Abstract
The investigation of the viability using Artificial intelligence (AI) compared to the Demirjian method in dental age estimation is growing. This scoping review looked at how AI-assisted dental age estimation models compare to the Demirjian method and their usefulness to general and forensic dentists. Searches were conducted in Medline, Embase, Global Health, Scopus, Social Science Premium Collection, CENTRAL-Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials, and NZLII-New Zealand Legal Information Institute. Google and Google Scholar searches were also undertaken to identify any grey material. Twenty-two articles were included in this review, organised into three groups to assist comparisons i.e., stage allocation, stage allocation prior to AI model application, and use of the Demirjian method on study samples prior to applying AI models. Comparisons were difficult due to considerable variation in samples, dental features used, metrics, AI modelling, unstated regression methods, and reporting. Of the twenty-two studies included in this review, nine showed similar performance between experts manually applying Demirjian stages with/out scoring and AI models, four reported the AI models were better, two reported AI models were worse, four reported mixed results, one did not recommend either, while two did not report a comparison. Lessons learned from the traditional methods of dental age estimation have been ignored in many respects and important real-world requirements for legal and clinical applications are being overlooked.
Supplementary Information
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00414-026-03721-4.
Keywords: Demirjian stages, Legal consequences, Black box, Human rights, Adult vs minor
Introduction
Dental age estimation (DAE) is the comparative analysis of the developmental or regressive stages of an individual’s dentition, utilising relevant and validated reference data, to estimate the age of that individual. DAE is utilised by forensic practitioners to assess age of living or deceased individuals, assisting in the identification process, or safeguarding human rights [1–3]. Varying radiographic imaging modalities have been utilised e.g., orthopantograms (OPG/Panex), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), or computed tomography (CT), to assess single or multiple dental features [4–13]: OPGs being the most frequently used due to accessibility. Recent DAE research has been focused on the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to reduce time, cost, error, subjective bias, and intra and inter-observer variability [14, 15].
AI encompasses machine, deep learning (DL), and generative AI with a view to imitating human intelligence by problem-solving through data classification [8, 16–19], age thresholding [18], or prediction [11, 13, 20, 21]. A systematic review by Niño‑Sandoval et al. explained how machine learning (ML) incorporated aspects of statistics, mathematical optimization, and data mining, for age determination [22]. Five common types of ML techniques include supervised [23, 24], unsupervised [6, 9, 25–27], semi-supervised [5, 7, 9, 28], transfer [9, 16–19, 29, 30], and reinforcement learning (refer to Online Resource 1. for definitions), although examples of reinforcement learning are not known in dental age estimation. Supervised machine learning may include linear or non-linear regression models (e.g. inclusion of polynomials, interactions) and can be regression or classification models. There are several parametric [10, 18, 23] and non-parametric [23, 24, 31–36] models used in dental age estimation (refer to Online Resource 1. for definitions). Artificial neural networks (ANNs), designed to mimic the human brain, are composed of neurons which can be adjusted or trained. These neurons are distributed in layers where the deeper the layer the more complex the ANN e.g., multilayer perceptrons (a perceptron is a building block) [22]. Deep learning involves ANNs e.g., convolutional neural networks (CNNs), where multilayer neural networks (interconnected layers of nodes) can be applied to both supervised and unsupervised models (i.e. no target labels) to recognise complex patterns with the ability to make decisions or predictions.
Several studies have compared the performance of automated methods to human experts with mixed results [22, 25, 28, 32, 37]. All methods require human intervention to some degree. However, the potential problem has been that any errors or bias introduced early on can affect the performance of AI outputs and hence validity and integrity [38].
There has been considerable inconsistency in the way many studies, traditional or AI assisted, have been conducted. Bias can occur, and compound, owing to several factors, such as data collection methods, populations, size and distribution of a dataset, age range, methods of analysis, selection of metrics used, and reporting of results [39]. Small sample size, inadequate sample description, uneven age distribution, different age ranges, have all affected model performance, hampered comparisons between groups and within the same population [25, 40, 41]. The statistical effect of small samples has been exacerbated by uneven age distribution, causing bias and variable error rates [42]. Brownlee and others explained the importance of employing large datasets when using ML, as small datasets may result in the model showing a high variance and overoptimistic performance [43]. Higher accuracies have been generally obtained in studies with larger sample sizes [44]. The large data sets required for DL models to train may be difficult to obtain [45, 46]. Training ANNs on small datasets may result in overfitting whereby the ML model learns well on the training set but poorly on any new/test data [4, 46]. According to Şahin et al. at least one thousand examples per class are necessary for AI image classification [46]. Calibration (training) of the human experts performing traditional DAE methods is also critical, although experienced dentists require smaller datasets on which to train, due to their experience in discerning differences and similarities within and between radiographs [47, 48]. Studies have shown that subjectivity is reduced and intra- and inter-observations are more reliable with increased levels of training and experience [49]. A study by Olze et al. found the Demirjian method to perform the best for observer agreement [50]. Dhanaj et al. compared intra- and inter-examiner observer agreements between four DAE methods and concluded the Demirjian method was preferred, having scored very good agreement for both types of observations [51].
Traditional regression methods used by manual DAE methods, have been found to overestimate the age of younger individuals and underestimate older individuals when applied to different groups, with the potential to incorrectly assess a minor as an adult, with potentially negative consequences [3, 52–54]. These modelling methods also introduce bias, known as age-mimicry or attraction to the middle i.e., age estimates are closer to or shift towards the mean age rather than the chronological age (CA). Furthermore, unless the target sample has a similar age distribution to the reference sample, the age estimates will be biased toward the reference sample distribution [54–57]. Ignoring maturity scoring to estimate chronological age and focusing on age of attaining each stage (i.e., mean age entering a stage), has been found to give more insight regarding variation between sexes, populations, and age groups. “Mean age entering a stage is the age at which half the individuals in the group have entered or passed the stage and is not the median aged child to enter the stage. This includes the most mature stage H “ [58]. Stage H is defined by Demirjian et al. [59], as a completely closed root apex with uniform periodontal membrane width around the apex. In many cases no distinction is made between mean age within stages or mean age entering stages. Sample size and age structure are important as if more than “half of the youngest group have reached or passed the stage, the sample age is too old to describe the average age entering the stage” [58]. Liversidge [40] and others, recommended transition analysis (TA) as an appropriate statistical method to compare timing of individual tooth stages, estimate age, and compare groups. Employing TA (probit or logistic regression) to estimate mean age entering stages gives more accurate estimations of age than traditional regression methods and reduce age-mimicry [40, 52, 57, 60–62].
