Abstract
Melatonin regulates circadian rhythms, metabolism, and immunity. Its primary metabolite, 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (aMT6s), is a biomarker linked to cancer risk and metabolic disorders. However, genetic determinants of aMT6s remain poorly understood, with only one prior GWAS limited to an East Asian cohort.
We conducted the first multi-ancestry genome-wide association meta-analysis of urinary aMT6s, integrating 11,744 participants from five cohorts: East Asians (Taiwan Biobank), European women (Nurses’ Health Studies), European men (MrOS), and multiethnic participants (MEC). aMT6s was measured from overnight or first-morning urine samples. Analyses used MR-MEGA and fixed-effects models in METAL. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) were constructed with PRS-CSx and tested for phenome-wide associations in the Mass General Brigham Biobank and UK Biobank.
No genome-wide significant loci were identified, and previously reported East Asian signals were not replicated. At suggestive significance, 23 loci emerged, with eight supported by both MR-MEGA and METAL. Two loci (SLIT3 rs1875972 and C12orf55 rs7137724) showed ancestry-specific heterogeneity, underscoring the role of population context. PRS analyses revealed robust associations with type 2 diabetes and sleep duration, linking aMT6s genetics to metabolic and circadian traits.
These findings highlight context-dependent genetic architecture of melatonin metabolism and emphasize the importance of ancestry in interpreting biomarker GWAS.
Keywords: melatonin, sulphatoxymelatonin, GWAS, meta-analysis, multi-ancestry
Introduction
Melatonin, a hormone synthesized by the pineal gland, plays a critical role in regulating circadian rhythms, cellular metabolism, and immune responses. Its primary metabolite, 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (aMT6s), measured in overnight or first morning urine, serves as a stable and reliable biomarker for assessing nocturnal melatonin secretion in clinical and research settings1. This metabolite exhibits profound physiological and pathological associations. Elevated nocturnal urinary aMT6s levels, for instance, are positively correlated with tumor cell proliferation in gastrointestinal and lung cancer patients2, while reduced levels in renal transplant recipients are linked to higher mortality, underscoring melatonin’s potential therapeutic relevance3. Low levels of aMT6s are also associated with increased risks of breast4–6, oral7, gastric8 and prostate cancer9,10. Additionally, variations in melatonin patterns, such as the timing of dim light melatonin onset (DLMO), offer valuable insights into its temporal dynamics and their connections to chronotype and aging11. In people with Rare Genetic Neurodevelopmental Disorders (RGND), irregularities in melatonin production play a role in circadian rhythm disruptions and associated sleep difficulties12. Melatonin metabolism is influenced by both environmental and genetic factors. Night-shift work, for example, can suppress melatonin production13 while genetic variations, such as the rs10830963 G allele in the MTNR1B gene, have been associated with altered melatonin signaling and an increased risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Disruptions in melatonin rhythms, such as those observed during night-shift work, can lead to secretion patterns that worsen metabolic dysregulation14.
Despite its significance, our understanding of genetic determinants of melatonin secretion remains limited. A recent study in 2,373 East Asian ancestry individuals from the Taiwan Biobank did not identify any genome-wide significant loci, and reported five suggestive (p < 5·10−6) loci associated with urinary aMT6s15. Genetic variation, however, exhibits significant differences across ethnic groups, often resulting in population-specific effects. Therefore, the absence of large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of the melatonin metabolite together with limited racial and ethnic diversity in existing research represent critical limitations. This gap restricts the generalizability of findings and impedes a comprehensive understanding of melatonin’s role in health across diverse populations. Furthermore, to the best of our knowledge, currently available datasets that simultaneously include comprehensive genetic information and aMT6s measurements lack sufficient sample sizes to achieve the statistical power necessary for robust genetic studies, thereby hindering advancements in this area of research. To address these limitations, we aggregated data from the Taiwan Biobank (TBB), the Nurses’ Health Study I (NHS1), the Nurses’ Health Study II (NHS2), Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS), and the Multiethnic Cohort (MEC). By pooling urinary aMT6s data and genetic information across these cohorts, we aimed to perform a GWAS meta-analysis that increases statistical power and incorporates diverse populations.
Results
Among the 11,744 individuals (54.5% men), genetically determined ancestry assignments identified 6,925 (59%) with European, 2,373 (20.2%) with East Asian, 1,494 (12.7%) with Japanese, 426 (3.7%) with African, 290 (2.5%) with Native Hawaiian and 226 (1.9%) with Latino ancestry. The average age of participants was 62.3 years (SDage=10 years) with MrOS cohort containing the oldest (meanage=73.1 (SDage=5.6)) and Taiwan Biobank representing the youngest cohort (meanage=50.8 (SDage=10.8); Table 1).
Table 1.
Descriptive characteristics of study participants with urinary 6-sulfatoxy melatonin and genetic data available in Taiwan Biobank (TBB), the Nurses' Health Study I (NHS1), the Nurses' Health Study II (NHS2), MrOs and Multiethnic Cohort (MEC).
