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Annals of Oncology logoLink to Annals of Oncology
. 2011 Oct 11;23(6):1455–1464. doi: 10.1093/annonc/mdr445

The Cyclin D1 (CCND1) A870G polymorphism predicts clinical outcome to lapatinib and capecitabine in HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer

M J LaBonte 1, P M Wilson 2, D Yang 3, W Zhang 1, R D Ladner 2, Y Ning 1, A Gerger 1, P O Bohanes 1, L Benhaim 1, R El-khoueiry 1, A El-khoueiry 1, H-J Lenz 1,*
PMCID: PMC3360546  PMID: 21989330

Abstract

Background:

Lapatinib plus capecitabine emerged as an efficacious therapy in metastatic breast cancer (mBC). We aimed to identify germline single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genes involved in capecitabine catabolism and human epidermal receptor signaling that were associated with clinical outcome to assist in selecting patients likely to benefit from this combination.

Patients and methods:

DNA was extracted from 240 of 399 patients enrolled in EGF100151 clinical trial (NCT00078572; clinicaltrials.gov) and SNPs were successfully evaluated in 234 patients. The associations between SNPs and clinical outcome were analyzed using Fisher’s exact test, Kaplan–Meier curves, log-rank tests, likelihood ratio test within logistic or Cox regression model, as appropriate.

Results:

There were significant interactions between CCND1 A870G and clinical outcome. Patients carrying the A-allele were more likely to benefit from lapatinib plus capecitabine versus capecitabine when compared with patients harboring G/G (P = 0.022, 0.024 and 0.04, respectively). In patients with the A-allele, the response rate (RR) was significantly higher with lapatinib plus capecitabine (35%) compared with capecitabine (11%; P = 0.001) but not between treatments in patients with G/G (RR = 24% and 32%, respectively; P = 0.85). Time to tumor progression (TTP) was longer in patients with the A-allele treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine compared with capecitabine (median TTP = 7.9 and 3.4 months; P < 0.001), but not in patients with G/G (median TTP = 6.1 and 6.6 months; P = 0.92).

Conclusion:

Our findings suggest that CCND1A870G may be useful in predicting clinical outcome in HER2-positive mBC patients treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine.

Keywords: capecitabine, cyclin D1, lapatinib, metastatic breast cancer, polymorphisms

introduction

Approximately 1 million new cases of breast cancer (BC) are reported each year worldwide and it remains the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in women [1, 2]. In the United States, the American Cancer Society estimates that in 2010 there will be ∼ 261 100 new cases of BC with 39 840 deaths [3]. Approximately 15%–30% of BC cases demonstrate human epidermal receptor 2 (HER2) gene amplification and protein overexpression that is associated with aggressive disease, increased resistance to some chemotherapeutic agents and poor clinical outcome [47].

Lapatinib (Tykerb®/Tyverb®; GlaxoSmithKline, Research Triangle Park, NC) is an orally available, reversible small-molecule tyrosine kinase inhibitor that blocks both epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and HER2 and their downstream signaling pathways [8, 9]. The Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency have both approved lapatinib for use in combination with the oral fluoropyrimidine, capecitabine (Xeloda; Roche, San Francicso, CA), for HER2-overexpressing metastatic breast cancer (mBC) patients who had previously failed an anthracycline, taxane and trastuzumab and in combination with letrozole (Femara; Novartis Pharmaceuticals, East Hanover, NJ) for hormone-positive, HER2-overexpressing postmenopausal women with mBC [10, 11]. The phase III trial evaluating the combination of lapatinib and capecitabine chemotherapy reported that the addition of lapatinib prolonged time to tumor progression (TTP) with a median of 6.2 versus 4.3 months and a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.57 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.43–0.77. P < 0.001] and provided a trend toward improved overall survival (OS) (HR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.55–1.12, P = 0.177) [11, 12]. Lapatinib plus capecitabine resulted in a response rate (RR) of 23.7% compared with capecitabine alone at 13.9% (P = .017) [11]. Despite a clear improvement in clinical benefit associated with the lapatinib and capecitabine combination versus capecitabine monotherapy (27% versus 18%), this clinical benefit remains limited to a subset of patients. As a result, there is a clear need to identify predictive markers in addition to HER2 positivity with the power to identify patients with a high likelihood of clinical benefit as candidates for lapatinib and capecitabine combination therapy [13].

It is well established that heterogeneity within the patient population is a strong contributing factor to the observed interindividual variation in response to chemotherapeutic agents and subsequent clinical outcome. As such, the identification and validation of contributing genetic factors such as single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) represents a critical step in the advance toward personalized medicine. The purpose of the current study was to identify subgroups of HER2-positive mBC patients who may benefit from the addition of lapatinib to capecitabine chemotherapy.