The advancement of statistical methodologies has made the comparison of results with some traditional methods very difficult due to the utilisation of differing metrics e.g., standard deviations (SD), confidence intervals (CI), mean difference (MD) vs. mean absolute difference (MAD), etc [63, 64]. Niño-Sandoval et al. concluded that although there were advantages of ML in data processing and DL in data collection and analysis, non-comparable data was a limitation, with more information needed for comparison of the techniques. “Shan et al. only reported mean absolute error for the traditional methods but reported root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and root squared (R2), for the ML methods [31]. Kumagai et al. did not report MAE for their Japanese sample but did for their Korean sample [32]. Shen et al. (2021 and 2022) did not report R2 for their manual methods. Zaborowicz et al. (2022) reported MAE but only reported ME and R2 for a few data” [22].
Multiple studies include sex-matched samples but do not report sex-specific results, while comparing themselves to traditional methods e.g., Demirjian et al., who analysed sex groups independently, showed distinct differences between sex. Sivri et al. were “unable to record sex for the sample due to security restraints” and yet estimated age using the Demirjian method. It is unclear whether they used the male or female weighted scores. They report their method could be used as an alternative to Demirjian et al. [65] whereas Koch et al. reported the Sivri technique was superior to Demirjian et al. [37].
To assist general and forensic practitioners DAE research needs to have real-world application, be reliable and reproducible. The increasing use of ML in DAE and heterogenous results from these techniques indicates there is a need to evaluate their viability. Thus, this scoping review aimed to understand whether AI can outperform humans and/or improve on manual methods of staging and/or age prediction using the Demirjian method of DAE utilising OPGs.
Methods
Protocol and registration
The protocol in this scoping review was designed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR). This review has not been assigned a registration number since PROSPERO currently does not include scoping reviews.
Eligibility criteria
Eligibility criteria were set for the screening process as: not Demirjian/modified Demirjian studies; not OPG/Panoramic; not AI/ML/DL; not DAE; non-dental feature/s; not human. Exclusion criteria for full-text studies included sample bias, unclear sample distribution, comparator bias/exclusion, missing results, unclear methodology, indirect comparisons, irrelevant methodology, multiple papers with sample methodology by one research team. The following inclusion criteria were considered eligible: quantitative research articles; application of AI/ML/DL involving the Demirjian/modified Demirjian techniques; available in English language; full-text studies; OPG/Panoramic; study age-ranges included children/juveniles/subadults.
Information sources
The following seven scholarly literature databases were searched on the 5th September 2024 and again; Medline (Ovid Platform), Embase (Ovid Platform), Global Health (Ovid Platform), Scopus (Elsevier Platform), Social Science Premium Collection (Proquest Platform), CENTRAL-Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials (Wiley Platform), and NZLII-New Zealand Legal Information Institute (NZLII Website). References cited in the selected studies and any systematic reviews found, were reviewed for further relevant studies. One study correction was sought. A search of Google and Google Scholar using the same keywords covering the main concepts of DAE and ML, was undertaken to locate any further relevant grey literature, on the 26th April 2025.
Search
Search strategies were drafted by SB and refined through team discussion. With the assistance of a medical librarian, a combination of subject headings and keywords were searched using the Boolean Operator OR, covering the main concepts of DAE and ML. These two concepts were then combined with the Boolean Operator AND. No limits or filters were applied, and each database was searched from their inception date. A re-run of all databases to capture recent references was conducted on the 9th April 2025, with the publication limit of 5th September 2024-onwards placed for all databases. A detailed search strategy for each database listing all subject heading and keywords used for this search can be found in Online Resource 2.
Selection of sources of evidence
The final search results were exported into Covidence Systematic Review software [66] for removal of duplicates and undertaking of the screening process. Two reviewers (SB and AF) screened titles and abstracts, within Covidence. Any conflicts were discussed and resolved with two other reviewers (JD and RB).
Data charting process
Full text reading following of the selected articles was carried out by the SB with support JD and RB, to determine the articles for inclusion in this review. An Excel worksheet was used to extract relevant information from the articles.
Data items
Data was entered under the following headings: Author; Year; Used Demirjian Scores(Sc)/Stages(St)/both; DAE method and number of stages; Study sample size; Study age range; Study population/s; Dental features; Sex(M/F/combined); AI algorithm architecture; Classification/DAE/both; Reported metrics; Comparison to experts(Y/N).
Critical appraisal of individual sources of evidence
Each source of evidence was appraised in comparison to the traditional Demirjian method of assigning discrete dental development stages and applying weighted scores, if used. This included sample size, distribution, sex-matching, ethnicity, statistical methodology, rationales, and conclusions. The use of modified Demirjian methods and reported results were also evaluated in this way.
Synthesis of results
The included articles were split into three groups with the aim of matching similar study approaches to undertake comparison of study methods, materials, sample distribution, reported metrics, and study results.
Stage Allocation Alone: Studies that employed AI algorithms to allocate Demirjian or modified Demirjian stages.
Stage Allocation Prior to AI: Studies that utilised Demirjian staging before progressing to age predictions using AI models.
Demirjian Prior to AI: Studies that applied the Demirjian scoring method to their specific populations before undertaking age predictions with various AI models.
Following the critical appraisal of the data, the following comparisons were undertaken within each group: the traditional Demirjian method versus modified methods; sample distributions including size, distribution, sex-matching; reported accuracy of the application of traditional Demirjian to ethnic group; image manipulation; reported metrics; performance of human experts and AI models; studies that made comments about how their AI models compared to traditional methods.
Results
Selection of sources of evidence
The first search yielded 595 articles of which 265 were duplicates. From the yield of 330, 20 full text articles were sourced. A yield of 71 came from the second search, of which 30 were duplicates. The yield of 41 articles came from the second search, of which two full-text articles were sourced, one of which was a correction for an article sourced in the first search. A final total of 22 articles from an initial total of 666 articles was used in this scoping review (Fig. 1). The corrected article was combined with the original article as a count of one.
Fig. 1.
Prisma flow diagram generated by Covidence for the scoping review comparing the manual application of the Demirjian method and artificial intelligence modalities
Characteristics of sources evidence
The included articles were subdivided into three groups according to the following characteristics i.e., Stage Allocation Alone, Stage Allocation Prior to AI; and Demirjian Prior to AI. The groups were tabulated using the headings outlined under Data items (see Tables 1, 2 and 3).
Table 1.
