Abstract
Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic and liver diseases both cause significant metabolic disturbances, yet the specific mechanisms driving these changes remain poorly understood.
Objectives
This study aimed to elucidate and compare the urinary metabolomic profiles of COVID-19 patients, individuals with liver diseases, and healthy controls to determine common and unique metabolic signatures between diseases.
Methods
Untargeted metabolomic profiling was performed using liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry (LC-MS) on urine samples from COVID-19 patients (n = 102), liver disease patients (n = 100), and healthy controls (n = 101). Differential metabolite abundance, pathway enrichment, network topology, and Random Forest–based machine learning analyses were performed.
Results
Both COVID-19 and liver disease exhibited extensive metabolic reprogramming. COVID-19 patients showed suppression of Vitamin B6 and purine metabolism, indicating impaired energy production and antioxidant defense. Liver disease patients exhibited reduced primary bile acid biosynthesis and pantothenate metabolism, reflecting hepatic dysfunction. Random Forest models robustly discriminated disease from healthy states, with binary models for COVID-19 and liver disease achieving AUCs of 0.998, and a multiclass model distinguishing all three groups with 91.9% accuracy. Both conditions shared perturbations in amino acid and steroid-related pathways, reflecting common systemic stress. Importantly, unique metabolites, such as N-Acetylvaline, Succinyladenosine, and S-adenosylhomocysteine in COVID-19, and 3-Hydroxysebacic acid, Asn-Trp, and bile acid derivatives in liver disease, emerged as highly specific biomarkers, highlighting systemic viral stress versus chronic hepatic metabolic adaptation and warranting future validation.
Conclusion
These findings enhance our understanding of disease-specific metabolic remodelling and point to potential biomarkers for diagnosis and therapeutic targeting.
Supplementary Information
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11306-026-02394-9.
Keywords: COVID-19, Urine metabolomics, LC-MS, Liver disease, Vitamin B6 pathway
Introduction
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), has resulted in a global health crisis, with more than 523 million infections and over 6.2 million deaths worldwide (Zhou et al., 2020). Although initially characterized as a respiratory illness, COVID-19 is now recognized as a systemic disease affecting multiple organs, including the cardiovascular, neurological, renal, and hepatic systems (Liu et al., 2020; Niazkar et al., 2020; Richardson et al., 2020). Clinical outcomes range from asymptomatic infection to severe, life-threatening disease, with increased risk observed in elderly individuals and patients with comorbidities such as diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disorders (Mueller et al., 2020). Metabolic dysregulation has emerged as a central contributor to COVID-19 disease heterogeneity, severity, and long-term sequelae (Oropeza-Valdez et al., 2024). SARS-CoV-2 infection induces widespread alterations in immune metabolism, lipid homeostasis, amino acid utilization, and mitochondrial function, collectively influencing host immune responses and tissue damage (Sánchez et al., 2023). Consequently, metabolomics has become a powerful approach for identifying disease-associated biomarkers and for elucidating host–pathogen interactions in COVID-19. However, a major challenge in COVID-19 metabolomics-based biomarker discovery is the substantial overlap of metabolic alterations with other chronic diseases, particularly liver disorders such as chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (Buchynskyi et al., 2023; Imam et al., 2023). Liver diseases are themselves characterized by profound disruptions in amino acid metabolism, lipid metabolism, mitochondrial energy production, and gut–liver axis signaling pathways that are also commonly perturbed in COVID-19. As a result, many reported metabolic biomarkers lack disease specificity, limiting their translational and diagnostic utility.
Urine metabolomics offers a unique opportunity to address this challenge. Beyond its non-invasive nature, urine reflects the cumulative output of systemic metabolism, hepatic detoxification, renal filtration, and gut microbial co-metabolism. Importantly, urine captures downstream metabolic end-products that integrate liver function, immune activation, and oxidative stress, making it particularly suitable for differentiating metabolic signatures arising from viral infection versus intrinsic hepatic dysfunction. While numerous studies have characterized urinary metabolic alterations in COVID-19, including disruptions in amino acid metabolism, lipid metabolism, energy pathways, and immune-regulatory processes such as the tryptophan–kynurenine axis (Badawy, 2023; Tsuji et al., 2023; Ansone et al., 2024), similarly metabolomic perturbations have also been reported in liver diseases, including elevated kynurenic acid, sphinganine, indole derivatives, and altered purine metabolism (Tan et al., 2025). Despite these advances, most metabolomics studies have examined COVID-19 and liver diseases independently or relative only to healthy controls. Direct, comparative urine metabolomic analyses between COVID-19 and liver disease patients are limited, particularly in population-specific cohorts. Consequently, it remains unclear which urinary metabolic alterations are disease-specific and which reflect shared systemic inflammation, mitochondrial dysfunction, or immune–metabolic stress. This lack of comparative frameworks represents a critical gap that hinders the identification of specific, non-invasive biomarkers capable of distinguishing infectious disease from chronic hepatic pathology.
