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. 2020 Aug 6;15(8):e0236791. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236791

Eradicating the large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae

Craig B Phillips 1,2,*, Kerry Brown 3, Chris Green 3, Richard Toft 4, Graham Walker 2,5, Keith Broome 3
Editor: Amparo Lázaro6
PMCID: PMC7410255  PMID: 32760094

Abstract

In May 2010 the large white butterfly, Pieris brassicae L. (Lepidoptera: Pieridae), was discovered to have established in New Zealand. It is a Palearctic species that—due to its wide host plant range within the Brassicaceae—was regarded as a risk to New Zealand’s native brassicas. New Zealand has 83 native species of Brassicaceae including 81 that are endemic, and many are threatened by both habitat loss and herbivory by other organisms. Initially a program was implemented to slow its spread, then an eradication attempt commenced in November 2012. The P. brassicae population was distributed over an area of approximately 100 km2 primarily in urban residential gardens. The eradication attempt involved promoting public engagement and reports of sightings, including offering a bounty for a two week period, systematically searching gardens for P. brassicae and its host plants, removing host plants, ground-based spraying of insecticide to kill eggs and larvae, searching for pupae, capturing adults with nets, and augmenting natural enemy populations. The attempt was supported by research that helped to progressively refine the eradication strategy and evaluate its performance. The last New Zealand detection of P. brassicae occurred on 16 December 2014, the eradication program ceased on 4 June 2016 and P. brassicae was officially declared eradicated from New Zealand on 22 November 2016, 6.5 years after it was first detected and 4 years after the eradication attempt commenced. This is the first species of butterfly ever to have been eradicated worldwide.

Introduction

Unintentional introductions of nonnative species, including arthropods, are contributing to declining global biodiversity [13]. Eradicating destructive nonnative species is challenging, but when successful can provide substantial benefits [4,5]. The first organised attempt to eradicate a nonnative arthropod probably began in 1890 against the gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar, in the USA [6]. Subsequently over 1200 programs in about 100 countries have attempted to eradicate at least 138 insect species [7]. About 285 attempts (24%) have targeted 27 Lepidoptera species, which have all been moths rather than butterflies [7].

In May 2010, the Palaearctic large white butterfly, Pieris brassicae L. (Lepidoptera: Pieridae), was detected for the first time in New Zealand in Nelson (Fig 1) [8]. It had previously been accidentally introduced to South Africa [9] and Chile [10], and may have reached Nelson via its seaport as pupae on imported shipping containers, which is a known pathway for P. brassicae [11,12]. The potential for P. brassicae to cause harm in New Zealand had been recognised since at least 2001 when it was listed as an Unwanted Organism under the New Zealand Biosecurity Act 1993. It was also predicted to be relatively likely to invade New Zealand [13].

Fig 1. Map of Nelson and its environs with the Pieris brassicae eradication operational area shaded in blue.

Fig 1

The red rectangle in the inset map indicates the position of the main map relative to the rest of New Zealand.

In the northern hemisphere, P. brassicae larvae have been observed in the field feeding on at least 91 plant species from 12 plant families [14]. Sixty (66%) of these plants belong to the Brassicaceae and include cultivated and wild species [14]. A P. brassicae female lays about 500 eggs on host plants in batches of 50–150 eggs [15]. Larvae feed gregariously and may defoliate several plants during their development. Fifth instar larvae crawl away from their host plants to pupate, typically on vertical surfaces in sheltered locations [14].

The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) leads New Zealand’s biosecurity system and is accountable under the Biosecurity Act 1993 to protect New Zealand’s environment, economy, health and socio-cultural values from harmful organisms [16]. MPI responded to P. brassicae by formally identifying it in consultation with an expert lepidopterist (J. Dugdale, Manaaki Whenua Landcare Research, Nelson) [8], alerting the public, establishing a monitoring program to slow its spread and evaluating an eradication attempt. Pieris brassicae adults migrate long distances in Europe [17], which suggested it could spread quickly in New Zealand, and this impression was reinforced by P. rapae which took just 5–8 years to spread throughout New Zealand [18]. Surprisingly, however, P. brassicae still appeared to be restricted to Nelson 2 years after it was first recorded there [19]. Nevertheless, MPI terminated its response in November 2012 because it considered an eradication attempt would probably fail and the expected benefit to cost ratio was too small [16].

New Zealand’s Department of Conservation (DOC) is responsible for protecting native biodiversity under the Conservation Act 1987 [16] and was concerned that P. brassicae could harm New Zealand native Brassicaceae, which comprise 3% of New Zealand’s indigenous flora (S. Courtney, pers. comm., 2020). New Zealand has 83 native Brassicaceae species (81 endemic) in five genera, of which three genera—Cardamine, Lepidium and Rorippa—also contain northern hemisphere species that are fed upon in the wild by P. brassicae [14]. The remaining two New Zealand genera—Notothlaspi and Pachycladon—do not occur in the northern hemisphere [20], and their potential suitability as hosts for P. brassicae is less clear. Sixty six (80%) of New Zealand’s 83 native Brassicaceae have received threat classifications under a New Zealand system that was adapted from the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List [21]. Of the three genera that contain species fed upon by P. brassicae in the northern hemisphere [14], New Zealand has: 46 native Cardamine spp. of which 38 (83%) are threatened and 11 (38%) are nationally critical (the highest threat level); 21 native Lepidium spp. of which 20 (95%) are threatened and 12 (57%) are nationally critical; and three native Rorippa spp. of which one (33%) is classified as nationally vulnerable [22].

The close taxonomic relationships of these New Zealand native Brassicaceae to some northern hemisphere P. brassicae host plants indicated they could become novel hosts for P. brassicae should the butterfly spread more widely in New Zealand. Moreover, this concern was reinforced by knowledge that another closely related invasive butterfly, P. rapae, already damages wild populations of at least one of New Zealand’s threatened Lepidium spp. [23]. The prospect of protecting New Zealand native Brassicaceae from herbivory by established populations of P. brassicae for the foreseeable future was infeasible because P. brassicae’s potential distribution was expected to extend throughout New Zealand [24] and many populations of New Zealand native Brassicaceae are tiny, spatially isolated and difficult for humans to access. Pieris brassicae was clearly also a threat to cultivated brassicas in New Zealand [14]. Thus, in November 2012 DOC began the first-ever attempt globally to eradicate a butterfly. The program’s initial operational definition of eradication was: “Despite active searching, P. brassicae has not been detected for two consecutive years, or for a period statistically defined as providing high confidence that it has been eradicated” [25].

The operational details of many previous eradication programs reside in relatively inaccessible grey literature, which limits opportunities for learning [2628]. This paper aims to inform future eradication programs by summarising the methods used and results obtained.

Methods

All work described in this manuscript that involved human subjects was conducted with strict adherence to legislation described in the New Zealand Biosecurity Act 1993 (http://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/1993/0095/latest/DLM314623.html). The data were collected by staff from DOC and MPI who were authorised to do so under the New Zealand Biosecurity Act 1993. Pieris brassicae is legislated as an unwanted organism under this Act, which means authorised persons have a wide range of statutory powers to enable them to control it; including accessing, inspecting and applying treatments on privately owned properties.

We define a ‘detection’ as the discovery of one or more P. brassicae at one location at one time. Thus, detections refer to the number of inspections that revealed P. brassicae rather than to the number of P. brassicae individuals found.

Management and review

A strategy was prepared before the eradication attempt commenced that documented the program’s goal, objectives, actions, timeframes, stopping rules, and staff roles and responsibilities [29]. The program implemented a cycle of ‘plan, implement, monitor, report and review’, and emphasised team work, effective communication, and openness to suggestions for improvement (Table 1, S1 Text). A Technical Advisory Group (TAG) of six people with expertise in eradication and invertebrate ecology was assembled and led by DOC (author K. Brown), and produced plans, provided advice, conducted research, lobbied for financial support, and reported results (Table 1, S1 Text). The program was reviewed in August 2013 by DOC and in December 2013 by MPI. DOC’s review sought to confirm the program was being well managed and identify opportunities for improvement [30]. MPI’s review had similar goals plus it evaluated the program’s likelihood of success [31,32] (S1 Text).

Table 1. Summary of the critical components of the Pieris brassicae eradication program.

Strategy Delimit population
Contain
Eliminate
Monitor to confirm eradication
Management Evaluate reasons to eradicate
Assess feasibility
Establish technical advisory group
Plan
Define stopping rules
Define roles and responsibilities
Train and motivate staff
Encourage team work
Structure decision making
Engage and use scientific support
Collect and analyse data
Monitor results
Communicate and report (internally and externally)
Review
Adapt
Manage budget
Tactics Engage with stakeholders
Foster community support
Identify locations of potential habitat/host plants
Prioritise search locations
Align search timing and frequency with pest phenology
Systematically search and treat habitat
Capture butterfly adults
Conserve and augment natural enemies
Monitor potential emigration

The TAG developed nine criteria to help evaluate and guide the eradication attempt [33], which it regularly used to steer discussion, qualitatively assess program feasibility and identify needed improvements. Though not designed to quantitatively estimate probabilities of eradication success [33], each year from 2013 to 2015 five TAG members and another expert were asked to use the criteria to independently evaluate the program and informally derive their own probability estimate: The range and mean of these estimates were then reported to managers. Progress was publicly reported via a series of annual reports [25,3436].

Operational area

An area of ca. 14600 ha was intensively managed during the eradication attempt and is termed the ‘operational area’. It included Nelson City (41.29°S, 173.28°E), the adjoining urban area of Richmond, and farmland (Fig 1). It was populated by ca. 47000 people living in ca. 32000 households, and the main P. brassicae host plants present were brassica vegetables in home gardens, and nasturtium (Tropaleum majus) in gardens and wasteland. Some naturalised brassicas were also present [32]. Commercial brassica crops mainly occurred outside the operational area.

Nelson has a temperate oceanic climate with a summer average maximum temperature of 22°C and a summer minimum of 12°C. Winter average maximum and minimum temperatures are 14°C and 4°C. Average annual rainfall is 1043 mm, and average annual sunshine is 2449 hours. Mountains border Nelson’s eastern perimeter from the south to the northeast, ocean lies to the northwest, and to the southwest is an intensively farmed plain.

To facilitate management, the operational area was divided into 46 management blocks (S1 Fig) with areas ranging from 27–1944 ha (S1 Data). Within blocks, the units searched were mostly residential properties, though some commercial properties and public green spaces were also searched. Properties per block ranged from just 12 in a block that was predominantly farm land to ca. 2400 (S1 Data).

Active surveillance

We define active surveillance as planned systematic searching for P. brassicae by DOC staff.

Field staff

All field staff underwent police vetting and employment checks prior to appointment and received Authorised Persons training to give them legal access to private properties without landowner permission under the New Zealand Biosecurity Act 1993. Training (Table 1) included communicating with property owners, managing aggressive dogs, first aid, identifying P. brassicae and its host plants [37], search methods, handling and applying pesticides, and data recording.