| TBB | NHS* | MrOs | MEC | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sample size (n) | 2,373 | 3,861 | 2,175 | 3,335 | 11,744 |
| Men; N (%) | 890 (37.51) | 0 (0) | 2,175 (100) | 3,335 (100) | 6,400 (54.5) |
| Women; N (%) | 1,483 (62.5) | 3,861 (100) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 5,344 (45.5) |
| Age in years, mean (SD) | 50.8 (10.8) | 57.6 (12.8) | 73.1 (5.6) | 68.9 (7.7) | 62.3 (10.0) |
| BMI, mean (SD) | 24.7 (5.8) | 26.61(5.6) | 27.4 (3.7) | 26.5 (4.0) | 26.3 (4.9) |
| Ancestry/race | |||||
| Black; N (%) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 436 (13.1) | 436 (3.7) |
| East Asian; N (%) | 2,373 (100) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 2,373 (20.2) |
| Japanese American; N (%) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 1,494 (44.8) | 1,494 (12.7) |
| Latino; N (%) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 226 (6.8) | 226 (1.9) |
| Native Hawaiian; N (%) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 290 (8.7) | 290 (2.5) |
| White; N (%) | 0 (0) | 3,861 (100) | 2,175 (100) | 889 (26.7) | 6,925 (59) |
| Outcome measures characteristics | |||||
| aMT6s (ng/mL) | |||||
| Median (IQR) | 20.41 (11.88; 30.19) | 24.99 | 7.58 | 16.9 | |
| Mean (SD) | 44.3(5.65) | 9.83 (7.98) | 23.5 (23.9) | ||
| log(aMT6s/Cr) | |||||
| Median (IQR) | 2.83 (2.33; 3.31) | 2.14 | −1.45 | ||
| Mean (SD) | 3.11 (1.16) | 2.06 (0.85) | −1.59 (1.05) | ||
NHS : pooled NHS1 and NHS2 cohorts.
Cohort specific heritabilities and genetic correlations
We estimated cohort-specific heritabilities from cohorts’ GWAS summary statistics, filtered to include only high-quality SNPs from the HapMap 3 reference panel25. Heritabilities ranged from low for the NHS cohort (h2NHS = 0.1582 (SENHS=0.1683)) to moderately high for MrOS (h2MrOS = 0.4182 (SE MrOS=0.2666)) (Supplementary Table A1). LDSC regression analysis indicated positive genetic correlation between NHS and MrOS (rg=0.8073), moderate positive correlation between NHS and MEC (rg=0.5316) and weak negative correlation between MEC and MrOS (rg=−0.0085), but all with large standard errors relative to estimates themselves, and insignificant p-values (p > 0.17) (Supplementary Table A2).
Meta analysis
After cohort-specific quality controls (Supplementary Methods) and data harmonization, 27,217,987 variants met the inclusion criteria, and 2,970,850 were present in all cohorts. These common variants were used for further analyses. Both METAL- and MR-MEGA-based observed scale LD score regression heritabilities indicated low percentage of genetically explained variance (hMETAL2=0.1184; hMR–MEGA2=0.085), with relatively high standard errors (SEMETAL=0.051; SEMR–MEGA=0.057; Supplementary Table A3). Neither METAL nor MR-MEGA identified genome wide significant (p < 5×10−8) variants (Fig. 1(a)–(b), Fig. 2(a)–(b)). With less stringent level, p < 1×10−5, and combining results for METAL and MR-MEGA meta-analyses, we identified 23 suggestive genomic loci (Table 2). METAL identified 15 (Supplementary Table B1), while MR-MEGA 16 genomic loci (Supplementary Table B2), with eight genomic loci identified by both methods (Table 3). These eight suggestive genomic loci were located on RBM6:RBM5 (rs2013208), SOX5 (rs77480549), FAM110B (rs75065017), ZIC1 (rs9990273), PIK3CG (rs185087), SLIT3 (rs1875972), PLD1 (rs13083025) and C12orf55 (rs7137724) genes (Table 3, Supplementary Fig.B1(a)-(p)). Six of them showed homogeneous effects across participating cohorts (I2∈[0,58.2]; Table 3, Fig. 3, Supplementary Fig.B2). The other two - rs1875972 and rs7137724 - showed ancestrally heterogeneous effects, with significant ancestral heterogeneity (Panc.het≤0.0459), but not significant residual heterogeneity (Pres.het≥0.2747, Table 3), suggesting population specific differences rather than other confounding factors.
Figure 1. Manhattan plots of the GWAS meta-analysis results across 11,744 study participants obtained using METAL inverse variance fixed-effects model with genomic control correction or MR-MEGA meta-regression test for Zlog(aMT6:Cr).
The x-axis represents chromosomes and base pair positions of variants tested in the meta-analysis, while the y-axis shows −log10 p-values from the two-sided variant association test.
Figure 2. QQ plots of the GWAS meta-analysis results for Zlog(aMT6:Cr) across 11,744 study participants (a) METAL inverse variance fixed-effects model with genomic control correction; (b) MR-MEGA meta-regression test.
Table 2.
Meta analyses results for lead SNPs. Bolded are i) lead variants with p values < 10–5 (suggestive) in meta-analyses by both METAL and MRMEGA ii) p values < 10–5 (suggestive) from association tests; iii) p-values for heterogeneity tests < 0.05 (significant); iv) pLI scores > 0.99 (putative causal) and v) effect allele frequencies (EAF) in the cohort with the highest EAF.
