Abstract
The leaf economics spectrum1,2 and the global spectrum of plant forms and functions3 revealed fundamental axes of variation in plant traits, which represent different ecological strategies that are shaped by the evolutionary development of plant species2. Ecosystem functions depend on environmental conditions and the traits of species that comprise the ecological communities4. However, the axes of variation of ecosystem functions are largely unknown, which limits our understanding of how ecosystems respond as a whole to anthropogenic drivers, climate and environmental variability4,5. Here we derive a set of ecosystem functions6 from a dataset of surface gas exchange measurements across major terrestrial biomes. We find that most of the variability within ecosystem functions (71.8%) is captured by three key axes. The first axis reflects maximum ecosystem productivity and is mostly explained by vegetation structure. The second axis reflects ecosystem water-use strategies and is jointly explained by variation in vegetation height and climate. The third axis, which represents ecosystem carbon-use efficiency, features a gradient related to aridity, and is explained primarily by variation in vegetation structure. We show that two state-of-the-art land surface models reproduce the first and most important axis of ecosystem functions. However, the models tend to simulate more strongly correlated functions than those observed, which limits their ability to accurately predict the full range of responses to environmental changes in carbon, water and energy cycling in terrestrial ecosystems7,8.
Subject terms: Biogeography, Ecosystem ecology
Three key axes of variation of ecosystem functional changes and their underlying causes are identified from a dataset of surface gas exchange measurements across major terrestrial biomes and climate zones.
Main
Terrestrial ecosystems provide multiple functions (for example, resource use and potential uptake of carbon dioxide, among others) and ecosystem services on which society depends5. To understand and predict the response mechanisms of ecosystems as a whole to climatic and other environmental changes, it is crucial to establish how many and which functions need to be measured to obtain a good representation of overall ecosystem functioning. So far, the key functional axes that control the behaviour of terrestrial ecosystems have not yet been quantified5. This can be achieved by identifying associations between a comprehensive set of ecosystem functions measured consistently across major terrestrial biomes and a range of climatic conditions.
Here, we identify and quantity the major axes of terrestrial ecosystem functions and sources of variation along these axes. First, we characterize multiple ecosystem functions across major terrestrial biomes. Second, we identify the most important axes of variation of ecosystem functions using an exploratory analysis similar to that used for the global spectrum of plant forms and functions3. Third, we analyse which variables drive the variation along these axes, from a suite of climatic variables, and the structural and chemical properties of the vegetation. Fourth, we analyse the extent to which two state-of-the-art land surface models (models that simulate the states and exchange of matter and energy between the Earth’s surface and the atmosphere) reproduce the key axes of ecosystem functions. Understanding and quantifying the main axes of variation of the multi-dimensional space of ecosystem functions, their drivers and the degree to which land surface models are able to correctly represent the axes is a crucial prerequisite for predicting which terrestrial functions are the most vulnerable to climate and environmental changes.
We use carbon dioxide (CO2), water vapour (H2O), and energy flux data from 203 sites (1,484 site years) from FLUXNET datasets9,10. These sites cover a wide variety of climate zones and vegetation types (Extended Data Figs. 1–3, Supplementary Table 1). A previous report6 suggested a series of core ecosystem functional properties that can be derived from carbon, water and energy flux observations related to efficiencies or potential rates of key physiological and ecohydrological processes (for example, evapotranspiration, photosynthesis energy partitioning and so on) that control land surface–atmosphere interactions. For each site, we calculated a single set of functional properties (see ‘Calculation of ecosystem functions from FLUXNET’ in Methods for details on the calculation and definition of abbreviations): maximum gross CO2 uptake at light saturation (GPPsat), maximum net ecosystem productivity (NEPmax), maximum evapotranspiration (ETmax), evaporative fraction (EF) (that is, the ratio between latent heat flux and available energy, indicative of energy partitioning), EF amplitude (EFampl), maximum dry canopy surface conductance (Gsmax), maximum and mean basal ecosystem respiration (Rbmax and Rb, respectively), and apparent carbon-use efficiency (aCUE) (that is, the remaining fraction of carbon entering the ecosystem). We also computed several metrics of growing season water-use efficiency (WUE) that account in different ways for physical evaporation and stomatal regulation effects: underlying WUE (uWUE), stomatal slope at ecosystem scale (G1), and WUEt, a second variant of WUE, but based on transpiration estimates11 (see Methods). We calculated average climate and soil water availability variables for each site, encompassing the following: cumulative soil water availability index (CSWI), mean annual precipitation (P), mean shortwave incoming radiation (SWin), mean air temperature (Tair), and mean vapour pressure deficit during the growing season (VPD). In addition, we compiled information on canopy-scale structural variables such as foliar nitrogen concentration (N%), maximum leaf area index (LAImax), maximum canopy height (Hc), and above-ground biomass (AGB), when available (Methods, Supplementary Table 1).