The eradication attempt began in November 2012 with only three field staff. As the scale of the eradication challenge became clearer, this number was increased to 24 by April 2013 and to 35 by November 2014. Field staff were divided into eight teams, each comprising 2–8 people. Six teams searched for P. brassicae, one specialised in controlling larger areas of host plants, and one responded to residents’ reports of sightings and reinspected previously treated properties (Table 1). Teams were issued with VHF and UHF radios, and team leaders carried mobile phones. Each day, teams were assigned to search particular properties specified via analysis of previous surveillance results (see below).

Prioritising locations to search

The program aimed first to eliminate P. brassicae, then to continue surveillance to confirm eradication (Table 1). During the elimination phase, the program prioritised the destruction of small peripheral P. brassicae populations to minimise spread beyond the operational area, while simultaneously treating the larger central population to reduce population growth and emigration pressure [38]. All properties in the operational area that had potential to contain host plants were repeatedly searched. Properties that were not regularly inspected included some in commercial and industrial areas with minimal vegetation.

In winter and summer when P. brassicae was relatively difficult to detect (see below), inspections sought to identify all properties in the operational area with host plants so these could be precisely targeted in spring and autumn when P. brassicae was easier to detect. The operational area was searched block by block, often with two or more blocks being searched simultaneously by separate teams. To attempt to maximise P. brassicae mortality, blocks were prioritised for searching (Table 1) based on their mean P. brassicae detection rates during the previous spring and autumn, plus factors such as logistics and season [39]. During elimination, locations where P. brassicae and its host plants had seldom been recorded were searched relatively infrequently and mostly in summer or winter.

The program’s transition from elimination to monitoring (Table 1) demanded confidence that P. brassicae was absent from the entire operational area, including locations infrequently searched during the elimination phase. Again, the emphasis of spring and autumn searching for P. brassicae was on properties identified to have host plants during the previous winter or summer. Allocating search effort across all 46 blocks (S1 Fig) to maximise confidence P. brassicae had been eradicated was informed by a model that estimated relative probabilities of P. brassicae being present in each block (Kean and Phillips, in preparation).

Search timing and frequency

The phenology of P. brassicae was modelled [40] using published data for its developmental responses to temperature [41] and day length [42]. The model was validated against observations of P. brassicae in both the northern hemisphere and New Zealand, and helped to define the timing and frequency of searches (Table 1).

Pieris brassicae had 2–4 generations per year in Nelson. Most P. brassicae overwintered as pupae, from which adults emerged in spring to lay eggs. In summer, approximately half of the population aestivated as pupae, with second generation adults emerging in autumn, which coincided with the emergence of third and fourth generation adults emerging from non-aestivating pupae [40].

Pieris brassicae pupae were difficult to find [43] and prevailed in summer and winter. During these seasons all blocks were surveilled for host plants to enable the highest risk properties to be targeted the following autumn or spring when other more detectable life stages predominated. Nevertheless, some searching for pupae was also conducted in winter (see below).

During spring and autumn, consecutive bouts of surveillance in the same location occurred at different intervals depending on if and when P. brassicae had been detected there [44]. In general, the program aimed to search properties in high priority blocks frequently enough to prevent any P. brassicae eggs laid after the previous search from becoming pupae before the next search; ca. every 2–4 weeks. However, if P. brassicae was detected on a property, the property was searched again before any eggs overlooked in the previous search could reach the pupal stage; ca. every 1–2 weeks. Reinspections of infested properties usually continued until no P. brassicae had been detected in two consecutive inspections. These short interval reinspections enabled the efficacy of searches for P. brassicae eggs and larvae to be estimated [43].

Search methods

Properties were visited during the day and, if residents were present, permission to search was requested. If residents were absent, gardens were searched for P. brassicae and its host plants (Table 1), and notification of the search was left. When properties could not be searched (e.g., due to threatening dogs, locked gates or unhelpful residents), contact was made again by phone or letter and access arranged.

Eggs and larvae were sought by systematically inspecting all host plants. Any found were removed, then host plants were treated. Immature P. brassicae were either killed upon detection, or kept in captivity to monitor parasitism then killed.

Pupae were searched for throughout the year, but were explicitly targeted during winter on properties where mid–late stage larvae had been detected the previous autumn. Inanimate objects such as fences, garden sheds and house exteriors were searched using ladders and torches as necessary to inspect cracks and crevices. Adjacent properties were also searched if it was suspected that larvae had crawled off the property to pupate.

Adults were searched for in sunny locations with abundant nectar sources and captured with hand-held nets (Table 1). This was often difficult and time consuming due to P. brassicae’s rapid and evasive flight, but was considered worthwhile because: Capturing gravid females minimised the number of eggs they could otherwise have laid, potentially over many hectares; and capturing males when adult populations were low potentially inhibited mate finding and reduced female fecundity.

Research was conducted to develop attractants for P. brassicae adults, but did not produce practicably useful results [45,46]. However in 2014 a DOC staff member, W. Wragg, developed an ultra-violet (UV) reflective lure that was attractive to P. brassicae adults. Its efficacy was optimised by measuring the UV reflectivity of various materials [47] to identify one with similar reflectivity to P. brassicae wings [48,49]. A cloth with suitable UV reflectivity was glued to ornamental butterflies’ wings, which moved by solar power, and the models were used to attract P. brassicae adults towards staff with nets.

Passive surveillance

Publicity aimed to engender support for the eradication program and promote reports of P. brassicae (Table 1), and occurred at times when P. brassicae adults, eggs and larvae were about to appear. Communication methods included: DOC’s website; a Facebook page; newspapers; magazines; billboards; leaflets and letters dropped in letter boxes; information displays and fridge magnet giveaways at events; face to face discussions with vegetable sellers and other groups; public talks; school visits; thank you cards to helpful property owners; newsletters regularly sent to stakeholders; advertisements at a local cinema; and advertisements, interviews and articles on local and national radio stations. Information given included descriptions of risks associated with: Accidentally moving P. brassicae pupae out of Nelson on vehicles such as campers and caravans, which are often stored near gardens; accidentally moving P. brassicae larvae out of Nelson on home-grown brassica seedlings, vegetables and vegetable waste; and use of brassicas as winter cover crops. Automobile mechanics were asked to be vigilant for P. brassicae pupae when conducting safety checks of vehicles, trailers, and caravans. Interpreters were employed to talk to recent New Zealand immigrants in their first language. The public were asked to report sightings of P. brassicae via a continuously monitored toll-free number operated by MPI. Reports were immediately conveyed to DOC, which responded within 48 hours, usually visiting the properties for verification.

Bounty hunt

A NZ$10 bounty was offered for each dead P. brassicae adult given to DOC during a 2 week school holiday in spring 2013. The bounty was only offered for this one period to minimise motivation to culture P. brassicae for profit.

Population delimitation

Monitoring for P. brassicae outside the operational area (Table 1) occurred via active surveillance, passive surveillance, monitoring of native brassica populations by DOC, and searching commercial brassica crops by staff from a nearby crop research institute, who searched for P. brassicae when conducting routine scouting for other pests in brassica crops.

Treatments

Insecticides

A program review (Table 1) recommended that all P. brassicae host plants at a site should be sprayed with insecticide whenever eggs or larvae were found because search efficacy was likely < 100% [30]. Consequently, the BioGro-certified organic insecticide Entrust® SC Naturalyte® (active ingredient spinosad) was chosen because it was the most socially acceptable option and would have minimal impacts on P. brassicae’s insect natural enemies (Table 1; see below). The horticultural mineral oil D-C-Tron® was added to improve spray coverage and increase egg mortality. Spraying was usually conducted after gaining consent from property occupants, but occasionally occurred without consent when the occupants could not be contacted and late-stage larvae were found. If occupants resisted this treatment then one of the following alternatives were used: Either removing or regularly inspecting host plants, or applying a microbial insecticide, Dipel DF®, which contains toxins from the bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) subspecies kurstaki.

Insecticides were applied following label directions by staff certified under the New Zealand Standard for Management of Agrichemicals (NZS 8409:2004) using either Solo® 15 L professional backpack sprayers, or Solo® 5 L and 7.5 L professional manual sprayers. Sprayers were fitted with brass adjustable nozzles (C-Dax Ltd) and ball valve filters. They were not calibrated because insecticide was spot-applied to host plants to the point of run off. Staff wore appropriate personal protective equipment including respirators with replaceable filters. Public notifications of spraying were not posted because most applications occurred on private land where owners had given consent and been notified, and the few applications made on public land were in locations that were difficult to access.

Host plant control

Host plant patches were prioritised for control based on their size and proximity to P. brassicae detections, and treated sites were reinspected to verify treatment efficacy. Staff with abseiling experience accessed host plants on steep terrain. Nasturtium growing in unpopulated areas was treated with a mixture of glyphosate, a desiccant (carfentrazone-ethyl), a surfactant, plus an insecticide (bifenthrin) in case any P. brassicae were present. Herbicides were applied as previously described for insecticides. When applying herbicides on steep slopes, including when abseiling, staff used the lighter 7.5 L sprayers carried in hiking backpacks to reduce weight.

Biological control

During the 1930s, two parasitic wasp species were introduced to New Zealand for biological control of P. rapae: Cotesia glomerata L. (Hymenoptera: Braconidae), which parasitises larvae, and Pteromalus puparum L. (Hymenoptera: Pteromalidae), which parasitises late-stage larvae and pupae [50]. Both species also parasitise P. brassicae [50] and were present in Nelson before P. brassicae was detected there.

Parasitism of P. brassicae by C. glomerata within the operational area was evaluated from October 2013 until June 2014 during active surveillance. Pieris brassicae larvae were subsampled (ca. 10 larvae per brood) and individuals were placed in separate pottles with brassica leaf for food then reared to fate (adulthood, death or parasitoid emergence) [51]. This work was conducted at a Nelson laboratory to avoid moving insects beyond the operational area.

To attempt to augment parasitism in the operational area (Table 1), C. glomerata cocoons were collected from P. rapae infestations in several New Zealand locations [51,52] and from P. brassicae infestations in Nelson. Cocoons were maintained until adult emergence, and adults were provided with 10% sugar solution via a vial with a cotton wick and allowed to mate. During autumn 2014 and autumn 2015, C. glomerata adults were released in locations where there had been either: Recent repeated P. brassicae detections; recent detections in areas that were difficult to search; or few recent searches. No attempt was made to evaluate if the releases increased parasitism rates.

In autumn 2015, laboratory cultured Pt. puparum were released as larvae developing within P. rapae pupae at locations where there was a high risk of P. brassicae late-stage larvae and pupae being present [53]. To measure if the releases increased parasitism rates, unparasitized sentinel P. rapae pupae were situated in cages accessible to Pt. puparum adults either within 2–3 m of the release locations, or > 200 m from them, then monitored for parasitism [53].