Demirjian stage allocation (Stage alone Studies)
| Authors | Year | n | Population | Sex | Sample spread | Tooth features | DAE method: # of Stages | AIgorithm architecture | Reported Metrics | Classification Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Tobel et al.. [5] | 2017 | 400 | Belgium | M&F | 20 per stage | 38 | De Tobel: 10 |
AlexNet 5−fold cross−validation |
Mean Rank−N RR, MAD, LWK, ICC, cross−tabulation |
MA: 0.51 (mean Rank−I RR) MAD: 0.6 stages LWK: 0.82 |
| Merdietio Boedi et al.. [7] | 2020 | 400 | Belgium | M&F | 20 per stage | 38 | De Tobel: 10 |
DenseNet201 5−fold cross−validation |
Accuracy, MAD, Cohen’s Klin, cross−tabulation |
Fully segmented MA: 0.61 MAD: 0.53 stages Cohen’s Klin: 84% |
| Banar et al.. [6] | 2020 | 400 | Belgium | M&F | 20 per stage | 38 | De Tobel: 10 |
YOLO−like CNN, DenseNet201, U−Net−like CNN 5−fold cross−validation |
MAE (pix); MED (pix); accuracy, MAE (stages), precision, recall, dice, LWK, cross−tabulation, confusion matrix |
MA − auto/manual = 54/60 (%) MAE (stages) auto/manual = 0.69/0.51 stages LWK− auto/manual = 79%/84% |
| Matthijs et al.. [44] | 2023 | 1639 | Belgium | M&F | 20 per stage | 31, 33, 34, 37, 38 | De Tobel: 10 |
DenseNet 5−fold cross−validation |
Confusion matrix, mean rank−N, accuracy, MAD, LWK, ICC |
Accuracy: 0.53 MAD: 0.71 LWCK: 0.71 ICC: 0.89 |
| Upalananda et al.. [28] | 2023 | 4000 | Thai | M&F | 15–23yrs | 38, 48 | Demirjian stages D−H |
GoogLeNet Training epoch = 10 Mini batch size = 32 |
Mean, SD, min, max, cross−tabulation, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, accuracy |
Accuracy: 82.50% (stage range: 87.5–97.5%) |
| Milani et al.. [67] | 2024 | 3422 | USA | M&F | Per stage | 38, 48 | Modified Demirjian: 10 |
Custom CNN 5−fold cross validation |
Mean, SD, 95% CI, confusion matrix, accuracy | Accuracy: 83.76% |
| Ong et al.. [68] | 2024 | 5133 | S.Korea | M&F | 4–16yrs | 31–37 | Demirjian: 8 |
YOLOv5, U−Net, EfficientNet Batch size 10 Epochs = 1000 |
mAP, recall, precision, F1−score, cross−tabulation |
MA: 0.995 F1−scores per tooth type I:69.23, C:80.67, PM:84.97, M:90.81 |
Mean Rank-N RR Rank-N recognition rate, MAD mean absolute difference, LWK linearly weighted kappa coefficient, ICC intercorrelation coefficient, MA mean accuracy, MAE mean absolute error, MED mean Euclidean distance, SD standard deviation, min minimum, max maximum, PPV positive prediction value, NPV negative prediction value, mAP mean average precision, I incisor, C canine, PM premolar, M molar
Table 2.
Comparison of studies using Demirjian stages and AI DAE (Stage allocation prior to AI)
| Authors | Year | n | Population | Sex | Sample spread | Tooth features | DAE method: # of Stages | AIgorithm architecture | Reported Metrics | Stage Allocation Performance |
DAE Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad et al.. [71] | 2021 | 657 | Malay | M&F | 5–14.99yrs |
34 (P1), 35 (P2) |
Modified Demirjian C−F, added stages D1−D5 |
AlexNet Training epochs = 10 Minibatch size = 32 |
ME, p−value, cross−tabulation, precision, recall, dice (F−score), Jaccard similarity, confusion matrix |
MA: 92.5% F1−scores: P1=0.94; P2=0.91 |
ME Female: P1=−0.23; P2=0.03 ME Male: P1=0.18; P2=−0.02 |
| Han et al.. [9] | 2022 | 10257 | Chinese | M&F | 5–24yrs | 31–38 | Demirjian: 8 |
Chinese MLR formula; ResNet ADSE batch size = 1 ADAE batch size = 32 |
mean, SD, 95% CI, p−value, MAE, confusion matrix, accuracy (%), LWK |
Accuracy: 87.07% MAE: 0.17 stages LWK: 0.80 |
MAE (man): 1.67yrs MAE (semi): 1.63yrs MAE (auto): 1.03yrs a |
| Pintana et al.. [27] | 2022 | 1000 | Thailand | M&F | 15–23yrs; 200/stage | 38 | Demirjian D−H |
ACF detector Resnet50 Mini batch size = 32 |
Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, confusion matrix |
Accuracy (locator)=99.5% Accuracy (classification)=93.66% MSens (classification)=83.25% |
Accuracy per age margin b ± 0.5 yrs = 10.05% ± 1 yr = 26.63% ± 2 yrs = 58.29% ± 4 yrs= 90%+ Overall MAE=1.94yrs |
| Kumagi et al. [32] | 2023 | 2657 |
Korean Japanese |
M&F | 15–23yrs | M1 & M2 | Demirjian: 8 |
DAE: SLP & MLP data mining (DM) Classification: Multivariable LR (Lr and LogR) |
MAE, RMSE, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, AUROC |
Internal set: conventional better than DM for males; comparable for females AUROC > 0.92 for all External set: DM & conventional comparable for males; DM better than conventional for females c |
MAE DM−Internal: M/F = 1.133/1.278 MAE Conventional−Internal: M/F = 1.016/1.077 MAE DM−External: M/F = 1.249/1.803 MAE Conventional−External: M/F = 1.250/1.717 |
| Mohammad et al.. [4] | 2024 | 4892 | Malay | M&F | 5.1–15.8yrs |
34 (P1), 35 (P2) |
Modified Demirjian: C−F |
DP−AC Approx 20 epochs |
Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1−score, 95%CI, confusion matrix, ME, p−value | Accuracy: 96.63% |
ME F: P1=0.07; P2=0.03 ME M: P1= − 0.03; P2= − 0.02 |
| Zeng et al.. [72] | 2024 | 1486 | S. China | M&F | 8–24.99 | M2 & M3 (36 & 37) | Demirjian |
Multiple ML models Step−wise regression Ordered logistic regression 10−fold cross−validation |
Accuracy, MAE, mean, max, min, SD, M−W U−test, p−value, Wilcoxon test, R, R−sq, Adj R−sq, SE, R2 change, 95%CI, precision, recall, F1−score, confusion matrix, ROC curves, MSE. RMSE | SVM AUC = 0.9896 (> 18-year group) d |
M3R+M3L+M2R+M2L+sex: accuracy = 0.6144 SVM classification accuracy = 0.618 VOTE MAE = 0.7207 (overall) RF MAE = 0.4248 (12–14yr group) |
ME mean error, MA mean accuracy, SD standard deviation, MAE mean absolute error, LWK linearly weighted kappa coefficient, PPV positive prediction value, NPV negative prediction value, MSens mean sensitivity, ADSE assisted dental stage estimation, ADAE automated dental age estimation, SD standard deviation, LWK=; Lr linear regression, LogR logistic regression, RMSE root mean square error, AUROC area under the region of curve, max maximum, min minimum, M male, F female, M-W Mann-Whitney, R-sq R squared, Adj R-sq adjusted r-squared, SE standard error, ROC region of curve, MSE mean standard error, RMSE root mean square error, M3R right 3rd molar, M3L left 3rd molar, M2R right 2nd molar, M2L left 2nd molar, RF Random Forrest
a 2025 correction to ADSE
b Used Duangto et al. regression equations
c Thresholds = < 12, 12–14, 14–16, 16–18, > 18-year groups
d Threshold = 18-years
Table 3.
