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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Aug 15.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer. 2017 Mar 27;123(16):3031–3039. doi: 10.1002/cncr.30693

7-year Follow-Up Outcomes after Stereotactic Ablation Radiotherapy for Stage I NSCLC: Results of a Phase Π Clinical Trial

Bing Sun 1,§, Eric D Brooks 1, Ritsuko Komaki 1, Zhongxing Liao 1, Melenda Jeter 1, Mary McAleer 1, Pamela K Allen 1, Peter A Balter 2, James D Welsh 1, Michael O’Reilly 1, Daniel Gomez 1, Stephen M Hahn 1, Jack A Roth 3, Reza J Mehran 3, John V Heymach 4, Joe Y Chang 1,*
PMCID: PMC5544582  NIHMSID: NIHMS859073  PMID: 28346656

Abstract

Background

We evaluated the efficacy, pattern of failure, and toxicity of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) for medically inoperable clinical stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in a prospective clinical trial with 7 years follow-up.

Methods

Eligible patients with histologically confirmed NSCLC and PET clinically staged I disease were treated with SABR (50 Gy in 4 fractions). The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Patients were followed with CT/PET-CT every 3 months for the first two years, then every 6 months for the next three years and then annually thereafter.

Results

Sixty-five patients were eligible for analysis. The median age was 71 years, and median follow-up was 7.2 years. A total of 18 (27.7%) patients had disease recurrence at a median of 14.5 months (range 4.3–71.5) after SABR. Estimated incidences of local, regional, and distant recurrence using competing risk analysis were 8.1%, 10.9%, and 11.0% at 5 years, respectively, and 8.1%, 13.6%, and 13.8% at 7 years. Second primary lung carcinoma (SPLC) developed in 12 (18.5%) patients at a median of 35 months (range 5–67) after SABR. Estimated 5- and 7-year PFS rates were 49.5% and 38.2%, respectively; corresponding overall survival rates were 55.7% and 47.5%. Three (4.6%) patients had grade 3 treatment-related adverse events. No patients had grade 4 or 5 events.

Conclusion

With long-term follow-up, our prospective study demonstrated outstanding local control and low toxicity after SABR in clinical stage I NSCLC. Regional recurrence and distant metastases were the dominant manifestations of failure. Surveillance for SPLC is recommended.

Keywords: stereotactic ablation radiotherapy (SABR), stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT), non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), stage I, pattern of failure

Introduction

Image-guided stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR), also called stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), as a non-invasive treatment, has become standard of care for patients with medically inoperable early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Population-based retrospective studies and a recent pooled analysis of two prospective randomized trials have indicated that SABR has effectiveness comparable to that of surgery for this population, with reported 3-year overall survival rates of 48–91% and local control rates of 85–96%. 14 Nonetheless, the efficacy, pattern of failure, and toxicity reported with SABR were mostly based upon relatively short-term follow-up. Currently, robust long-term outcomes data at follow-up times greater than 5 years are limited. As increasing numbers of early-stage lung cancers are being detected worldwide, and the effectiveness of SABR realized, SABR is gradually being applied to inoperable, borderline operable, or even operable early-stage NSCLC patients who have longer life expectancy. Thus, long-term data on the outcomes of SABR are urgently needed to strengthen confidence in its use.

We initiated a prospective clinical trial of SABR early in 2005. The aims of this study were to assess therapeutic effectiveness and toxicity of SABR for patients with medically inoperable stage I NSCLC. This is the first report of the study and the only one in the literature about the pattern of failure, prognosis, and toxicity after 7-year median follow-up. We also assess the literature on SABR vs surgery for early-stage NSCLC.

Methods

Patients and study design

From November 2005 to March 2013, 73 patients with histologically confirmed NSCLC were prospectively enrolled in this trial (S1). Among 8 patients removed from final analysis, 4 patients received conventional radiotherapy due to normal tissue constraints and 4 patients didn’t come for any follow-up image or visit. This study was approved by MD Anderson’s Institutional Review Board, and all patients provided written informed consent to participate.