In this study, we address this gap by performing discovery-phase LC–MS-based urine metabolomic profiling in COVID-19 patients, liver disease patients, and healthy controls from an Indian population. By directly comparing these groups, we aimed to (i) identify shared and disease-specific metabolic signatures, (ii) evaluate the utility of urine metabolomics in distinguishing COVID-19 from chronic liver disease, and (iii) advance the discovery of non-invasive, population-relevant metabolic biomarkers. This comparative approach provides mechanistic insight into overlapping and distinct metabolic pathways underlying infectious and chronic hepatic conditions, while strengthening the translational potential of urine-based metabolomics for clinical biomarker development.
Materials and methods
Study design
Urine samples from both COVID-19 and liver disease patients were obtained from the ILBS biobank (SI Table-1). The COVID-19 samples were collected from individuals hospitalized in New Delhi hospitals between January 2021 and December 2022 and subsequently stored at the ILBS biobank. Diagnosis of COVID-19 was confirmed by RT-PCR of nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal swabs following Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) guidelines. Adults (≥ 18 years) with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and no pre-existing chronic liver or kidney disease were included. Urine specimens were obtained within the first week of hospitalization, consistent with ILBS protocols used in the COPLA-II and ICAM1 studies, to reduce variability related to disease progression or treatment (Bajpai et al., 2022; Kaur et al., 2024). Urine samples from patients with liver cirrhosis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), acute liver failure, chronic hepatitis, or jaundice were collected during the same period and archived under comparable conditions. Liver disease was diagnosed using standard EASL criteria based on clinical, biochemical, and imaging findings (European Association for the Study of the Liver, 2018). Patients with concurrent SARS-CoV-2 infection, renal impairment, or systemic infections were excluded. The study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee, Jamia Millia Islamia (IEC No. 1/10/290/JMI/IEC/2020), and written informed consent was obtained from all participants and principle investigator of COPLA-II trial and ICAM-1 study. The COVID-19 samples originated from hospitalized patients representing moderate-to-severe disease. The healthy control samples were from the biobank (National Liver Disease Biobank) where we already have the cohort which was duly approved by ICE. All urine samples were collected, processed, and stored under identical conditions to ensure consistency and minimize pre-analytical variability.
Urine sample storage and processing
All samples were collected aseptically, centrifuged, aliquoted, and stored at − 80 °C in the ILBS biobank until analysis. Metabolite extraction and cleanup were performed concurrently for the entire cohort, thereby minimizing variability associated with solvent composition, reagent stability, and operator handling. To prevent degradation or storage-induced artifacts (e.g., oxidation, precipitation, or freeze–thaw effects), no extracted metabolites were stored; instead, each sample was injected directly onto the LC–MS/MS system immediately following preparation.
Liquid chromatography mass spectrometry analysis (LC/MS)
For metabolite extraction, 200 µL of urine was mixed with 200 µL of acetonitrile, vortexed for 30 s, and centrifuged at 14,000 × g for 10 min. The supernatant was vacuum-dried, and the resulting residue was reconstituted in 200 µL of 2% acetonitrile. All LC–MS experiments were performed on a Dionex Ultimate 3000 UHPLC system (Thermo Fisher Scientific, MA, USA) equipped with a binary solvent delivery manager and autosampler, coupled to a Thermo Orbitrap Exploris 240 mass spectrometer (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Sunnyvale, CA, USA) operated in both positive (ESI⁺) and negative (ESI⁻) electrospray ionization modes in separate runs. Chromatographic separation was achieved using solvent A (water with 0.1% v/v formic acid) and solvent B (acetonitrile with 0.1% v/v formic acid) under the following gradient program at a constant flow rate of 0.35 mL/min: 0 min (2% B), 0–2 min (2% B), 2–5 min (2–20% B), 5–9 min (20–100% B), 9–13 min (100% B), 13–13.1 min (2% B), and 13.1–16 min (2% B). The injection volume was 10 µL, yielding a total run time of 16 min per sample. Mass spectrometric data acquisition was carried out under standardized conditions to ensure reproducibility. MS1 survey scans were collected across an m/z range of 100–1,500 at a resolution of 120,000 (at m/z 200). MS2 scans were acquired at a resolution of 30,000 (at m/z 200) with a normalized AGC target of 50% and auto injection time. Precursor ions were isolated with a 2.0 m/z isolation window and fragmented using higher-energy collisional dissociation (HCD) with normalized collision energy set at 35%. The ion source was operated with a spray voltage of 4 kV(+) and 3 kV (-) and a capillary temperature of 275 °C, while sheath and auxiliary gas flows were maintained at 30 and 10 arbitrary units, respectively.