Comparison of studies that tested the Demirjian method before AI DAE (Demirjian prior to AI)
| Authors | Year | n | Population | Sex | Sample spread | Tooth features | DAE method: # of Stages | AIgorithm architecture | Classification threshold | Metrics reported (classification or DAE) |
DAE Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tao et al.. [34] | 2020 | 1636 | Chinese | M&F | 11–19yrs | 31–37 |
Demirjian: 8 Willems: 8 |
ML – Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks Leave-one-out cross-validation |
RMSE, MSE, MAE |
MAE: M/F Demirjian: 1.307/1.364 Willems: 1.291/1.407 MLP: 0.990/1.261 |
|
| Galibourg et al.. [24] | 2021 | 2230 | S. France | M&F | a2.18 < 16yrs | 31–37 |
Demirjian: 8 Willems: 8 |
ML – various | U16 | ME, MAE, MSE, RMSE, R2, SD. Bland-Altman graph |
MAE-Demirjian: 1.108yr (0.045) MAE-Willems: 0.928yr (0.037) MAE-ML: SVM 0.729(0.025) to BRR 0.812(0.028) |
| 1340 | S. France | M&F | 16<24yrs | 4x third molars | Hofmann modified Dem: 8 |
ML – various 10-fold cross-validation |
U24 |
MAE-Hofmann = 1.639 MAE-ML = 1.689 (SVM) to 2.828(BRR) |
|||
| 3570 | S. France | M&F | a2.18 < 24yrs | 31–37, 4x third molars |
Demirjian: 8 Willems: 8 Hofmann modified Dem: 8 |
ML – various 10-fold cross-validation |
U24 | MAE: 1.197(SVM) to 2.206(BRR) | |||
| Guo et al.. [18] | 2021 | 10257 | Chinese | M&F | 5–25yr | 31–38; 38 | Demirjian: 8 | SE-ResNet & EfficientNet | 14 yr, 16 yr, 18 yr | Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, |
Age Thresholds (years):14yr 16 yr 18yr Teeth 31–38 % Accuracy (manual): 92.5 91.3 91.8 % Accuracy (auto): 95.9 95.4 92.3 Tooth 38 % Accuracy (manual): 90.0 91.5 91.7 % Accuracy (auto): 93.4 95.7 93.3 |
| Bunyarit et al.. [21] | 2022 | 1015 | Malaysian Indian | M&F | 5<18yrs | 31–38 |
Chaillet and Demirjian: 8 (8-teeth method only) |
ANN- MLP | mean, SD, MD, 95%CI, t, p-value, r |
MD-Chaillet & Demirjian M/F: −1.68/−2.56 MD-ANN M/F: 0.03/0.07 |
|
| Rocha et al.. [78] | 2022 | 1000 | SE Brazil | M&F | 6–15.99yrs | 31–38 | Willems: 8 |
MLR ANN-MLP |
mean, SD, ME, MAE, RMSE, Bland-Altman graphs |
ME Willems (F/M) = 0.27/0.28 ME MLR(F/M) = 0.54/0.35 ME ANN (F/M) = 0.26/0.24 Excluding 15yo: MLR=0.47/0.25 ANN=0.14/0.16 Willems=0.22/0.26 |
|
| Shan et al.. [31] | 2022 | 1477 | S. China | M&F | 2<18yrs | 31–37 |
Demirjian: 8 Willems: 8 Modified Willems: 8 |
Regression Variable leaf node depths, weights & iterations |
<16 & <18yrs thresholds: | AD, SD, MAE, p-value, MSE, RMSE, R2 |
MAE Demirjian: F (<18:<16)/M (<18:<16) = 0.95:0.94/0.96:0.96 MAE Willems: F (<18:<16)/M (<18:<16) = 0.78:0.73/0.77:0.76 MAE Modified Willems: F (<18:<16)/M (<18:<16) = 0.77:0.71/0.76:0.72 |
| Wu et al. (a) [33] | 2022 | 2052 | Taiwanese | M&F | 2.8<18yrs | 31–37 |
Demirjian 8 Willems 8 b H-method: 8 |
ML – various Repeat training – 20 iterations |
RMSE, R-sq, MSE, MAE, ME, Bland-Altman graphs, means, SD (ML only) |
MAE ± SD (not reported for non-ML) GPR = 0.6916 ± 0.001 Han:1.239 Demirjian:1.850 Willems:4.314 |
|
| Wu et al. (b) [79] | 2022 | 2431 | Taiwanese | M&F | 3–18yrs | 31–37 |
Demirjian 8 Willems 8 |
ML – GPR CNN – EfficientNet 5-fold cross-validation |
Mean, SD, SEM, p-value |
Estimated age (CA): mean (SD) F/M CA-Demirjian: −0.818 (0.852)/−0.926 (1.01) CA-Willems: −0.279 (0.792)/−0.468 (0.917) CA-ML: 0.039 (0.736)/−0.050 (0.770) CA-CNN: 0.014 (0.718)/0.007 (0.637) |
|
| Yavuz et al.. [80] | 2025 | 1169 | Turkish | M&F | 5–16yrs | 31–37 | Willems: 8 |
CNN – ResNet 5-fold cross validation |
mean, SD, ICC, p-value, r, 95% CI, AIC, BIC, RMSE, R-sq, MD, MAE |
MAE Willems F/M: :0.2 to 1.3yrs/0.06 to 1 yr DL F/M: −2.45 to 1.38yrs/−1.95 to 1.56yrs RMSE/R-square Willems: 0.939/0.897 Deep Learning: 1.670/0.676 |
RMSE root mean square error, MSE mean square error, MAE mean absolute error, U16 under 16-years, U24 under 24-years, ME mean error, r correlation coefficient, R-sq r-squared, SD standard deviation, MD mean difference, MLR multilinear regression, AD average difference, SEM standard error of mean, GPR Gaussian process regression, ICC intraclass correlation coefficient, AIC Akaike information criterion, BIC Bayesian-Schwarz criterion
a results given in the study are from 4 years not 2.18yrs
b H-method = Han modified Demirjian – Pan et al. age range 5−16.99 year-olds
Critical appraisal within sources of evidence
Data extracted from each source of evidence was tabulated according to group allocation to assist comparisons (Tables 1, 2 and 3). Tabulations included numerical data such as sample size, sample age range, number of stages used, and reported metric results.