Inclusion criteria were a diagnosis of medically inoperable clinical stage IA ([T1N0M0]: tumor size < 3cm [T1], no regional lymph node metastasis [N0], no distant metastasis [M0]) or IB ([T2aN0M0]: tumor more than 3 cm but not more than 5 cm in greatest dimension [T2a]), histologically confirmed NSCLC. Operable patients who elected to have SABR were also eligible. For patients with prior lung cancer history, patients needed to be lung cancer free for more than 5 years for the same histology or more than 2 years for a different histology to reduce the impact of prior disease and treatment on the prognosis and toxicity of SABR. Patients were clinically staged by computed tomography (CT) and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG)-positron emission CT (PET/CT) within 3 months before SABR. Patients with hilar or mediastinal lymph nodes measuring ≤ 1 cm and no abnormal hilar or mediastinal uptake on PET were considered N0. Endobronchial ultrasound (EBUS) procedure were performed for patients with hilar or mediastinal lymph nodes measuring > 1 cm on CT or abnormal PET (including high avidity and suspicious but non-diagnostic uptake). Specifically, abnormal nodal SUVmax uptake higher than the SUVs of mediastinal blood pool was used as a reference to define abnormal uptake, but the final decision about EBUS was made based on treating physicians and radiologist’s PET clinical judgment and CT criteria as defined above.

SABR treatment

All patients underwent 4-dimensional CT-based simulation, and respiratory gating was considered if the tumor moved more than 1 cm. 15% of patients were treated with respiratory gate using video-feedback driven voluntary deep inspiration breath hold. Internal gross target volume (IGTV) was contoured according to maximal intensity projection and edited at different phases. Image-guided SABR for a total dose of 50 Gy in 4 fractions was prescribed to planning target volume (PTV). Unmodulated (3-dimensional conformal) or intensity modulated radiation therapy SABR plans were optimized by using 6–12 coplanar or non-coplanar 6-MV photon beams. The prescribed isodose line was required to cover more than 95% of the PTV and 100% of the IGTV. Detailed SABR simulation, planning, treatment delivery, and dose volume constraints were described previously. 5, 6

Follow-up evaluations

The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Patients underwent chest CT scan every 3 months for the first 2 years, then every 6 months for the next 3 years, and then annually. PET/CT was required between 2–6 months after the completion of SABR; subsequent PET scan was indicated if there was any sign of recurrent disease. Local recurrence (LR) was defined as CT evidence of progressive soft tissue abnormalities in the same lobe that corresponded to avid (SUVmax>5) areas on PET/CT images >6 months after SABR. Biopsy was strongly recommended to confirm suspected recurrence. LR was classified as in-field recurrence (occurring in the area inside the PTV), involved lobe failure (out-field recurrence in the same lobe), and marginal failure (a recurrent lesion located within 1 cm in any direction around the PTV). Regional recurrence (RR) was defined as any intrathoracic lymph node relapse outside the PTV. Distant metastasis (DM) was defined as any recurrence in a different lobe or any failure outside the chest.

A second primary lung carcinoma (SPLC) after SABR was defined using modified criteria of Martini and Melamed: 7 A new tumor with different histological type/subtype or molecular genomic characteristics from the first tumor; a new tumor with the same histology in a different lobe or lung if (1) it occurred at tumor-free interval of >2 years and without any evidence of carcinoma in lymphatics and extrapulmonary metastases; (2) it was reviewed by a multidisciplinary tumor team (MDT) including treating physicians, pathologist, and radiologist for its pathological morphology, radiological features, tumor location, previous cancer history and imaging features and was verified by follow-up outcome with no tumor recurrence after definitive treatment for minimal 1 year of follow-up.

Statistical analysis

Progression-free survival (PFS) events, as the primary endpoints, including any recurrence (LR, RR and DM) and death, were calculated from the beginning date of SABR to the date of the first recurrence or death (for patients who were not known to have recurrence but died). The date of recurrence was the date of the first CT or PET/CT image that showed abnormalities. SPLC wasn’t counted in PFS event. Overall survival (OS) analysis was calculated from the beginning date of SABR to the date of death or last follow-up.

