Male 66 (58.9) 1 0.135 1 0.027
Female 74 (49.7) 0.84 (0.67–1.05) 0.75 (0.58–0.97)
Age group (in years) 40–60 43 (45.7) 1 0.067 1 0.182
61 and above 97 (68.1) 1.27 (0.98–1.63) 1.22 (0.91–1.64)
Employed 12 (46.2) 1 0.033 1 0.026
Employment status Not working 120 (58.3) 1.26 (0.82–1.94) 1.10 (0.67–1.82)
Homemaker 8 (27.6) 0.6 (0.29–1.23) 0.49 (0.23–1.01)
1 16 (51.6) 1 0.754 1 0.43
2 19 (45.2) 0.88 (0.54–1.41) 0.93 (0.55–1.60)
Wealth asset index 3 29 (56.9) 1.10 (0.73–1.67) 1.16 (0.71–1.89)
4 34 (58.6) 1.14 (0.76–1.70) 1.36 (0.86–2.20)
5 42 (53.2) 1.03 (0.69–1.50) 1.11 (0.70–1.76)
Underweight 2 (100) 1.85 (1.42–2.40) 2.45 (1.20–4.97) 0.8
BMI category Normal 26 (54.2) 1 1
Overweight 36 (49.3) 0.91 (0.87–0.97) 0.92 (0.65–1.31)
Obese 57 (51.8) 0.89 (0.84–0.93) 1.01 (0.73–1.42)
Tobacco Use Yes 13 (61.9) 1 0.389 1 0.547
No 127 (52.9) 0.85 (0.60–1.22) 0.86 (0.54–1.39)

C.I = confidence interval.

a

Sample of each exposure category.

b

Crude relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

c

Adjusted relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

d

The overall P-value for trend across all categories of individual variable. Significant values are in bold. 1 = > Reference category. Deviance Goodness of fit model = (147.51), p = 1.00

Other factors associated with controlled glycemia:

Female participants were 25% less likely to have controlled glycemia (aRR = 0.75, 95% C.I: 0.58–0.97) compared to male participants. Homemakers were 51% less likely to have controlled glycemia (aRR = 0.49, 95% C.I: 0.23–1.01) compared to those that were employed. However, this association was not statistically significant. The following covariates were not associated with controlled glycemia: age, BMI, wealth index and tobacco use. (Table 4)

Alcohol use and optimal treatment outcomes among those with multimorbidity

Among those with multimorbidity there was no difference in treatment outcomes for participants reporting alcohol use at least once a week and at least once a month (aRR = 1.00, C.I: 0.93–1.09) compared to those that reported no alcohol use. The associations were not statistically significant. (Table 5)

Table 5.

Crude and adjusted association between alcohol use and optimal treatment outcomes among those with multimorbidity amongst participants of the HAALSI study (N = 5059), enrolled between November 2014 and November 2015.