For analytical QC, we employed a pooled quality-control (QC) strategy, which was generated by combining equal aliquots from all study samples, was injected periodically throughout the LC–MS/MS acquisition sequence. These QC runs enabled continuous assessment of mass accuracy, retention time stability, and signal intensity drift. Within Compound Discoverer (Thermo Scientific, v3.2), pooled QC data were integrated into the Retention Time Alignment and Compound Detection nodes to improve feature alignment across all samples. Furthermore, the Normalization node utilized pooled QC responses to correct for signal drift and systematic variability during batch acquisition. The performance of QC injections was additionally monitored in the Feature Grouping and Statistical Analysis nodes, ensuring that only robust and reproducible features were retained for downstream differential analysis.
The raw data files generated were analyzed using Compound Discoverer (CD) 3.3. For compound consolidation, a mass tolerance of 5 ppm and a retention time (RT) tolerance of 0.2 min were applied. The Metabolite annotation was performed in accordance with the Metabolomics Standards Initiative (MSI) framework. As authentic reference standards were not employed in this study, no features could be assigned as MSI Level 1. Instead, annotations were classified as MSI Level 2 when features matched both accurate mass (within a 5-ppm tolerance) and chromatographic retention behaviour with database-reported values, and supporting MS/MS spectra were consistent with library fragmentation patterns. Features annotated solely on the basis of accurate mass matching were designated as MSI Level 3. Annotation was supported by searches against multiple established repositories, including the Human Metabolome Database (HMDB) within Compound Discoverer. Both positive (ESI+) and negative (ESI−) ionization modes were analyzed separately, and the results were combined at a later stage, with duplicates removed to ensure data integrity.
Data analysis
The complete dataset comprising 303 urine samples (SI Table-2) was processed using MetaboAnalystv6.0 (www.metaboanalyst.ca) (Pang et al., 2024). Data preprocessing involved filtering out 149 variables based on an interquartile range (IQR) threshold of 25% and a low-abundance filter (mean intensity = 0%) to remove non-informative features. The remaining data were normalized by median and autoscaling (mean-centering followed by division by the standard deviation) to ensure comparability across samples. Both univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were performed to identify and visualize metabolomic variations between study groups. Multivariate analysis included Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for unsupervised clustering and hierarchical clustering using Euclidean distance and Ward’s linkage to assess group separation and metabolite-level relationships. Enrichment analysis (Over representation analysis) and network enrichment analysis of significantly upregulated and downregulated metabolites (FDR p < 0.1, log2FC > 2.0) between comparative groups (COVID-19 vs. healthy and Liver vs. Healthy) performed using default setting of MetaboAnalystv6.0. In network topology analysis enabled identification of hub network and interconnecting metabolites.
Random forest analysis
Random Forest (RF), an ensemble-based algorithm that constructs multiple independent decision trees on bootstrapped subsets of the data and aggregates their predictions (majority vote for classification), was used to minimizes overfitting and variance (Breiman, 2001). Random Forest Classifier (RFC) from scikit-learn (sklearn.ensemble.RandomForestClassifier) was used as a supervised ensemble learning method to classify metabolomic LC–MS intensity profiles. Normalized LC–MS metabolomic datasets representing each of the three groups were used as an input for RF classifier. The 2/3 of dataset (67%) was split as training subset, with the remaining 1/3 kept for testing (33%), to preserve the class balance. Number of decision trees in the forest were set to 500, which ensured ensemble stability and convergence. Each tree was trained on a random sample (with replacement) and diversity was ensured by enabling the bootstrap sampling. Out-of- Bag validation was activated to allow internal accuracy estimation. For feature subsampling strategy, at each split, only √N features (N- represents the number of metabolites) were considered, reducing correlation among trees. An OOB accuracy of 0.98 (error = 0.02) indicated minimal overfitting and robust internal validation. Further, ROC curves were generated to show the performance of the RF model. Each class-specific area under the ROC curve (AUC) exceeded 0.95, confirming excellent discriminative power. An accuracy of 97% and a high F1-score for the Covid and Liver datasets indicated the good performance of RF model. To enhance interpretability, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were computed. It further transformed the “black-box” ensemble into an interpretable biological framework, allowing direct mapping of statistical model outputs onto biochemical signatures. The SHAP framework quantifies each feature’s marginal contribution to the prediction probability for every class, thus, estimating the values corresponding to the contribution from each metabolite for the model prediction (Lundberg & Lee, 2017).