All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 21.0 software (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and R statistical software 3.1.2 with packages cmprsk_v2.2-7 and survival_v2.38-1. Median follow-up was computed by the reverse Kaplan-Meier method. OS curve was performed using Kaplan-Meier method. In the presence of competing risks (death) when performing survival analyses for any recurrence, an alternative cumulative-incidence competing risk method was used to overcome the overestimated probabilities of recurrences. 8 All significance tests were two tailed with a significant P value defined as <0.05.

Results

Patient characteristics

A total of 65 patients were eligible for analysis (Figure 1, Table 1). Eighteen (27.7%) patients underwent EBUS staging, and 14 (21.5%) patients were potentially operable. EBUS was done in 6 patients with PET results of FDG-avid lymph nodes and in 6 patients with CT results showing a large short axis. A prior history of lung cancer was identified in 13 (20.0%) patients; 7 (10.8%) patients had had the same histology previously with more than 5 years tumor free, and 6 (9.2%) patients had had different histology previously with more than 2 years tumor free. Four of the 13 patients had received irradiation prior to SABR (1 had SABR, 3 had conventional thoracic radiation). A prior history of a malignancy other than lung cancer was identified in 12 (18.5%) patients.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Patient distribution for the prospective SABR trial.

Table 1.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of the 65 enrolled patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer

Characteristic Number of patients (%)
Age (years)
 Mean 72.1
 Median (range) 71.8 (54.7–91.8)
Sex
 Male 32 (49.2)
 Female 33 (50.8)
ECOG performance status
 0 7 (10.8)
 1 40 (61.5)
 2 18 (27.7)
Disease operability
 Operable 14 (21.5)
 Inoperable due to poor pulmonary function 12 (18.5)
 Inoperable due to comorbidity 16 (24.6)
 Inoperable due to both reasons 23 (35.4)
Tumor stagea
 T1a 38 (58.5)
 T1b 24 (36.9)
 T2 (T2a: ≤5 cm, pleural invasion) 3 (4.6)
Maximum tumor diameter (cm)b
 Mean 2.0
 Median (range) 1.9 (0.7–4.0)
Median iGTV volume (cm3, range) 8.38 (0.70–37.03)
Median PTV volume (cm3, range) 59.98 (6.72–169.31)
Tumor location 5
 Peripheral 57 (87.7)
 Central 8 (12.3)
Histology
 Adenocarcinoma 30 (46.2)
 Squamous 26 (40.0)
 NSCC NOS 9 (13.8)
EBUS
 Performed 18 (27.7)
 Not performed 47 (72.3)
FDG avidity of tumorc
 Mean 8.0
 Median (range) 5.3 (0.0–32.6)
Smoking status
 Past or current smoker 57 (87.7)
 Never smoker 8 (12.3)
Median FEV 1, % predicted (range) 60 (20–126)
Median DLCO, % predicted (range)c 59.5 (18–112)
Treatment planning
 IMRT plan 27 (41.5)
 3D-CRT plan 38 (58.5)
Cumulative initial eventsd 18 (27.7)
 LR 5 (7.7)
 RR 8 (12.3)
 DM 8 (12.3)
Median time to recurrence, m (range)
 Any recurrence 14.5 (4.3–71.5)
 Initial LR 34.6 (7.8–48.1)
 Initial RR 15.6 (4.3–70.8)
 Initial DM 8.9 (4.5–71.5)
Death 35 (53.8)
 Due to lung cancer 17 (48.6)
 Due to other disease 12 (34.3)
 Unknown cause 6 (17.1)
Median PFS time, m 48.1 (21.0–75.2)
Median OS, m (95% CI) 80.8 (36.9–124.8)
Median lung cancer-specific OS, m Not reached
a

Clinical staging according to the AJCC TNM staging seventh edition.

b

Tumor was measured on CT imaging within 3 months prior to SABR.

c

Specific FDG of tumor was unknown in 5 patients; DLCO was unknown or could not be performed in 9 patients.

d

Two patients had simultaneous failure (1 had RR and DM, 1 had all sites failure). Five patients had isolated RR, and 1 patient had more than 1 site of RR. Two patients had isolated DM, and 4 patients had more than 1 metastatic lesion.

