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. 2025 Aug 4;16:7139. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-59123-4

National evidence on glucose-lowering medication use for diabetes from 62 low- and middle-income countries

Felix Teufel 1,2,, Pia Roddewig 3, Maja E Marcus 4,5,6, Michaela Theilmann 4,5, Glennis Andall-Brereton 7, Krishna Aryal 8, Sina Azadnajafabad 9, Pascal Bovet 10,11, Maria Dorobantu 12, Farshad Farzadfar 9, Corine Houehanou 13, Abla Sibai 14, Andrew C Stokes 15, Demetre Labadarios 16, Mongal Gurung 17, Jutta Jorgensen 18, Khem Karki 19, Nuno Lunet 20, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam 21,22, Kibachio J Mwangi 23, Lela Sturua 24, Till Bärnighausen 25, David Flood 26, Pascal Geldsetzer 27,28, Albertino Damasceno 29, Justine Davies 30, Sebastian Vollmer 3, Mohammed K Ali 1,2,31, Jennifer Manne-Goehler 4,5,#, Caroline Bulstra 25,32,#
PMCID: PMC12322005  PMID: 40759643

Abstract

Given rising diabetes prevalence globally, access to diabetes treatments is gaining urgency. Yet, it remains unknown which glucose-lowering medication types people with diabetes across low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) use. In this cross-sectional analysis, we pooled nationally representative data of 223,283 adults aged ≥25 years in 62 LMICs from 2009 to 2019. We found that 51.9% [95%-CI: 49.6%, 54.2%] of 21,715 individuals with diabetes were undiagnosed. Among individuals with diagnosed diabetes, 18.6% [95%-CI: 14.5%, 23.4%] reported using no glucose-lowering medication, 57.3% [95%-CI: 53.1%, 61.4%] only used oral medication, 19.5% [95%-CI: 17.6%, 21.5%] used oral medication and insulin, and 4.7% [95%-CI: 3.9%, 5.6%] used insulin alone. In low-income countries, fewer individuals with diabetes were diagnosed and treated than in middle-income countries. Yet, among individuals who did get diagnosed, insulin use was two-thirds higher in low-income countries (38.9% [95%-CI: 31.6%, 46.7%]) compared to middle-income countries (23.2%; 95%-CI: 21.0%, 25.5%]). This finding could suggest a need for earlier diagnosis and treatment initiation. Our results can inform national and regional drug procurement efforts across LMICs.

Subject terms: Type 2 diabetes, Epidemiology


Given rising diabetes prevalence globally, access to diabetes treatments is gaining urgency. Here, the authors show patterns of glucose-lowering medication use for diabetes across 62 low- and middle-income countries.

Introduction

Globally, the burden of diabetes is increasingly borne by low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where around 80% of the 828 million adults living with diabetes mellitus reside1,2. Given extant care gaps3, international guidelines by the World Health Organization (WHO) recommend, next to behavioral interventions, various glucose-lowering medications with demonstrated cost-effectiveness for managing diabetes and preventing complications, including in low-resource settings4. Yet, the availability and affordability of essential glucose-lowering medications, including insulin, is limited in many LMICs5. Although access to medicines has been recognized as a key barrier to delivering diabetes care6, there is little empirical information about which glucose-lowering medication types individuals with diagnosed diabetes use.

Using cross-sectional, nationally representative data of adults aged ≥25 years from 62 LMICs, we show global and country-level patterns of glucose-lowering medication use for diabetes. This evidence is crucial for understanding potential access disparities and informing future drug procurement efforts, aiming to improve diabetes care globally.

Results

Our final sample comprised 223,283 individuals in 13 low-income, 25 lower-middle-income, and 24 upper-middle-income countries across six world regions (Table 1). Out of the 62 countries, 54 (87.1%) used WHO Stepwise Approach to Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Surveillance (STEPS) surveys and 8 countries employed surveys with comparable sampling and measurement methodologies. Data were collected between 2009 and 2019 with a median response rate across surveys of 89.5% (IQR: 75.7%, 96.3%). Weighted diabetes prevalence based on glycemic markers was 10.1% (95% CI: 9.3%, 10.9%; N = 21,715).

Table 1.