Characteristic Categories Total N(%)a RRb (95% C.I) p valued aRRc (95% C.I) p valued
None 382 (51.6) 1 0.357 1 0.981
Alcohol Use At least once a week 50 (59.5) 1.05 (0.98–1.15) 1.00 (0.93–1.09)
At least once a month 43 (52.4) 1.00 (0.93–1.08) 1.00 (0.93–1.08)
Sex Male 190 (50.5) 1 0.352 1 0.296
Female 285 (53.7) 1.02 (0.98–1.07) 1.03 (0.97–1.08)
Age group (in years) 40–60 265 (58.4) 1 < 0.001 1 0.013
61 and above 210 (46.4) 0.92 (0.89–0.96) 0.94 (0.90–0.99)
Country of origin South Africa 329 (49.9) 1 0.014 1 0.040
Mozambique/other 145 (58.9) 1.06 (1.01–1.11) 1.06 (1.0–1.12)
No formal education 209 (52.1) 1 0.174 1 0.173
Education category Some primary (1–7 years) 171 (52.8) 1.00 (0.96–1.05) 1.02 (0.97–1.08)
Some secondary (8–11 years) 64 (59.8) 1.05 (0.98–1.12) 1.08 (0.99–1.16)
Secondary or more (12 + years) 31 (43.1) 0.94 (0.86–1.03) 0.99 (0.89–1.08)
Never married 19 (52.8) 1 0.001 1 0.026
Separated / divorced 96 (65.8) 1.08 (0.97–1.22) 1.01 (0.96–1.20)
Marital status Widowed 168 (52.3) 0.99 (0.89–1.12) 1.03 (0.92–1.15)
Currently married 192 (47.6) 0.97 (0.86–1.08) 0.98 (0.87–1.09)
1 97 (61.4) 1 0.030 1 0.884
2 93 (54.1) 0.95 (0.89–1.04) 0.97 (0.90–1.04)
Wealth asset index 3 90 (52.6) 0.95 (0.88–1.01) 0.98 (0.92–1.06)
4 106 (51.5) 0.94 (0.88–1.00) 0.98 (0.90–1.05)
5 89 (44.5) 0.89 (0.84–0.96) 0.96 (0.89–1.04)
Underweight 23 (74.2) 1.06 (0.96–1.17) < 0.001 1.04 (0.94–1.16) 0.001
BMI category Normal 164 (64.3) 1 1
Overweight 126 (50.2) 0.91 (0.87–0.97) 0.92 (0.87–0.97)
Obese 142 (45.5) 0.89 (0.84–0.93) 0.89 (0.84–0.94)
Tobacco Use Yes 45 (56.3) 1 0.459 1 0.742
No 430 (52.0) 0.97 (0.90–1.05) 0.99 (0.91–1.07)

C.I = confidence interval.

a

Sample of each exposure category.

b

Crude relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

c

Adjusted relative risk from modified Poisson regression.

d

The overall P-value for trend across all categories of individual variable. Significant values are in bold. 1 = > Reference category. Deviance Goodness of fit model = (131.66), p = 1.00

Other factors associated with optimal treatment outcomes among those with multimorbidity:

Among participants with multimorbidity those aged above 60 years were 6% less likely to have optimal treatment outcomes (aRR = 0.94, 95% C.I: 0.90–0.99) compared to those aged between 40 and 60 years. In addition, Immigrants (Mozambique or other) were 6% likely to have optimal treatment outcomes (aRR = 1.06, 95% C.I: 1.00–1.12) compared to those from South Africa. Obese (aRR = 0.89, 95% C.I: 0.84–0.94) and overweight (aRR = 0.92, 95% C.I: 0.89–0.97) were less likely to have optimal treatment outcomes compared to participants with a normal BMI. (Table 5)

Sensitivity Analyses

We carried out a sensitivity analysis to determine the association between alcohol use and optimal treatment outcomes among those with multimorbidity. The results obtained across alcohol use categories were similar for both multimorbidity (HIV, hypertension and diabetes mellitus) (Table 5) and multimorbidity without HIV (Supplementary Tables 6).

DISCUSSION

The study sought to establish the association between alcohol use and chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes (HIV viral load suppression, controlled hypertension, and glycemic control) among adults aged 40 years and above in rural South Africa. This study shows that the prevalence of optimal treatment outcome was highest for HIV and sub optimal (inadequate) for hypertension, diabetes and among those with multimorbidity. Furthermore, alcohol use was not significantly associated with any of the chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes (HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity).

The prevalence of optimal hypertension treatment outcome was 42.7%, which is within the range of similar studies done in South Africa that reported a prevalence ranging from 19–56% of controlled hypertension outcomes (25). However, the WHO SAGE wave 2 reported that only 18% had controlled hypertension treatment outcome (6). We also reported a prevalence of 53.6% for optimal diabetes mellitus treatment outcome, which is much higher than a prevalence of 19% and 23% reported in previous studies done in South Africa (7)(21). The prevalence optimal HIV treatment outcome was 87.3%, which was similar to a population-based survey that reported 87% were virally suppressed(8). The prevalence of optimal hypertension and diabetes mellitus treatment outcomes are better than those reported in previous studies but still inadequate. The improved hypertension treatment outcome could be attributed to the improved health care amongst this population which has been followed up in the Agincourt HDSS since 1992.