Several studies have attempted to identify biomarkers that identify the patient population with a high likelihood of response to lapatinib treatment [1315]. These studies have evaluated HER2 gene amplification, HER2 and EGFR messenger RNA (mRNA) and protein expression, serum transforming growth factor-α (TGF-α), epidermal growth factor (EGF), EGFR-extracellular domain (ECD) and HER2-ECD. Of these, only high serum TGF-α has been implicated in resistance to lapatinib and capecitabine treatment. While other studies have focused on investigating the influence of gene expression levels, this study hypothesized that polymorphisms within genes involved in both the capecitabine pathway (TYMS and MTHFR) and HER signaling cascade (EGF, EGFR, HER2, CCND1, IL-8 VEGF) may predict RR, clinical benefit and/or TTP for patients treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine compared with capecitabine monotherapy.

patients and methods

study population and EGF100151 trial design

All patients included in this study participated in the EGF100151 clinical trial (NCT00078572; clinicaltrials.gov), a phase III trial of 399 HER2-positive mBC patients who had been previously treated with an anthracycline, a taxane and trastuzumab. Patients were randomly assigned to receive capecitabine (2500 mg/m2/day, days 1–14, for 3 weeks) or capecitabine (2000 mg/m2/day, days 1–14, for 3 weeks) plus lapatinib (1250 mg/day) [11, 12]. The primary end point of the study was TTP and OS. The present analysis was conducted at the University of Southern California (USC)/Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center following approval by the USC Institutional Review Board for Medical Sciences. All patients provided written informed consent for tissue and blood collection to allow study of molecular correlates.

genotyping and candidate polymorphisms

Genomic DNA was extracted from whole blood samples collected on study. The majority of SNPs were tested by the PCR–restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR–RFLP) method as previously described [16] and genotype agreed upon by the consensus of two independent investigators. The EGFR (CA)n repeat polymorphism was tested by a 5′-end [γ-33P] ATP-labeled PCR protocol [1719]. To ensure accuracy and specificity, a total of 10% positive and negative duplicate controls were matched for each polymorphism and were analyzed by direct DNA sequencing. Genotype concordance in these selected quality control samples was 100%. All SNP analyses were carried out blinded to the clinical data.

selection of SNPs

The genes, reference SNP identification numbers, location, function, forward and reverse primer and restriction enzymes are summarized in supplemental Table S1 (available at Annals of Oncology online). The genes analyzed in this study were selected based upon stringent predefined criteria: (i) the gene was part of a pathway for which there was credible scientific basis to support its involvement in either capecitabine metabolism or HER activation and signaling; (ii) the gene has an established well-documented genetic polymorphism; and/or (iii) the SNP has potential to alter the function of the gene in a biologically relevant manner.

statistical analysis

Allelic distribution of all SNPs was tested for deviation from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium (HWE), and the fit to the equilibrium was evaluated utilizing the chi-square test with 1 df. The distribution of polymorphisms across baseline demographic, clinical and pathological characteristics was examined using Fisher’s exact test. The end points of the study included tumor RR, TTP and clinical benefit. The definition of the end points can be found in the article of the original trial [11]. The associations between SNPs and TTP, RR and clinical benefit were examined using Kaplan–Meier curves, log-rank test, and Fisher’s exact test. The inheritance model for SNPs and clinical outcome was not established. A codominant model or dominant model was utilized whenever appropriate. We calculated that a total of 231 patients would be required to detect a significant interaction between treatment and an SNP on TTP with 80% power using a 0.05-significance level two-sided test (http://www.swogstat.org/stat/public/int_survival.htm). We assumed that the variant allele frequency was 50%, the variant allele carriers benefited from the combination treatment (HR = 0.4) and the patients carrying only the wild-type allele did not benefit from the combination treatment (HR = 1.0).

The interactions between treatment and SNPs on end points were tested using likelihood ratio test within logistic regression or Cox proportional hazards model for RR and clinical benefit and TTP, respectively. The classification and regression trees based on binary recursive partitioning (RP) were a multivariate used to predict end points by selecting predictors from treatment, SNPs and baseline patient characteristics [20, 21].

All statistical tests were two-sided and carried out using SAS statistical package version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC) and rPART for RP.

results

study population

Of the 399 patients enrolled in the EGF100151 trial, 240 patients (60%) had blood that was available for retrospective SNP analysis. Of these 240 blood samples that were available, DNA was successfully extracted and genotyping was successfully carried out in 234 patients. Of these 234 patients, 125 received capecitabine monotherapy and 109 received the lapatinib plus capecitabine combination. The clinical outcome of these 234 patients was representative of the entire study population. Specifically, the overall RR was not statistically different between the overall and the subset patient populations with 14% (95% CI 9% to 21%) in the overall patient population and 17% (95% CI 10% to 27%) in the subset of patients treated with capecitabine alone and 22% (95% CI 16% to 29%) in the overall patient population versus 33% (95% CI 23% to 43%) in the subset of patients treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine (Table 1). Furthermore, for TTP there was no statistical difference between the overall and the subset patient populations with 4.4 months in the overall patient population and 4.0 months in the subset of patients treated with capecitabine alone and 8.4 months (HR = 0.49; 95% CI 0.34–0.71) in the overall patient population versus 7.6 months (HR = 0.51; 95% CI 0.34–0.78) in the subset of patients treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine (Table 1). The baseline characteristics of these patients in both treatment arms were also comparable with the total study population (Table 1).