| Lead SNP | MRMEGA | METAL | pLI | EAF | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GL | rsID | Nearest Gene | CHR | BP | NEA | EA | Effect | StdErr | P.value | Panc.het | Pres.het | Effect | StdErr | P.value | P.Het | TBB | NHS | MrOS | MEC | |
| 1 | rs2013208 | RBM6:RBM5 | 3 | 50129399 | C | T | −0.065 | 0.020 | 4.26E-07 | 9.54E-02 | 0.181 | −0.074 | 0.014 | 2.84E-07 | 1.04E-01 | 1.000 | 0.858 | 0.496 | 0.514 | 0.679 |
| 2 | rs7137724 | C12orf55 | 12 | 97265256 | C | T | 0.057 | 0.010 | 5.20E-07 | 2.44E-03 | 0.676 | 0.070 | 0.016 | 9.87E-06 | 1.93E-02 | 0.000 | 0.849 | 0.717 | 0.722 | 0.811 |
| 3 | rs342460 | AFF1 | 4 | 88059242 | A | G | −0.078 | 0.010 | 5.76E-07 | 5.24E-02 | 0.697 | −0.083 | 0.017 | 6.76E-07 | 2.15E-01 | 0.477 | 0.181 | 0.201 | 0.210 | 0.173 |
| 4 | rs8017601 | ACTN1 | 14 | 69380814 | A | G | −0.040 | 0.037 | 1.22E-06 | 2.12E-07 | 0.225 | −0.016 | 0.030 | 5.91E-01 | 1.56E-06 | 1.000 | 0.051 | 0.037 | 0.034 | 0.084 |
| 5 | rs13268851 | PVT1 | 8 | 129100295 | G | A | 0.026 | 0.003 | 1.79E-06 | 4.97E-07 | 0.952 | 0.015 | 0.014 | 2.77E-01 | 1.37E-05 | * | 0.288 | 0.406 | 0.406 | 0.326 |
| 6 | rs2526452 | COL25A1 | 4 | 110103895 | C | G | −0.065 | 0.024 | 2.45E-06 | 7.33E-02 | 0.065 | −0.067 | 0.014 | 2.37E-06 | 3.45E-02 | 0.000 | 0.738 | 0.675 | 0.683 | 0.681 |
| 7 | rs77480549 | SOX5 | 12 | 24107330 | T | C | −0.123 | 0.031 | 2.53E-06 | 8.90E-01 | 0.460 | −0.119 | 0.024 | 4.24E-07 | 6.69E-01 | 0.999 | 0.286 | 0.013 | 0.014 | 0.146 |
| 4 | rs372896 | RP11-723P16.3 | 14 | 69324446 | A | C | 0.029 | 0.025 | 4.52E-06 | 3.97E-06 | 0.457 | 0.051 | 0.028 | 6.84E-02 | 4.57E-05 | * | 0.321 | 0.324 | 0.333 | 0.373 |
| 8 | rs1875972 | SLIT3 | 5 | 168288992 | G | A | −0.060 | 0.016 | 4.62E-06 | 4.59E-02 | 0.275 | −0.063 | 0.014 | 6.11E-06 | 9.05E-02 | 0.992 | 0.127 | 0.127 | 0.133 | 0.139 |
| 9 | rs13236792 | XRCC2 | 7 | 152394108 | T | C | −0.016 | 0.007 | 5.04E-06 | 8.49E-07 | 0.871 | −0.008 | 0.020 | 6.97E-01 | 2.10E-05 | * | 0.396 | 0.184 | 0.180 | 0.288 |
| 10 | rs7315106 | RP11-405A12.2 | 12 | 20025120 | G | A | 0.037 | 0.013 | 6.19E-06 | 5.76E-06 | 0.478 | 0.029 | 0.016 | 6.57E-02 | 6.89E-05 | * | 0.366 | 0.258 | 0.258 | 0.249 |
| 11 | rs10986249 | NEK6 | 9 | 126918060 | C | G | −0.054 | 0.010 | 7.20E-06 | 1.81E-03 | 0.644 | −0.055 | 0.015 | 2.07E-04 | 1.42E-02 | 0.039 | 0.066 | 0.257 | 0.264 | 0.177 |
| 12 | rs185087 | PIK3CG | 7 | 106489559 | T | C | −0.062 | 0.029 | 8.12E-06 | 9.56E-02 | 0.104 | −0.077 | 0.017 | 5.91E-06 | 6.62E-02 | 0.000 | 0.184 | 0.140 | 0.146 | 0.160 |
| 13 | rs2044251 | AC091736.1 | 7 | 135507742 | A | T | 0.046 | 0.013 | 8.18E-06 | 4.77E-05 | 0.606 | 0.048 | 0.018 | 8.99E-03 | 5.65E-04 | * | 0.049 | 0.080 | 0.078 | 0.068 |
| 14 | rs75065017 | FAM110B | 8 | 59081401 | A | G | −0.130 | 0.019 | 8.57E-06 | 3.48E-01 | 0.608 | −0.123 | 0.026 | 2.46E-06 | 6.01E-01 | 0.173 | 0.500 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.360 |
| 15 | rs9990273 | ZIC1 | 3 | 147267582 | G | C | 0.061 | 0.014 | 8.95E-06 | 2.46E-01 | 0.357 | 0.062 | 0.013 | 3.28E-06 | 3.37E-01 | 0.825 | 0.248 | 0.437 | 0.437 | 0.314 |
| 16 | rs13083025 | PLD1 | 3 | 171487632 | G | C | 0.059 | 0.014 | 9.79E-06 | 1.08E-01 | 0.363 | 0.063 | 0.014 | 6.95E-06 | 2.05E-01 | 0.000 | 0.858 | 0.496 | 0.514 | 0.679 |
| 17 | rs342462 | AFF1 | 4 | 88057481 | G | A | −0.101 | 0.010 | 5.85E-07 | 8.23E-01 | 0.886 | −0.083 | 0.017 | 5.90E-07 | 2.93E-01 | 0.477 | 0.174 | 0.200 | 0.209 | 0.178 |
| 18 | rs56169609 | AC007204.2 | 19 | 20091038 | A | C | −0.079 | 0.006 | 1.06E-05 | 6.18E-02 | 0.884 | 0.072 | 0.015 | 2.01E-06 | 3.04E-01 | * | 0.136 | 0.358 | 0.375 | 0.224 |