Characteristics of surveys and study populations, by geographical region

Region Country Survey year Survey type Country income group Response rate Sample size Mean age, years (SD) # of women (weighted %) Diabetes prevalence
LAC Chile 2009-10 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 85.0% 3826 47.6 (15.6) 2281 (50.5%) 10.1%
Costa Rica 2010 STEPS Upper-MIC 87.8% 2306 47.2 (12.4) 1680 (50.9%) 10.2%
Ecuador 2018 STEPS Upper-MIC 69.4% 3351 44.6 (12.1) 1967 (51.6%) 9.1%
El Salvador 2014-2015 Non-STEPS Lower-MIC 67.6% 3940 48.2 (16.7) 2467 (54.8%) 10.6%
Guyana 2016 STEPS Upper-MIC 77.0% 789 41.9 (5.6) 498 (52.9%) 20.0%
Mexico 2018 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 90.0% 11,857 49.3 (28.6) 6,52 (58.5%) 18.3%
ECA Azerbaijan 2017 STEPS Upper-MIC 97.3% 2394 43.1 (10.0) 1427 (51.2%) 8.2%
Belarus 2016 STEPS Upper-MIC 87.1% 4423 45.9 (14.0) 2586 (52.4%) 5.2%
Georgia 2016 STEPS Lower-MIC 75.7% 2969 46.4 (11.6) 2148 (52.7%) 6.5%
Kyrgyzstan 2013 STEPS Lower-MIC 100.0% 2482 40.8 (9.6) 1567 (48.4%) 5.4%
Moldova 2013 STEPS Lower-MIC 83.5% 3341 43.8 (12.0) 2125 (50.2%) 7.0%
Mongolia 2019 STEPS Lower-MIC 97.4% 5436 41.6 (14.1) 3002 (50.5%) 9.9%
Romania 2015-2016 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 69.1% 1775 51.5 (11.1) 931 (52.5%) 11.4%
Tajikistan 2016 STEPS Lower-MIC 94.0% 2171 36.3 (9.1) 1270 (43.6%) 5.5%
Turkmenistan 2018 STEPS Upper-MIC 93.8% 3304 41.2 (11.6) 1878 (48.2%) 6.9%
SEA Afghanistan 2018 STEPS LIC 2500 41.2 (10.0) 1130 (45.8%) 14.0%
Bangladesh 2018 STEPS Lower-MIC 83.3% 6010 41.8 (14.7) 3142 (52.3%) 9.0%
Bhutan 2019 STEPS Lower-MIC 96.9% 4709 41.1 (13.3) 2872 (43.3%) 3.6%
Cambodia 2010 STEPS LIC 96.3% 5026 40.5 (12.9) 3236 (50.8%) 2.4%
China 2009 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 88.0% 8098 52.5 (20.8) 4313 (53.3%) 8.7%
Indonesia 2014 Non-STEPS Lower-MIC 90.5% 4868 43.7 (15.2) 2701 (51.8%) 8.0%
Laos 2013 STEPS Lower-MIC 99.2% 2083 42.4 (8.3) 1247 (58.4%) 5.7%
Myanmar 2014 STEPS Lower-MIC 94.0% 7754 41.8 (16.2) 5048 (49.2%) 6.4%
Nepal 2019 STEPS Lower-MIC 86.4% 4456 40.7 (13.9) 2835 (53.1%) 6.7%
Sri Lanka 2014 STEPS Lower-MIC 72.0% 3819 43.8 (12.9) 2350 (49.8%) 12.3%
Vietnam 2015 STEPS Lower-MIC 97.4% 2761 42.8 (10.6) 1580 (50.6%) 3.1%
SSA Benin 2015 STEPS LIC 98.6% 4038 39.0 (11.8) 2103 (53.7%) 6.6%
Botswana 2014 STEPS Upper-MIC 63.0% 2573 39.2 (10.0) 1773 (48.8%) 3.8%
Burkina Faso 2013 STEPS LIC 99.1% 3944 39.2 (11.5) 1998 (53.0%) 2.7%