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of the 234 women included in the biomarker analysis of EGF100151 clinical trial

Subset population
Overall phase III Triala
Characteristic Capecitabine 2500 mg/m2, (n = 125) Lapatinib 1250 mg plus capecitabine 2000 mg/m2 (n = 109) Capecitabine 2500 mg/m2 (n = 161) Lapatinib 1250 mg plus capecitabine 2000 mg/m2 (n = 163)
Age, year
    Median 50 53 51 54
    Range 28–80 26–80 28–83 26–80
ECOG performance status, n (%)
    0 85 (68) 72 (66) 89 (57) 96 (61)
    1 40 (32) 37 (34) 68 (43) 61 (39)
Hormone receptor status, n (%)
    ER+ or PR+ 60 (48%) 47 (43%) 75 (47%) 78 (48%)
    ER− and PR− 58 (46) 56 (51) 80 (50) 80 (49)
    Unknown 7 (6) 6 (6) 6 (4) 5 (3)
Stage of disease, n (%)
    IIIB or IIIC 6 (5) 4 (4) 7 (4) 7 (4)
    Metastatic 119 (95) 105 (96) 154 (96) 156 (96)
N of advanced or metastatic sites, n (%)
    <3 74 (59) 59 (54) 81 (50) 84 (52)
    ≥3 51 (41) 50 (46) 80 (50) 79 (48)
Advanced or metastatic sites, n (%)
    Visceral 96 (77) 78 (72) 124 (77) 125 (77)
    Non-visceral only 29 (23) 31 (28) 37 (23) 38 (23)
Duration of trastuzumab therapy, week
    Median 47 49 44 42
    Range 0–329 3–296 5–329 3–296
Median overall  response,% (95% CI) 17 (10–27) 33 (23–43) 14 (9–21) 22 (16–29)
Median time to tumor  progression, months 4.0 7.6 4.4 8.4
    HR (95% CI) 0.51 (0.34–0.76) 0.49 (0.34–0.71)
    P-valueb <0.001 <0.001

CI, confidence interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor.

a

Data from reference [11].

bP-value calculated from log-rank test.

overall distribution of genotypes in BC patients

The genotype frequencies of the polymorphic variants of CCND1, EGF, EGFR, HER2, IL-8, MTHFR, TYMS and VEGF did not deviate significantly from the predicted distribution of HWE in either treatment group.

univariate analysis of polymorphisms associated with tumor RR

Of the 10 SNPs analyzed in this study, CCND1A870G (rs17852153) was the only polymorphism significantly associated with clinical outcome (Tables 2 and 3; supplemental Table S2, available at Annals of Oncology online). Out of 233 patients assessable for CCND1 A870G analysis, 63 patients (27%) possessed the A/A genotype and 63 possessed the G/G genotype (27%), whereas 107 patients (46%) were heterozygous (A/G). When considering the RR in the patient population, there was a near statistically significant trend toward an interaction between the type of chemotherapy received and the CCND1 A870G SNP (Table 2, P = 0.059). When patients possessing the A-allele were grouped together (A/A and A/G, n = 170; G/G, n = 63), patients with the A-allele had an RR of only 10.5% with capecitabine monotherapy (n = 83). However, when patients possessing the A-allele received capecitabine plus lapatinib (n = 87), the RR was significantly increased to 36.5% (P for interaction = 0.022). In contrast, patients with the G-allele did not demonstrate any statistically significant difference in RR between the capecitabine monotherapy and the combination treatment groups with RR of 32% and 24%, respectively (Figure 1A).

Table 2.