Abbreviations: DLCO, carbon monoxide diffusing capacity; FEV 1, forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration; NSCC, non-small cell carcinoma; NOS, not otherwise specified; SUV, standardized uptake value; EBUS, endobronchial ultrasound; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; 3D-CRT, 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy; IMRT, intensity modulated radiation therapy; LR, local recurrence; RR, regional recurrence; DM, distant metastasis; PFS, progression-free survival; m, month; CI, confidence interval.

Patterns of failure, salvage treatment and survival

At median follow-up time of 7.2 years (interquartile range 4.6–8.3), 18 (27.7%) patients had disease recurrence. The minimal and maximal follow up time for living patients were 3.1 years and 10.2 years, respectively. The initial recurrence manifested as LR in 5 (7.7%) patients, RR in 8 (12.3%), and DM in 8 (12.3%); 2 patients had simultaneous failure (Table 1). Of 5 patients who had LR as the first event, all patients had PET imaging with median SUVmax of 7.2 (range 5.0–12.2), and 4 patients had histological confirmation of recurrence. Furthermore, 3 patients’ recurrences were classified as in-field, 1 patient’s as out-field, and 1 patient’s as marginal.

The median time to any initial recurrence was 14.5 months (range 4.3–71.5). Of note, 2 (25.0%) of 8 patients had very short times to RR, 4.3 and 5.2 months, and 4 (50.0%) of 8 patients had DM at a short interval of about 6 months after SABR. For the 8 patients who had initial DM, the most common site was pulmonary (50.0%); other sites were bone, liver, and distant nodal. Estimated cumulative 5-year rates of LR, RR, and DM using competing risk analysis were 8.1%, 10.9%, and 11.0%, respectively. Corresponding 7-year incidence rates increased to 8.1%, 13.6%, and 13.8%, respectively (Figure 2A, Table 2).

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Estimated cumulative incidence curves illustrating local recurrence (LR), regional recurrence (RR), distant metastasis (DM), second primary lung cancer (SPLC), and any recurrence over time by competing risk analysis (any cause of death as a competing risk event) (A); and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) by Kaplan-Meier analysis (B)

Table 2.

Pattern of failure, survival and second primary lung cancer over 7 years after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy

Eventa Actual incidence (%) Estimated cumulative incidence, % (95% CI)

1-year 3-year 5-year 7-year
Local recurrence 7.7 1.5 (0.2–10.8) 4.6 (1.5–13.9) 8.1 (3.5–18.8) 8.1 (3.5–18.8)
Regional recurrence 12.3 4.6 (1.5–13.9) 9.2 (4.3–19.8) 10.9 (5.4–21.8) 13.6 (7.0–26.5)
Loco-regional recurrence 18.5 6.2 (2.4–15.9) 12.3 (6.4–23.6) 17.4 (10.1–29.8) 20.0 (11.9–33.7)
Distant metastases 12.3 7.7 (3.3–17.9) 9.2 (4.3–17.8) 11.0 (5.5–22.2) 13.8 (7.1–26.8)
Any recurrence 27.7 12.3 (6.4–23.6) 18.5 (11.1–30.8) 25.3 (16.6–38.8) 30.9 (20.7–46.0)
Progression-free survivalb - 81.5 (76.7–86.3) 64.6 (58.7–70.5) 49.5 (43.2–55.8) 38.2 (31.2–45.2)
Overall survivalb - 92.3 (89.0–95.6) 70.8 (65.2–76.4) 55.7 (49.4–62.0) 47.5 (40.6–54.4)
Second primary lung cancer 18.5 4.6 (1.5–13.9) 9.2 (4.3–19.8) 16.2 (9.2–28.6) 20.7 (12.4–34.5)
a

Any recurrence as the first event was calculated, and subsequent recurrence was not estimated here. The cumulative competing risk method was used to estimate the probabilities of any recurrence in the presence of competing risks (any cause of death).

b

Progression-free survival and overall survival were calculated using the conventional Kaplan-Meier method.