Comoros 2011 STEPS LIC 96.5% 2298 41.7 (9.2) 1696 (73.8%) 4.3%
Eritrea 2010 STEPS LIC 97.0% 5360 43.6 (15.7) 3801 (80.5%) 3.7%
Eswatini 2014 STEPS Lower-MIC 76.0% 1863 40.5 (8.8) 1251 (55.9%) 6.6%
Ethiopia 2015 STEPS LIC 95.5% 6503 37.9 (15.7) 3713 (44.9%) 2.3%
Kenya 2015 STEPS Lower-MIC 93.0% 3324 39.1 (11.2) 1978 (50.4%) 2.4%
Lesotho 2012 STEPS Lower-MIC 80.0% 1968 38.1 (8.2) 1294 (49.4%) 2.8%
Liberia 2011 STEPS LIC 87.1% 1539 37.6 (6.6) 827 (53.7%) 13.1%
Malawi 2009 STEPS LIC 95.5% 2804 38.7 (9.8) 1936 (49.8%) 0.9%
Mozambique 2014-2015 STEPS LIC 98.4% 1562 40.6 (7.4) 931 (58.1%) 5.1%
Rwanda 2012 STEPS LIC 99.8% 5078 38.7 (12.6) 3160 (52.4%) 1.6%
Seychelles 2013 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 73.0% 1240 42.6 (6.2) 709 (49.9%) 19.4%
South Africa 2012 Non-STEPS Upper-MIC 81.3% 2987 44.2 (13.3) 1955 (53.5%) 13.5%
Sudan 2016 STEPS Lower-MIC 95.0% 5311 40.0 (14.1) 3348 (45.9%) 8.3%
Tanzania 2012 STEPS LIC 94.7% 4573 39.0 (12.2) 2386 (49.9%) 2.8%
Togo 2010 STEPS LIC 91.0% 2548 38.9 (9.3) 1287 (51.5%) 3.3%
Zambia 2017 STEPS Lower-MIC 74.0% 2564 39.2 (9.4) 1566 (50.0%) 8.2%
Zanzibar 2011 STEPS LIC 91.0% 2173 38.8 (7.9) 1331 (50.9%) 3.6%
MENA Algeria 2016 STEPS Upper-MIC 93.8% 5183 42.0 (14.0) 2844 (48.6%) 11.6%
Iran 2016 STEPS Upper-MIC 98.4% 18,536 47.6 (34.0) 9859 (53.8%) 10.3%
Iraq 2015 STEPS Upper-MIC 98.8% 2145 45.4 (11.2) 1324 (51.3%) 23.4%
Jordan 2019 STEPS Upper-MIC 97.0% 2879 42.1 (10.7) 1874 (52.3%) 14.6%
Lebanon 2017 STEPS Upper-MIC 65.9% 1106 43.5 (6.4) 692 (52.3%) 13.3%
Libya 2009 STEPS Upper-MIC 73.0% 1771 37.4 (7.5) 789 (46.9%) 13.8%
Morocco 2017 STEPS Lower-MIC 89.0% 4207 46.1 (16.2) 2736 (50.9%) 13.6%
OCN Fiji 2011 STEPS Lower-MIC 80.0% 2424 41.9 (8.8) 1359 (49.4%) 13.6%
Kiribati 2015 STEPS Lower-MIC 55.0% 984 42.1 (6.1) 549 (55.0%) 20.2%
Marshall Islands 2017 STEPS Upper-MIC 92.3% 2252 42.8 (9.8) 1168 (51.9%) 31.8%
Nauru 2015-2016 STEPS Upper-MIC 74.5% 785 40.0 (5.4) 420 (51.1%) 20.6%
Palau 2011-2013 STEPS Upper-MIC 73.0% 1876 43.2 (7.7) 972 (46.3%) 20.0%
Samoa 2013 STEPS Lower-MIC 64.0% 1306 41.4 (6.7) 787 (48.0%) 24.6%
Solomon Islands 2015 STEPS Lower-MIC 58.4% 1440 41.5 (7.1) 782 (51.8%) 5.3%
Tokelau 2014 STEPS Upper-MIC 70.0% 425 40.8 (4.0) 222 (52.6%) 30.9%
Tuvalu 2015 STEPS Upper-MIC 76.0% 860 43.6 (6.1) 471 (46.0%) 12.8%
Vanuatu 2011 STEPS Lower-MIC 94.0% 4406 39.6 (12.1) 2165 (52.1%) 16.2%
World (all data) 2009-2019 - - 89.5% 223,283 42.2 (12.6) 131,189 (51.8%) 10.1%