Results & discussion
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused global disruption, underscoring the urgent need for non-invasive biomarkers that can enable rapid diagnosis and effective disease monitoring (Wilson & Forse, 2023). While the pulmonary and immunological effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection are well documented, recent studies have also revealed substantial metabolic alterations in affected individuals, as evidenced by disrupted metabolite profiles (Oropeza-Valdez et al., 2024). These metabolic perturbations can vary across populations due to genetic, ethnic, and environmental factors and often overlap with other conditions, such as liver disease (Buchynskyi et al., 2024; Imam et al., 2023b). This overlap complicates the identification of COVID-19-specific biomarkers.In this study, we performed untargeted discovery metabolomics (LC-MS) to identify differentially abundant metabolites in each disease group compared to healthy controls, as well as between the two disease states. Subsequently, pathway enrichment and network analyses were conducted to determine under- and over-represented pathways. Using machine learning approaches, we identified unique metabolic signatures characteristic of each group (Fig. 1). Log2-transformed metabolite abundances showed consistent distributions across all groups, confirming the uniform data quality (SI Fig. 1). Dual hierarchical clustering revealed clear separation of samples across the three groups in both ionization modes, indicating distinct group-specific metabolic patterns (SI Fig. 2).
Fig. 1.
Study design: Workflow illustrating the urine metabolite analysis conducted in COVID-19 patients, patients with liver disease, and healthy controls. The study includes sample collection, metabolite extraction, data acquisition using metabolomics platforms, statistical analysis, biological pathway and network analysis followed by biomarker discovery
Fig. 2.
Urinary metabolite profiling in COVID-19 patients compared to healthy controls: A Volcano plot showing differentially expressed urinary metabolites based on fold change and statistical significance (FDR p-value); B Principal Component Analysis (PCA) plot demonstrating separation between COVID-19 patients and healthy controls based on global metabolite profiles; C, D Bar plots of significantly under- and over-represented biological pathways enriched in COVID-19 patients; and E, F Network visualizations of under- and over-represented metabolic pathways. Single node represents a metabolite (purple dots), while (Pink square nodes) edge represents biological relationships or interactions between nodes (e.g., shared pathways, biochemical reactions, or correlation-based associations). A single metabolite (Star-shaped nodes) connected with multiple metabolites represent key hub or connector metabolites
COVID-19 patients exhibit systemic metabolic reprogramming reflecting immune response and energy adaptation
Univariate analysis of urine metabolite profiles from 102 COVID-19 patients and 101 healthy controls identified widespread metabolic alterations. Of the 445 detected metabolites, 224 were significantly upregulated and 143 downregulated in COVID-19 patients, while 78 showed no significant difference (FDR p < 0.1; Fig. 2A). Principal component analysis (PCA) demonstrated clear separation between COVID-19 patients and healthy controls, with PC1 and PC2 explaining 17.0% and 9.8% of the total variance, respectively. This group separation was statistically supported by PERMANOVA (R² = 0.50, p = 0.001), indicating that disease status accounts for a substantial proportion of metabolic variance (Fig. 2B). Dual hierarchical clustering in both positive and negative ionization modes further confirmed distinct metabolic profiles between the two groups (SI Fig. 1).
Pathway enrichment analysis revealed coordinated suppression of several host metabolic pathways in COVID-19 patients, including vitamin B6 metabolism (p = 5 × 10− 02), purine metabolism (p = 1 × 10− 01), the pentose phosphate pathway, pantothenate and CoA biosynthesis, and sphingolipid metabolism (Fig. 2C). Reduced vitamin B6 metabolism has been previously associated with immune dysregulation, inflammation, and hepatic stress in COVID-19 (Masoodi et al., 2022; Imam et al., 2023). The observed downregulation of purine metabolism and the uric acid network contrasts with some earlier reports but is consistent with altered nucleotide turnover and energy imbalance during systemic infection (Li et al., 2022; Valdés et al., 2022). Suppression of the pentose phosphate pathway and CoA biosynthesis suggests impaired redox balance and energy metabolism, while reduced sphingolipid metabolism may reflect altered lipid-mediated signaling and inflammatory regulation (Khan et al., 2021; Paneque et al., 2023). Decreased S-adenosylhomocysteine further indicates disruption of methylation homeostasis, which has been linked to vascular inflammation (Azzini et al., 2020). In contrast, several pathways were significantly enriched in COVID-19 patients, most notably biotin metabolism (p = 2 × 10− 03) (Fig. 2D). Biotin is a key cofactor in fatty acid oxidation, amino acid catabolism, and gluconeogenesis, and its enrichment may represent a compensatory metabolic response to increased energetic demands during infection (Hernández-Flores et al., 2022). Elevated ubiquinone and terpenoid-quinone biosynthesis further point to mitochondrial adaptation, potentially supporting antioxidant defense through increased CoQ10 availability (Guarnieri et al., 2024).