The estimated 5, 7-year rates were 49.5% and 38.2% for PFS, 55.7% and 47.5% for OS, respectively (Figure 2B, Table 2). Of the 10 (15.4%) patients with an initial local-regional recurrence without DM, 7 (70.0%) received salvage treatment: local modalities in 5 patients (2 received SABR, 1 received surgery, and 2 received conventional fractionated thoracic irradiation), concurrent chemoradiation in 1 patient, and chemotherapy in 1 patient. At last follow-up, 5 (50.0%) patients didn’t develop subsequent recurrence or death.

We reviewed individually 5 patients who had initial LR. They all had larger iGTV volume with a median of 20.76 cm3 (range 9.44–26.64), compared to a median of 8.38 cm3 in the entire group of patients. The 3 patients with primary site recurrence all had a suboptimal dose (minimum biologically effective dose (BED10) to 95% of PTV [PTVD95 BED10] < median value of 113.6 Gy; mean PTV BED dose [PTVmean BED10] < median value of 135 Gy), which might be because the dose was prescribed to an inappropriate isodose line. It should be noted that for 2 patients, a lesion located in the same lobe that had undergone SABR was found by biopsy to be a second lung malignancy with different histology. Because of the small number of events, we can’t draw conclusions about risk factors for any form of recurrence.

Second primary lung malignancy

SPLC developed in 12 (18.5%) patients at a median of 35 months (range 5–67) after SABR. Of the 12 patients, 10 underwent biopsy, and 2 of them had different histology in the same lobe of the prior SABR, indicating recurrence within the involved lobe should be carefully reviewed and ideally confirmed histologically. For the treatment of SPLC, 9 patients with stage I disease received SABR, 1 patient with stage I, centrally located lesion received hypofractionated radiation, 1 patient with stage II disease received conventional radiotherapy, and one 81-year-old patient with stage III disease received targeted therapy. Ten (83.3%) of the 12 patients did not have a subsequent recurrence event, and the median survival time from SPLC to last follow-up or death was 13.1 months (range 7.6–90.4).

Toxicity

The most common adverse effects were dermatitis, radiation pneumonitis, and chest wall pain (Table 3). In all, only 3 (4.6%) patients experienced grade 3 treatment-related adverse events (2 [3.1%] with dermatitis, 1 [1.5%] with chest wall pain and radiation pneumonitis). Most patients experienced asymptomatic changes in follow-up imaging, including grade 1 radiation pneumonitis (75.4%) and rib fracture (20.0%). No patient experienced grade 4 or 5 toxicity.

Table 3.

Adverse effects after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy, n (%)

Adverse effect Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3
Acute adverse event
Dermatitis 16 (24.6) 3 (4.6) 2 (3.1)
Radiation pneumonitis 49 (75.4) 7 (10.8) 1 (1.5)
Dyspnea/shortness of breatha 11 (16.9) 8 (12.3) 0
Fatigue 7 (10.8) 2 (3.1) 0
Hemoptysis 1 (1.5) 0 0
Late adverse event
Chest wall pain 15 (23.1) 7 (10.8) 1 (1.5)
Rib fracture 13 (20.0) 3 (4.6) 0
Brachial plexopathy 3 (4.6) 2 (3.1) 0

Toxicity was graded according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 3.0. Each symptom was scored separately. Late event was defined as >6 months after SABR.

a

Grade 2 event was also regarded as symptom that is related to radiation pneumonitis.