Data collection and management

Data management (Table 1) was continuously refined and ultimately rested on a Geospatial Information System (GIS) built on an Environmental Services Research Institute ArcGIS Server. Web GIS (Geocortex Essentials) Version 4.4.2 was used to enter property inspection data. ArcGIS Version 10.3.1 was used to analyse spatial data and produce interactive maps, with dynamic queries indicating the highest priority properties to surveil. It was also used to help update the underlying Nelson cadastre to ensure that teams visited the correct addresses.

Field teams took a map of locations to be searched, conducted the inspections, and manually recorded details of any P. brassicae, host plants and access issues (S2 Fig). This information was transferred to the GIS typically within 48 hours and used to produce updated maps for subsequent surveillance (Table 1). A data analyst refined processes for data entry, capture, storage and analysis, and developed models that provided staff with access to reports on factors such as blocked access, safety (e.g. aggressive dogs), surveillance results, host plant control, and properties to be searched.

Data presentation

Data were manipulated and Figs 13 created using the statistical programming language R version 3.6.0 [54] and functions in the R packages ‘tidyverse’ [55], ‘sf’ [56] and ‘ggsn’ [57]. Figs 1 and 3 used data sourced from the Land Information New Zealand Data Service licensed for reuse under CC BY 4.0.

Fig 3. Spatial distribution of Pieris brassicae from May 2010 to June 2016.

Fig 3

Green markers show search locations where P. brassicae was not detected and red markers (always plotted on top of green markers) show locations where it was detected.

Results

Management and review

The September 2013 feasibility assessment [58] concluded that seven of the nine criteria [33] were being substantially met whereas two were only being marginally met: These were (i) Irrespective of its density, the population can be forced to decline from one year to the next, and (ii) Immigration and emigration can be prevented.

DOC’s August 2013 review made recommendations, all subsequently implemented, to increase insecticide use on infested properties, prepare a formal communication plan, and increase public awareness and community involvement in the program [30]. MPI’s December 2013 review concluded that the program was being appropriately managed, it was too early to evaluate feasibility, and the program was worth continuing, but was concerned about P. brassicae escaping from the operational area [59].

An October 2013 estimate of the program’s probability of success had a mean of 56% (range 50–60%, n = 6). However, the estimates increased in November 2014 to 80% (range 70–92%, n = 6) and in July 2015 to 91% (range 81–98%, n = 6).

Active surveillance

Repeated inspections of infested properties enabled the efficacy of searches for P. brassicae to be estimated [43]. Following a single inspection, the proportion of properties where eggs or larvae were detected during the subsequent inspection declined from 32–52% in April–May 2013 when most staff were inexperienced to 5–25% in September–October 2013 when staff were fully trained. After late 2013 when insecticide use on infested properties increased, the proportion of properties where some P. brassicae eggs or larvae remained after an inspection declined to 1–11%. Thus, an insecticide treatment plus just one follow up inspection were sufficient to ensure all eggs and larvae had been eliminated from ≥ 99% of infested properties [43]. However, the program generally maintained two follow up inspections to maximise treatment efficacy.

Early in the program, field staff suspected that infested properties occurred in clusters with radii of ca. 50–250 m. Thus, when P. brassicae was detected on a property, an early practice was to also inspect adjacent properties within these radii [25]. However, a spatial analysis of surveillance data found no evidence for clustered detections, thus it was concluded that searching properties that surround an infested property was unlikely to increase detection rates above searching randomly chosen properties in the same block [60] and the practice was discontinued. Further evidence that individual P. brassicae females often oviposited in disparate locations 2–5 km apart was obtained by analysing genetic variation in the mitochondrial COI gene of all detected specimens [61]. Because the location and life stage of every detected specimen had been recorded, the spatial distributions of potential offspring of each captured female could be modelled by matching the mitochondrial genotypes of female and immature P. brassicae while assuming a range of values for female longevity (Phillips, Sawicka and Kean, unpublished).

The UV lures were first deployed in October 2014 when detection rates had already declined to low levels (Fig 2). Pieris brassicae adults approached the lures in a manner similar to P. rapae [48,62], but never alighted on them. From 10 October 2014 to 3 November 2014, it took 180 person-hours to capture three P. brassicae adults without a lure, whereas it took 44 person-hours to capture seven with a lure.

Fig 2. Monthly Pieris brassicae detection rates from February 2013 to June 2016.

Fig 2

Error bars show 95% binomial confidence intervals.

According to DOC’s June 2015 version of the Nelson cadastre, there were 32079 properties (total area 14614 ha) within the operational area and a further 9386 properties beyond it (total area 65054 ha; S1 Data). Field staff conducted 261962 inspections within the operational area and a further 2037 beyond it, giving a total of 263999 inspections. Of these, 111159 (42%) detected P. brassicae host plants, and 2884 (1%) detected P. brassicae; only three detections occurred beyond the operational area (S1 Data). Of the 32079 properties within the operational area, ca. 28730 (90%) had potential to contain host plants and were inspected an average of eight times during the program (S1 Data). Pieris brassicae host plants were detected at least once during the program on ca.17165 (60%) of the 28730 inspected properties (S1 Data). The most abundant host plant in Nelson was nasturtium and ca. 35% of detections occurred on this plant [25]. A similar proportion of detections occurred on broccoli, even though it was recorded less frequently in Nelson, which suggested it was a preferred host [25].

Passive surveillance

A bounty for P. brassicae was offered for 2 weeks in spring 2013. In all, 319 individuals or groups handed in 3268 adults comprising 133 P. brassicae (4%) and 3135 P. rapae (96%) [32]. The P. rapae were from locations up to 130 km from Nelson, whereas P. brassicae only came from within the operational area.

The public submitted 1936 reports (additional to the bounty) of which 586 (30%) proved to be P. brassicae [34]. Most reports (76%) were made via the toll-free number, and the remainder were largely reported by phone directly to DOC’s office in Nelson [34].

Temporal changes in spatial distribution

Pieris brassicae was first detected in May 2010 and by October 2010 it had been found at eight properties in urban Nelson up to 12 km apart [63]. Over the next 2 years, passive surveillance reports suggested its distribution had not dramatically changed [19] (Fig 3, 'Before 1 Dec 2012').

When the eradication program began in summer 2012, there were several detections on the fringe of, or outside, the operational area. In summer 2012–13 (Fig 2), one (parasitised) P. brassicae larva was found ca. 25 km west of Port Nelson at Upper Moutere (Fig 1). This required intensive work to gain confidence additional P. brassicae had not escaped from the operational area, including increased publicity between Upper Moutere, Motueka and Nelson (Fig 1). The larva was likely taken to Upper Moutere from Nelson on an infested cabbage. Between autumn 2013 and autumn 2014 (Fig 3), several P. brassicae were detected ca. 11 km north of Port Nelson at Glenduan (Fig 1), which were managed via 895 inspections of 314 properties in that area. In summer 2013–14 (Fig 3), one adult was detected ca.15 km southwest of Port Nelson at Hope and another was detected ca. 10 km northeast of Port Nelson at Lud Valley (Fig 1). Intensive searching in the vicinities of these detections revealed no further P. brassicae.

Despite such dispersal events, from autumn 2014 P. brassicae became increasingly confined to central Nelson (Fig 3), and it became apparent during 2016 that the last detection had occurred near central Nelson in summer 2014–15 (Fig 3). Thereafter, active surveillance persisted until winter 2016 when confidence that P. brassicae had been eliminated was sufficient to terminate the program (Fig 3).

Temporal changes in detection rates

Eggs, larvae and adults of P. brassicae were more detectable than pupae, thus there were peaks in detection rates during spring and autumn when they were more prevalent than pupae (Fig 2). Monthly rates peaked in September (spring) 2013 when P. brassicae (including all life stages) was detected on 9% of 2931 inspected properties. By this time, staff had been fully trained, P. brassicae was relatively abundant, and most of the population was exposed to control (i.e., few pupae). Thereafter, rates generally declined, though they showed regular smaller peaks each autumn and spring (when there were relatively few pupae) until the end of 2014. They declined to zero in January 2015 and remained there until 4 June 2016 when surveillance ended (Fig 2).

Treatments

Insecticides

Following a detection, ca. 30% of property owners asked for an alternative treatment to Entrust® SC Naturalyte®: About 20% chose host plant removal, 5% chose regular host plant checks, and the remainder chose Bt [35].

Host plant control

To minimise potential concerns to residents, host plants were always treated from the ground rather than aerially, and were controlled on a mean of 2620 ± 489 (± SD) properties per year, with some properties treated up to three times annually to manage regrowth. Specialist abseiling skills and/or commercial herbicide sprayers were needed to apply treatments on ca. 15 properties per year. Nasturtium and other naturalised brassicas such as wallflower (Erysimum spp.) most often required specialist attention, with patches of up to 500 m2 present in some steep locations.

Biological control

Monitoring of C. glomerata parasitism of P. brassicae during October 2013–June 2014 revealed that 65% of P. brassicae broods (n = 130) contained C. glomerata, and a mean of 35% of larvae (n = 999) per brood were parasitised [51]. To augment parasitism, ca. 10000 C. glomerata adults were released in the operational area during autumn 2014 and a further ca. 6600 were released in autumn 2015, though it is unknown if this increased parasitism rates [35].

During autumn 2015, over 14000 Pt. puparum adults were released at 17 Nelson properties [53]. Parasitism of sentinel P. rapae was rare—as were detections of P. brassicae pupae—and no effect of the releases on parasitism rates by Pt. puparum was measured [53].

Data collection and management

Early data entry issues included a GIS interface that allowed users to inadvertently enter incorrect/invalid inspection dates and misspelled addresses, and provided users with inadequate confirmation that new records had been successfully entered and saved, which often provoked duplicate entries. These issues were compounded by the Nelson cadastre initially being incomplete and out of date, which sometimes created confusion for field staff about the spatial locations of addresses and resulted in inspection records being assigned to incorrect addresses. These problems created a dataset that was time-consuming to correct before it could be reliably used for analysis. In November 2014, a data manager with GIS expertise was assigned full time to the eradication program, and remaining issues with the cadastre and GIS interface were resolved by early 2015.

Program end

The attempt to eradicate P. brassicae ceased on 4 June 2016 [16]. At this time, neither the absence of any P. brassicae detections during 18 months of active searching nor any statistical modeling had strictly met the programs’ initial operational definition of eradication [25]. However, during 2016 DOC was having increasing difficulty funding the program and MPI, which had legal responsibility for determining if New Zealand could be declared free of P. brassicae, became convinced by the program’s surveillance data that the butterfly had been eradicated: That any remaining P. brassicae would have completed more than three generations during the 18 months between the last detection and program cessation was particularly compelling. Pieris brassicae was officially declared eradicated from New Zealand on 22 November 2016 [64,65], 6.5 years after it was first detected and 4 years after the eradication attempt commenced, thus becoming New Zealand’s 69th successful arthropod eradication [7].