Network enrichment analysis of downregulated metabolites (fold change < 2) revealed tightly connected clusters centered on uric acid, xanthine, S-adenosylhomocysteine, pseudouridine, and sphinganine, corresponding primarily to purine metabolism, nucleotide turnover, and methylation-related processes (Fig. 2E). Conversely, upregulated metabolites (fold change > 2) formed interconnected networks involving amino acids, energy-related metabolites, and cofactors, including L-methionine, L-histidine, L-tyrosine, pyroglutamic acid, biotin, creatine, and propionylcarnitine (Fig. 2F). These contrasting network topologies indicate a global metabolic shift away from nucleotide and purine pathways toward amino acid, cofactor, and energy-supporting processes, consistent with adaptive host responses to infection (Shen & Wang, 2021).
To focus on biologically meaningful host-derived alterations, metabolites suspected to originate from dietary, environmental, or chemical sources were excluded prior to model construction. Despite this filtering, the remaining endogenous metabolite set (n = 129) retained strong discriminatory power. Random Forest (RF) classification achieved excellent performance across feature subsets (AUC range: 0.995–0.999; Fig. 3A). An optimized model based on the top 15 metabolites yielded an AUC of 0.998 (95% CI: 0.982–1.000.982.000), demonstrating that a compact panel of endogenous metabolites robustly distinguishes COVID-19 patients from healthy controls (Fig. 3B, C). The most informative metabolites mapped predominantly to purine and one-carbon metabolism (e.g., succinyladenosine, S-adenosylhomocysteine), amino acid and peptide metabolism (e.g., N, N-dimethylarginine, acetyl-L-carnosine), and cofactor- and hormone-related pathways (e.g., biocytin, 16α-hydroxyestrone) (Steinberg & Cedergren, 1995; Yi et al., 2000; McCann et al., 2007; Obi et al., 2011; Fan et al., 2025). Collectively, these metabolites reflect coordinated disruptions in nucleotide turnover, methylation balance, amino acid metabolism, and energy regulation. Importantly, pathway-level convergence rather than individual metabolite effects underpins the strong classification performance, highlighting systemic metabolic reprogramming as a defining feature of COVID-19.
Fig. 3.
Metabolite signatures distinguishing COVID-19 from healthy controls. A Multivariate ROC curves showing RF model performance across increasing feature numbers. B Variable-importance ranking of the top 15 metabolites contributing to classification. C Box-and-whisker plots depicting relative abundance differences of the most discriminative metabolites between COVID-19 patients and healthy controls
Distinct metabolic signatures in liver disease reveal adaptive and pathological responses to hepatic dysfunction
Differential metabolite analysis of urine samples from 100 liver disease patients and 101 healthy controls revealed pronounced metabolic alterations. Of the 367 metabolites detected, 153 were significantly upregulated and 156 were significantly downregulated in liver disease patients (fold change ≥ 2, FDR-adjusted p < 0.1), while 130 metabolites showed no significant change (Fig. 4A). Principal component analysis (PCA) demonstrated clear separation between liver disease patients and healthy controls along PC1 and PC2, which accounted for 15.4% and 9.7% of the total variance, respectively (Fig. 4B). Liver disease samples clustered more tightly than healthy controls, indicating relatively homogeneous metabolic perturbations within the disease group. PERMANOVA analysis confirmed the statistical significance of this separation (R² = 0.51, p = 0.001). Hierarchical clustering further supported the presence of disease-specific metabolic profiles (SI-Fig. 1).
Fig. 4.
