Skip to main content
Epidemiology and Infection logoLink to Epidemiology and Infection
. 1989 Dec;103(3):633–641. doi: 10.1017/s0950268800031034

Influenza mortality and excess deaths in the elderly, 1967-82.

M J Sprenger 1, M A Van Naelten 1, P G Mulder 1, N Masurel 1
PMCID: PMC2249522  PMID: 2606165

Abstract

This study assessed the influence of influenza on mortality from heart and lung diseases in people over 70 years of age. The data used were obtained from the Dutch Bureau of Statistics. With a regression model, the observed monthly mortality from heart and lung diseases (influenza not included) in people over 70 years is explained with a yearly variable, a monthly variable and the overall monthly number of influenza mortality cases, assuming that monthly mortality has a Poisson distribution. The monthly excess mortality from heart and lung diseases (influenza not included) due to influenza among elderly people (greater than 70 years) is estimated. This study suggests that 1400 deaths per million per year were due to influenza in people over 70 years of age in the study period of 16 years. It can be concluded that one influenza death in the population over 70 years 'generates' almost two deaths diagnosed as heart and lung diseases in the elderly.

Full text

PDF
633

Selected References

These references are in PubMed. This may not be the complete list of references from this article.

  1. Alling D. W., Blackwelder W. C., Stuart-Harris C. H. A study of excess mortality during influenza epidemics in the United States, 1968-1976. Am J Epidemiol. 1981 Jan;113(1):30–43. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113063. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  2. Anderson T. W., Le Riche W. H. Cold weather and myocardial infarction. Lancet. 1970 Feb 7;1(7641):291–296. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(70)90651-3. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  3. Bainton D., Jones G. R., Hole D. Influenza and ischaemic heart disease--a possible trigger for acute myocardial infarction? Int J Epidemiol. 1978 Sep;7(3):231–239. doi: 10.1093/ije/7.3.231. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  4. Barker W. H., Mullooly J. P. Impact of epidemic type A influenza in a defined adult population. Am J Epidemiol. 1980 Dec;112(6):798–811. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113052. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  5. Chakraverty P., Cunningham P., Shen G. Z., Pereira M. S. Influenza in the United Kingdom 1982-85. J Hyg (Lond) 1986 Oct;97(2):347–358. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400065438. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  6. EICKHOFF T. C., SHERMAN I. L., SERFLING R. E. Observations on excess mortality associated with epidemic influenza. JAMA. 1961 Jun 3;176:776–782. doi: 10.1001/jama.1961.03040220024005. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  7. Foy H. M., Cooney M. K., Allan I., Kenny G. E. Rates of pneumonia during influenza epidemics in Seattle, 1964 to 1975. JAMA. 1979 Jan 19;241(3):253–258. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  8. Fried L. P., Bush T. L. Morbidity as a focus of preventive health care in the elderly. Epidemiol Rev. 1988;10:48–64. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.epirev.a036028. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  9. Housworth J., Langmuir A. D. Excess mortality from epidemic influenza, 1957-1966. Am J Epidemiol. 1974 Jul;100(1):40–48. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112007. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  10. Langmuir A. D., Housworth J. A critical evaluation of influenza surveillance. Bull World Health Organ. 1969;41(3):393–398. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  11. Miller D. L., Lee J. A. Influenza in Britain 1967-68. J Hyg (Lond) 1969 Sep;67(3):559–572. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400042005. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  12. Pereira M. S., Chakraverty P. Influenza in the United Kingdom 1977-1981. J Hyg (Lond) 1982 Jun;88(3):501–512. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400070352. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  13. Pereira M. S., Chakraverty P. The laboratory surveillance of influenza epidemics in the United Kingdom 1968-1976. J Hyg (Lond) 1977 Aug;79(1):77–87. doi: 10.1017/s0022172400052876. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  14. Rogot E., Fabsitz R., Feinleib M. Daily variation in USA mortality. Am J Epidemiol. 1976 Feb;103(2):198–211. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112218. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  15. Rogot E., Padgett S. J. Associations of coronary and stroke mortality with temperature and snowfall in selected areas of the United States, 1962-1966. Am J Epidemiol. 1976 Jun;103(6):565–575. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112261. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  16. Scragg R. Seasonality of cardiovascular disease mortality and the possible protective effect of ultra-violet radiation. Int J Epidemiol. 1981 Dec;10(4):337–341. doi: 10.1093/ije/10.4.337. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  17. Serfling Robert E. Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths. Public Health Rep. 1963 Jun;78(6):494–506. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  18. Tillett H. E., Smith J. W., Gooch C. D. Excess deaths attributable to influenza in England and Wales: age at death and certified cause. Int J Epidemiol. 1983 Sep;12(3):344–352. doi: 10.1093/ije/12.3.344. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Articles from Epidemiology and Infection are provided here courtesy of Cambridge University Press

RESOURCES