Discussion

We have described the methods and results of a successful P. brassicae eradication program in the hope they will be useful to future attempts to eradicate other pests. At the heart of the program were simple, manual treatments applied during repeated searches of the operational area for P. brassicae and its host plants. These surveys helped to both limit the pest population and inform future priorities. The searching was complemented by public reports of sightings, which the program vigorously promoted. Here, we discuss elements of the P. brassicae program that assisted this straightforward approach to succeed, and some that inhibited it. We also describe some attributes of the program that should be replicable in many future eradication attempts.

Sometimes when nonnative organisms are discovered in new regions, little technical information is available to assist effective responses [66]. However, numerous studies of P. brassicae in its native range were available to support aspects of the eradication attempt including species diagnosis, identifying effective chemical treatments, defining the butterfly’s host range and natural enemies, and developing a phenology model and lure. The comprehensive literature will also have contributed to the 2001 declaration of P. brassicae as an Unwanted Organism in New Zealand under the Biosecurity Act 1993: This was significant because it gave authorised staff the legal right to search and treat private properties for P. brassicae, and some DOC staff had this authorisation before the program began, which expedited training to authorise additional staff. Unfortunately, it was not used to develop preparedness plans prior to the establishment of P. brassicae in New Zealand, which might have further increased the probability of eradication success [66].

Pieris brassicae eggs, larvae and adults are relatively conspicuous, and its eggs and larvae were distinctive among New Zealand insects. Moreover, P. brassicae eggs and larvae occurred on low growing, readily accessible host plants and larval feeding damage became more conspicuous as defoliation proceeded. These attributes increased the practicality and efficacy of manual searches, and would also have helped to foster public reports of sightings [67].

The program engendered strong public support and received valuable reports of sightings that accounted for ca. 20% of all P. brassicae detections. This was promoted by comprehensive publicity, rapid responses to reports, respectful and communicative staff, and the availability of an effective organic insecticide which was more acceptable to many residents than synthetic chemical alternatives. The bounty particularly excited public interest, plus it eliminated some P. brassicae and provided independent evidence that the population had been correctly delimited.

Numerous P. brassicae natural enemies were present in Nelson and probably facilitated population suppression. These included: The insect parasitoids C. glomeratus and Pt. puparum [50]; and insect predators such as Vespula vulgaris, V. germanica [68], Polistes chinenis antennalis [69], various species of ants [70], spiders, harvestmen and predatory beetles [71] and birds [72]. Moreover, several pathogens infect P. rapae in New Zealand [73,74] and some P. brassicae larvae and pre-pupae collected to evaluate parasitism rates exhibited symptoms consistent with granulosis virus infection (G. Walker, personal observation). The butterfly’s potential population growth rate in Nelson was also limited by a proportion of the population entering aestivation, which reduced that part of the population’s annual number of generations [40,75].

Throughout the program, doubt persisted that the feasibility criterion Immigration and emigration can be prevented [33] could be met. The possibility that people would accidentally carry P. brassicae immatures beyond the operational area (e.g., on infested host material) and the ability of P. brassicae adults to fly long distances [17] meant there was constant potential for the pest to escape the operational area and establish elsewhere. This risk was partly mitigated by both comprehensive publicity and assiduous treatment of pest populations on the periphery of the operational area. Nelson’s topography probably also helped to reduce emigration rates because ocean lies to its northwest, the mountains to its east contained few host plants, and arguably the sole benign pathway for natural dispersal was across the agricultural plains to its south. Moreover, the abundant and diverse P. brassicae natural enemies in New Zealand might have reduced the chance that emigrants could found new populations due to biotic resistance [7678].

Although the eradication attempt was assisted by numerous factors, it still presented many ecological, technical and operational uncertainties [16] and, like most other eradication programs, was complex [79,80]. Quantifying benefits and assessing feasibility are important prerequisites to commencing an eradication program [16,79,81]. With P. brassicae, an inability to measure the conservation values at risk in dollar terms and uncertainty about feasibility delayed the program’s commencement by 2.5 years [16] even as P. brassicae population growth was increasing the eradication challenge. Nevertheless, the delay between detection and program commencement was less than the threshold of about 4 years beyond which eradication success becomes much less likely, as identified from a meta-analysis of 173 eradication programs [66].

Unlike many other successful eradication attempts in New Zealand and elsewhere, powerful detection tools such as pheromone traps were unavailable for P. brassicae, and detection relied on searching. A meta-analysis of 672 arthropod eradication attempts [82] found that programs without sophisticated detection methods had low success probabilities, though this effect became non-significant when programs directed against two species that can be trapped using pheromones, Lymantria dispar (n = 73 programs) and Ceratitis capitata (n = 56), were excluded from analysis. The lack of powerful attractants for butterflies, which unlike moths use vision rather than long range sex pheromones to find mates [83], may have contributed to the dearth of previous attempts to eradicate butterflies [7]. Nevertheless, New Zealand conservationists, particularly DOC, have had many successes eradicating other organisms such as mammalian pests for which there are few powerful detection tools [8486].

The data management issues experienced predominantly during the first 2 years of the program reduced operational and analytical efficiency, but did not create serious doubt about achieving the feasibility criterion, “Programme is effectively managed, and its status is reliably monitored and accurately recorded” [33]. This was because it was always apparent that the data were being collected and corrected. However, the inefficiencies suffered would probably have been avoided by employing a qualified full-time data manager with access to a suitable GIS from the outset.

The program began just as DOC was being restructured, which disrupted internal communication, created uncertainty about roles and budgets, and distracted managers. This culminated in the program receiving inadequate funding during January–June 2015 and being forced to reduce field staff, whose numbers were approximately halved during February–March 2015, then cut to zero during May–June 2015. However, in July 2015 the program’s budget was renewed, many of the program’s former field staff returned, and the eradication attempt recovered from what was widely perceived as a dire threat to its success. It subsequently became apparent that the last detection of P. brassicae had already occurred on 16 December 2014 and, critically, the renewed funding enabled the species’ absence from Nelson to be demonstrated.

Several elements of the P. brassicae eradication program that we regard as vital to its success (Table 1) should also be replicable in future eradication attempts. Effective program management is essential [8789] including excellent planning, leadership, administration and data management, and emphases on fostering assiduous field work, team spirit, role flexibility, open communication and an ‘eradication attitude’ [87,90]. Maintaining close relationships with scientists, encouraging their involvement and valuing their recommendations was key, as was effective public engagement. Although the individual effects of the various treatments applied to P. brassicae are unknown due to confounding, we nevertheless suggest that attempting to deploy multiple tactics that together put every insect life stage at risk is worthwhile [91], including those such as capturing adults that at low pest densities may contribute to demographic Allee effects [78].

Supporting information

S1 Text. Additional management details.

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Nelson management blocks.

(PDF)

S2 Fig. Data recording form.

(DOCX)

S1 Data

(XLSX)

Acknowledgments

We thank the following DOC staff members for their patient and persistent efforts: Neil Clifton, who gave the go-ahead despite the uncertainty; Bruce Vander Lee and Mike Shephard, who were Project Managers; Simon Bayly and Julie Murphy, who were Operations Managers; James Reid, who built the GIS database; Jo Rees, who led planning; Senay Senait and Kath Henderson, who managed the data; Nicola Gourlay, Eva Pomeroy and Rosemary Vander Lee, who managed logistics/ administration; Jaine Cronin, Sally Leggett and Trish Grant who made major contributions to community engagement; Dan Chisnall and Derek Brown, who managed host plant control; Keith Briden, who helped to review the program; and over 60 people who worked in the field. We also acknowledge the many people from MPI, AgResearch, Better Border Biosecurity (B3), Plant & Food Research and Vegetables New Zealand who generously provided their time, advice, support and expertise, particularly John Kean, Ela Sawicka, Chikako Van Koten and Nicky Richards (AgResearch/ B3), and Bruce Philip, Erik Van Eyndhoven and Susanne Krejcek (MPI). We also thank John Dugdale (Landcare Research) and Henk Geertsema (University of Stellenbosch) for their valuable advice, and the experts who reviewed the program in December 2013: Mandy Barron (Manaaki-Whenua Landcare Research), Jacqueline Beggs (University of Auckland), Ecki Brockerhoff (Scion), Stephen Goldson (AgResearch), Mark Hoddle (Center for Invasive Species Research, UC-Riverside, USA), Margaret Stanley (University of Auckland) and Patrick Tobin (USDA Forest Service, USA). Oluwashola Olaniyan (Lincoln University) and four anonymous reviewers provided helpful suggestions that improved the manuscript.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files (S1 Data). The data have been aggregated spatially and/or temporally to protect the identities of the numerous individual properties that were sampled during this work. The data provided in S1 Data are sufficient to support the results and conclusions of the work presented in the manuscript.

Funding Statement

Details of all costs are publicly available on-line in the Department of Conservation’s 2015-16 Pieris brassicae eradication program annual report: www.doc.govt.nz/about-us/sciencepublications/conservation-publications/threats-and-impacts/animal-pests/pieris-brassicae-greatwhite-butterfly-eradication-annual-report/ Operational aspects of the eradication program were funded by the New Zealand Department of Conservation (DOC; www.doc.govt.nz). Vegetables New Zealand (www.freshvegetables.co.nz) contributed some funds to DOC to support operational aspects of the eradication program. DOC provided support in the form of salaries for authors K. Brown, CG and K. Broome, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. Vegetables New Zealand did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. RT is a the Managing Director of a commercial company EntEcol Ltd (www.entecol.co.nz) which provides technical entomological services to New Zealand clients. In the eradication program, EntEcol Ltd was contracted by DOC for RT to provide services including contributing to the TAG, preparing documents, identifying specimens, helping to develop the visual lure, and evaluating P. brassicae parasitism rates. EntEcol Ltd provided support in the form of a salary for author RT, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. The New Zealand government research institutes AgResearch (www.agresearch.co.nz) and Plant and Food Research (www.plantandfood.co.nz) are partners in a New Zealand research collaboration called Better Border Biosecurity (www.b3nz.org). The collaboration aims to help reduce the rate at which non-native insects, weeds and diseases that could harm valued New Zealand plants are becoming established in New Zealand. AgResearch provided support in the form of a salary for author CP, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. Plant and Food Research provided support in the form of a salary for author GW, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. The New Zealand Ministry for Primary Industries (www.mpi.govt.nz) provided financial support for some of the research costs of CP, GW and RT, and the New Zealand TR Ellet Agricultural Trust contributed support for some of the research costs of CP. MPI and TR Ellet Agricultural Trust did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Amparo Lázaro

24 Jan 2020

PONE-D-19-32860

Eradicating large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Phillips,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

This article has been evaluated by two reviewers. Both of them recognize the merit of this work and its value as guide for future protocols for the control of invasive species. Both reviewers also agree that this paper should have a place in the main literature. However, while one of the reviewers was very positive about publishing the work in this journal, having only some minor comments or suggestions, the other reviewer had strong concerns with that. This reviewer’s main concerns were that (1) the work presented is not a proper research article, since there is no hypotheses testing, and (2) some of the presented results have been published before. Due to such contrasting reviews of the manuscript, I have had some discussions about it with other Staff Editors of the journal. We think that although the manuscript is not the typical research paper, it might be in scope for the journal because it quantitatively measured and reports the progress of the eradiation actions and the approach might be reproducible and the results generalisable/applicable to different contexts.