Results of individual sources of evidence
A summary of the appraisal of each source of evidence is included under one of the three following allocated groups.
Stage allocation alone
This group included seven stage allocation studies (Stage Allocation Alone) that focused on AI methods to automate Demirjian staging. Table 1 summarises the data items evaluated in this review.
De Tobel et al. [5] developed a modified Demirjian staging index (Online Resource 3. Table 1.). The study used an automated approach but still required bounding boxes to fix the region of interest. Percentage accuracy of stage allocation for tooth 38 using Rank-N recognition rate was reported and found to be similar between human observers in the study and the automated technique. Accuracy was defined as the first rank recognition rate i.e., Rank-I RR. The linearly weighted kappa (LWK) coefficient indicated the most misclassified stages were neighbouring stages only. The authors warned that errors in the supervised annotation of the training data will be copied by the automated technique.
Merdietio Boedi et al. [7] attempted to improve the automated 10 stage allocation study by De Tobel et al. They removed surrounding structures (e.g., periodontal ligament, bone, mandibular canal) to delineate the third molar, comparing three types of segmentations i.e., bounding box (BB), rough segmentation (RS), and full segmentation (FS). They also replaced the AlexNet architecture with DenseNet201. FS gave the best results, outperforming BB by 7%. Misclassified stages were neighbouring stages only. Reported staging performance was better than De Tobel and reached similar performance to humans.
Banar et al. [6] replicated the method of De Tobel et al. [5] with the same sample but utilised a three-step method to classify tooth 38. Step one involved a YOLO-like CNN/DenseNet201 architecture to apply bounding boxes and feature mapping; step two utilised a U-Net like CNN for segmentation; and step three used a U-Net like CNN to automate tooth staging. They were able to achieve a slightly better mean accuracy for stage allocation, but were unable to achieve better than Merdietio Boedi et al. [7]. They found “discerning adjacent stages (especially stages 7–9) remained challenging for the automated DL approach”.
An automated staging technique developed by Matthijs et al. [44] aimed at 400 radiographs per tooth type and 20 per stage per sex, however this was not achieved for lower stages for most tooth types. De Tobel’s 10 stage method was utilised by the human experts. The relevant teeth were placed in bounding boxes and images resized. A CNN model was used to establish an integrated automated staging technique for the different mandibular tooth types. The authors suggest that the developmental status of mandibular molars can be considered in an automated method for DAE, however incisors may hinder DAE.
The semi-automatic stage assessment study by Upalananda et al. [28] assigned dentists to manually locate, crop, and rotate bilateral lower third molar images. Exclusion criteria were not stated. Images from the same individual were excluded before descriptive statistical analysis, removing some potential bias. The sample was imbalanced across age groups and between sexes but reasonably distributed across stages. The study presented cross tabulations between the observer and the pre-trained GoogLeNet model. All misclassifications from the model deviated by one stage from the developmental stage assessed by the observer. “The method’s performance was comparable with human assessment.” The study compared its results to studies using a modified Demirjian method [5, 6] and achieved a ‘acceptable’ mean accuracy comparable to other studies using the manual method [69].
Milani et al. [67] introduced a ML model to allocate modified Demirjian stages (Online Resource 3. Table 2) of bilateral third molars. No rationale was given to the modification of the Demirjian stages and for using absolute measures in stage 5. Manual cropping, resizing, and classification were undertaken by two clinical scientists. The method employed a DNN model for region of interest extraction, pre-filtering, and extensive data augmentation (weighted data sampling, auto contrast, translation) to expand the sample by merging trainable filters with elements of a pre-trained network (transfer learning). Focal loss was incorporated to address class imbalances and prioritize learning from difficult examples. The EfficientNet method achieved the highest classification accuracy of 83.7%, with cross-tabulations being very similar to the ground truth. Misclassifications were greater than 1-stage across the sample. The sample was imbalanced across stages and sex.
Ong et al. [70] classified four tooth types utilising a three-step automated procedure i.e., detection, segmentation, and classification. YOLOv5, U-Net, and EfficientNet models were trained and used for each Demirjian stage. Mean average precision (mAP) was 0.995 for detection and 0.978 for segmentation. It was stated that use of the proposed model would eliminate disagreements between observers, however the cross-tabulation results are comparable between the expert and AI model. The authors recommended multiple tooth assessments over single tooth types to reduce the risk of broad age ranges. The authors noted limited data for early stages likely introduced bias, and that manual intervention is still necessary to minimise errors from DL models, while DL can reduce observer fatigue and bias. The authors stated the proposed model served as a supportive tool for dentists.
Stage allocation prior to AI
Table 2 summarises the data items evaluated in the studies which compared stage allocations between humans and AI models prior to training and developing AI models to allocate stage and then predict dental age.
Mohammad et al. [71] reclassified Demirjian’s staging for their assessment of the mandibular premolars (P1 and P2) after applying the traditional Demirjian method to the sample, which resulted in underestimation of males and overestimation of females. Stages below C were not considered. The sample distribution was reported as unbalanced with limited data for stages A and B. Based on accuracy obtained from the classification performance, new stages were formulated (Online Resource 3. Table 3). Automated staging performance was comparable to expert staging. The study reported a high variance in the sample age which was reflected in the significant variation in mean error. The DCNN produced a classification accuracy of 92.5% however, the authors then stated that, due to the imbalance, classification accuracy is an inappropriate measurement and report precision and recall metrics as an alternative, reporting F-scores for the DCNN model alone. The study concludes that the semi-automatic system was superior to the traditional method. DAE performance was compared to the results of two systematic reviews with meta-analyses assessing the Willems method (a modified Demirjian method) [73–75].