The Afghanistan STEPS survey did not provide a response rate. Data on age and sex were missing for 9 (0.00%) and 2 (0.00%) participants, respectively. Proportions estimated using the sampling weights provided by each survey. STEPS Stepwise Approach to Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Surveillance, LAC Latin America and the Caribbean, ECA Eastern Europe and Central Asia, SEA South, East, and Southeast Asia, SSA Sub-Saharan Africa, MENA Middle East and Northern Africa, OCN Oceania.

Among the 48.1% (95% CI: 45.8%, 50.4%) of people with diabetes who were diagnosed, 81.4% reported using some form of glucose-lowering medication. Specifically, 57.3% (95% CI: 53.1%, 61.4%) only used oral medication, 19.5% (95% CI: 17.6%, 21.5%) used oral medication and insulin, and 4.7% (95% CI: 3.9%, 5.6%) only used insulin (Fig. 1). In aggregate, 76.8% of people with diagnosed diabetes used oral medication, and 24.1% used insulin, mostly in combination with oral medicines.

Fig. 1. Glucose-lowering medication use for diabetes across 62 low- and middle-income countries.

Fig. 1

Proportion of all individuals (A) with diabetes who are diagnosed and (B) with diagnosed diabetes who use no medication, oral medication only, insulin only, or a combination of oral medication and insulin. Diabetes was defined as HbA1c ≥ 6.5%, fasting plasma glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L ( ≥ 126 mg/dl), random plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L ( ≥ 200 mg/dl), or use of glucose-lowering medications. Diabetes diagnosis and medication use were self-reported. Estimated using re-scaled sampling weights, such that each country was weighted equally. Top edges of bars indicate weighted proportion estimates; error bars indicate 95%-confidence intervals. N = 21,715. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.

Medication use patterns and proportions diagnosed varied substantially across countries (Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 6) and geographical regions (Supplementary Fig. 3). For example, in Latin America and the Caribbean, 68.7% (95% CI: 65.0%, 72.2%) of people with diagnosed diabetes used oral medication only, whereas in Oceania, this proportion was 47.1% (95% CI: 39.6%, 54.6%). In all countries except Rwanda and Libya, oral diabetes medication use was higher than insulin use.

Fig. 2. Country-level medication use patterns.

Fig. 2

Proportion of all individuals with diabetes (N = 21,715) by country who use no medication, oral medication only, insulin only, a combination of oral medication and insulin, or are undiagnosed. Country names are colored according to World Bank country-income group (red = low-income country; blue = lower-middle-income country; green = upper-middle-income country). Superscript numbers indicate differences in survey questionnaires: 1) surveys asked for diabetes medication use before asking for insulin use; 2) surveys included a multiple-choice question on different diabetes treatment options and/or explicitly specified oral diabetes medication; 3) surveys asked for diabetes medication use after asking for insulin use. Estimated using the sampling weights provided by each survey. Source data are provided in Supplementary Table 6.

In countries with higher income levels, larger proportions of people with diabetes were diagnosed and received treatment (Fig. 3). Among those diagnosed, the proportion using oral medication alone was significantly lower in low-income countries (44.5%; 95% CI: 37.9%, 51.4%) than in lower-middle- and upper-middle-income countries (58.1%; 95% CI: 53.6%, 62.5%). Conversely, low-income countries had a significantly higher proportion of individuals with diagnosed diabetes using insulin as either a single-drug or combination therapy (38.9%; 95% CI: 31.6%, 46.7%) compared to middle-income countries (23.2%; 95% CI: 21.0%, 25.5%). However, when including all individuals with diabetes (diagnosed or undiagnosed) in the denominator, insulin use did not significantly differ across country-income groups (10.9% versus 11.7%; p = 0.627; Supplementary Table 7), given that a smaller proportion of people with diabetes in low-income countries was diagnosed and treated.

Fig. 3. Medication use patterns stratified by country-income group.

Fig. 3

Proportion of all individuals (A) with diabetes who are diagnosed and (B) with diagnosed diabetes across countries who use no medication, oral medication only, insulin only, or a combination of oral medication and insulin, by World Bank country-income group (low-income countries [N = 2104]; lower-middle-income countries [N = 8244], upper-middle-income countries [N = 11,367]) at time of survey data collection. Estimated using re-scaled sampling weights, such that each country was weighted equally. LIC low-income countries, MIC middle-income countries. Right edges of bars indicate weighted proportion estimates; error bars indicate 95%-confidence intervals. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.