Therefore I would like to give you the opportunity of making a major revision of your work in which you consider all the important concerns raised by this reviewer. Regarding the question about dual publication, and in accordance with PLOS ONE publication criteria, we do not consider for publication any manuscript that has been formally submitted or published in the peer-reviewed literature (https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/criteria-for-publication#loc-2). If part of this work was previously reported in conference proceedings or governmental reports this would not preclude it from publication in PLOS ONE, but we would like you to clarify in the response letter which results were previously published and where, and how this new work adds to previous publications. Please, upload also as supplementary information for review any previous work that you have published with these data. Also, I see that your figures show how the butterfly was eradicated, but I would like to see the quantitative impact of each particular action in time supported by statistical analyses. In this way, the efficiency and the timing of each action could be more objectively evaluated. We could consider the paper for further evaluation as long as these criticisms/comments are considered in deep and you can provide detailed and convincing answers to the concerns raised.

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Amparo Lázaro, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

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Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: I Don't Know

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes

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5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: First, I'd like to congratulate the authors on a tremendously successful project, the world's first eradication of an invasive butterfly that presented a risk not only to agricultural crops, but also to endangered and endemic native NZ brassicas. Second, the paper is very well written, I enjoyed reading it, and I didn't feel compelled to do a lot of editing to improver readability/flow, and third, a rich trove of insight and experiences are provided here in addition to reporting of process and outcomes. These insights are extremely valuable.

My recommendation is to accept and publish with minimum revisions.

One area I would like significant improvement is on pesticide applications - these are critical in eradication projects, but the deployment and use of this tool has not been covered adequately. Please respond to all queries in the "comments" call out on the attached PDF of this article.

Additionally, there are a lot of "grey" references cited that appear to be almost irretrievable.

I've highlighted a lot of these in pink in the attached PDF - I may have missed some, but I think I've selected sufficient to give the idea of the types of materials that I am concerned about.

My feeling from reading the paper is that these "grey" documents have very useful information, hence their citation, and they need to be accessible for future use. Since they have been cited, the information is obviously not confidential. I think these materials need to be web accessible, either via supplemental materials associated with this paper, or via a "Giant White Butterfly Eradication Resource" website, possibly maintained by DOC(??!?!??)

Finally, perhaps in the discussion. I think it would be instructive to cover these three things: (1) the slow spread of the butterfly around Nelson - could this be due to a "lag" event - hence the critical 4 year window cited in the discussion? (2) The DNA work - can this be used to get a feel for founding population sizes and possible inbreeding that could've affected fitness (and subsequent rates of spread?), finally, Tobin/Liebhold/Suckling have made compelling arguments that you don't need to eradicate every last individual, you just need to get the population low enough so that destabilizing Allee effects can act and help push the population to extinction - do the authors have any thoughts on how Allee effects may have played a role in this program?

One last thing, biotic resistance is captured in the discussion, parasitoids/predators, no mention of pathogens (e.g., viruses/bacteria/fungi/microsporidia), any field observations to report on this guild of natural enemies? Any evidence for microsporidia in the invasive population that could have affected fitness??

Overall, this is a great piece of work, the outcomes are excellent, and the paper is really well put together.

Reviewer #2: The paper describes operational efforts to eradicate the large white butterfly, Pieris brassicae, from New Zealand. It is not a research paper (i.e., no hypotheses are tested). The paper may provide a model for others to follow in the event of a future pest incursion. I believe such topics have a place in the primary literature. Clarification of a number of issues would help to make the paper more useful:

1) The paper needs to more clearly acknowledge other published summaries of the same eradication program and explain the unique contribution that is being made herewith. For example, Brown et al. (2019; cited by the authors) provide a thorough overview of the eradication program and seem to summarize the same data. (It appears that small portions of the Brown paper are quoted verbatim or closely paraphrased without appropriate attribution; e.g. lines 73-75; 86-88.) Likewise, Figures 2 and 3 in the current paper seem remarkably similar/identical to figures in Phillips et al. (2016; cited by the authors).

2) The true risk that P. brassicae posed/poses to native brassicas of New Zealand is not clear. It is not clear whether a formal pest risk assessment was ever completed for the species. Brown et al. (2019) note that the species was “[a]n Unwanted Organism under the Biosecurity Act of 1993, and a known pest of cultivated brassicas …”. The logic in the current paper seems to be that P. brassicae feeds on many species within the Brassicaceae; therefore, all Brassicaceae are at some risk of herbivory. Of course, this position is not supported empirically (i.e., oligophagous herbivores are not able to recognize and develop on ALL members of a plant family, Menken et al. 2010. Evolution 64:1098). Brown et al. (2019) provide some justification for the risk-averse position. However, a formal analysis could be done to compare the phylogenetic distance of plants of concern from known hosts. Such an analysis would be useful to justify the title of the paper, if it demonstrated that New Zealand natives were close evolutionarily to known hosts.

3) The authors highlight the fact that this effort appears to be the first attempted eradication of a butterfly. No explanation is given as to why this is significant. Is eradication of a butterfly expected to be significantly more/less difficult than the eradication of moths? Why?

4) The methods begin with a significant discussion of the administrative structure of the eradication program. It is not clear which components of this structure should be considered essential. Many details seem better suited for supplementary details. More emphasis should be given to critical details, for example, a synopsis of the nine criteria and methods used to assess quantitatively the probability of eradication success. Phillips et al. (2019) review the criteria but do not describe how to use them to generate a probability of eradication success. Expert opinion appears to play a prominent role, but this is not specified.

5) The authors do not provide an operational definition for ‘eradication’ at the outset. In the United States, three insect generations with intensive trapping and no catches are required before eradication can be declared. It is not clear whether this standard was met in New Zealand. The non-zero error bar at the end of the program in the current Fig 2 suggests that at least one P. brassicae might have been detected.

6) The structure of the eradication program lacks clarity. I consulted the Additional Information 2, which provides a map of the 46 management blocks. How much potentially suitable habitat for P. brassicae occurs within each block, how many total properties have suitable habitat within each block, and how many properties within each block were sampled? These are all critical details. The authors do not describe how data were analyzed. As the inspections do not appear to represent a simple random sample, the simple proportion of inspected properties that were infested is not an appropriate response variable. From the description, it appears that monitoring followed a stratified sampling scheme and resulting data should be analyzed accordingly.

7) Given that insecticide treatments were highly-localized to individual host plants, it seems likely that some portion of the population would go untreated in each generation. Other eradication programs have relied on area-wide insecticide applications to achieve success. What proportion of the P. brassicae population would need to be treated in each generation to drive the population to zero in less than two years? Was such a level achievable? Could other factors (e.g., parasitism) have contributed to the success of the eradication?

8) In the end, it would be helpful if the authors could comment on which aspects of the eradication effort would be most replicable in other situations.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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Attachment

Submitted filename: PONE-D-19-32860_reviewer (1).pdf

PLoS One. 2020 Aug 6;15(8):e0236791. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236791.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


26 Mar 2020

We have provided comprehensive responses to all of the editor and reviewer comments in our 'response_to_reviewers.doc' uploaded with the revision. The text from that document is cut and pasted below, though it is more difficult to interpret than the word document because the formatting has been lost.

Questions regarding prior publications and our responses

Regarding the question about dual publication, and in accordance with PLOS ONE publication criteria, we do not consider for publication any manuscript that has been formally submitted or published in the peer-reviewed literature (https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/criteria-for-publication#loc-2). If part of this work was previously reported in conference proceedings or governmental reports this would not preclude it from publication in PLOS ONE, but we would like you to clarify in the response letter which results were previously published and where, and how this new work adds to previous publications. Please, upload also as supplementary information for review any previous work that you have published with these data.

We noted in your submission details that a portion of your manuscript may have been presented or published elsewhere:

'None of the results in this manuscript have been taken from other published or pending manuscripts. However, many of the results have been presented in NZ Department of Conservation annual reports and various other non-peer-reviewed unpublished reports (i.e. 'grey literature').'

Please clarify whether this publication was peer-reviewed and formally published.

If this work was previously peer-reviewed and published, in the cover letter please provide the reason that this work does not constitute dual publication and should be included in the current manuscript.

Authors:

Below is a list of all 7 previously published works related to the New Zealand (NZ) P. brassicae eradication program. As requested, they have all been uploaded as supplementary information. Items 1 – 4 in the list are peer-reviewed published conference proceedings. Items 5–7 are non-peer-reviewed annual reports published by NZ’s Department of Conservation.

1. Brown K, Phillips, CB, Broome, K., Green, C., Toft, R, Walker, G. Feasibility of eradicating the large white butterfly (Pieris brassicae) from New Zealand: data gathering to inform decisions about the feasibility of eradication. Island invasives: scaling up to meet the challenge. Gland, Switzerland: International Union for the Conservation of Nature; 2019. pp. 364–369. Available: http://www.islandinvasives2017.com/

2. Phillips C, Brown K, Broome K, Green C, Walker G. Criteria to help evaluate and guide attempts to eradicate arthropod pests. IUCN Island invasives: scaling up to meet the challenge. Gland, Switzerland: International Union for the Conservation of Nature; 2019. pp. 400–404. Available: https://portals.iucn.org/library/node/48358

3. Richards N, Hardwick S, Toft R, Phillips C. Mass rearing Pteromalus puparum on Pieris rapae to assist eradication of Pieris brassicae from New Zealand. New Zealand Plant Protection. 2016;69: 126–132.

4. Hiszczynska-Sawicka E, Phillips C. Mitochondrial cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1 sequence variation in New Zealand and overseas specimens of Pieris brassicae (Lepidoptera: Pieridae). New Zealand Plant Protection. 2014;67: 8–12.