Urinary metabolite profiling in patients with liver disease compared to healthy controls: A Volcano plot displaying differentially expressed urinary metabolites based on fold change and statistical significance (adjusted p-value); B Principal Component Analysis (PCA) plot illustrating the separation of metabolite profiles between liver disease patients and healthy controls; C, D Bar plots showing significantly under- and over-represented biological pathways enriched in liver disease patients; and E, F Network visualization of significantly altered metabolic pathways, highlighting under- and over-represented metabolic networks. Single node represents a metabolite (purple dots), while (Pink square nodes) edge represents biological relationships or interactions between nodes (e.g., shared pathways, biochemical reactions, or correlation-based associations). A single metabolite (Star-shaped nodes) connected with multiple metabolites represent key hub or connector metabolites
Pathway enrichment analysis identified coordinated suppression of several core hepatic metabolic pathways in liver disease patients (Fig. 4C). Purine metabolism was significantly downregulated (p = 6 × 10− 03), consistent with the liver’s central role in nucleotide turnover and detoxification (Yang et al., 2022). Primary bile acid biosynthesis was also markedly reduced (p = 6 × 10− 03), reflecting impaired hepatocyte function, enzymatic disruption, and cholestatic processes (Li & Apte, 2015). Additional downregulated pathways included vitamin B6 metabolism and pantothenate and CoA biosynthesis (both p = 1 × 10− 01), suggesting compromised cofactor availability, impaired enzymatic activity, and disrupted energy metabolism (Parra et al., 2018). In contrast, several metabolic pathways were enriched in liver disease patients (Fig. 4D). Caffeine metabolism showed strong upregulation (p = 1 × 10− 05), consistent with altered cytochrome P450 activity and compensatory xenobiotic detoxification mechanisms (Shan et al., 2022). Multiple amino acid metabolism pathways—including glycine, serine, threonine, branched-chain amino acids, alanine, aspartate, and glutamine, were also elevated, indicating increased protein turnover and metabolic adaptation to support gluconeogenesis, nitrogen balance, and stress responses. Enrichment of the TCA.
Majority of the metabolites were mapped to pathways reflecting tissue remodeling, bile acid homeostasis, mitochondrial function, and nitrogen metabolism. These included markers of extracellular matrix turnover (e.g., isodesmosine), polyamine metabolism and translational stress (hypusine), bile acid and sphingolipid metabolism, and fatty acid β-oxidation (Ma et al., 2011; Park et al., 1997; Wang et al., 2024; Castelli et al., 2023; Hecker et al., 2014). Together, these metabolites reflect coordinated adaptations to hepatic dysfunction, encompassing disrupted bile acid synthesis, altered mitochondrial energetics, enhanced lipid turnover, and impaired nitrogen handling (Muth et al., 2003; Woolbright et al., 2014).
cycle, sphingolipid metabolism, and glyoxylate metabolism further suggests compensatory remodeling of energy-producing pathways to maintain ATP generation under hepatic stress (Satapati et al., 2012; Marí & Fernández-Checa, 2007). Network topology analysis of downregulated metabolites (fold change < 2) revealed tightly connected modules centered on uric acid, xanthine, cyclic GMP, and gluconic acid (Fig. 4E). These hubs link purine catabolism, nucleotide signaling, and carbohydrate metabolism, highlighting coordinated disruption across interconnected hepatic pathways (Kushiyama et al., 2016). Conversely, upregulated metabolites (fold change > 2) formed distinct clusters centered on citric acid, pioglitazone, and paraxanthine, corresponding to enhanced energy metabolism, lipid signaling, and xenobiotic processing (Fig. 4F). Citric acid emerged as a key connector metabolite, linking the TCA cycle with amino acid and lipid metabolism (Sahlin et al., 1990; Betteridge, 2007; Campagna & Vignini, 2025).
Collectively, these contrasting network architectures indicate extensive metabolic reprogramming in liver disease, characterized by suppression of nucleotide and bile acid pathways alongside activation of energy, lipid, amino acid, and xenobiotic metabolism. This pattern aligns with metabolic adaptations reported in hepatic fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, where chronic liver injury drives compensatory mechanisms to sustain energy production and redox balance (Delgado et al., 2021; Park & Hall, 2025). To restrict analyses to biologically relevant host-derived signals, metabolites likely originating from environmental exposure, diet, or supplements were excluded prior to multivariate modeling. Despite this filtering, the remaining endogenous metabolite set (n = 129) retained strong discriminatory capacity. Random Forest classification achieved high performance across feature subsets (AUC range: 0.993–0.998; Fig. 5A). An optimized model using the top 15 metabolites achieved an AUC of 0.998 (95% CI: 0.992–1.000.992.000), underscoring the robustness of liver disease–associated metabolic signatures (Fig. 5B, C).
Fig. 5.