The key axes of the multi-dimensional space of terrestrial ecosystem functions were identified using principal component analysis (PCA; see Methods). We find that the first three axes of variation (the principal components; PCs) explain 71.8% of the multi-dimensional functional space variation (Fig. 1a, b, Supplementary Information 2). The first axis (PC1) explains 39.3% of the variance and is dominated by maximum ecosystem productivity properties, as indicated by the loadings of GPPsat and NEPmax, and maximum evapotranspiration (ETmax) (Fig. 1c, d). Also, Rb contributes with positive loadings to PC1 (Fig. 1d), indicating the coupling between productivity and ecosystem respiration (both autotrophic and heterotrophic)12. The first axis runs from sites with low productivity and evapotranspiration to sites with high photosynthesis, high net productivity, and high maximum evapotranspiration; that is, from cold and arid shrublands and wetlands, to forests in continental, tropical and temperate climates (Fig. 2a, b). The second axis (PC2) explains 21.4% of the variance and refers to water-use strategies as shown by the loadings of water-use efficiency metrics (uWUE, WUEt, and G1), evaporative fraction and maximum surface conductance (Fig. 1c, d). Plant functional types do not explain clearly the variability of the second axis, with the exception of the evergreen and mixed forest, and the wetlands that are at the opposite extremes of the range (Fig. 2c). This axis runs (Fig. 2c,d) from temperate forests, dry and subtropical sites with a low average evaporative fraction (that is, available energy is mainly dissipated by sensible heat) but higher water-use efficiency (Fig. 2d), to sites in cold or tropical climates, as well as wetlands with a high evaporative fraction (that is, available energy is used for evapotranspiration), high surface conductance and low water-use efficiency (Fig. 2c, d). The third axis (PC3) explains 11.1% of the variance and includes key attributes that reflect the carbon-use efficiency of ecosystems. PC3 is dominated by apparent carbon-use efficiency (aCUE), basal ecosystem respiration (Rb and Rbmax) and the amplitude of EF (EFampl) (Fig. 1c, d). Rb and aCUE contribute to PC3 with opposite loadings, indicating that the PC3 ranges from sites with high aCUE and low Rb to sites with low aCUE and high Rb. The third axis runs from Arctic and boreal sites with low PC values to hot and dry climates (Fig. 2f), potentially indicating the imprint of aridity and temperature over the efficiency of ecosystems to use the assimilated carbon. We find no clear relation to plant functional types, with the exception of deciduous and evergreen forests that are at the extremes of the PC3 range (Fig. 2e).
We analyse the predictive relative importance of five climatic variables (Tair, VPD, CSWI, P, and SWin) and four vegetation structural characteristics (LAImax, AGB, Hc and N%) on the predictability of the principal components using random forests (see ‘Predictive variable importance’ in Methods). We find that the maximum productivity axis (PC1) is largely explained by vegetation structure (LAImax, AGB, Hc and N%) and VPD (Fig. 3a, Extended Data Fig. 4a–e). The water-use strategies axis (PC2) is mostly explained by maximum canopy height (Hc), followed by climate variables (Fig. 3b, Extended Data Fig. 4i–l). Structural and climate variables jointly explain the variability of the carbon-use efficiency axis (PC3). The most important structural predictors of PC3 are AGB and N%, whereas VPD, Tair and SWin are the most important climate drivers (Fig. 3c, Extended Data Fig. 4m–q).