Univariate analysis of tumor response by treatment group and polymorphisms

Capecitabine 2500 mg/m2
Lapatinib 1250 mg plus capecitabine 2000 mg/m2
Polymorphism N CR + PR, n (%) SD, n (%) PD, n (%) P-valuea N CR + PR, n (%) SD, n (%) PD, n (%) P-valuea
IL-8-251T>A 0.32 1.00
    T/T 42 6 (21) 15 (54) 7 (25) 23 4 (25) 9 (56) 3 (19)
    A/T 56 6 (17) 15 (42) 15 (42) 60 19 (37) 26 (51) 6 (12)
    A/A 27 3 (14) 11 (50) 8 (36) 26 6 (27) 12 (55) 4 (18)
    P for interaction 0.27
VEGF +936 C>T 10.48 0.47
    C/C 91 13 (20) 30 (46) 22 (34) 84 24 (36) 32 (48) 10 (15)
    C/T 34 2 (10) 11 (52) 8 (38) 25 5 (22) 15 (65) 3 (13)
    P for interaction 1.00
TS 3′-UTR (+6 bp/−6 bp) 0.65 0.26
    +/+ 59 8 (19) 18 (42) 17 (40) 49 10 (27) 19 (51) 8 (22)
    +/− 52 6 (18) 17 (50) 11 (32) 45 15 (38) 20 (51) 4 (10)
    −/− 14 1 (11) 6 (67) 2 (22) 15 4 (31) 8 (62) 1 (8)
    P for interaction 0.79
TS 5′-UTR 0.20 0.89
    2R/2R, 2R/3C, 3C/3C 80 10 (18) 21 (38) 25 (45) 67 18 (34) 25 (47) 10 (19)
    2R/3G, 3G/3C 37 5 (20) 16 (64) 4 (16) 37 10 (32) 19 (61) 2 (6)
    3G/G 7 0 (0) 4 (80) 1 (20) 4 0 (0) 3 (75) 1 (25)
    P for interaction 0.38
MTHFR +677 C>T 1.00 1.00
    C/C 50 6 (19) 14 (45) 11 (35) 48 14 (35) 20 (50) 6 (15)
    C/T 54 5 (13) 21 (54) 13 (33) 53 12 (29) 23 (56) 6 (15)
    T/T 20 4 (27) 5 (33) 6 (40) 8 3 (38) 4 (50) 1 (13)
    P for interaction 0.98
MTHFR +1298 A>C 0.71 0.42
    A/A 67 9 (18) 25 (51) 15 (31) 57 14 (30) 25 (54) 7 (15)
    A/C 34 3 (17) 7 (39) 8 (44) 31 7 (27) 15 (58) 4 (15)
    C/C 23 3 (17) 9 (50) 6 (33) 21 8 (47) 7 (41) 2 (12)
    P for interaction 0.61
EGF +61 A>G 0.34 0.46
    A/A 39 7 (28) 11 (44) 7 (28) 34 9 (32) 16 (57) 3 (11)
    A/G 71 7 (14) 22 (45) 20 (41) 60 19 (39) 21 (43) 9 (18)
    G/G 15 1 (8) 8 (67) 3 (25) 15 1 (8) 10 (83) 1 (8)
    P for interaction 0.35
EGFR +497 G>A 1.00 0.21
    G/G 71 8 (17) 23 (48) 17 (35) 58 17 (37) 24 (52) 5 (11)
    G/A 44 7 (21) 15 (45) 11 (33) 38 9 (28) 18 (56) 5 (16)
    A/A 10 0 (0) 3 (60) 2 (40) 12 3 (27) 5 (45) 3 (27)
    P for interaction 0.67
EGFR (CA)n 0.28 0.34
    <20 60 5 (12) 20 (49) 16 (39) 59 19 (39) 23 (47) 7 (14)
    ≥20 65 10 (22) 21 (47) 14 (31) 48 10 (26) 23 (59) 6 (15)
    P for interaction 0.12
CCND1 +870 A>G 0.16 0.10
    A/A 30 2 (10) 11 (52) 8 (38) 33 11 (41) 13 (48) 3 (11)
    A/G 57 4 (11) 19 (53) 13 (36) 50 13 (32) 24 (59) 4 (10)
    G/G 37 9 (32) 10 (36) 9 (32) 26 5 (24) 10 (48) 6 (29)
    P for interaction 0.059
HER2 655 A>C 0.64 0.63
    A/A 75 9 (17) 24 (45) 20 (38) 67 17 (32) 27 (51) 9 (17)
    A/C 50 6 (18) 17 (52) 10 (30) 42 12 (33) 20 (56) 4 (11)
    P for interaction 0.89

CCND1, cyclin D1; CI, confidence interval; CR, complete response; EGF, epidermal growth factor; EGFR, EGF Receptor; HER, human epidermal receptor; IL, interleukin; MTHFR, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase; PD, progressive disease; PR, partial response; SD, stable disease; TS, thymidylate synthase; VEGF, vascular endothelial growth factor.

a

Based on the Fisher’s exact conditional test.

b

Overall study population response rate results: capecitabine alone, 14% (95% CI 9–21) versus capecitabine plus lapatinib, 22% (95% CI 16–29).

Table 3.