Stratifying results by individual-level characteristics, we found that medication use patterns did not vary across participants’ wealth quintiles (Supplementary Fig. 4) or sex (Supplementary Fig. 5). Individuals in older age groups were more likely to be diagnosed and treated, and more often used oral diabetes medicines only (Supplementary Fig. 6).

Overall, 49.1% (95% CI: 46.0%, 52.2%) of individuals using medication attained glycemic control. The prevalence of controlled diabetes did not significantly differ by type of glucose-lowering medication used (Supplementary Table 8). Considering behavioral treatments, 70.7% (95% CI: 66.4%, 74.7%) of diagnosed diabetes patients using no medication previously received advice on health behaviors (physical activity, weight loss, and/or diet), compared to 79.2% (95% CI: 76.7%, 81.5%) among individuals who did use medication (Supplementary Table 9).

In robustness checks, we found no substantial differences in medication use between surveys conducted before versus after 2015 (Supplementary Fig. 7). Our main findings were similar when weighting countries proportional to population size (Supplementary Fig. 8) instead of weighting countries equally.

Discussion

In nationally representative data from 62 LMICs, we found that four out of five people with diagnosed diabetes reported using glucose-lowering medication. Nearly one quarter of diagnosed individuals used insulin, mostly in combination with oral medicines. Medication use patterns varied substantially across countries and regions. Although fewer individuals with diabetes were diagnosed and treated in low-income countries, among those who did get diagnosed, insulin use was two-thirds higher compared to people with diagnosed diabetes in middle-income countries.

In many LMICs, access to various types of glucose-lowering medications is limited. Prior research employing pharmacy audits found that metformin is the most commonly available glucose-lowering drug across LMICs5. Insulin, in contrast, was available in less than half of audited pharmacies, ranging from 10.3% in low-income countries to 40.2% in upper-middle-income countries. Similarly, the affordability of glucose-lowering medications varied across drug classes and country-income groups. While glibenclamide was relatively affordable across LMICs, only one-third of households in low-income countries could afford insulin without incurring catastrophic health expenditure5.

In countries with good availability of diabetes medications, where medication use is largely decoupled from patients’ capacity to pay, such as Denmark, Sweden, Canada, Australia, or England, around 15–25% of type 2 diabetes patients used insulin, mostly in combination with oral medicines79. These findings are comparable to our results in middle-income countries. Yet, proportions of diabetes patients requiring oral medicines, insulin, or only behavioral interventions are likely dependent on contextual factors and population-specific pathophysiological predispositions10.

Our findings are important for health systems and health policy. First, the patterns of glucose-lowering medication use can offer guidance for national and regional drug procurement efforts11. The finding that medication use varied across countries and country-income groups, but not by individual-level wealth, emphasizes the relevance of strategies for strengthening supply chains and increasing access to medicines at the national level12.

Second, the combination of low proportions diagnosed and relatively high insulin use among those diagnosed in some LMICs might suggest the need for earlier detection and treatment initiation, especially if late-stage diagnosis of more severe diabetes is driving higher need for insulin13. Moreover, heterogeneity in insulin use across regions and country-income groups could point to different distributions of type 2 diabetes phenotypes, particularly those marked by deficient insulin secretion10.

Third, in low-income countries, relatively high insulin use among people with diagnosed diabetes could also arise from limited access to and/or under-prescription of insulin-sparing medications. For instance, in various Sub-Saharan African countries, glibenclamide is substantially cheaper than metformin12, but can result in earlier need for insulin therapies14. In our study, 11 out of 13 low-income countries were in Sub-Saharan Africa. Expanding access to newer diabetes medicines, such as SGLT-2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists, might further spare insulin use, though current prices pose a barrier15.

To advance our understanding of global variation in glucose-lowering medication use, longitudinal evidence is needed that maps disease trajectories of diabetes patients across the care continuum, including at which disease stages patients enter care, get diagnosed, initiate treatment, and escalate treatment, and the impact each step has on diabetes control rates. Such evidence needs to integrate data on diabetes phenotypes, as well as information on treatment protocols in different countries and corresponding prescribing behavior of providers.