| 19 | rs2704102 | COL25A1 | 4 | 110103485 | C | T | −0.065 | 0.024 | 2.50E-06 | 8.26E-02 | 0.056 | −0.067 | 0.014 | 2.19E-06 | 3.31E-02 | 0.000 | 0.738 | 0.683 | 0.683 | 0.682 |
| 20 | rs2725643 | RP11-281H11.1 | 8 | 5552149 | A | G | −0.062 | 0.029 | 2.85E-05 | 4.99E-01 | 0.012 | −0.067 | 0.015 | 5.42E-06 | 9.29E-01 | * | 0.240 | 0.316 | 0.312 | 0.304 |
| 21 | rs10040924 | HMGB1P29 | 5 | 123466039 | C | T | −0.067 | 0.007 | 2.44E-05 | 1.00E + 00 | 0.795 | −0.061 | 0.014 | 5.70E-06 | 2.62E-02 | * | 0.628 | 0.500 | 0.521 | 0.604 |
| 22 | rs12948227 | MYH13 | 17 | 10265366 | C | T | −0.080 | 0.017 | 2.89E-05 | 7.23E-01 | 0.429 | −0.079 | 0.017 | 5.71E-06 | 6.16E-01 | 0.000 | 0.117 | 0.224 | 0.225 | 0.144 |
| 23 | rs73934335 | AC127383.1 | 2 | 68657017 | G | A | 0.075 | 0.021 | 3.88E-05 | 6.64E-01 | 0.176 | −0.104 | 0.023 | 7.45E-06 | 9.62E-01 | * | 0.026 | 0.130 | 0.120 | 0.077 |
GL-genomic loci, CHR-Chromosome, BP-base pair, NEA-non-effect allele, EA-effect allele, Effect-association test effect size estimate, StdErr-standard error of the effect size estimate, P.value-p value for the two sided association test, Panc.het-p value for the two sided ancestral heterogeneity test (chi-square test with 1df), Pres.het-p value for the two sided residual heterogeneity test (chi-square test with 2df), P.Het - p value from the two sided test for heterogeneity (chi-square test with 3df), pLI - probability of being loss-of-function-intolerant for the nearest coding gene, EAF - effect allele frequency, TBB-Taiwan Biobank, NHS - merged NHS1 and NHS2 cohorts, MEC - Multiethnic cohort;
pLI score was not available for this gene (gnomAD v2.1.1)
Table 3.
Common suggestive genomic loci identified in meta-analysis of Zlog(aMT6s:Cr) by both METAL and MR MEGA, with association and heterogeneity statistics
| Suggestive genomic loci | MRMEGA | METAL | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rsID | chr | pos | nearest Gene | P.value | beta | se | Panc.het | P res.het | P.value | beta | se | I2 | P. Het. | |
| 1 | rs2013208 | 3 | 50129399 | RBM6:RBM5 | 4.26E-07 | −0.0654 | 0.0199 | 0.0954 | 0.1805 | 2.84E-07 | −0.0739 | 0.0144 | 51.4 | 0.1036 |
| 2 | rs77480549 | 12 | 24107330 | SOX5 | 2.53E-06 | −0.1226 | 0.0308 | 0.8902 | 0.4600 | 4.24E-07 | −0.1192 | 0.0236 | 0 | 0.6694 |
| 3 | rs75065017 | 8 | 59081401 | FAM110B | 8.57E-06 | −0.1296 | 0.0190 | 0.3481 | 0.6082 | 2.46E-06 | −0.1230 | 0.0261 | 0 | 0.6010 |
| 4 | rs9990273 | 3 | 147267582 | ZIC1 | 8.95E-06 | 0.0613 | 0.0136 | 0.2456 | 0.3565 | 3.28E-06 | 0.0623 | 0.0134 | 11.3 | 0.3365 |
| 5 | rs185087 | 7 | 106489559 | PIK3CG | 8.12E-06 | −0.0623 | 0.0289 | 0.0956 | 0.1044 | 5.91E-06 | −0.0773 | 0.0171 | 58.2 | 0.0662 |
| 6 | rs1875972 | 5 | 168288992 | SLIT3 | 4.62E-06 | −0.0604 | 0.0159 | 0.0459 | 0.2747 | 6.11E-06 | −0.0632 | 0.0140 | 53.7 | 0.0905 |
| 7 | rs13083025 | 3 | 171487632 | PLD1 | 9.79E-06 | 0.0585 | 0.0143 | 0.1080 | 0.3629 | 6.95E-06 | 0.0630 | 0.0140 | 34.6 | 0.2045 |
| 8 | rs7137724 | 12 | 97265256 | C12orf55 | 5.20E-07 | 0.0568 | 0.0102 | 0.0024 | 0.6764 | 9.87E-06 | 0.0698 | 0.0158 | 69.8 | 0.0193 |
P.value - p value for a SNP from the association test; beta - SNP’s effect size estimate; se - standard error of the SNP’s effect size estimate; I2 -I2 Statistics: percentage of variation in the SNP’s effect size across studies due to heterogeneity; P.Het. - p value for Cochrane heterogeneity test; P anc.het- p value for the ancestry heterogeneity test; P res.het - p value for the residual heterogeneity test.
Figure 3. Heterogeneity in lead suggestive SNPs common in METAL and MRMEGA meta-analyses.