Discussion

In this prospective phase II study conducted over 10 years to investigate the efficacy of SABR for patients with clinical stage I NSCLC, with more than a 7-year median follow-up, we found an outstanding outcomes with low incidences of LR, RR, and DM at 5-years (8.1%, 10.9% and 11.0%, respectively). Interestingly, the 7-year estimated incidences of RR and DM slightly increased, indicating that a recurrence event could occur after 5 years. With respect to LR, it is only recently recognized that a smaller GTV and higher radiation dose delivered to the PTV are associated with better local control, which was supported by 5 LRs in the current study. 9 DM rate in our trial appears lower than reported results (Table 4). This is likely because all patients had a pathological diagnosis and rigorous PET staging pre-SABR, and most patients with high-risk features of lymph node involvement underwent an EBUS procedure before enrollment. 1017 Further, most developed intrathoracic lesions were verified with biopsy, and some of them were found to be secondary lung malignancies. This routine biopsy of suspected recurrent lesions in the lung was missing in most other SABR studies. Therefore, it is helpful to have accurate staging pre-SABR and histological testing to differentiate a second primary lesion from recurrence. Additionally, SPLC developed in 18.5% patients during the 7-year surveillance. Given these data and published results, 18, 19 a long duration of follow-up (beyond 2 years) and routine post-SABR surveillance, perhaps even longer than currently believed is necessary, is important for detecting recurrence, including SPLC which are significant risks for all lung cancer patients.

Table 4.

Patterns of failure and outcomes of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy vs surgery for the treatment of clinical early-stage NSCLC reported in the current and other studies

Publication Total no. of pts Median follow-up (m) Prescribed dose/fractions LR (%) RR (%) DM (%) PFS (%) OS (%)

3y 5y 3y 5y 3y 5y 3y 5y 3y 5y
SABR studies
Baumann et al. (prospective, 2009) 10 57 35 45 Gy/3f 8 - 5c 16c 52 - 60 -
Timmerman et al. (prospective, 2010) a 11 59 34.4 54 Gy/3f 9.4 - 12.8b - 22.1 - 48.3 - 55.8 -
Onishi et al. (retrospective, 2011) 12 87 55 45–72.5 Gy/3–10f - 13.3 - 14.7 - 24.9 - - - 69.5
Senthi et al. (retrospective, 2012) 13 676 32.9 54–60 Gy/3f;
55–60 Gy/5f;
60 Gy/8f
- 10.5 - 12.7 - 19.9 - - - ~32
Lagerwaard et al. (prospective database, 2012) 14 177 31.5 60 Gy/3,5,8f 7 - 9.7 - 9.7 - 81 - 84.7 -
Zheng et al. (retrospective, 2014)d15 Meta-analysis 28 BED10 ≥100 Gy 12.2b 16.1b - - - - 65.8 65.8 56.6 41.2
Ricardi et al. (retrospective, 2014) 17 196 30 48–60 Gy/3–8f 10.3 - 14.5 - 24.1 - 65.5 - 68 -
Nagata et al. (prospective, 2015) 16 100 (in) 47 48 Gy/4f 12.7 - 8c 23c 48.9 - 59.9 42.8
64 (op) 67 14.6 - 25c 32.8c 54.5 - 76.5 54
Spratt et al. (retrospective, 2015) 18 366 23 45–50 Gy/5f;
48 Gy/4f;
54–60 Gy/3f
14.2 - 17.4 - 19.5 - - - ~53 -
Chang et al. (prospective, 2015) 1 31 40.2 54 Gy/3f; 50 Gy/4f; 60 Gy/5f 4 - 10 - 3 - 86 - 95 -
27 35.4 Lobectomy 0 - 4 - 9 - 80 - 79 -
Current study 65 86.2 50 Gy/4f 4.6 8.1 9.2 10.9 9.2 11.0 64.6 49.5 70.8 55.7
Surgery studies for clinical stage I NSCLC
Okada et al. (prospective nonrandomized, 2006) 31 262 >60 Lobectomy 6.9b,c 10.3c - 83.4 - 89.1
305 >60 SLR 4.9b,c 9.2c - 85.9 - 89.6
Whitson et al. (retrospective, 2007) 30 88 - Thoracotomy - - - - - - - - 77 64
59 - VATS 78 -
Crabtree et al. (PSM, 2010) 2 462 31 Surgery 6b - - - - - - - 68 55
76 19 SABR 11 - 3.9c - - - - 32 -
Verstegen et al. (PSM, 2013) 3 64 16 VATS 17.4b - - - 34.5 - 63.2 - 76.9 -
64 30 SABR 6.7b - - - 14.8 - 79.3 - 79.6 -
Port et al. (PSM, 2014) 4 76 35 Wedge±brachy 4b,c 5c 88 - 87 -
23 35 SABR 13b,c 17c 72 - 75 -
Landreneau et al. (PSM, 2014) 29 312 64.8 Segmentectomy 5.5b,c 14.8c - 70 - 54
312 64.8 Lobectomy 5.1b,c 11.6c - 71 - 60