Our study has several limitations. First, given limited surveillance and data infrastructure for diabetes in many LMICs, data from different countries were collected at different time points and some surveys were more than ten years old at the time of analysis. However, we observed no substantial differences in medication use between less and more recent surveys. Second, surveys did not distinguish between diabetes types and we did not have data on specific medication classes that participants used. Therefore, we could not infer the appropriateness of treatment regimens at the individual level. The prevalence of type 1 diabetes might vary across countries and influence overall insulin use, though less than 5% of diabetes cases globally are type 116. Third, medication use and diagnosis were self-reported, which may have led to modest misclassification, for example due to limited knowledge among patients. However, the validity of medication self-reports for diabetes is generally found to be high17. Fourth, questions on diabetes medication and insulin use were asked in a different order and with slightly different wording across surveys (Supplementary Table 5), which for instance may lead to underestimation of insulin use as a single-drug vis-à-vis combination therapy. Fifth, some smaller surveys included relatively few or no individuals with diagnosed diabetes using insulin alone, increasing the chance of random error, which, where possible, we quantify using 95%-CIs (Supplementary Table 6).

In conclusion, half of people living with diabetes across LMICs are undiagnosed. Of those with diagnosed diabetes, 81% report using glucose-lowering medication, though patterns of medication use vary substantially by country, geographical region, and country-income group. Relatively high insulin use in low-income countries, where fewer people with diabetes are diagnosed, could suggest a need for earlier diagnosis and treatment initiation. Future data on diabetes phenotypes and prescribing patterns are needed. Tailoring the management of diabetes to different contexts will contribute to improving health system performance for diabetes across LMICs.

Methods

Ethical approval for each survey was granted by the respective country’s ethics review committee prior to data collection. The extant study and complete dataset were deemed non-human subjects research by the institutional review boards of the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health (protocol IRB16-1915) and Emory University, respectively. Respondents gave written informed consent and received no compensation.

In this cross-sectional study, we performed a pooled analysis of individual participant, nationally representative data of 62 LMICs from the Global Health and Population Project on Access to Care for Cardiometabolic Diseases (HPACC). We systematically searched national surveys with diabetes biomarkers (Supplementary Methods and Supplementary Fig. 1). The most common source for identifying and accessing surveys was the WHO data repository18. Several additional surveys that are not yet publicly available were obtained through formal requests to survey teams.

In each country, we selected the most recent survey meeting our inclusion criteria. For the present study, we included surveys that (1) were conducted in 2009 or later; (2) were done in a low-income, lower-middle-income, or upper-middle-income country, according to World Bank country-income group classification in the year of data collection19; (3) contained participant-level data; (4) were nationally representative of the adult population; (5) had a response rate of 50% or higher; and (6) contained data on diabetes biomarkers (either an HbA1c or blood glucose measurement). Prior to collation, we performed detailed data quality assessments and harmonized data on key variables20.

To obtain nationally representative samples, most included surveys used a multi-stage cluster random sampling approach20. Survey-specific sampling strategies are detailed in Supplementary Table 1.

Our study population included all non-pregnant individuals 25 years and older with complete data on diabetes biomarkers and medication use (Supplementary Fig. 2). This age threshold corresponds to the minimum age for eligibility in most included surveys.

We ascertained diabetes status using the following criteria: (1) HbA1c ≥ 6.5%; (2) fasting plasma glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L (≥126 mg/dl); (3) random plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L (≥200 mg/dl); or (4) self-reported use of prescribed glucose-lowering medication. Capillary glucose measurements were converted to plasma equivalents21. Details on glucose measurement for each survey are provided in Supplementary Table 2. While we cannot distinguish between diabetes types, type 2 diabetes accounts for 96% of all diabetes cases among adults of any age globally16. Despite some variation, in 90% of countries more than 90% of diabetes cases are type 2 rather than type 1. These proportions are likely higher in adults aged ≥25 years.

Diabetes diagnosis status was based on self-report; all participants were asked if a health professional ever diagnosed them with diabetes. Individuals who reported no previous diabetes diagnosis but had elevated biomarkers were considered as having undiagnosed diabetes. Current medication use was determined through two separate questions on insulin use and the use of any (oral) glucose-lowering medication, respectively (Supplementary Table 3).

Among individuals with diagnosed diabetes, we estimated mutually exclusive proportions of individuals who (1) did not use glucose-lowering medications, or used (2) only oral medication, (3) only insulin, or (4) a combination of insulin and oral medication. We estimated these proportions at the global-, regional-, country-, and World Bank country-income group-level22. We also compared medication use by survey year (2009 to 2014 versus 2015 to 2019). Moreover, we stratified our results by individual-level characteristics (Supplementary Table 4), including ten-year age group, self-reported sex, and – in a sub-sample of 51 countries with data on household wealth – wealth quintiles. The construction and harmonization of household wealth quintiles is described in Supplementary Table 5 and further detailed elsewhere20,23.