Among eight other genomic loci identified exclusively by MR-MEGA, six (Table 2) showed significant ancestry-related heterogeneity but not residual heterogeneity (Table 2; Fig. 4) with opposite effect directions in the TBB cohort versus all other cohorts (Supplementary Fig.A3(a)-(d)) or effect directions in TBB and MEC opposite to NHS and MrOS (Supplementary Fig.B3(e)-(g)). As opposed to this, genomic loci identified exclusively with METAL exhibited more homogeneous effects across study cohorts (Supplementary Table B3, Fig. 5, Fig.B4).
Figure 4. Heterogeneity in lead suggestive SNPs identified exclusively in MRMEGA meta-analyses.
Figure 5. Heterogeneity in lead suggestive SNPs identified exclusively in METAL meta-analyses.
Functional characterization of suggestive genomic loci
Two of our 23 identified genomic loci - rs2013208 and rs185087 - were previously reported in the literature. The one with the lowest p-values in both meta-analyses, rs2013208 associated with lower aMT6s, was previously associated with high HDL levels and coronary artery disease (CAD)26, as well as with sex differences in serum lipid profiles27. The other one, rs185087 (PIK3CG) also associated with lower aMT6s, was previously identified as increasing CAD risk28. When looking at the nearest protein coding gene to each suggestive lead SNP, genes with low probability of being loss-of-function intolerant (pLI) were found both in loci with (C12orf55, NEK6) and without (PLD1, COL25A1, MYH13, FAM110) significant ancestral heterogeneity (Table 2). We observed four genes with the pLI > 0.99 (RBM6: RBM5, ACTN1, SOX5 and SLIT3) and one (ZIC1) with pLI = 0.825 (Table 2). Genomic loci placed on these five genes with high pLI were identified as suggestive by both METAL and MR-MEGA.
MAGMA gene set and tissue expression analysis
We used Functional Mapping and Annotation (FUMA22,23) to functionally annotate results of our meta-analyses. We ran multi-marker analysis of genomic annotation (MAGMA29) for gene ontology, tissue level and single cell expression data. For both METAL and MR-MEGA results, input SNPs were mapped to 15,857 protein coding genes and the genome-wide significance was defined at P = 3.153×10−6. No gene ontology terms were significant at this level for METAL (Supplementary Table B5), whereas for the MR-MEGA, “gomf_adenyl_nucleotide exchange_factor_activity” gene set was significant (adjusted Pbon=0.021; Supplementary Table B6). Tissue expression analyses did not indicate any significant gene expression, neither with METAL nor with MR-MEGA (Supplementary Figs.B5-B6). Pathway enrichment tests implemented in GENE2FUNC did not indicate any significantly enriched differentially expressed genes (Pbon<0.05) in METAL or MR-MEGA (Supplementary Fig. B7). At the gene set level, however, both methods indicated significant enrichment of input genes in positional gene set chr3p21 (PMR–MEGA=1.81×10−19; PMETAL= 1.59×10−18, Supplementary Tables B4-B5, Supplementary Fig.B11), canonical pathways (MsigDB c2) in M22069 (“biocarta_msp_pathway”; PMR–MEGA= 2.67×10−2; PMETAL= 3.37×10−2, Supplementary Tables B4-B5) and M27744 (“reactome_signaling_ by_mst1”; adjusted PMR–MEGA= 2.67×10−2; PMETAL= 3.37×10−2, Tables B4-B5) human gene sets30. Both METAL and MR-MEGA prioritized genes were enriched in 19 GWAS catalog reported gene sets with a substantial overlap between the two methods, representing gene sets associated with cognition, physical activity, sleep, mental health, brain morphology, socioeconomic factors, and medical conditions (Supplementary Tables B4-B5, Supplementary Fig.B12).
Comparison with previously published results
A previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) analysis conducted on 2,373 individuals from the TBB cohort identified five suggestive loci (P < 5×10−6) associated with urinary Log(aMT6s:Cr)15. However, none of these loci were detected in our meta-analysis (Supplementary Table C1). Among these variants, rs142037747 (GALNT15), is exceptionally rare, particularly in non-East Asian populations (EAF = 0.0002 in EUR, EAF = 0.001 in remaining ancestries; Supplementary Table C4). Due to its low minor allele frequency (MAF < 1%), this variant was excluded during quality control from the NHS, MrOS, and MEC cohort data. Another variant, rs7571016 (GALNT13) was absent in the MEC cohort GWAS results, likely due to platform-specific genotyping (TaqMan Assay Panel). The remaining three suggestive variants, rs17681554, rs9645614 and rs6451653, exhibited high heterogeneity in effect estimates across the study cohorts (Supplementary Table C5) with the TBB cohort effects differing markedly from those observed in other cohorts (Supplementary Fig.C1(a)-(e)). This suggest that previously reported aMT6s suggestive loci may be specific to East Asian ancestry (EAS), underscoring the need for larger ancestry-specific GWAS studies to validate these findings.
A recent meta-analysis31 (with a total sample of 8,011 individuals) of three European cohorts’ GWASs of 54 urinary metabolites identified three variants associated with Tryptophan (Supplementary Table C6), playing a key precursor role in melatonin production through the serotonin-melatonin pathway. These three variants were present in three of our cohorts each and were not significant in either METAL (Supplementary Table C7) or MR-MEGA (Supplementary Table C8) meta-analysis (p > 0.46). Also, no association was found in our study for any other of the 54 metabolites analyzed in Valo et.al31 (p > 0.06; Supplementary Table C9-C10).