Han et al. [9, 76] tested the performance of three models i.e., manual DAE (MDAE), automated stage evaluation (ADSE), and end-to-end automated DAE (ADAE), to compare a stepped approach from human application of a Chinese regression formula to end-to-end automation. The stage imbalanced dataset resulted in only stages D, E, and H yielding accuracy of > 70%. The consistency between the experts (Linear Weighted Kappa (LWK) = inter:0.874/intra:0.967) and the ADSE model (LWK = 0.801) indicated the model nearly approached the performance of the expert inter-observer. The study compared classification-stage performance to studies using only third molars, most teeth had reached stage H, and the DAE performance did not significantly improve on manual method. The authors advised the automated classification model needs to improve for more accurate classification of stages. The ADAE model was found to outperform the other two models by approximately 1/3 (2025 republished version) [76]. Grad-CAM indicated other features were assessed, including maxillary sinus and the space distal to the third molar. Although sex-matched MLR regression formulas for the ADSE models were utilised, no sex-specific results were reported in the study [9].
Pintana et al. [27] employed a three-step technique comparing classification results to the experts-evaluated ground truth; reporting sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy. An ACF detector automated tooth location in step one; a pre-trained ResNet50 architecture categorised stages; and finally dental age predictions were calculated using the Duangto et al. Equation [77]. The study was unable to compare the method to other recent studies due to differences in datasets, experimental settings, and evaluation metrics. The authors indicated that hardware restrictions may have affected performance. For DAE, Duangto et al. sex-matched regression equations (formulated from a Thai sample using left and then right third molars) were applied and percentage accuracy reported for 0.5-year intervals. Sex-matched results were not reported. Accuracy was low for acceptable age-ranges of ≤ ± 2years. Stage allocation was comparable to the experts. Target and reference populations matched.
In a data mining (DM) study by Kumagai et al. [32] a Korean sample was used to train and test (internal) models, while a Japanese sample was used in the external test. The study compared the accuracy of DM models with conventional regression models. The second and third molars were staged according to Demirjian’s method. Multivariable linear and logistic regression were then performed to develop new population-specific regression formulae to estimate age for comparison to DM models. The conventional models performed slightly better than the DM models for sex-matched DAE. Conventional classification performed best for Korean males. Of the DM models, logistic regression was found to be optimal for classification for the sex-matched Korean sample. Overall, the accuracy of DAE and classification performance of the Japanese sample was less accurate compared to the Korean sample, indicating the limitation of multi-population application.
In 2024, Mohammad et al. [4] followed their 2021 study [71] examining the accuracy of classifying P1 and P2 teeth, utilising their proposed DCNN model. The model was a four-step method, including preprocessing by one expert (data labelling and annotation). According to the study the DCNN model improved accuracy; but there was no difference between the 2021 and 2024 male results for CA and PA for P1 (ME and 95%CI did differ between the two studies for male P1). The confusion matrix indicated similar results between true and predicted classifications. Sex-matched results were reported; age was underestimated for females and overestimated for males.
Zeng et al. [72] employed a two-step approach to combine classification and prediction models. Two experts scored and allocated Demirjian stages to bilateral second (M2) and third (M3) molars. Sex-matched descriptive statistics were reported for each developmental stage (A-H). The sample was categorised into five age groups: <12, 12–14, 14–16, 16–18, > 18 years with the classification model, followed by application of a prediction model within each age group. Only a 1.5% improvement was found using the ML multiclass classification model, compared to the LR model. When converted to a binary classification problem a pronounced advantage resulted. A joint model for bilateral M2 and M3 was developed and found to be more efficient than M3 alone for DAE. Age prediction accuracy ranged from MAE = 0.5081 (12-14years) to MAE = 1.6290 (≥ 18years) The bilateral M3 + M2 + sex model gave the highest accuracy. The DAE model is yet to be validated for other population groups.
Demirjian prior to AI
A total of nine studies were allocated to the Demirjian Prior to AI group for analysis. Data evaluated was tabulated in Table 3.
The 2020 study by Tao et al. [34] employed a Multi-layer Perceptron (ML-P) model to predict dental age for their sample. They compared the predictions to those of experts using the traditional Demirjian and Willem’s (modified Demirjian) methods. Leave-one-out cross-validation was used to avoid over-fitting during training stage. Once trained using the Demirjian stages, the model was used to predict age. An experiment was then conducted using Demirjian and Willem’s converted features to train the model. The experiment showed improved accuracy from the first ML-P model and particularly for males compared to females.
The Galibourg et al. [24] study can be divided into three parts. For the U16-year group, teeth 31–37 were scored and compared to CA. The ME was then compared to those from the ML regression methods. Study results were reported for 4–16-years and/or 4–24-years where the ML methods were superior to traditional methods at DAE. For the U24-year group, it was reported that ML algorithms were better than the traditional methods however, this is an overall assumption, since the Hofmann method [81] employed was better for assessing the third molars (lowest ME, MAE, MSE, and RMSE). The Hofmann method was used since Demirjian and Willems methods cannot be applied to over 16-year-olds. The study showed the greatest error from 17 to 20 years, which may be explained by lower sample numbers in these groups. The study acknowledged the limitation of applying the 1973 French-Canadian reference standards to different groups. The Hofmann method was based on a German sample and the Galibourg et al. sample was from Southern France. Sex-matched data was only presented in the Bland-Altman plots.
Guo et al. [18] set age thresholds of 14, 16, and 18 years old, comparing the manual technique of Demirjian and automatic techniques using SE-ResNet (one model) and EfficientNet (three models). All methods produced accuracy of over 90%. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for teeth 31–38 were mostly higher than for tooth 38 for the 14 and 16-year thresholds, with the reverse being shown for tooth 38 for the 18-year threshold. Similar results between machine and manual methods were obtained in the study. Specificity and sensitivity of the manual method were highest for the 18-year threshold. The authors suggested the stability of the manual method may be related to the ability of humans to avoid the feature interaction problem and noise interference, due to professional knowledge and experience interpreting imaging.
Bunyarit et al. [21] manually applied the Chaillet and Demirjian method [82] to calculate DAE. ANN, employing MLP, produced new modified scores to calculate new dental age (NDA). While the Chaillet and Demirjian method underestimated DA, the ANN adapted scores improved DAE by narrowing the gap between CA and DA to 12-days (boys) and 25-days (girls). Reported mean differences for ANN treated samples were all under 0.23-years, but SDs were higher than 1-year for both sexes (males 11 < 14-years; females 11 < 17-years). The modified scores are yet to be validated.
Rocha et al. [78] employed the Willems method [75] for DAE, with sex-matched results reported. Comparison between the traditional method, MLR and ANN models revealed that the ANN model performed better than the MLR model. The Willem’s method remained optimal for most age intervals for females and > 12-year intervals for males. All models were inaccurate for the 15–15.99.99-year group.