In an exploratory analysis, we estimated the prevalence of controlled diabetes (defined as HbA1c < 7.0% or FBG < 8.6 mmol/L)24 among individuals using different types of glucose-lowering medication. Lastly, we estimated proportions of diabetes patients who previously received advice on health behaviors (physical activity, weight loss, and/or diet).

In all statistical analyses, we used sampling weights provided by surveys to adjust for nonresponse, selection probabilities, and systematic differences between sample populations and target populations. In all pooled analyses, we rescaled sampling weights, such that each country was weighted equally22. In a robustness check, we re-scaled sampling weights in proportion to population size of the respective country20. We used Stata version 15.1 for all analyses.

Reporting summary

Further information on research design is available in the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article.

Supplementary information

Reporting Summary (2.2MB, pdf)
Peer Review File (1.2MB, pdf)

Source data

Source Data (30.7KB, xlsx)

Acknowledgements

C.B. was supported supported by the Dutch Research Council’s Rubicon programme (project number 452022313). JMG received funding from the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (project number 5K23DK125162-03) and consulting fees from the World Health Organization.

Author contributions

F.T., C.B., J.M., and M.A. conceived the study. F.T. performed the data analysis under supervision of C.B. and with support from M.M. and M.T. F.T. and C.B. wrote the initial draft of the paper, with input from J.M., M.A., M.M., M.T., D.F., A.D., J.D., P.R., and S.V. G.A., K.A., S.A., P.B., M.D., F.F., C.H., Ab.S., An.S., D.L., M.G., J.J., K.K., N.L., S.M., K.M., L.S., T.B., P.G. provided further critical input on the manuscript. F.T. and C.B. have accessed and verified the data. All co-authors read and reviewed the final paper and agreed with the decision to submit the paper for publication.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Communications thanks Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Jens Steen Nielsen and the other, anonymous, reviewer for their contribution to the peer review of this work. A peer review file is available.

Data availability

Findings reported in this study are based on the pooled, harmonized, de-identified, participant-level Global Health and Population Project on Access to Care for Cardiometabolic Diseases (HPACC) dataset. The dataset and accompanying data dictionary were created through a partnership between Harvard University, University of Göttingen, and Heidelberg University in collaboration with all in-country survey teams. Researchers can request access to the dataset for non-commercial purposes by contacting the HPACC team at hpacc@uni-heidelberg.de, allowing two weeks for responses. As further detailed on the HPACC website (https://www.hpaccproject.org/contact-us), data access can be granted after submission of a brief proposal via the HPACC Dataverse (https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/hpacc) to ensure compliance with ethical standards. A simulated dataset for use with the replication code is available on GitHub (https://github.com/fxteufel/HPACC_diab_meds/)25Source data are provided with this paper.

Code availability

Replication code is available on GitHub (https://github.com/fxteufel/HPACC_diab_meds/)25.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

These authors contributed equally: Jennifer Manne-Goehler, Caroline Bulstra.

Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1038/s41467-025-59123-4.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Reporting Summary (2.2MB, pdf)
Peer Review File (1.2MB, pdf)
Source Data (30.7KB, xlsx)

Data Availability Statement

Findings reported in this study are based on the pooled, harmonized, de-identified, participant-level Global Health and Population Project on Access to Care for Cardiometabolic Diseases (HPACC) dataset. The dataset and accompanying data dictionary were created through a partnership between Harvard University, University of Göttingen, and Heidelberg University in collaboration with all in-country survey teams. Researchers can request access to the dataset for non-commercial purposes by contacting the HPACC team at hpacc@uni-heidelberg.de, allowing two weeks for responses. As further detailed on the HPACC website (https://www.hpaccproject.org/contact-us), data access can be granted after submission of a brief proposal via the HPACC Dataverse (https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/hpacc) to ensure compliance with ethical standards. A simulated dataset for use with the replication code is available on GitHub (https://github.com/fxteufel/HPACC_diab_meds/)25Source data are provided with this paper.

Replication code is available on GitHub (https://github.com/fxteufel/HPACC_diab_meds/)25.


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