Polygenic risk score and PheWAS analyses
We used PRS-CSx (Supplementary Methods) on our meta-analysis cohorts’ data to estimate SNPs’ weights for the aMT6s polygenic risk score (PRS), and these weights were then applied to the UK Biobank and MGBB data to derive the aMT6s-PRSs. Ancestry-specific (EUR, EAS) and cross ancestry (META) PRSs were generated using ancestry-matched LD reference panels and SNPs with p < 0.05. Scores were calculated using PLINK32 and normalized (z-scored) within each ancestry group or across all ancestries for META-PRS.
Phenome-wide association studies (PheWAS) of aMT6s-PRSs were conducted in MGBB (EUR ancestry only) and UKBB (EUR, EAS, META; Supplementary Methods). In MGBB, of 1,657 disease outcomes tested, 101 associations were significant after Bonferroni correction (Supplementary Table D1). These included among others genitourinary (e.g. symptoms involving urinary system (p_adj = 3.6×10−4)), dermatologic (e.g. cellulitis (p_adj = 6.0×10−3)) endocrine/metabolic (e.g. obesity (p_adj = 2.5×10−3), type 2 diabetes (p_adj = 0.025)), circulatory system (e.g. chronic pulmonary heart disease (p_adj = 0.013)) or respiratory (e.g. septal deviations/turbinate hypertrophy (p_adj = 0.044)) diseases. Further, in the cross-ancestry UKB sample, both the EUR-PRS (Supplementary Table D2) and META-PRS (Supplementary Table D3) showed significant associations (Bonferroni corrected p < 0.05/1,509 = 3.3×10−5) with phenotypes including hereditary hemolytic anemias (p_adj = 1.3×10−29), sickle cell anemia (p_adj = 9.3×10−22), vitamin D levels (p_adj = 2.7×10−44), type 2 diabetes (p_adj = 9.8×10−8) and sleep duration (p_adj = 8.0×10−9). When restricted to European-ancestry UKB sample, only the META-PRS (Supplementary Table D4) was significantly associated with psoriasis and related disorders (p_adj < 0.017), while the EUR-PRS (Supplementary Table D5) and EAS-PRS (Supplementary Table D6) showed no significant associations.
Except from the disease outcomes included in the pheWAS analysis, we further examined associations of ancestry-specific (East Asian (EAS) and European (EUR)) and cross-ancestry (META) polygenic risk scores (PRSs) with four self-reported sleep related traits (sleep duration (in hours), short sleep duration, morningness and blood vitamin D levels; see Supplementary Tables D7-D13 for details). When all UK Biobank participants were included in the sample, both the z-scored East Asian-specific PRS (EAS-zPRS) and the European-specific PRS (EUR-zPRS) showed significant (Bonferroni adjusted for 3 PRSs×4 sleep traits; p < 0.05/12 = 0.004) associations with sleep duration (p < 2.81 × 10−3), short sleep duration (p < 7.97 × 10−6), blood vitamin D levels (p < 2.40 × 10−6), and morningness (p < 7.32 × 10−7) (Supplementary Table D7). The cross-ancestry PRS (META-zPRS) was significantly associated with all these traits except morningness (p = 0.716) (Supplementary Table D7). When we restricted to UK Biobank participants of European ancestry, the associations for the EUR-zPRS remained significant. In contrast, for the EAS-zPRS, only the association with morningness remained significant. For the META-zPRS, all associations except that with overall sleep duration remained significant (Supplementary Table D8). None of these associations remained significant when East Asian (EAS, Supplementary Table D9), Admixed American (AMR, Supplementary Table D11), Central/South Asian (CSA, Supplementary Table D12), or African (AFR, Supplementary Table D13) ancestry groups were used as the validation set. However, in the Middle Eastern (MID) group (Supplementary Table D10), the EAS-zPRS showed a significant association with blood vitamin D levels (p = 0.0012).
Genetic correlation with sleep related traits in the UK biobank
We also used linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) analysis to assess genetic correlations between our outcome measure and both self-reported and actigraphy-derived sleep traits in the UK Biobank, including relative amplitude33. This analysis revealed no strong genetic correlations (rg ranging from −0.3 to 0.2), and none reached statistical significance (smallest p = 0.09). (Table E1, Figure E1).
Discussion
In this study, we conducted the largest to date GWAS meta-analysis of urinary 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (aMT6s) levels across five cohorts, including participants from diverse populations. Despite aggregating data from over 11,000 individuals, no genome-wide significant variants (P < 5 × 10−8) were detected, indicating that melatonin secretion is likely influenced by a complex polygenic architecture with small effect sizes. We identified 23 suggestive genomic loci, with 8 loci detected consistently across both METAL and MR-MEGA approaches. Two suggestive loci were previously implicated in coronary artery disease (rs2013208, rs185087) and one in lipid metabolism (rs2013208), suggesting potential pleiotropic effects linking melatonin metabolism to cardiometabolic pathways.
A recent large-scale GWAS of pineal gland volume34 identified 34 genome-wide significant loci and highlighted robust genetic contributions to melatonin-related neuroanatomy. Across both our melatonin metabolite GWAS and the pineal gland volume GWAS, several genes of interest overlap, pointing to shared biological mechanisms. The RBM6:RBM5 locus, which encodes RNA-binding proteins central to splicing regulation, emerges in both studies and highlights RNA processing pathways relevant to melatonin metabolism and pineal morphology. COL25A1, implicated in amyloid plaque formation and neurodegeneration, links melatonin biology to brain aging and disease vulnerability. Finally, signals in the ZIC gene family (ZIC1 in our study, ZIC4 in the pineal gland study) underscore the contribution of neurodevelopmental transcription factors to melatonin-related traits. Taken together, these convergences suggest common genetic pathways influencing both structural and metabolic aspects of melatonin biology.