Time to tumor progression (TTP) by treatment groups and polymorphisms

Capecitabine 2500 mg/m2a
Lapatinib 1250 mg plus capecitabine 2000 mg/m2a
Median TTP, months (95% CI) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P-valueb Median TTP, months (95% CI) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P-valueb
IL-8-251T>A 0.35 0.33
    T/T 5.9 (3.1–8.3) 1 (reference) 17.1+ (7.9–17.1+) 1 (reference)
    A/T 3.2 (2.8–4.0) 1.34 (0.73––2.48) 6.1 (5.1–11.5) 1.91 (0.73–5.05)
    A/A 4.5 (3.9–11.2) 0.88 (0.42––1.982 5.6 (4.5–10.8) 2.07 (0.72–5.96)
    P for interaction 0.44
VEGF +936 C>T 0.81 0.12
    C/C 4.1 (3.2–8.3) 1 (reference) 8.5 (5.6–19.7+) 1 (reference)
    C/T 4.0 (2.7–6.6) 1.07 (0.60–1.90) 5.8 (4.2–10.8) 1.67 (0.86–3.27)
    P for interaction 0.30
TS 3′-UTR (+6bp/−6bp) 0.14 0.81
    +/+ 4.3 (2.7–6.6) 1 (reference) 10.8 (5.8–12.3+) 1 (reference)
    +/− 4.5 (3.3–8.7) 0.81 (0.46–1.44) 5.8 (4.4–11.5) 1.25 (0.62–2.50)
    −/− 3.2 (1.4–4.3) 1.77 (0.79–3.96) 5.6 (5.1–9.4) 1.17 (0.47–2.90)
    P for interaction 0.33
TS 5′-UTR 0.11 0.67
    2R/2R, 2R/3C, 3C/3C 3.4 (2.8–4.5) 1 (reference) 7.9 (5.6–11.5) 1 (reference)
    2R/3G, 3G/3C 7.1 (3.6–11.2) 0.54 (0.29–0.99) 5.6 (4.5–17.6c) 0.91 (0.45–1.87)
    3G/G 4.1 (1.4–5.5c) 1.04 (0.37–2.94) 5.1 (4.2–9.4c) 1.62 (0.49–5.41)
    P for interaction 0.60
MTHFR +677 C>T 0.90 0.61
    C/C 4.0 (3.1–8.4) 1 (reference) 5.6 (4.4–17.6c) 1 (reference)
    C/T 3.9 (2.8–6.6) 1.09 (0.61–1.94) 8.5 (5.8–19.7c) 0.80 (0.41–1.56)
    T/T 5.9 (2.4–8.3) 0.92 (0.43–1.97) 5.6 (4.3–8.4c) 1.28 (0.43–3.84)
    P for interaction 0.62
MTHFR +1298 A>C 0.64 0.43
    A/A 4.5 (3.3–8.4) 1 (reference) 7.6 (5.8–19.7c) 1 (reference)
    A/C 3.6 (2.6–7.1) 1.35 (0.71–2.56) 8.5 (4.0–9.4) 1.58 (0.77–3.25)
    C/C 4.0 (2.7–8.4) 1.15 (0.59–2.25) 5.6 (5.4–17.1c) 1.24 (0.56–2.77)
    P for interaction 0.94
EGF +61 A>G 0.24 0.96
    A/A 7.1 (4.3–8.7) 1 (reference) 6.2 (4.5–17.1c) 1 (reference)
    A/G 3.3 (2.8–4.1) 1.57 (0.87–2.83) 7.9 (5.6–11.5) 0.92 (0.46–1.86)
    G/G 8.7+ (2.6–8.7c) 1.11 (0.40–3.03) 5.8 (4.3–19.7c) 1.00 (0.37–2.68)
    P for interaction 0.46
EGFR +497 G>A 0.72 0.89
    G/G 4.0 (3.1–5.9) 1 (reference) 7.6 (5.8–11.5) 1 (reference)
    G/A 4.3 (2.8–9.4) 0.80 (0.45–1.40) 5.6 (5.1–19.7c) 1.16 (0.58–2.31)
    A/A 3.3 (2.8–4.3c) 0.95 (0.29–3.12) 5.6 (3.3–17.1c) 1.14 (0.45–2.84)
    P for interaction 0.63
EGFR (CA)n 0.16 0.38
    Both (CA)n <20 3.4 (2.8–4.5) 1 (reference) 7.6 (5.4–17.6c) 1 (reference)
    Any (CA)n ≥20 4.3 (3.3–8.4) 0.70 (0.41–1.18) 6.1 (5.6–9.4) 1.31 (0.70–2.47)
    P for interaction 0.11
CCND1 +870 A>G 0.46 0.073
    A/A 3.1 (1.9–5.6c) 1 (reference) 5.6 (4.4–10.9) 1 (reference)
    A/G 4.0 (3.2–5.9) 0.88 (0.43–1.81) 8.5 (5.8–19.7c) 0.58 (0.28–1.20)
    G/G 6.6 (3.3–8.4) 0.67 (0.30–1.46) 6.1 (2.7–9.4c) 1.33 (0.60–2.96)
    P for interaction 0.045
HER2 655 A>G 0.40 0.87
    A/A 4.1 (3.1–6.6) 1 (reference) 6.1 (5.4–19.7c) 1 (reference)
    A/G 4.0 (3.1–8.4) 0.80 (0.47–1.38) 8.5 (5.6–10.9) 0.95 (0.50–1.79)
    P for interaction 0.61