5. Phillips C, Brown K, Green C, Walker G, Broome, K, Toft R, et al. Pieris brassicae (great white butterfly) eradication annual report 2013/14. Nelson, New Zealand; 2014 Dec p. 37. Available: http://www.doc.govt.nz/about-us/science-publications/conservation-publications/threats-and-impacts/animal-pests/pieris-brassicae-great-white-butterfly-eradication-annual-report/

6. Phillips C, Brown K, Green C, Broome K, Toft R, Shepherd M, et al. Pieris brassicae (great white butterfly) eradication annual report 2014/15. Nelson, New Zealand: Department of Conservation; 2015 Oct p. 19. Report No.: R77017. Available: http://www.doc.govt.nz/about-us/science-publications/conservation-publications/threats-and-impacts/animal-pests/pieris-brassicae-great-white-butterfly-eradication-annual-report/

7. Phillips C, Brown K, Green C, Broome K, Toft R, Shepherd M, et al. Pieris brassicae (great white butterfly) eradication annual report 2015/16. Nelson, New Zealand: Department of Conservation; 2016 Jul p. 20. Available: http://www.doc.govt.nz/about-us/science-publications/conservation-publications/threats-and-impacts/animal-pests/pieris-brassicae-great-white-butterfly-eradication-annual-report/

If published, our present manuscript (i.e. this one submitted to PLOS ONE) would be the first peer-reviewed article published in a journal rather than in conference proceedings about the NZ P. brassicae eradication program. Moreover, it would be the first/sole peer-reviewed article to provide an overview of the program (i.e. methods used and results obtained). The only other published work that provides a broadly similar overview of nearly the entire program is #7 in the above list, which is a non-peer-reviewed government annual report. However, this annual report was published before P. brassicae was officially declared eradicated from NZ and differs in many other ways to our PLOS ONE submission (one of the less obvious differences is that the data in our PLOS ONE manuscript are more correct than those in #7). The two earlier non-peer-reviewed government annual reports (#5 & #6) do not provide overviews because they were published before the eradication program ended (i.e. they are progress reports).

The peer-reviewed conference proceedings (#1–4 above) do not provide overviews of the program. Rather, they report very specific elements of it. We emphasise that contrary to the suggestion of Reviewer 2, the first item in the above list—a peer-reviewed conference proceeding—does not provide a comprehensive overview of the NZ P. brassicae eradication program. Instead, it describes uncertainties encountered when DOC and MPI were evaluating the technical feasibility and potential economic benefits of eradicating P. brassicae (i.e. before the program began). It differs substantially from our present manuscript and provides few details of how P. brassicae was eradicated.

Questions regarding financial disclosure

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter.

‘The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.'

We note that one or more of the authors are employed by a commercial company: Entecol Ltd

Please provide an amended Funding Statement declaring this commercial affiliation, as well as a statement regarding the Role of Funders in your study. If the funding organization did not play a role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript and only provided financial support in the form of authors' salaries and/or research materials, please review your statements relating to the author contributions, and ensure you have specifically and accurately indicated the role(s) that these authors had in your study. You can update author roles in the Author Contributions section of the online submission form.

Please also include the following statement within your amended Funding Statement.

“The funder provided support in the form of salaries for authors [insert relevant initials], but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section.”

If your commercial affiliation did play a role in your study, please state and explain this role within your updated Funding Statement.

Authors: Updated financial disclosure

Details of all costs are publicly available on-line in the Department of Conservation’s 2015-16 Pieris brassicae eradication program annual report: www.doc.govt.nz/about-us/science-publications/conservation-publications/threats-and-impacts/animal-pests/pieris-brassicae-great-white-butterfly-eradication-annual-report/

Operational aspects of the eradication program were funded by the New Zealand Department of Conservation (DOC; www.doc.govt.nz). Vegetables New Zealand (www.freshvegetables.co.nz) contributed some funds to DOC to support operational aspects of the eradication program. DOC provided support in the form of salaries for authors K. Brown, CG and K. Broome, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. Vegetables New Zealand did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

RT is a the Managing Director of a commercial company EntEcol Ltd (www.entecol.co.nz) which provides technical entomological services to New Zealand clients. In the eradication program, EntEcol Ltd was contracted by DOC for RT to provide services including contributing to the TAG, preparing documents, identifying specimens, helping to develop the visual lure, and evaluating P. brassicae parasitism rates. EntEcol Ltd provided support in the form of a salary for author RT, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section.

The New Zealand government research institutes AgResearch (www.agresearch.co.nz) and Plant and Food Research (www.plantandfood.co.nz) are partners in a New Zealand research collaboration called Better Border Biosecurity (www.b3nz.org). The collaboration aims to help reduce the rate at which non-native insects, weeds and diseases that could harm valued New Zealand plants are becoming established in New Zealand. AgResearch provided support in the form of a salary for author CP, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section. Plant and Food Research provided support in the form of a salary for author GW, but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of this author is articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section.

The New Zealand Ministry for Primary Industries (www.mpi.govt.nz) provided financial support for some of the research costs of CP, GW and RT, and the New Zealand TR Ellet Agricultural Trust contributed support for some of the research costs of CP. MPI and TR Ellet Agricultural Trust did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Technical aspects

Editor’s comment

Also, I see that your figures show how the butterfly was eradicated, but I would like to see the quantitative impact of each particular action in time supported by statistical analyses. In this way, the efficiency and the timing of each action could be more objectively evaluated.

Authors: We were also motivated to do this during the eradication campaign to help us ascertain if and how P. brassicae was responding to each of the various treatments. Unfortunately, it was not, and still is not, possible to conduct such an analysis because:

1. Different treatments were usually applied nearly simultaneously in either the same or proximate locations, thus their effects on P. brassicae were confounded.

2. It was too risky for the eradication program to leave some untreated areas as controls and the idea was never seriously considered (i.e. the eradication program was not a controlled experiment).

3. P. brassicae pupae were nearly impossible to detect and comprised an unknown and largely invisible proportion of the population for most of each year. This meant we were seldom able to obtain a reliable indication of the relative size of the whole P. brassicae population. The only time when few or no pupae were present in the population was in spring when all pupae—essentially the only P. brassicae stage that survived winter in Nelson—reached the adult stage and began reproducing: Adults, eggs and larvae were much more detectable than pupae. This nil-pupae period persisted through the latter part of September until mid October when the progeny of the spring adults began to reach the pupal stage. After spring, the P. brassicae generations became progressively less synchronised and some pupae were always present. Thus, we could only ever obtain reliable indications of the relative size of the whole P. brassicae population by comparing data between springs of different years. This single reliable annual estimate of relative population size was inadequate to separate the effects of different treatments, which had been applied together over the preceding year. (The autumn peaks in detection rates that are apparent in Fig. 3 arose for a different reason than the spring peaks, and were less useful for gauging the relative size of the total P. brassicae population because some pupae were still present during autumn, though fewer than in summer and winter.)

We note that where it was possible to roughly gauge the efficacy of certain treatments—in this case searching for eggs and larvae and applying insecticide—they are reported in the manuscript in the first paragraph of section ‘3.2 Active surveillance’. However, for the reasons previously described, it was not possible to estimate the population-level effects of these treatments.

Reviewers' comments:

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

Authors: In the revision that we have provided an excel file of program data as supplementary information (S3 Data). We have aggregated these by management block to avoid providing details of individual properties.

5. Review Comments to the Author

Reviewer #1:

One area I would like significant improvement is on pesticide applications - these are critical in eradication projects, but the deployment and use of this tool has not been covered adequately. Please respond to all queries in the "comments" call out on the attached PDF of this article.

L292 & L300- More details of insecticides requested.

Authors: Added a paragraph with the requested details to Methods section ‘Insecticides’.

L305- More details of herbicide requested.

Authors: Added a sentence with the requested details to Methods section ‘Host plant control’.

L317: Requested details of where parasitoids were reared.

Authors: Added a sentence with the requested details to Methods section ‘Biological control’.

L326: Requested details of method for feeding parasitoids.

Authors: Revised the sentence to say: ‘Cocoons were maintained until adult emergence, and adults were provided with 10% sugar solution via a vial with a cotton wick and allowed to mate’.

L355: Suggested change title from ‘Preparing this paper’ to ‘Data Analyses’.

Authors: Changed title to ‘Data presentation’ rather than ‘Data analysis’ as no formal statistical data analysis was conducted (or necessary).

L448: Define significant treatment.

Authors: Replaced ‘which also required significant treatment’ with ‘which were managed via 895 inspections of 314 properties’.

L479: More details of chemical treatments. Were they aerial?

Authors: Clarified in Results section ‘Host plant control’ that control was always from ground.

L486: Requested comment about impacts of natural enemies, biotic resistance.

Authors: As subsequently noted by the reviewer, this was covered in the Discussion in the paragraph that begins: “Several aspects of P. brassicae’s New Zealand habitat and ecology were fortuitously helpful to the program”.

L558: Was P. brassicae ever considered an invasive threat to NZ?

Authors: Clarified in sentence added to 2nd paragraph of Introduction.

Additionally, there are a lot of "grey" references cited that appear to be almost irretrievable. I've highlighted a lot of these in pink in the attached PDF - I may have missed some, but I think I've selected sufficient to give the idea of the types of materials that I am concerned about. My feeling from reading the paper is that these "grey" documents have very useful information, hence their citation, and they need to be accessible for future use. Since they have been cited, the information is obviously not confidential. I think these materials need to be web accessible, either via supplemental materials associated with this paper, or via a "Giant White Butterfly Eradication Resource" website, possibly maintained by DOC(??!?!??)

Authors: DOC is solely focused on addressing critical conservation issues in NZ and does not have the resource to develop and maintain the suggested website. Our intention is to publish as much of the grey literature as possible to help make it widely accessible and the present manuscript is a key part of this effort. Another manuscript we are currently working on, for example, describes details of the P. brassicae phenology model that was developed to assist the eradication program. In the meantime, the authors of the present manuscript may also be able to provide unpublished reports to interested readers upon request.

Finally, perhaps in the discussion. I think it would be instructive to cover these three things: (1) the slow spread of the butterfly around Nelson - could this be due to a "lag" event - hence the critical 4 year window cited in the discussion? (2) The DNA work - can this be used to get a feel for founding population sizes and possible inbreeding that could've affected fitness (and subsequent rates of spread?), finally, Tobin/Liebhold/Suckling have made compelling arguments that you don't need to eradicate every last individual, you just need to get the population low enough so that destabilizing Allee effects can act and help push the population to extinction - do the authors have any thoughts on how Allee effects may have played a role in this program?

Authors: Our aim in this manuscript is primarily to describe how eradication was achieved in the hope that others will find it useful when considering and designing their own eradication attempts. We of course also wonder what role the processes mentioned by the reviewer played in the program’s success, but currently we are reluctant to increase the word-count with pure conjecture about those possible roles because we doubt it would help to evaluate and design future eradication attempts. It is possible that future analyses of specific aspects of the P. brassicae program might provide more quantitative, less speculative foundations for commenting about lag times, Allee effects etc. In the Discussion, we already describe processes that we have better reason to believe may have contributed to P. brassicae’s slow spread (see paragraph beginning ‘Throughout the program, doubt persisted that the feasibility criterion Immigration and emigration can be prevented’). And Hiszczynska-Sawicka & Phillips 2014 (cited in the manuscript and freely available on-line) used their P. brassicae genetic data to comment on possible founding population sizes etc and we think it is unnecessary to reiterate those comments in the present manuscript. Prompted by a suggestion of Reviewer 2, we have mentioned Allee effects (citing Tobin et al. 2011) in the revised final paragraph of the Discussion.