Alcohol use was not associated with any of the chronic diseases (HIV, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus) treatment outcomes in this study population. These findings might have been influenced by several factors that include this study did not assess adherence to treatment for the participants that self-reported being on treatment. Baum et al, found that adherence to medication mediates the association between alcohol use and HIV treatment outcomes (26). In addition, this study population was an older population and Korhonen et al concluded that initiation of chronic disease medication was associated with a greater decline in alcohol consumption (27). Furthermore, a study done showed that alcohol consumption patterns differ with age and older age groups were associated with lower alcohol consumption (28). However, this study assessed the frequency of alcohol use and did not quantify the alcohol consumption of those that self-reported alcohol use. Lastly, alcohol use was self-reported in this study which could have resulted in social desirability bias thereby affecting our results. Stockwell et al found that infrequent drinkers under-estimate their consumption more than frequent drinkers (29). Recent studies have suggested using biomarkers such as Phosphatidyethanol, carbohydrate-deficient transferrin and gamma-glutamyl transferase to validate self-report alcohol use (30–32). Nonetheless, these biomarkers should be interpreted with caution in people with liver disease.

Even though alcohol use was not associated with the chronic condition optimal treatment outcomes:

  1. For viral load suppression this study findings are consistent with a study done in Kenya which showed that alcohol use was not associated with a suppressed viral load (15). Another study found that women aged 50 years and above were less likely to have a non-suppressed viral load than women under 50 years (33). Conversely, some studies that found a significant association between alcohol use and a high viral load were among a younger population and those that consumed more than 20 units of alcohol per week (12). Cook et al, suggested that differences in the way alcohol consumption is defined and measured can result in different conclusions on the relationship between alcohol consumption and HIV (34).

  2. For hypertension treatment outcomes, findings are supported by a study done which found that older age groups had a better awareness of lifestyle changes and good treatment outcomes (16). A reduction in alcohol consumption was shown to reduce blood pressure among hypertensive men who were drinkers (13). Other studies showed light drinking to be protective and moderate to heavy drinking was associated with increased blood pressure, however, the effects of alcohol are heterogenous and vary according to dose and pattern (13).

  3. For diabetes mellitus treatment outcomes, the findings are similar to the other studies in sub-Sahara Africa that showed alcohol was not associated with poor glycemic control (14)(17). However, other studies reported that moderate alcohol consumption of 5 to 20g of alcohol use was associated with better glycemic control as it decreases HbA1C and increases insulin sensitivity (30).

  4. For multimorbidity treatment outcomes, there are a few studies that have looked at multimorbidity interventions and the evidence to support the different approaches is still limited (35). But a study done on hypertension control among people living with HIV-showed that alcohol use was not associated with the treatment outcomes (36).

In this study, some covariates such as age, sex and BMI were associated with treatment outcomes. Specifically, females were more likely than men to have optimal treatment outcomes for HIV and hypertension that is consistent with previous studies that reported females had better outcomes because they tend to adhere to treatment schedules more than men in South Africa (6).

Another important covariate in this study was age as such those older than 60 years were more likely to have optimal treatment outcomes for HIV, hypertension and diabetes mellitus, we attribute this to the impact of lifestyle modifications among older age groups following chronic disease diagnosis (27). On the other hand, those with multimorbidity had poorer treatment outcomes possibility due to challenges associated with multimorbidity, for example, polypharmacy leading to unfavorable drug side effects (3).

Overweight and obese participants had suboptimal treatment outcomes amongst those with multimorbidity due to increased risk of chronic conditions to overweight and obese participants (3–4).

It is important to consider the following limitations when interpreting this study’s findings. First, because this study was cross-sectional, it was not possible to determine the temporal relationship between alcohol use and treatment outcomes. Therefore, not possible to establish causality. Second, alcohol use was self-reported and that could be subjected to recall and social desirability bias. This could have led to underreporting and therefore biased the association of alcohol use and chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes towards the null. Lastly, the hypertension and blood glucose were assessed at one time point and therefore unable to determine/ establish long term control of hypertension and diabetes. For glycemic assessment, HbA1C assessment would have been a better indicator of glycemic control as it measures the average blood sugar levels over the past three months (14).