CCND1, cyclin D1; CI, confidence interval; EGF, epidermal growth factor; EGFR, EGF receptor; HR, hazard ratio; HER, human epidermal receptor; IL, interleukin; MTHFR, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase; TTP, time to tumor progression; TS, thymidylate synthase; VEGF, vascular endothelial growth factor.

a

Overall study population TTP results: capecitabine alone, 4.0 months versus capecitabine plus lapatinib, 8.4 months (HR: 0.49, 95% CI 0.34–0.71, P < 0.001).

b

Based on the log-rank test.

c

Estimates were not reached.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Interactions between CCND1 A870G polymorphism and treatment on response rate (RR), clinical benefit and time to tumor progression (TTP). The interactions between CCND1 A870G and treatment were analyzed by likelihood ratio test. There was a statistically significant interaction between CCND1 A870G and treatment in relation to (A) RR (P = 0.022) (B) clinical benefit, as defined as complete response, partial response or stable disease for at least 6 months (P = 0.040) and (C) TTP (P = 0.025), with those patients carrying the A-allele showing increased RR, clinical benefit and TTP with the addition of lapatinib compared with those patients who were homozygous for the G/G genotype.

univariate analysis of polymorphisms associated with clinical benefit

The CCND1 A870G was the only statistically significant SNP in the patient population with regard to clinical benefit that encompassed both tumor response and stable disease rate as defined in the EGF000151 protocol [11]. Specifically, patients harboring the A-allele had a clinical benefit rate of only 9.5% with capecitabine monotherapy (n = 83); however, when patients received capecitabine plus lapatinib (n = 87), the clinical benefit rate was significantly higher at 30% (supplemental Table 2, available at Annals of Oncology online; P for interaction = 0.04). As observed previously with RR, patients with the G-allele did not demonstrate any statistically significant difference in the clinical benefit rate between the capecitabine monotherapy and the combination treatment groups with clinical benefit rates of 31.5% and 27%, respectively (Figure 1B).

univariate analysis of polymorphisms associated with TTP

The importance of the CCND1 A870G SNP was further demonstrated during analysis of TTP where a statistically significant interaction between the type of chemotherapy received and the CCND1 A870G SNP was observed (Table 3; P = 0.045). For patients with any A-allele, the median TTP in the capecitabine monotherapy group was 4.0 months (range: 3.1–4.8 months). The same genotypes in the lapatinib plus capecitabine combination arm had a significantly higher median TTP of 7.9 months (range: 5.6–11.5 months, P for interaction = 0.025). Patients possessing the G/G genotype, however, demonstrated a median TTP of 6.6 months (range: 3.3–8.4 months) in the capecitabine monotherapy group which did not differ in terms of statistical significance from the combination treatment groups that demonstrated a median TTP of 6.1 months and a similar range (range: 2.7–9.4 months) (Figure 1C). The potential for any association between the duration of previous trastuzumab treatment and/or previous lines of chemotherapy and the influence of the CCND1 A870G on TTP was analyzed. Neither the duration of previous trastuzumab treatment nor the number of lines of previous chemotherapy were significantly associated with the CCND1 SNP and TTP (data not shown).

multivariate RP

RP was utilized to construct a decision tree as a predictive model to classify patients based on the presence of these molecular markers and identify which patient subgroups benefited from the addition of lapatinib to capecitabine chemotherapy. This comprehensive RP analysis incorporated a total of 18 potential variables including clinicopathological data listed in Table 1 and the panel of SNPs evaluated in this patient cohort. In the resultant decision tree, the most important factor that determined the TTP in these patients was their treatment assignment of capecitabine alone versus lapatinib plus capecitabine.

Within the patients who received lapatinib plus capecitabine, the important factors that determined patient outcome were the status of the CCND1 A870G and MTHFR A1298C (rs1801131) SNPs. Patients with any CCND1 A-allele and homozygous for the MTHFR A-allele demonstrated the most favorable outcome (95% CI 5.8–19.7; HR = 1). Patients carrying the CCND1G/G genotype had a less favorable outcome with a median TTP of 6.1 months (95% CI 2.7–9.4; HR =2.79). Patients carrying any CCND1 A-allele could be further segregated with patients harboring the MTHFR 1298A/C or MTHFR 1298C/C genotypes having a median TTP of 5.6 months (95% CI 4.4–10.9; HR = 2.34) (Figure 2A and B).