Metabolite signatures distinguishing Liver patients from healthy controls: A Multivariate ROC curves showing RF model performance across increasing feature numbers. B Variable-importance ranking of the top 15 metabolites contributing to classification. C Box-and-whisker plots depicting relative abundance differences of the most discriminative metabolites between Liver patients and healthy controls
Common and unique metabolic pathways in COVID-19 and patients with liver disease
To identify metabolic features distinguishing COVID-19 patients, liver disease patients, and healthy controls, a multiclass Random Forest (RF) model was constructed using 129 endogenous metabolites after exclusion of diet- and environment-derived compounds. The model achieved an overall classification accuracy of 91.9%, with strong class-specific performance (COVID-19: AUC = 1.0; Liver disease: AUC = 0.99; Healthy controls: AUC = 0.98) (Fig. 6A). Feature importance was assessed using normalized mean SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values, which quantify each metabolite’s contribution to disease classification (Fig. 6B, C).
Fig. 6.
Identification of unique metabolites associated with COVID-19 and liver disease: A Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve showing the performance of the Random Forest classifier based on urinary metabolite profiles from healthy controls, COVID-19 patients, and patients with liver disease; B Bar plot showing the top 20 most significantly altered metabolites based on normalize SHAP score; C Box- and-whisker plots displaying normalized concentrations of each metabolite across the three groups, highlighting differential abundance patterns
The multiclass model reinforced metabolites previously identified in pairwise comparisons while also revealing additional features contributing to class separation. Metabolites most strongly associated with COVID-19 included biocytin, N,N-dimethylarginine, S-adenosylhomocysteine, and succinyladenosine, whereas liver disease classification was driven primarily by bile-acid–related metabolites, vitamin D3 derivatives, and dicarboxylic acids such as 3-hydroxysebacic and 3-hydroxysuberic acids. Notably, the multiclass framework highlighted metabolites not prioritized in binary models, including N-acetylvaline and the dipeptide Asn–Trp. N-acetylvaline contributed strongly to COVID-19 classification and mapped to branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) metabolism, whereas Asn–Trp was prioritized in liver disease and mapped to peptide turnover and amino acid catabolism, consistent with altered tryptophan metabolism in chronic liver dysfunction (Atila et al., 2021; Reshetova et al., 2024).
Pathway-level mapping of discriminatory metabolites revealed both shared and disease-specific metabolic perturbations (SI Table-3 & 4). COVID-19 associated metabolites were predominantly enriched in branched-chain amino acid metabolism, nucleotide turnover, methylation reactions, nitric oxide signaling, steroid hormone biosynthesis, and cofactor (biotin) metabolism, reflecting systemic metabolic imbalance, immune activation, and altered epigenetic regulation characteristic of viral infection (McCann et al., 2007; Obi et al., 2011; Ascencio-Anastacio et al., 2025; Wells & Holian, 2007; Wu et al., 2022; Caruso et al., 2017). In contrast, metabolites distinguishing liver disease mapped primarily to fatty acid β-oxidation, bile acid metabolism, catecholamine and tyrosine metabolism, and peptide turnover pathways, consistent with impaired hepatic energy metabolism, disrupted bile acid homeostasis, and altered neurotransmitter processing (Castelli et al., 2023; Hecker et al., 2014; Muth et al., 2003; Woolbright et al., 2014).
Despite these distinctions, both disease groups shared perturbations in peptide and amino acid metabolism as well as steroid-related pathways, suggesting common metabolic stress responses such as dysregulated protein turnover and hormonal signaling imbalance. These shared features likely reflect generalized systemic adaptation to disease-associated stress, whereas the remaining pathway alterations were disease-specific. COVID-19 exhibited pronounced dysregulation of nucleotide metabolism and BCAA pathways, potentially linked to viral replication demands and immune activation (Fan et al., 2025; Ozturk et al., 2022; Sánchez et al., 2023), while liver disease showed dominant alterations in lipid oxidation, bile acid processing, and catecholamine metabolism, reflecting organ-specific metabolic failure. Together, these findings demonstrate that multiclass metabolomic modeling can resolve both overlapping and distinct metabolic signatures across disease states, providing insight into disease-specific mechanisms and informing the development of targeted biomarkers and therapeutic strategies.