In the study by Shan et al. [31] dental ages were calculated by applying the Demirjian [59] and the Willems [75] methods and compared to CA. The Willems method gave the lowest error and thus utilised to generate a new model, producing new weighted scores. Age estimates were improved minimally compared to boosting ML algorithms trained with the Demirjian stages for sex-matched data. GBDT achieved MAEs below 0.25 for all age groups in the test set. The study used an imbalanced sample across sex-matched age groups. The authors did not consider this problematic nor affected results, although the sample was reported as a limiting factor. The results have not been validated yet.
Wu et al. (a) [33] trained six ML DAE methods by inputting allocated Demirjian stages of teeth 31–37 and CA in the training dataset. Model performances were compared to the H-method [83], the Demirjian [59], and the Willems [75] methods. The H-method refers to the sex-matched maturity score conversion tables developed by Pan et al. (2021), derived from the Demirjian method. The ML-assisted models reduced MAE to less than one-year overall for the combined-sex sample. The Gaussian process regression performed the best out of the ML models and the H-method was best of the non-ML models.
Wu et al. (b) [79] assessed the images of a group of healthy children and a group of children with delayed growth (GD) using traditional and AI-assisted standards. The traditional methods included the Demirjian [59] and Willems methods [75], plus a modified Taiwanese developed, specific version of Demirjian. Both staging (TDS) and image features were separately used as input parameters, plus sex. Inputs from healthy children were used for training the ML and CNN models to develop population specific standards, and then compared their efficacy to traditional methods, testing the validation and the growth delayed sets. The CNN model was most accurate for the healthy, while the Willem’s method was most accurate for the GD children. The ML TDS + sex model had a higher age prediction accuracy then the traditional models with the same parameters. The study sample was aged 3–18-years, however the Demirjian method is only applicable to children aged 3−16-years and the H-method is based on a sample aged 5–16.99.99-years; the study does not indicate if the mature individuals were excluded.
Dental ages were evaluated by two experts using the Willems [75], Cameriere-Europe [84], and London Atlas [85] methods by Yavuz et al. [80]. Images were downsized before imputation. A ResNet transfer learning pre-trained model was employed for DL. MAE was reported for each sex-matched age group for the three traditional methods and the ML model. The DL algorithm did not produce good results without ‘hand-crafted features’ requiring expert knowledge. The DL models gave similar results to traditional methods, but the DL method was the least accurate, with the lowest determination coefficient. No method emerged in this study as suitable for predicting age in the Turkish population. The authors recommended larger datasets to achieve increased accuracy i.e., > 1000 per group for 98% accuracy and > 4000 per group for 99% accuracy.
Synthesis of results
Within the Staging Alone group, two articles used the original Demirjian stages [26, 68], while the others modified stages. Only three studies were directly comparable, using the same sample distribution, tooth feature, and staging method [5–7]. Sex-matching was irrelevant and not included. Five studies reported similar results to the conventional methods [5–7, 28, 44].
Aside from the two Mohammad et al. methods, all studies within the Staging Prior to AI group assessed different tooth features and applied unmodified Demirjian stages. Three studies did not provide sex-matched results [18, 24, 33].
Five studies within the Demirjian Prior to AI group tested the traditional and a modified version(s) of the Demirjian method on specific population groups prior to training AI models to automate DA predictions [24, 31, 33, 34, 79]; three tested a modified version of the Demirjian method alone [21, 78, 80]; one tested the Demirjian method solely [18]. Six tabulated sex-matched results [21, 31, 34, 78–80]. Two studies reported combined sex results [24, 33].
Comparison between the three groups was difficult due to different methodologies/statistical approaches between groups e.g., the stage alone group did not perform DAE and comparison with experts was solely based on staging accuracy; the Staging Prior to AI group did not perform DAE using the traditional method on their population sample prior to calculating DAE from new regression formulae and AI models developed, therefore comparisons to experts were related to staging alone and not necessarily to the traditional method per se. Six of the nine studies within the third group were able to make direct comparisons to the application of the traditional Demirjian method [18, 24, 31, 33, 34, 79], while three used modified Demirjian methods (two used Willems [78, 80]; one used Chaillet and Demirjian [21]).
Of the 22 studies included in this review, nine showed similar performance between experts manually applying Demirjian stages with/out scoring and AI models [4–7, 18, 27, 28, 31, 44]; four reported the AI models were better [9, 21, 24, 67]; two reported the AI models were worse [32, 78], four reported mixed results [4, 33, 68, 79], one reported that neither were applicable to their study population [80], and two did not report comparison between experts and AI [34, 72].
Discussion
There is a rapidly increasing trend in the use of AI to improve accuracy and efficiency in DAE, yet many studies fail to address issues raised from research undertaken using traditional methods [86]. Several studies were excluded from this review for violating more than one such issue. Other excluded studies contained samples with age ranges that included teeth in regressive phases that can increase error rates significantly; reporting of mean errors for these samples does not assist DAE of subadults and should be analysed separately or separate results reported for developing and mature teeth. Furthermore, arranging samples into more than 1-year groups and/or presenting overall means or point estimates, does not assist age estimation of the living where thresholding is utilised when an age estimation of an individual comes into question, from a legal or human rights perspective. Although AI has demonstrated greater efficiency in some areas of DAE, it cannot replace the experience of a dentist, particularly when analysing complex radiographic morphologies [22]. While some studies incorporate limited statements of experience of dental ‘experts’, others do not. Furthermore, the definition of who qualifies as an expert has not been clearly defined in this field.
The 2009 National Academy of Sciences report states that “since researchers are, by definition, creating new understanding, they must be as cautious as possible before asserting a new ‘truth’. Also, because researchers are working at a frontier, few others may have the knowledge to catch and correct any errors they make” [87]. The race to be the first to develop new methods should not mean lessons from previous relevant bodies of research can be ignored [86].
In this scoping review the comparison between the studies was challenging, due to the wide variation in different tooth types, sample size and distribution, different statistical methods applied, results reported, and the presence of sample bias. Only three studies in this review were comparable in terms of sample size, distribution, dental features assessed, population, and DAE method used. They varied in their AI architecture approach upon discovering possible areas for improvement [5–7].
It was anticipated that AI would outperform experts in stage allocation (Stage Allocation Alone). The lower stage allocation accuracy of some studies is possibly a reflection of the difficulty in assessing third molars for both machines and experts. Sample size and the use of modified Demirjian stages may also have affected outcomes. Those with larger samples and/or used unmodified Demirjian stages had higher accuracy.
Studies that trained models with Demirjian stages (Stage Allocation Prior to AI) were able to produce good classification accuracy through employing locator algorithms that utilised more features than delineated teeth alone. DAE performance was not strong in this group, and results may have been skewed for those that did not report sex matched results [18, 24, 33].