– indicates the specific number was not provided.

a

55 patients were evaluable. The primary tumor failure rate was 2.4% at 3 years. Three additional patients had recurrence within the involved lobe.

b

Local-regional failure rate.

c

Actual recurrence rate instead of estimated cumulative 3-, 5-year recurrence rates.

d

A meta-analysis of 40 SABR studies (4850 patients) published after 2005. Local-regional control data were from 30 studies.

Abbreviations: LR, local recurrence; RR, regional recurrence; DM, distant metastasis; PFS, progression-free survival; OS, overall survival; m, month; y, year; f, fraction; SLR, sublobar resection; VATS, lobectomy by video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery; PSM, propensity-matched analysis; in, inoperable; op, operable.

Notably, one third of patients in this study with RR and/or DM had the recurrence within 6 months after SABR. The short interval suggests the existence of occult tumor before SABR. Subclinical disease is difficult to detect by current image modalities, so RR and DM are still the predominant pattern of failure. A more accurate method than PET-CT to detect occult tumor before SABR should be explored. More importantly, treatments that are effective in eradicating occult metastases would alter the disease status and improve prognosis. A combination of an immunotherapeutic approach and SABR (termed ISABR) has recently been proposed, as there is evidence of synergy between immune therapy and SABR, as well as evidence that immune therapy works in the metastatic setting and may be best, in fact, at eliminating micrometastatic rather than bulky disease. 2022 Thus, ISABR, a promising and currently investigated approach, may address both visible and occult disease, and further improve outcomes of SABR for early-stage NSCLC.

In the present study, the actual incidence of developing second lung malignancy appears relatively high. The historical estimated risk of SPLC ranges from 1% to 6% per person-year after resection, and can slightly increasing over time. 23, 24 The crude rate is reported to be 3.2–15.3% with short follow-up, 1, 13, 18, 25 and its actuarial risk reaches 11.7–20% at 5–8 years after initial surgery for NSCLC. 19, 26, 27 It is noteworthy that although SPLC is an undesirable occurrence, it is often highly curable, with few recurrences occurring after definitive treatment. In addition, half of patients with only LR or RR did not develop a subsequent recurrence after salvage treatment. Thus, second lung malignancy is a concern for long-term follow-up, and close surveillance will help to identify a new lesion/recurrence at an early stage when it can be considered for curative local therapy to obtain a better prognosis.

To date, the role of SABR in operable stage I NSCLC has been debated. 28 Table 4 outlines studies reporting outcomes after SABR or surgery for early-stage NSCLC. A pooled analysis of two randomized, controlled trials indicated that SABR is comparable to lobectomy in terms of PFS with improved OS at 3 years and a lower toxicity profile in operable patients. 1 The limitations of this non-planned pooled analysis include short follow-up and a small sample size of the two early closed trials due to poor accrual. However, when comparing the two modalities using nonrandomized studies, it should be noted that there are several pitfalls and potential biases that affect interpretation of results. First, there are discrepancies about the definitions of LR, RR, and DM between surgery and SABR studies, and even among different SABR studies. For example, in many surgery studies, failure in the ipsilateral hilum and mediastinum is defined as RR, and failure in a contralateral lymph node is defined as DM, 4, 13 while in most SABR studies recurrence in an intrathoracic lymph node is regarded as RR. Thus, RR may appear lower in surgical studies simply by virtue of definition. A second pitfall is that all SABR cases were clinically rather than pathologically staged, whereas most surgical patients underwent surgical lymph node sampling/dissection that result in upstaging in 7.3~35% of patients who were considered preoperatively to have early-stage disease. 2, 4, 2931 Many node-positive and upstaged patients receive postoperative chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy, which improves outcomes, and/or these upstaged patients are typically excluded from outcome analysis that could be biased toward favoring surgery. Third, even in some propensity-matched analyses, about half of SABR patients were considered medically inoperable but were still matched with patients received surgery despite the fact that some important baseline characteristics, such as ECOG, pulmonary function, and pretreatment reliable lymph node evaluation, were rarely matched. 3, 4 A fourth pitfall is that many surgical studies that reported local-regional recurrence were actual percentages instead of estimated cumulative incidences with time point that will be higher than actual rate over time.