Limitations
This study has a few limitations that we would like to acknowledge. Although basic demographic variables (age, sex, and BMI) were available, detailed clinical metadata, including medication history, dietary intake, disease severity, comorbidities, and environmental exposures, were not systematically recorded. Samples were obtained from the ILBS biobank during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, which limited the feasibility of retrieving additional clinical information retrospectively. Moreover, given the substantial dietary diversity in India, the absence of dietary and medication data is particularly relevant for urine metabolomics, as these factors can strongly influence xenobiotic- and diet-derived metabolites. To mitigate this, we excluded metabolites with a high likelihood of exogenous origin and focused our biological interpretation on well-annotated endogenous pathways; however, some residual confounding cannot be completely ruled out. Second, urinary metabolite concentrations were not normalized to creatinine or specific gravity, which may introduce variability due to differences in urine dilution. While consistent sample handling and analytical procedures were applied across all groups to minimize systematic bias, future studies incorporating urine dilution correction are expected to improve quantitative robustness and cross-study comparability. Third, the cross-sectional study design limits causal inference and does not allow assessment of temporal metabolic changes during disease progression or recovery. Longitudinal studies will therefore be essential to distinguish transient disease-associated alterations from stable metabolic signatures. Fourth, the findings are derived from an untargeted discovery cohort without external validation or targeted quantitative confirmation. Although internal cross-validation and machine-learning–based feature selection were used to enhance robustness, independent cohort validation and targeted assays will be necessary before clinical translation. Finally, this study predominantly relies on MSI level 2–3 metabolite annotations, reflecting the inherent challenges of large-scale untargeted urine metabolomics. To avoid overinterpretation, we moderated metabolite-level discussion, emphasized pathway-level trends, and clearly distinguished putative from more confidently annotated features. Expanding spectral libraries and integrating targeted validation approaches may further improve annotation confidence in future work. Despite these limitations, we believe that this study provides a comprehensive comparative analysis of urinary metabolic alterations in COVID-19 and liver disease, highlights both shared and disease-specific metabolic pathways, and establishes a strong foundation for future hypothesis-driven and validation-focused metabolomics investigations.
Conclusions
Metabolic reprogramming is a hallmark of both infectious and chronic diseases, reflecting the host’s adaptive responses to stress, energy demands, and organ-specific dysfunction. In this study, urine metabolite profiles of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) and patients with liver disease were compared to those of healthy controls to characterize disease-associated metabolic changes. Using Random Forest–based classification for COVID-19 versus healthy, liver disease versus healthy, and a multi-class model, we identified both shared and distinct metabolic pathways and signatures. In both COVID-19 and liver disease, disruptions in amino acid, peptide, and steroid-related pathways were observed, indicating common stress responses and systemic adaptation. Unique metabolites, such as N-Acetylvaline, Succinyladenosine, and S-adenosylhomocysteine in COVID-19, highlighted altered nucleotide and branched-chain amino acid metabolism, reflecting heightened immune activity and energy demands. In liver disease, metabolites including 3-Hydroxysebacic acid, Asn-Trp, and bile acid derivatives indicated perturbations in fatty acid oxidation, bile acid metabolism, and nitrogen handling, consistent with organ-specific metabolic stress and mitochondrial adaptation. These findings enhance our understanding of disease-specific metabolic remodeling and point to potential biomarkers for diagnosis and therapeutic targeting. Future studies should investigate the functional roles of these metabolites and validate their clinical utility, paving the way for precision medicine in both infectious and hepatic disorders.
Supplementary Information
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the ILBS Biobank for providing the samples and Jamia Millia Islamia for supporting the project. FK gratefully acknowledges financial support from ICMR (IIRP-2023-0223) and extends thanks to Dr. Rohit Kumar from the Department of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, VMMC, Safdarjung Hospital, for his valuable support. SS acknowledges financial support from ICMR (ISRM/12(45)/2021-6413).
Author contributions
GJ: Contributed in new methods, analyzed data and wrote the paper; FK: Wrote the paper and performed research; SS: Sample collection, data recording and generation; AR: Contributed in data analysis; AM: Contributed in New method and analyzed data NM: Contributed in new methods, performed research; GDJ: Performed research and analyzed data; CB: Study Design and sample collection; MCJ: Study design, analyzed data, wrote paper. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
Funding
MCJ acknowledges support from ICMR BMI/12(45)/2021 and University Grants Commission (UGC), F.4–5/236 FRP (2015) BSR.
Data availability
Data can be shared upon reasonable request to the corresponding authors.
Declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Conflict of interest
All authors declare no conflict of interest.
Ethical approval
Institutional Ethical approval for the study was taken from Jamia Millia Islamia (IEC registration number: 1/10/290/JMI/IEC/2020) as well as from ILBS (No. F.37/(1)/9/ILBS/DOA/2020/20217/776).
Footnotes
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Contributor Information
Garima Juyal, Email: garima.juyal@bennett.edu.in.
Mohan Chandra Joshi, Email: mjoshi@jmi.ac.in.
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Data Availability Statement
Data can be shared upon reasonable request to the corresponding authors.