For the studies that compared direct application of the Demirjian or modified Demirjian methods to a proposed AI method (Demirjian Prior to AI), the outcome was as predicted i.e., the proposed study methods were likely to outperform the traditional method where the populations differed from the Demirjian French-Canadian sample [21, 24, 31, 78]. In this group, bias may have been imposed by reporting of combined sex results [24, 33]. Combining sexes can hide relevant information [34, 88]. If an assumption was made based on combined results that a method was good for both sexes, the method could produce incorrect results with real-life consequences.
Bias may also have been introduced using age ranges that differed between target and reference samples [33, 34, 89]. It is unclear in these studies if dentally mature individuals over 16-years old were eliminated from statistical analysis. Once the apices of the seven lower teeth (I1 to M2) have closed we cannot tell from the teeth alone if a person is 16-years old (early 20 s if the third molar is included) or 80-years old, for example, therefore, overall error rates will be unhelpful for immature individuals.
Consideration of tooth selection for analysis is relevant as it is known that third molars are notorious for variation and the use of 2-D imaging (OPG) limits viewing and potentially excludes otherwise usable data. Furthermore, DAE comparisons with traditional methods, which utilise seven or eight teeth, are difficult if studies select different combinations of teeth to analyse [4, 27, 72].
While there is little consensus on what is reliable or valid when considering DAE accuracy, Ritz-Timme et al. (2000) consider reported errors of 0.5–1.5 year up to the age of 14-years, with 2 years up to the age of 18-years, as acceptable. Liversidge et al. (2010) and Tangmose et al. (2015) report standard deviations of approximately 0.7 to 1-year up to 8–9 years of age, with 18 months to 2-years for third molar stages, as acceptable. “Accuracy will be influenced by age range and sample structure” and whether “a child is maturing at an average rate” (Liversidge et al., 2010, Tangmose et al., 2015) [54, 90]. Although some of these studies report AI outperforming traditional methods, their accuracy may not satisfy real-world application requirements, and no consensus was found in this review. Accuracy, or validity is defined as “the degree of conformity of a measured or calculated quantity to its actual true value” [91]. Accuracy has been defined by the studies assessed in this review as either mean error or mean difference; both terms were used to demonstrate the difference between CA and DA.
Multiple authors report the time inefficiency of manual application of dental age estimation techniques [12, 92] while others have found the application of traditional methods to be fast, easy, and inexpensive [93]. In the real-world, 10 min per patient (as report by Kapoor and Jain 2018 when applying the polynomial equations and tables of Demirjian and Chaillet 2004 [82, 92]) is not particularly burdensome and manual application of techniques is arguably cheaper than developing validated automated methods [7, 8, 25, 71]. Some authors have argued that mass fatality events involving large numbers of victims would require automated methods to hasten the identification process [4]. There are several limiting factors to this argument e.g., validated population-specific reference data availability [41, 94, 95], available evidence to assess and recoverability, regional economic and political factors.
As observed with traditional AE methods there may also be a risk of bias introduced by the type of regression analysis AI models use. The studies in this review largely did not describe in detail the methods underlying the AI models. While the limitations of manual methods have been well documented, the trustworthiness and integrity of AI systems should also be investigated for application in forensic fields. Experts will be called upon to give evidence in court where they may very well be asked to detail all the processes that transform data into reliable results. Some methods behave like black boxes (MLP, RF, SVM), while others are perfectly explainable (polynomial regression, decision tree). The methods the least easy to interpret give the best results on all the metrics e.g., SVM, RF, MLP [24]. Galibourg et al., Kumagai et al., Rocha et al., Wu(a) et al., and Wu(b) et al. [24, 32, 33, 78, 79], utilised a mix of explicable and less explicable regression methods, while all others used less explicable methods or did not describe the regression method used. Deep learning-based DAE methods make it almost impossible to present the scientific basis of age estimation, such as the age indicators used in the estimation. Commonly, algorithm developers cannot adequately explain how results are arrived at. In addition, there has been legal controversy around who/what performed examinations. Therefore, deep learning-based age estimation is difficult to accept by administrative and judicial agencies [32].
Conclusion
This scoping review has shown that reliable, applicable, and efficient AI methods for DAE, regardless of how the Demirjian method was utilised, are not yet available to replace current methods. This technology is progressing rapidly, but it is often challenging to directly compare studies. Sample description, size, and distribution continue to be the main areas likely to be introducing bias. Statistical analysis varied immensely, as did the selection of metrics and reporting of results. Greater consistency of these factors is necessary to compare studies.
Utilising Demirjian stages to assist training of AI models can improve accuracy, however human oversight is still required, and new methods need validation. DAE research should be undertaken by experts in the field and with the end-user in sight i.e., forensic and general practitioners. More research is needed to better understand how AI models undertake predictions to make them suitable for real-world use, as error in age estimation potentially has severely negative impacts. The exclusion of meaningful information, results, and clarification by authors in many studies in this review has further hindered the application of these techniques into the forensic and legal domain. Due to the complexity of AI systems, experts need to be able to visualise, interpret, and explain, in easily understood terms, how the models work to be accepted by legal systems requiring DAE in legal proceedings. Methods will be questioned by the triers of fact when human rights are at stake. Proposed methods also need to be easily applicable, reliable, population relevant, and reproducible for use in general dental clinical practice.
Supplementary Information
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Kathryn Rough (Medical Librarian) for conducting the literature search and Dr. Adrian Fernandez (General and Forensic Dentist) who assisted screening articles.
Abbreviations
- SB
Dr. Stephanie Baylis
- AF
Dr. Adrian Fernandez
- JD
Dr. Joanna Francis Dipnall
- RB
Professor Richard Bassed
Author contributions
Dr. Baylis conceptualised and designed the study, performed the literature search/screening/and article selection, review of articles, wrote the initial manuscript and critically reviewed the manuscript. Dr. Dipnall conceptualised and designed the study, assisted with the review of screening conflicts, and critically reviewed the manuscript. Professor Bassed conceptualised and designed the study, assisted with the review of screening conflicts, and critically reviewed the manuscript. Professor Bassed conceptualised and designed the study, assisted with the review of screening conflicts, and critically reviewed the manuscript.
Funding
Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions. The authors have no financial or proprietary interests in any material discussed in this article. No funding was received for conducting this study.
Data Availability
Data
Compliance with ethical standards
All authors complied with the National Statement on Ethical Conduct in Human Research 2023 (National Statement).
Ethics approval
Not applicable.
Human and/or animal participants
Not applicable.
Human ethics and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Conflicts of interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Clinical trial number
Not applicable.
Footnotes
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
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