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Recursive partioning analysis. (A) This comprehensive recursive partitioning analysis for time to tumor progression (TTP) in metastatic breast cancer patients only incorporated a total of 18 potential markers to define six distinct patient groups (node 1–6) on the basis of TTP with treatment of capecitabine monotherapy or combination chemotherapy of lapatinib plus capecitabine. (B) Patients treated with lapatinib plus capecitabine that carry the CCND1 870 (rs17852153) A/A or A/G and the MTHFR 1298 (rs1801131) A/A genotype have a longer TTP (10.8 months) compared with those patients who carry the CCND1 870 A/A or A/G and MTHFR 1298 A/C or C/C genotypes [5.6 months, hazard ratio (HR) = 2.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08–5.054] or the CCND1 870 G/G genotype (6.1 months; HR = 2.79, 95% CI 1.14–6.78). (C) While patients who were treated with capecitabine alone carried the TS 5′UTR 2R/3G, 3G/3C or 3G/3G demonstrated a longer TTP of 7.1 months within this patient population compared with patients carrying the TS 5′UTR 2R/2R, 2R/3C or 3C/3C and either human epidermal receptor 2 655 A/G (3.1 months; HR = 2.25, 95% CI 1.21–4.16) or A/A (4.0 months; HR = 1.16, 95% CI 0.57–2.39) genotypes. CCND1, cyclin D1; MTHFR, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase; TS, thymidylate synthase.

Within the patients who were given capecitabine monotherapy, the patients carrying the TYMS 5′-UTR polymorphisms with the 2R/2R, 2R/3C or 3C/3C genotypes demonstrated a decreased TTP when compared with the patients carrying the TYMS 5′-UTR polymorphisms 2R/3G; 2G/3C; 3G/3G with a median TTP of 7.1 months. The patients with the TYMS 5′-UTR polymorphisms of 2R/2R, 2R/3C or 3C/3C group can be further subdivided by the HER2 Ile655Val (rs1136201) polymorphisms, with patients harboring the A/A genotype having a TTP of 4.0 months (HR = 1.16; 95% CI 0.57–2.39) compared with those harboring the A/G genotype having a TTP of 3.1 months (HR = 2.25; 95% CI 1.21–4.16) (Figure 2A and C).

discussion

This study identified an SNP in the CCND1 gene that was associated with increased RR, clinical benefit and TTP for patients receiving the combination of lapatinib plus capecitabine when compared with capecitabine monotherapy. Importantly, the CCND1 870A was consistently associated with all measures of clinical outcome in our study including RR, clinical benefit (which also considers stable disease rate) and TTP. The results of our study demonstrate a consistent and reproducible detrimental effect of the A-allele in mBC patients treated with capecitabine. Importantly, this association was independent of duration of previous trastuzumab treatment and previous lines of chemotherapy. Cyclin D1 is a member of the D-type cyclin family and an oncogene whose overexpression has been implicated in the etiology of a number of solid tumors including BC. As an essential regulator of cell cycle progression of the G1/S phase, cyclin D1 regulates the formation of active enzyme complexes and promotes S phase entry [22, 23]. Previous studies have demonstrated that cyclin D1 overexpression disrupts normal cell cycle control, thereby promoting the development and progression of many types of cancer, including breast, colon, lung, prostate and thyroid cancer [2429]. In fact, cyclin D1 is one of the most commonly overexpressed oncogenes in BC and is reported in 45%–50% of primary ductal carcinomas [27].