In conclusion, this study has shown that reported alcohol use is not associated with chronic diseases’ treatment outcomes (HIV, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity). In addition, the prevalence of optimal hypertension, diabetes mellitus and multimorbidity treatment outcomes were low. There is an urgent need to optimize treatment outcomes to reduce morbidity and mortality. We need to incorporate objective alcohol measurements in chronic diseases care settings. Furthermore, there is an urgent need to strengthen the management of hypertension and diabetes, by adopting the strategies deployed for HIV management. Also, critical to strengthen the management of multimorbidity in older populations.

Availability of data and other materials

Data are available in a public, open access repository. Any additional data requests could be directed to chodziwadziwa.kabudula@wits.ac.za. The HAALSI baseline data are publicly available at the Harvard Centre for Population and Development Studies (HCPDS) programme website https://haalsi.org/data.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the following: the residents of the Agincourt subdistrict and Health and Socio-Demographic Surveillance System who participated in this study, The University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Funding

There was no funding for this study however for the primary study: HAALSI is supported by the National Institute on Ageing (NIA) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) grant number P01AG041710 to Lisa F Berkman. HAALSI is nested within the Agincourt Health and Socio Demographic Surveillance System. The ongoing Agincourt Health and socio-Demographic surveillance System has been enabled with funding from the South African Department of Science and Innovation through the South African Population Research Infrastructure Network (SAPRIN) which is hosted by the South African Medical Research Council; the South African Medical Research Council; the University of the Witwatersrand, and previously the Wellcome Trust, UK. Grants 058893/Z/99/A, 069683/Z/02/Z, 085477/Z/08/Z

Abbreviations

AHDSS

Agincourt Health and Socio-demographic Surveillance Site

AIDS

Acquired Immuno-Deficiency Syndrome

ART

Anti Retro-viral Therapy

BMI

Body Mass Index

C.W.K

Chodziwadziwa W. Kabudula

CVDs

Cardiovascular diseases

HAALSI

The Health and Ageing in Africa – a Longitudinal Study in an INDEPTH community

HbA1C

Hemogloblin A1C

HIV

Human Immunodeficiency Virus

J.M.F

Joel Msafiri Francis

NCDs

Non-communicable diseases

PLHIV

People Living with HIV

R.M

Rumbidzai Mupfuti

SA NSP-NCD

South African National Strategic Plan for the Prevention and Control of Non-communicable diseases

SADHS

South African Demographic and Health Survey

WHO-SAGE

World Health Organisation Study on Global AGEing and Adult Health

WHO

World Health Organisation

Appendix

Appendix 3 and 4 are not available with this version.

Funding Statement

There was no funding for this study however for the primary study: HAALSI is supported by the National Institute on Ageing (NIA) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) grant number P01AG041710 to Lisa F Berkman. HAALSI is nested within the Agincourt Health and Socio Demographic Surveillance System. The ongoing Agincourt Health and socio-Demographic surveillance System has been enabled with funding from the South African Department of Science and Innovation through the South African Population Research Infrastructure Network (SAPRIN) which is hosted by the South African Medical Research Council; the South African Medical Research Council; the University of the Witwatersrand, and previously the Wellcome Trust, UK. Grants 058893/Z/99/A, 069683/Z/02/Z, 085477/Z/08/Z

Footnotes

Competing interests

All other authors declare no competing interests.

Additional Declarations: No competing interests reported.

Consent for publication

All authors declare that they consent to publication.

Ethical approval

The study was approved by the University of Witwatersrand Human Research Ethics Committee (Approval No.230446).

Supplementary Files

This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.

SupplementaryTablesSR.docx

Contributor Information

Rumbidzai Mupfuti, University of the Witwatersrand.

Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, University of the Witwatersrand.

Joel Francis, University of the Witwatersrand.

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