One last thing, biotic resistance is captured in the discussion, parasitoids/predators, no mention of pathogens (e.g., viruses/bacteria/fungi/microsporidia), any field observations to report on this guild of natural enemies? Any evidence for microsporidia in the invasive population that could have affected fitness??

Authors: Sentence about pathogens added to the paragraph that begins: “Several aspects of P. brassicae’s New Zealand habitat and ecology were fortuitously helpful to the program”.

Reviewer #2:

The paper needs to more clearly acknowledge other published summaries of the same eradication program and explain the unique contribution that is being made herewith. For example, Brown et al. (2019; cited by the authors) provide a thorough overview of the eradication program and seem to summarize the same data. (It appears that small portions of the Brown paper are quoted verbatim or closely paraphrased without appropriate attribution; e.g. lines 73-75; 86-88.) Likewise, Figures 2 and 3 in the current paper seem remarkably similar/identical to figures in Phillips et al. (2016; cited by the authors).

Authors: The reviewer is incorrect that Brown et al. 2019 provides a thorough overview of the eradication program. Rather, it describes uncertainties encountered when DOC and MPI were evaluating the technical feasibility and potential economic benefits of eradicating P. brassicae (i.e. before the program began). It differs substantially from our present manuscript and provides very few details of how P. brassicae was eradicated.

To avoid any possibility of self-plagiarism in the revised version of the present manuscript, we have changed the short sections of text noted by the reviewer and have also cited Brown et al. 2019.

We also note that Brown et al. 2019 is an article in peer-reviewed conference proceedings and, as requested, have uploaded it to PLOS ONE as supplementary information.

Phillips et al. (2016) is a non-peer-reviewed published Department of Conservation annual report, and Figures 2 and 3 in the current manuscript are similar, though not identical, to those in Phillips et al. (2016). If required, we will cite Phillips et al. (2016) in the captions for Figures 2 and 3, but currently we don’t believe this is necessary.

The true risk that P. brassicae posed/poses to native brassicas of New Zealand is not clear. It is not clear whether a formal pest risk assessment was ever completed for the species. Brown et al. (2019) note that the species was “[a]n Unwanted Organism under the Biosecurity Act of 1993, and a known pest of cultivated brassicas …”. The logic in the current paper seems to be that P. brassicae feeds on many species within the Brassicaceae; therefore, all Brassicaceae are at some risk of herbivory. Of course, this position is not supported empirically (i.e., oligophagous herbivores are not able to recognize and develop on ALL members of a plant family, Menken et al. 2010. Evolution 64:1098). Brown et al. (2019) provide some justification for the risk-averse position. However, a formal analysis could be done to compare the phylogenetic distance of plants of concern from known hosts. Such an analysis would be useful to justify the title of the paper, if it demonstrated that New Zealand natives were close evolutionarily to known hosts.

Authors: We agree with the reviewer and have made substantive changes to the Introduction to describe how many NZ native/endemic Brassicaceae belong to genera that contain host plants for P. brassicae in the Northern Hemisphere. See the two successive paragraphs in the Introduction starting with the one that begins: “New Zealand’s Department of Conservation (DOC) is responsible for protecting native biodiversity under the Conservation Act 1987”.

The authors highlight the fact that this effort appears to be the first attempted eradication of a butterfly. No explanation is given as to why this is significant. Is eradication of a butterfly expected to be significantly more/less difficult than the eradication of moths? Why?

We have added the following sentence to the 2nd paragraph of the Discussion: “The lack of powerful attractants for butterflies, which unlike moths use vision rather than long range sex pheromones to find mates (i Monteys et al., 2012), may have contributed to the dearth of previous attempts to eradicate butterflies (Kean et al., 2019).”

The methods begin with a significant discussion of the administrative structure of the eradication program. It is not clear which components of this structure should be considered essential. Many details seem better suited for supplementary details. More emphasis should be given to critical details, for example, a synopsis of the nine criteria and methods used to assess quantitatively the probability of eradication success. Phillips et al. (2019) review the criteria but do not describe how to use them to generate a probability of eradication success. Expert opinion appears to play a prominent role, but this is not specified.

Authors: We note that this Methods section describes the administrative structure rather than discusses it. We have shortened Methods section ‘2.1 Management and review’ and moved some of the less important details to ‘S1 Text Additional management details’. A subsequent comment of Reviewer 2 is “it would be helpful if the authors could comment on which aspects of the eradication effort would be most replicable in other situations”. Thus, in the revised Discussion (final paragraph), we briefly emphasise the importance of sound program management and its critical elements (further details are provided in response to this reviewer’s final comment).

Also in section ‘2.1 Management and review’, we have edited the paragraph that begins “The TAG developed nine criteria to help evaluate and guide the eradication attempt (Phillips et al., 2019)…” to clarify that the Phillips et al.’s (2019) criteria were not explicitly designed for estimating eradication probabilities. We then describe how TAG members were asked to informally derive their own probability estimates while using the criteria of Phillips et al. (2019) to help guide their thinking. We would prefer not to increase the manuscript’s word count with descriptions of the nine criteria, which are published and available on-line (https://portals.iucn.org/library/node/48358).

The authors do not provide an operational definition for ‘eradication’ at the outset. In the United States, three insect generations with intensive trapping and no catches are required before eradication can be declared. It is not clear whether this standard was met in New Zealand. The non-zero error bar at the end of the program in the current Fig 2 suggests that at least one P. brassicae might have been detected.

Authors: We have added the program’s initial operational definition of eradication to the end of the 2nd to last paragraph of the Introduction, then described at the end of the 1st paragraph of the Discussion how the decision was reached to declare eradication successful.

As stated several times in the manuscript, the last detection occurred on 16 Dec 2014 and there were zero detections thereafter. In fact in Fig 2 every error bar is non-zero, but once detections reached zero they were usually too small to see on the graph. The few error bars that are visible during the period of zero detections appear simply because the sample sizes in those months were relatively small. During the 16 consecutive months of sampling when there were zero detections (Fig 2), the monthly sample sizes—i.e. properties inspected—ranged from 529 to 12250 with a mean of 6520 (S2 Data).

The structure of the eradication program lacks clarity. I consulted the Additional Information 2, which provides a map of the 46 management blocks. How much potentially suitable habitat for P. brassicae occurs within each block, how many total properties have suitable habitat within each block, and how many properties within each block were sampled? These are all critical details. The authors do not describe how data were analyzed. As the inspections do not appear to represent a simple random sample, the simple proportion of inspected properties that were infested is not an appropriate response variable. From the description, it appears that monitoring followed a stratified sampling scheme and resulting data should be analyzed accordingly.

Authors: In the final paragraph of the Results section ‘Active surveillance’, we have provided the requested details about potentially suitable habitat in each block, total properties with suitable habitat in each block, and how many properties in each block were sampled. We have also provided the data as a supplement in ‘S2 Data (an excel file). In particular, see worksheet ‘cadastre_and_search_data_by_block’, though we provide host plant data in the other worksheets too.

We have also updated the map of the P. brassicae management blocks (provided in the original version as Supp. Info. 2) to add some missing block names (S2 Figure Management blocks).

The reviewer is incorrect that the program followed a stratified sampling scheme because it, rather than stratifying properties, it repeatedly sampled the entire population of properties that had potential to be infested by P. brassicae. We have clarified this in the 1st and 2nd paragraphs of the Methods section ‘Prioritising locations to search’.

We disagree with the reviewer’s suggestion that the proportion infested is an inappropriate response variable and the data should be analysed differently because: (i) As mentioned, the sampling was not stratified; (ii) The data were not statistically analysed and there is no response variable. Rather detection rates (infested properties/inspected properties) as used in the manuscript are a useful way of summarising and presenting the raw data. We consulted a specialist statistician (C. Van Koten, AgResearch) about the reviewer’s suggestions and she agrees with this response.

Given that insecticide treatments were highly-localized to individual host plants, it seems likely that some portion of the population would go untreated in each generation. Other eradication programs have relied on area-wide insecticide applications to achieve success. What proportion of the P. brassicae population would need to be treated in each generation to drive the population to zero in less than two years? Was such a level achievable? Could other factors (e.g., parasitism) have contributed to the success of the eradication?

Authors: We agree that unknown portions of certain P. brassicae life stages would have evaded treatment within each generation. This would have applied particularly to P. brassicae pupae, which were extremely difficult to detect and treat; even if area-wide insecticide applications had been applied, pupae would probably have remained impervious. We did attempt to augment parasitism of pupae, but did not measure any effect of the augmentation (Richards et al. 2016, cited in the manuscript). However, the program sought to treat every P. brassicae individual at some point in its development to force the population to decline between generations. It did this by targeting treatments at every life stage, though with less effort expended on pupae for reasons already mentioned.

We do not have the data required—and nor did the eradication program have the resources to obtain them—to make a straightforward estimate of the proportion of each generation that must have been killed by the program to eliminate P. brassicae from Nelson in 2 years. We agree it would be interesting to model the eradication program by sampling variable values from assumed distributions for factors such as P. brassicae mating success, host finding, fecundity, and mortality due to parasitism, predation, disease, weather and the eradication treatments. However, such modelling has not been conducted, was not part of the eradication program, did not contribute to its success, and we think has no place in the current manuscript.

The reviewer asked if the (currently undefinable) required level of per generation mortality was achievable, and the answer is clearly yes because the population did decline to zero in about 2 years. The exact extent to which parasitism contributed to this decline is unknown, but we report notable levels of parasitism of larvae in the Results section ‘Biological control’ and speculate in the Discussion that natural enemies including parasites probably assisted population suppression (see paragraph that starts: ‘Several aspects of P. brassicae’s New Zealand habitat and ecology were fortuitously helpful to the program’).

In the end, it would be helpful if the authors could comment on which aspects of the eradication effort would be most replicable in other situations.

Authors: We agree and have revised the final paragraph of the Discussion accordingly.

