Main Text
To the Editor: A recent paper by Labuda et al.1 used patterns of linkage disequilibrium (LD) among SNPs from the HapMap data on the X chromosome and the autosomes to estimate the female-to-male breeding ratio in human populations . This approach was of considerable interest to us because two recent papers2,3 using SNP diversity and frequency patterns to study sex-biased demography differed in their conclusion as to whether the effective population size of the X chromosome was larger than expected. A larger than expected effective population size on the X chromosome could be due to a larger female than male effective population size . Because neither of the previous studies used information contained within LD patterns, the study of Labuda et al.,1 in principle, could provide independent estimates of β. They find evidence that β is slightly larger than 1 but still smaller than the value reported by Hammer et al.2 Thus, Labuda et al.1 concluded that there is little evidence for polygyny, or a larger female than male effective population size, throughout human history. However, errors in their analytical derivations affect most of their analyses, and correction of these errors leads to different conclusions.
In deriving Equation 4, Labuda et al.1 state that the sex-averaged recombination rate on the X chromosome, , depends on the female-to-male breeding ratio of the population through the expression , in which is the female recombination rate. However, and is independent of β because each offspring is produced from a male-female mating, regardless of the sex ratio in the population. Therefore, because recombination on the X chromosome can occur only in females , only two of the three potentially transmitted X chromosomes can be the product of a recombination event. Deviations from an equal number of breeding males and females in the population will change the relationship between the effective population sizes of the X chromosome and the autosomes , but will not change the fact that each mating will still consist of a single male parent and a single female parent (Figure 1), keeping . Thus, the authors' expression essentially double-corrects for unequal male-female population sizes. The correct expression has been previously derived (reviewed in 4) and has also been used to interpret differences in patterns of genetic variation on the X chromosome and autosomes in Drosophila.5,6 The expression for the sex-averaged recombination rate on the X chromosome is the same for humans and Drosophila because, in both species, it does not recombine in males.
Using the correct equation for , Equation 4 of Labuda et al.1 should read
Then, it follows that the X chromosome-to-autosome ratio of population recombination rates (Equation 7) should be
in which is the sex-averaged recombination rate on the autosomes. The ratio of the normalized X chromosome recombination rate to the normalized autosomal recombination rate defined in Equation 8 then becomes
The breeding ratio as a function of R (captured in Equation 9) is
Figure 2 shows the population recombination rate ratio (solid blue curve) along with the ratio computed from Equation 8 of Labuda et al.1 (dotted blue curve). Equation 8 of Labuda et al.1 underpredicts R when β is low (an excess of breeding males) and overpredicts R when β is high (an excess of breeding females).
Given that it appears that the error in the derivations of Labuda et al.1 has a substantial impact on R (Figure 2), we reanalyzed the data presented in Table 1 of Labuda et al.1 from the three HapMap populations. We calculated β from the estimates of R from Labuda et al.,1 using the corrected version of Equation 9. The corrected Equation 9 results in larger estimates of β than those reported in Table 1 of the original paper1 (see Table 1 in this paper). For example, in YRI, , as compared to 1.42 before correction. In terms of , the corrected equation gives a ratio of 0.882 in YRI instead of 0.796 reported by Labuda et al.1 These larger estimates of β and from the HapMap CEU and YRI populations are consistent with the estimates reported in Hammer et al.2 and support the claim of an excess of breeding females in human history. Incidentally, although we follow Labuda et al.1 in reporting results in terms of β, we note that is a more robust statistic and that deriving β from introduces the restrictive assumptions of discrete nonoverlapping generations and a Poisson distribution of offspring.7–9
Table 1.
ρXa | ρAa | Ra | Original βa | Corrected β | Original NeX/NeAa | Corrected NeX/NeA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YRI | 0.264 | 0.449 | 0.588 | 1.42 | 2.63 | 0.796 | 0.882 |
CEU | 0.136 | 0.237 | 0.574 | 1.34 | 2.27 | 0.788 | 0.861 |
CHB, JPT | 0.158 | 0.301 | 0.525 | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.763 | 0.787 |
Reproduced from Table 1 of Labuda et al.1
Labuda et al.1 then used their estimates of β from the LD patterns in the HapMap data combined with diversity and divergence levels on the X chromosome and autosomes to estimate the ratio of male germline mutations to female germline mutations . The expression that the authors derived for the sex-averaged X chromosome mutation rate depends on β. For the same reasons described above with regard to , is independent of β as well. Corrected expressions for Equations A2–A6 of Labuda et al. are presented in Appendix S1, available online. Importantly, when the correct expressions are used, the ratio of X chromosome-to-autosome diversity () follows a monotonically increasing function of β for all values of α (Figure S1), rather than the complex pattern shown in Figure 2 of Labuda et al.1 The corrected expressions, corrected estimates of β (Table 1), and the estimates of from Table S2 of Labuda et al.1 provide estimates of α between 4.95 and 22.43. These estimates are higher than those obtained by Labuda et al.,1 though estimates of α equal to 5 have been previously noted in humans.4,10,11 The highest estimate of α is from the YRI population, which has the largest estimate of β. The reliability of this estimate is unclear, because may differ across populations3 and the data used by Labuda et al.1 do not account for this. Furthermore, it is not clear that estimates of β from LD-based summary statistics can be used to obtain reliable estimates of mutational parameters, given that Labuda et al.'s work1 and previous work12 have shown that complex demography can affect SNP diversity and frequency patterns differently than it affects LD patterns.
Labuda et al.1 also suggested that estimates of α from X chromosome and autosome divergence depend on the sex ratios of the populations involved. However, this is at odds with previous work showing that when ignoring ancestral polymorphism, α can be estimated solely from the X chromosome versus autosome divergence without regard to β.4,13,14
In conclusion, we applaud Labuda et al.'s1 use of LD-based summary statistics to distinguish between competing complex demographic models. However, errors in their analytical derivations undermine their conclusion that there is little evidence for larger female than male effective population sizes throughout human history. Instead, when the corrected equations presented here are used, their results from some populations are consistent with a female effective population size roughly twice that of males.
Acknowledgments
We thank Andrew Clark and Rasmus Nielsen for helpful discussions and comments on previous versions of the manuscript. We also thank other members of the Nielsen laboratory for helpful discussions and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript. K.E.L. was supported by a Ruth Kirschstein National Research Service Award from the National Human Genome Research Institute (F32HG005308).
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