A central finding of our study is the presence of significant ancestry-related heterogeneity in genetic associations. Several loci exhibited opposing effects across populations, particularly between the Taiwan Biobank (EAS) and the other cohorts. This highlights the potential population-specific genetic influences on melatonin metabolism and underscores the necessity for ancestry-stratified GWAS analyses. Our study did not replicate the five suggestive loci previously identified in the Taiwan Biobank GWAS. The rarity of some of these variants (e.g., rs142037747 in GALNT15) in non-East Asian populations contributed to their absence in our meta-analysis. Additionally, the heterogeneity in effect estimates across cohorts suggests that genetic influences on aMT6s levels may not be entirely shared across populations.
Gene set enrichment analysis identified significant pathways related to nucleotide exchange factors35, cellular signaling36, mitochondrial and energy regulation37 and cancer38. We also identified the MST1 signaling being key regulator of cell death, immune function, metabolism, and tumor suppression39,40. MST1 is degraded in breast cancer cells, reducing its tumor-suppressive activity41 and regulates YAP/TAZ inhibition leading to tumor suppression in prostate cancer42. MST1 activation is also detrimental in cardiovascular disease, promoting cardiomyocyte apoptosis, oxidative stress, and mitochondrial dysfunction43, leading to heart failure44 and myocardial infarction progression45. Inhibition of MST1 emerges as a potential therapeutic strategy to protect against heart disease. Furthermore, the identified significant MSP (Macrophage Stimulating Protein) pathway, plays a crucial role in cell migration and wound healing46, immune regulation47, cancer progression48,49, cancer invasion and metastasis50 and excessive inflammation suppression51,52. The integration of these pathways suggests that melatonin may exert protective effects by modulating critical processes such as nucleotide exchange, cell survival, and immune regulation. Targeting MST1 and MSP pathways could provide novel therapeutic avenues for both cardiovascular diseases and cancer, supporting the multifaceted role of melatonin in human health.
Our polygenic risk score (PRS) analysis demonstrated associations between melatonin PRS and both blood vitamin D levels and sleep duration. These findings are consistent with prior evidence suggesting an interaction between melatonin and vitamin D metabolism and further underline the genetic link between melatonin secretion and sleep regulation.
Our study has several limitations. First, the overall heritability estimates suggest that aMT6s levels have a relatively modest genetic component, which may require larger sample sizes to detect genome-wide significant associations. Second, differences in sample collection, urine processing, and melatonin measurement methodologies across cohorts may have introduced residual variability, despite our efforts to normalize and harmonize the data. In addition, raw melatonin levels varied across cohorts, reflecting cohort-specific characteristics (e.g., particularly low levels among older MrOS men and much higher levels among NHS women). Although we adjusted for creatinine levels, applied logarithmic transformation, and standardized the data (z-scoring), these steps only partially mitigated the between-cohort differences. Together with the inclusion of multiple ancestries and relatively modest sample sizes, these factors likely contributed to the lack of genome-wide significant associations. Future studies should focus on expanding sample sizes, particularly in non-European populations, to improve power and capture ancestry-specific effects.
In conclusion, this study represents one of the largest multi-ancestry GWAS meta-analyses of urinary aMT6s levels to date, providing novel insights into the genetic determinants of melatonin secretion. While no genome-wide significant loci were identified, we uncovered several suggestive genetic signals with potential links to cardiometabolic traits and cancer. The observed ancestry-specific effects highlight the complexity of melatonin metabolism and the importance of diverse study populations. Future research should aim to replicate and extend these findings using larger and more diverse cohorts, ultimately improving our understanding of melatonin’s role in human health.
Methods
Study sample
The analytic sample for our study was made up of 11,744 individuals (Table 1) with 2,373 individuals of East Asian ancestry from the Taiwan Biobank (TBB), 3,861 female nurses of European ancestry from the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS1) and Nurses’ Health Study II (NHS2), 2,175 men of European ancestry from the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS), and 3,335 individuals of diverse ancestries from the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC). Further details on each study cohort can be found in Supplementary Methods.
Outcome definition
Table 4 summarizes the aMT6s measurement details across participating cohorts, with additional cohort-specific information provided in the Supplementary Methods. The concentration of melatonin metabolite (6-sulfatoxymelatonin, aMT6s) in the urine —whether measured from a first-morning void or an overnight collection— depends on the sample’s volume, with urinary creatinine levels serving as a reliable substitute for this variation16. The melatonin-to-creatinine ratio (aMT6s:Cr) is conventionally used to control for differences in sample dilution, with further log-transformation ensuring normality. To address inter-study variability, we additionally normalized (z-scored) the log-transformed aMT6s:Cr values within each study cohort, thereby establishing our primary outcome measure as Zlog(aMT6s:Cr).