Attachment

Submitted filename: response_to_reviewers_2.docx

Decision Letter 1

Amparo Lázaro

26 Jun 2020

PONE-D-19-32860R1

Eradicating large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Phillips,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

As in the previous round this article received two very different recommendations, the manuscript has been reviewed by one previous reviewer and two new ones in this second round. All the reviewers think the authors have addressed adequately previous comments, and that the work is very valuable, even though it not the typical research paper. However, the two new reviewers think there is still place for further improvements. Reviewer  I has several suggestions to improve the discussion and thinks the keywords chosen are not the most adequate ones. Reviewer II suggests adding some recommendations regarding the need of  indicators that can  be used in eradication campaigns, and the assessment of benefits of each specific eradication measurement. I concur with these reviews and I hope to receive a revised version of this manuscript that takes into account the suggestions raised.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Aug 10 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

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We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Amparo Lázaro, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #3: (No Response)

Reviewer #4: All comments have been addressed

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

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3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: N/A

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: N/A

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4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

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6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This is an excellent piece of work that makes a significant contribution to the literature on eradication of invasive insect pests.

I would like to make a comment about the need for a "control" treatment - in this situation (i.e., eradication), as with area-wide management programs, a control treatment is not feasible, because of the risks outlined by the authors in their response letter.

Further, eradication programs are massive perturbation experiments, the system is studied prior to the implementation of the treatment, the system is "shocked" catastrophically (i.e., eradication tools are unleashed [insecticides, host plant eradication, manual collection and killing of pest insects]) and the system is evaluated during and after the "shock" is applied (climate change is a massive perturbation for which there is no control treatment but the data support overwhelming that humans are causing this event).

Outcomes, such as the elimination of the pest are almost certainly due to the perturbation and not due to some chance stochastic event.

The authors have thoroughly addressed the reviewer's comments.

The manuscript reads very well, it is very interesting and informative and will help with future eradication efforts, and it will also be cited a lot in the eradication literature. I found the "social science" and public engagement aspects of this work very interesting and helpful.

I recommend publication without any additional revisions.

Reviewer #3: Review of PLoS ONE Ms. PONE-D-19-32860R1 “Eradicating large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae” by C.B. Phillips, K. Brown, C. Green, R. Toft, G. Walker and K. Broome.

General. This manuscript does not represent an “orthodox” publication. That is, one of experimental nature, hypothesis-driven, with extensive statistical analyses and in-depth interpretation/discussion of results. It is rather a thorough and very well written report of a noteworthy (“the first species of butterfly ever to have been eradicated worldwide”) and successful eradication effort of an invading, exotic butterfly (Pieris brassicae) that if established, would have put the local flora (particularly plants within the Brassicaceae) at risk in New Zealand. Having said the above, I believe the paper fits well into PLoS One.

I note that I have reviewed a version that underwent substantial changes after receiving many criticisms and suggestions for improvement (10 pages in small font) during the first round of revisions by two anonymous referees. In my opinion, all these criticisms have been thoroughly and completely/adequately addressed by the authors. The one most worrisome criticism pertaining to “self-plagiarism” and unwarranted reproduction of previously reported data/information, was, in my opinion, adequately dealt with. I have no additional concern about this issue in the current form of the manuscript.

Despite the above, I believe there is still room for additional improvements. I refer particularly to the Discussion that needs to be compacted and start with an initial paragraph summarizing the main findings and pointing to the principal issues that will be discussed in what follows. In its current form, the authors jump straight into discussing details. I also believe that even though Pieris brassicae is a broadly known species, the expert taxonomist that confirmed the identity of the specimens needs to be acknowledged, the place where voucher specimens are housed needs to be specified, and further discussion on the possible origin on the invading “founders” based on the genetic studies performed is needed.

Further details in the next section.

Specific.

L. 1 – Tittle. Is not a “the” missing after “Eradicating”. That is, “Eradicating the large white butterfly …..

L. 34 – Abstract. Add “worldwide” in the end. That is, “This is the first species of butterfly ever to have been eradicated worldwide”.

L. 36-37. I do not believe that the keywords chosen by the authors are the ideal ones. In my opinion, the following words would be much better suited: eradication, Pieris brassicae, Lepidoptera, New Zealand, invasion biology, biosecurity, endemic flora conservation.

L. 76 – Introduction. Here and many places elsewhere in manuscript (e.g., lines 305, 472, 483, 710, 726) numbers are used that should be spelled out in words. The grammatical rule indicates that any number smaller that 10 needs to be written in words not numbers. Here (L. 76) it reads “….. to Nelson 2 years after ….”. Believe it should be “two years”. Leave this to the editor as I do not know the specific rules of PLoS One.

L. 118 – Methods. It would be very useful for the reader to have access to a summary figure with a clear flow chart detailing the most important strategies followed during the entire eradication program from start to end. A lot of actions were implemented, and the reader can get overwhelmed with so much detail. Therefore, a tidy, well thought out/designed flow chart leading the reader step by step as to the critical strategies followed in the “command room” by the chief program manager, would greatly simplify reading/perusing over all the details.

Somewhere in this section, the authors need to specify who formally/taxonomically identified Pieris brassicae, Cotesia glomerata, Pteromalus puparum, indicate in which officially recognized insect collection are the voucher specimens saved, and also where is the genetic material saved for future verifications (i.e., mitochondrial COI gene sequences) in the case of Pieris brassicae. Independent of the fact that P. brassicae is a well-known insect, these types of formalities cannot be overridden.

L. 435/436. Explain if such a broad range (32-52% and 5-25%) did not entail the risk of undetected eggs/larvae. This is a minor point as the end result was eradication …

L. 466. Capitalize N in “nasturtium“.

L. 476-479. A bit confusing. Was every telephone report (direct or toll-free) later physically confirmed by an expert? Was the ID of all specimens verified?

L. 481-485. Any idea as to what the origin of the invading population was? The authors mention that they kept mitochondrial COI gene information on all specimens sampled. If so, this information could be matched with data kept at official repositories (e.g., gene bank) and obtain an idea with respect of the origin of the invaders. This information would be useful to avoid reinvasions, and to strengthen pathway regulations.

L. 563-605 are repeated in Lines 607-48.

L. 563 – Discussion. This section needs to be started with a paragraph summarizing the most significant results of the previous section (Results), outlining in the end the approach that will be followed in discussing these relevant findings. Currently, the first paragraph of the Discussion (Lines 564-576), leads the reader too abruptly into details that do not provide an overview of the relevant findings.

In addition, I feel the entire Discussion section could be tightened/compacted and better organized.

Reviewer #4: Comments to the editor and corresponding Author

Since this is a second round review, I first went through the previous reviewers’ questions and the authors’ responses as well as the subsequent edit they made to the manuscript in response to the reviewers’ concerns. I would like to congratulate the previous reviewers on the critical and robust interrogation they made on the original manuscript. I am also intrigued by the detail at which the authors responded to each and every question. Even if it is quite difficult to judge on behalf of the original reviewers’ as they probably have a set way they expected concerns to be addressed, from my point of view I believe that the concerns raised are fully addressed.

I would here like to comment that I understand the reservations put forward by one of the previous reviewer that quantitative assessment of the measures taken to eradicate Pieris brassicae is lacking. However, I believe it is important to recognize that such eradication efforts are usually run by mandated government organizations whose primary goal is to eradicate the species; therefore, any activity that might be really interesting or important from future research point of view might not necessarily be prioritized. Yet, since the eradication was a success even if it is hard to quantify which specific measure contributed how much towards the success, it is still a very important source where future researchers and managers alike can find detailed prescriptions of how each measure was implemented. And since the sum of these different measures, save the natural enemies and terrain, resulted in a successful eradication the article already would make one tried and tested integrated eradication management system available for end-users.

I have the following two recommendations for the authors

Recommendation 1

Mandated bodies usually take recommendations from researchers to optimize the eradication but not necessarily take steps to provide data that can be used to assess the efficacy of taken measure with the same rigor they carry out the eradication itself. In this regard, I believe it is appropriate for the authors to insert a recommendation for biostatisticians/pest risk modelers/population researchers/entomologists or others in a similar field to come up with a new set of - or modified indicators or parameters that can easily be measured by eradication campaigns. This will help quantitatively assessing the exercise without taxing the body who is carrying out the eradication too much time and effort for collecting the necessary data.

Recommendation 2 ( this one is if the authors feel inclined and if they think it is not out of the scope of their paper)

As I mentioned a couple of times above, there is not enough information on details of how each of the measures taken contribute towards the final success. It is usually very difficult to attain such detail as such eradications are often carried out under limited resources and under government oversight making it difficult, to collect and analyze data needed for such analysis.

In short, it is not run like an experiment rather it is a job that needs to be done. However, I believe there is still a case to be made to such bodies that the more of such information they collect even if costly, it will in the end make overall eradication efforts economically sound. Therefore, It will be beneficial for future eradication endeavors if the authors recommend in their paper that MPI/DoC or any mandated body that might carry out such eradications to make room in their program to assess the benefits of each specific measure within their integrated eradication system. Such data is elemental in building bio-economic eradication models that can optimize success both in the economic and biological sense. Although, in such cases when endangered species are involved money might not be an issue, overall if there is data that can optimize eradication techniques and drive down cost. The decision to manage rather than eradicate harmful invasive species might have a different outcome.

Line by line (minor)

L55: I believe in some ways the good outcome of the eradication effort is in some implicit way helped by the good system-wide understanding of best biosecurity practices in NZ. By that, I mean the increased awareness regarding biosecurity in New Zealand among the Government, Researchers and Citizens alike. It is important to give some reference besides the P. brassicae being listed as Unwanted Organism, that it has also been identified as a possible threat and invader by New Zealander researchers. For example Worner and Gevrey (2006) predicted its possible invasion in 2006.

L551: the use of a colon here rather signaled a list but what followed was two items separated by a semi colon. Better to remove the colon and continue with “allowed…” and replace the semi colon with a comma on L552. It will make it easy to read the paragraph.

Reference: Worner, S., & Gevrey, M. (2006). Modelling global insect pest species assemblages to determine risk of invasion. Journal of Applied Ecology, 43(5), 858-867.

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PLoS One. 2020 Aug 6;15(8):e0236791. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236791.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


9 Jul 2020

We have revised the manuscript in response to the editor's and reviewers' recommendations. We do not have laboratory protocols to deposit in protocols.io.

Attachment

Submitted filename: response_to_reviewers_3.docx

Decision Letter 2

Amparo Lázaro

15 Jul 2020

Eradicating the large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae

PONE-D-19-32860R2

Dear Dr. Phillips,

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Acceptance letter

Amparo Lázaro

17 Jul 2020

PONE-D-19-32860R2

Eradicating the large white butterfly from New Zealand eliminates a threat to endemic Brassicaceae

Dear Dr. Phillips:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Text. Additional management details.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Fig. Nelson management blocks.

    (PDF)

    S2 Fig. Data recording form.

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    S1 Data

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    Submitted filename: response_to_reviewers_2.docx

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    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files (S1 Data). The data have been aggregated spatially and/or temporally to protect the identities of the numerous individual properties that were sampled during this work. The data provided in S1 Data are sufficient to support the results and conclusions of the work presented in the manuscript.


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