One of the criticisms for SABR is not having mediastinal lymph node dissection, which raises the concern of lower loco-regional control. However, it is not quite clear whether lymph node dissection is therapeutic or diagnostic. In the current study, we estimated the probabilities of recurrence using a competing risk model with 7-year follow-up, the longest among all published literature to date. The results showed that although local-regional recurrence rate after SABR was on the high end (12.3% and 17.4% at 3- and 5-year, respectively) it still fell within the range of that reported with surgery (Table 4). However, the results reported here for DM, PFS, and even OS are not only within the range, but also at the average rate of that observed with surgery (except for data from Japan, Table 4), even though most of our patients were older and medically inoperable. When we included patients who received SABR and death dates are available but didn’t come back for images and follow up visit, the 5-, 7-year OS rates were 54.3% and 46.4%, respectively. However, we would like to point out that the tumor size in the current study was relatively small ( ≤ 4cm) and majority (95%) of the patients had T1 tumors (≤ 3cm), which could contribute to the better outcomes as demonstrated in other study. 17 Again, larger prospective randomized trials comparing the two modalities are needed and ongoing.

In summary, this prospective study represents the first literature investigating SABR for early-stage NSCLC with longest follow-up of 7 years. The results demonstrate outstanding OS with rates of local/regional and distant control for SABR comparable to those of surgery but with lower toxicity. LR needs to be reviewed carefully to rule out second primary malignancy. RR and DM remain the dominant failures, indicating that pre-SABR staging is important, and the combination of SABR with systemic therapy such as immunotherapy should be explored to improve the outcome. Second malignancy remains one of the most common issues with longer follow-up, again consistent with surgical data. Therefore, closely post-therapeutic surveillance scan and aggressive salvage treatment are crucial as many cases of recurrent disease and second primary malignancy are highly curable.

Acknowledgments

FUNDING SUPPORT: This research was supported in part by the National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health through Cancer Center Core Support Grant (Grant No. P30CA016672, used the Clinical Trials Support Resource) and through Clinical and Translational Science Award (Grant No. UL1 RR024148) to MD Anderson Cancer Center.

We thank the Thoracic Radiation Oncology section in the Division of Radiation Oncology and Thoracic Center of MD Anderson Cancer center for their help/support and the Department of Scientific Publications (Ms. Sunita Patterson) for editorial assistance. The manuscript and the database were critically reviewed by an independent thoracic surgeon and a thoracic medical oncologist.

Footnotes

CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURES: The authors had no disclosures.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS: Bing Sun: Formal analysis, investigation, data curation, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing, and visualization. Eric Brooks: Formal analysis, resources, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing. Ritsuko Komaki: Conceptualization, investigation, resources, writing–review and editing, and supervision. Zhongxing Liao, Melenda Jeter, Mary McAleer, James D. Welsh, Michael O’Reilly, and Daniel Gomez: Methodology, investigation, data curation, writing–review and editing, and visualization. Pamela Allen: Formal analysis, investigation and data curation. Peter A. Balter: Validation, investigation, and writing–review and editing. Stephen. Hahn, Jack Roth, Reza Mehran, John Heymach: Investigation, resources, writing–review and editing, and supervision. Joe Chang: Conceptualization, methodology, formal analysis, validation, investigation, data curation, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing, visualization, supervision, project administration and funding acquisition.

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