Two mRNA transcripts have been identified for cyclin D1, transcript-a and transcript-b. Transcript-a is the full-length 4.5-kb mRNA that includes exons 1–5, whereas transcript-b is shorter at 1.5- to 1.7-kb and is composed of exons 1–4 and intron 4 [3033]. In the context of carcinogenesis, the presence of the polymorphic variant A-allele has been correlated with the expression of the variant transcript-b implicated in this study [31]. Specifically, patients who are homozygous for the G-allele demonstrate predominant tumoral expression of the full-length cyclin D1 with normal activity and patients homozygous for the A-allele demonstrate elevated tumoral expression of the alternatively spliced mRNA with increased cyclin D1 activity and associated oncogenic functions. Heterozygous patients express both transcripts and have moderate cyclin D1 activity level within the cell. Betticher et al. [30] functionally characterized the differing transcripts and demonstrated that the variant transcript-b lacks the proline-glutamic acid-serine-theonine (PEST)-rich region, a domain important in destabilizing CCND1 mediated by the presence of the Thr-286 phosphorylation site necessary for cyclin D1 nuclear export. The loss of this domain leads to a significant increase in the protein half-life of transcript-b compared with the protein encoded by transcript-a. The SNP at 870 occurs directly at the splice donor sight between exon 4 and 5 and is reported to be an important determinant of successful CCND1 mRNA splicing [31]. The role of the A870G SNP and its association with cancer risk has reported inconsistently in the literature and appears to differ by cancer type. A recent meta-analysis that analyzed over 60 studies encompassing nine different cancers compared the significance of the A870G in 18 411 individuals who developed cancer and 22 209 healthy controls and concluded that there is strong evidence supporting an increased cancer risk associated with the CCND1 A870G polymorphism in the human population [34]. In addition, a growing number of reports have associated the A-allele with lack of response to chemotherapy. Preclinical studies utilizing cell line models, implicated cyclin D1 overexpression with resistance to a number of chemotherapeutics in gastric cancer cells and down-regulation of cyclin D1 by curcumin was reported to sensitize colorectal cancer cells to capecitabine in orthotopic mouse models [35]. In non-small-cell lung cancer, the A-allele was strongly associated with increased risk of malignancy and lack of response to platinum-based chemotherapy [36]. In colorectal cancer (CRC), the A-allele was associated with a highly significant decrease in OS in patients treated with the EGFR-targeted monoclonal antibody cetuximab [37]. A recent study in CRC also reported that the CCND1 A-allele was associated with significantly decreased TTP in patients receiving irinotecan-based chemotherapy but not in those who received EGFR-targeted therapy only, providing evidence of the role of the A-allele in conferring resistance particularly to DNA damaging therapeutics [38]. The role of cyclin D1 in mediating response to DNA damage has been described by Zhiping et al. who reported differential roles for the alternate cyclin D1 isoforms in mediating the response to DNA damage. Specifically, transcript-b was associated with decreased DNA repair, decreased induction of the cell cycle inhibitor p21, decreased cell cycle arrest and decreased double-stranded DNA breaks following treatment with a DNA damaging agent [38]. It is plausible that the reduced DNA repair ability of cyclin D1 transcript-b is a contributory factor to the increased cancer risk associated with the A-allele. In addition, the compromised ability of transcript-b to induce cell cycle arrest and apoptosis is a plausible explanation for the increased resistance to DNA damaging therapeutics observed with the A-allele in this and other studies.

In the current study, the CCND1 A-allele that promotes the oncogenic transcript-b was strongly associated with poor clinical outcome in patients who received capecitabine alone. However, and of note, the A870G polymorphism was not associated with poor clinical outcome in patients who received the lapatinib plus capecitabine combination. It has been well established that the CCND1 gene is a direct transcriptional target of the PI3K/AKT signaling pathway, which represents a primary mitogenic pathway activated by HER2. Furthermore, a recent microarray analysis identified CCND1 as one of the most heavily down-regulated genes in response to lapatinib treatment in HER2-amplified cancer cell lines. Therefore, it is plausible that the inclusion of lapatinib in combination with capecitabine may have counteracted the negative effect of the A870G polymorphism in some patients as a result of HER2 inhibition and transcriptional suppression of the CCND1 gene thereby inhibiting the transcription and translation of the detrimental oncogenic transcript-b. These results suggest that patients carrying the A-allele (A/A or A/G) are at a decreased probability of benefit from capecitabine monotherapy and would be candidates for the addition of lapatinib.

In conclusion, we analyzed a panel of germline SNPs involved in pathways governing the metabolism and mechanism of action of lapatinib and capecitabine in order to identify molecular markers that may identify patients with an increased probability of benefit from this combination. Only one SNP was significantly associated with clinical outcome in the EGF100151 patient cohort. Our study indicates the CCND1 A870G SNP to be a predictive marker of clinical benefit to lapatinib plus capecitabine in patients with mBC. However, it is likely that CCND1 A870G constitutes only one member of an as yet incomplete panel of molecular markers that will need to be considered in the treatment decision-making process in HER2-positive mBC.

Although this study is limited somewhat by its retrospective nature, the results and significance are strengthened by the reasonably-sized and randomized study design and the consistent results demonstrating the negative influence of the CCND1 A-variant in multiple measures of clinical outcome. Furthermore, the patient cohort that was analyzed contained a control group that received capecitabine monotherapy and therefore provided a comparative group in which the influence of the polymorphism based on the therapy administered could be ascertained. Finally, based on the extensive literature that reports a detrimental role for the CCND1 A-variant in multiple solid malignancies, and the oncogenic role of cyclin D1 frequently reported in BC, these results warrant further validation in larger prospective clinical trials.

funding

This work was supported by the National Institute of Health (grant number 5 P30CA14089-27I) and carried out with the cooperation of GlaxoSmithKline. This study was completed in the Sharon A. Carpenter Laboratory at University of Southern California/Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center and in memory of Walter Norton.

disclosure

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Supplementary Material

Supplementary Data

Acknowledgments

Previous Presentation: ASCO Annual Meeting 2010 (Abstract ID #1015).

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