Genome-Wide Association and Meta-Analysis
Genome wide association studies (GWASs) of our outcome variable were performed within each study cohort using linear regression models adjusted for age at sample collection, sex (where applicable) and first 10 principal components of ancestry. Further cohort specific details on GWAS analyses are described in Supplementary Methods. GWAS summary statistics were aligned to genome build hg19 and harmonized by excluding variants with poor imputation quality (info score R2< 0.7), low minor allele frequency (MAF<1%), significant deviation from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (p-value< 10−8) and the low genotype call rate (<95%). Meta analyses were performed by using meta-regression of multi-ethnic genetic association (MR-MEGA17) and inverse variance fixed-effects model in METAL18 with genomic control correction for the individual study level data. Briefly, MR-MEGA conducts a meta-regression analysis by creating axes of genetic variation specific to each cohort, which are next used as covariates in the meta-analysis to adjust for possible differences in population structure. This approach allows to distinguish between ancestral and residual sources of heterogeneity. Although MR-MEGA shows an increased power to detect SNPs associations under both fixed and random effects meta-analysis settings17, for variants with homogenous effects across populations its power is reduced19. To account for these aspects and potentially detect genetic variants with both homogeneous and heterogeneous effects across study cohorts, we applied both METAL and MR-MEGA methods. To claim significance, we applied the conventional genome-wide threshold of 5´10−8 and less stringent level of 1´10−5 for suggestive associations20. The overall SNP-based heritability and genetic correlations were estimated by using Linkage Disequilibrium Score Regression (LDSC)21. To identify independent significant genomic risk loci we used Functional Mapping and Annotation (FUMA22,23) v1.5.2. We further derived a polygenic risk score for the aMT6s using PRS-CSx24 and checked its associations with common diseases by running phenome-wide association studies (PheWASs) in the Mass General Brigham Biobank (MGBB) and in the UK Biobank (UKBB). Further details are described in Supplementary Methods.
Supplementary Material
Supplementary Files
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Dr Sarah Coseo Markt for her generous support, guidance and data sharing, which was critical for the completion of this study.
Funding
This study was supported by European Union, European Research Council (ERC) Advanced Grant CLOCKrisk (grant number 101053225), Department of Epidemiology, Medical University of Vienna to PI Eva Schernhammer. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Research Council Executive Agency. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.
Richmond is supported by Cancer Research UK (grant number C18281/A29019), the Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit (grant number: MC_UU_0032/1) and the NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre (grant number: NIHR203316).
This research was conducted using the UK Biobank resource under application number 48576. We thank all the participants and staff of the UK Biobank for enabling us to conduct this research
Taiwan Biobank : Grants from the Ministry of Science and Technology in Taiwan (MOST 105-2314-B-182-062, MOST 106-2314-B-182-043), the Translational Medical Research Program of Academia Sinica (ASTM-108-01-04), National Taiwan University Hospital, Yunlin Branch Intramural Grant (NTUHYL106.X003, NTUHYL.107S004, NTUHYL 111.X019, NTUHYL110.X017) and Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan (NMRPD1F154, NMRPD1G0711, and BMRPD08).
NHS and NHS2: This work was supported by National Institute of Health: P01CA87969, P01CA055075, P01DK070756, U01HG004728, UM1CA186107, U01CA176726, UM1CA176726, U01 CA167552, R01CA49449, R01CA50385, R01CA67262, R01CA131332, R01HL034594, R01HL088521, R01HL35464, R01HL116854, R01EY015473, R01EY022305, P30EY014104, R03DC013373 and R03CA165131.
MrOS : Ancillary 031, Schernhammer, NIH grant R01 AG030089; G. Tranah grant R01AG030474, National Institute of Aging; The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute provided funding for the ancillary MrOS Sleep Study, “Outcomes of Sleep Disorders in Older Men,” under the following grant numbers: R01 HL071194, R01 HL070848, R01 HL070847, R01 HL070842, R01 HL070841, R01 HL070837, R01 HL070838, and R01 HL070839. The National Sleep Research Resource was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R24 HL114473, 75N92019R002).
MEC : This research was supported by the Public Health Service (National Cancer Institute) grant RO1 CA 5428 and U01 CA164973.
Footnotes
Declarations
Ethics statements
All studies were approved by the respective local ethical committees. All methods were carried out in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations, and informed consent was obtained from all participants. The Taiwan Biobank study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Chang Gung Medical Foundation and the Institutional Review Board of National Taiwan University Hospital. All subjects have provided written informed consent. The Nurses’ Health Study and Nurses’ Health Study 2 protocols were approved by the Institutional Review Board of Brigham and Women’s Hospital and the Committee on the Use of Human Subjects in Research of Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health (Boston, MA, USA). Voluntary return of questionnaires indicates their informed consent. For the MrOS study men were recruited at six US clinical centers in Birmingham, AL; Minneapolis, MN; Palo Alto, CA; the Monongahela Valley near Pittsburgh, PA; Portland, OR; and San Diego, CA and the institutional review boards at each clinic site approved the study. The Institutional Review Boards of the University of Hawaii and the University of Southern California approved the Multiethnic Cohort study.
Additional Declarations: No competing interests reported.
Disclosure of interest
The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose
Contributor Information
Magdalena Żebrowska, Medical University of Vienna.
Ziwei Zhang, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Gwo-Tsann Chuang, National Taiwan University Hospital, National Taiwan University.
Daniel S. Evans, California Pacific Medical Center
Jesse Valliere, Massachusetts General Hospital.
Matthew Maher, Massachusetts General Hospital.
Jie Hu, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Rebecca Richmond, University of Bristol.
Constance Turman, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Jaime E. Hart, Harvard Medical School
Jacqueline Lane, Massachusetts General Hospital.
Loic Le Marchand, University of Hawaii Cancer Center.
Lynne Wilkens, University of Hawaii Cancer Center.
Matthias Wielscher, Medical University of Vienna.
Christopher Haiman, University of Southern California.
Iona Cheng, University of California, San Francisco.
A. Heather Eliassen, Harvard Medical School.
Katie L. Stone, California Pacific Medical Center
Gregory J. Tranah, California Pacific Medical Center
Yi-Cheng Chang, National Taiwan University.
Lorelei Ann Mucci, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
Eva S. Schernhammer, Medical University of Vienna
Richa Saxena, Harvard Medical School.
Data availability statement
The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Data Availability Statement
The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.