The dependencies described above can only be interpreted causally if the regression models are in fact causal regression models (see Supplementary Information 3 for a formal definition). In many situations, this fails to be the case owing to the existence of hidden confounders; that is, unmeasured variables that influence both the principal components and the covariates (here climate and structural variables)13. Using an invariance-based analysis (see ‘Invariant causal regression models and causal variable importance’ in Methods), we find evidence that the full regression model including all the selected structural and climatic variables might be causal (Supplementary Information 3.2.1, Supplementary Fig. 3.3). If this is indeed the case, we can make the following statements. When considering groupwise causal variable importance, we can conclude that vegetation structure is a stronger causal driver than climate of the spatial (that is, across sites) variability of the maximum realized productivity axis (PC1) (Supplementary Fig. 3.7), and both are significant (Supplementary Table 3.2). Consider two contiguous plots of forest experiencing the same climate conditions, one disturbed and the other not. The undisturbed forest, which is likely to be taller, with higher LAI and carbon stocks, would probably have higher maximum photosynthetic rates and net ecosystem production, which are the most important variables loading on the first axis. Although, in time, the variability of climate controls the variability of gross and net CO2 uptake and productivity14,15, which are variables related to the maximum productivity axis (PC1), in space (that is, across sites) we find only a marginal control in very cold and radiation-limited sites (Extended Data Fig. 5a for a PC1 map), or for very warm and high atmospheric aridity (high VPD) conditions (Extended Data Fig. 4d based on predictive variable importance). Both vegetation structure and climate variables seem to have a joint direct causal effect on PC2 (Supplementary Fig 3.7). Although vegetation canopy height is constrained by resource availability16, particularly water, our results suggest that it acts itself as a control on the water-use strategies axis (PC2) and that it has a stronger causal effect on PC2 than each of the climate variables (Supplementary Fig. 3.6). The importance of vegetation height for ecosystem water-use strategies is manifold. First, vegetation height controls the coupling between stomata and atmosphere by influencing surface roughness and then aerodynamic resistance17, which modulates leaf-to-air VPD and water use efficiency. Second, vegetation height reflects variation in water-use efficiency that decreases as a consequence of progressive hydraulic constraints on stomatal conductance to water vapour and growth in taller vegetation16. Third, canopy height might reflect stand age and it is influenced by disturbances. Studies on forest chronosequence show a more conservative use of water in younger forests, which results in higher water-use efficiency18. We cannot exclude that our results are indirectly affected by the gradient from grass to forests, but postulate that these effects are likely to be minimal (Extended Data Fig. 6). Vegetation structure has a direct causal effect on the carbon-use efficiency axis (PC3; Supplementary Fig 3.7). Previous studies show that vegetation structure reflects climatic constraints but also the successional stage of an ecosystem after disturbance19. Increasing stand age—which is typically associated with higher above-ground biomass—is also associated with reduced forest production efficiency20. The negative partial dependence of PC3 on above-ground biomass (Extended Data Fig. 4n, based on predictive variable importance) is likely to be related to higher autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration rates per unit of CO2 taken up by photosynthesis as biomass increases21. The positive dependence of PC3 on N% (Extended Data Fig. 4q, based on predictive variable importance) supports previous findings that carbon-use efficiency might be controlled by the nutrient status of the vegetation22.
The two representative—yet complementary—land surface models examined here (OCN and JSBACH) partially reproduce the main axes of terrestrial ecosystem functions (Extended Data Fig. 7). This is shown when comparing the PCA calculated from FLUXNET data with simulated ecosystem functional properties from 48 site-level runs, mostly in temperate and boreal sites (Extended Data Fig. 7). The models are broadly consistent with the FLUXNET observations in the description of the potential productivity axis (PC1), but diverge in the description of the water-use strategies (PC2) and the carbon-use efficiency (PC3) axes. Despite the overall good agreement between observed and modelled fluxes at a half-hourly timescale (Supplementary Table 4), we show that, first, models are limited in simulating the relationships between ecosystem functions (Extended Data Fig. 8); and, second, models tend to overstate observed correlation strengths among ecosystem functions, as shown by the larger variance explained by the PC1 in models compared to observations (Extended Data Fig 7h, i). As a result, the ecosystem functional space that can be simulated by the models, represented by the area shown in Extended Data Fig. 9, is smaller than that expected from observations, particularly in the plane spanned by the PC2 and PC3 (Extended Data Fig. 9d–f). The limited variability of the model output points to an insufficient representation of the actual variability of the vegetation properties by the average parameterization of plant functional types. Uncertain implementation of plant hydraulics and water acquisition or conservation strategies in land surface models is a key limitation23 that explains the observed discrepancy in PC2. With regard to PC3, one limitation is that models lack flexibility in representing the response of respiration rates and carbon-use efficiency to climate, nutrients, disturbances and substrate availability (including biomass and stand age)20,24.
The identification of the key axes of terrestrial ecosystem function and their relationships with climate and vegetation structure will help to support the development of the next generation of land surface models and complement their benchmarking25. By comparing the contributions of the functions and their loadings to the principal components, we can assess whether the representations of ecosystem functions in the models and in the ‘real world’ are coherent, and if not, which key processes or model formulations need improvement. For example, we show that vegetation height controls the water-use strategies axis (PC2), which is not well reproduced by the land surface models23. This suggests that future land surface models need to include a representation of water-use strategies that explicitly accounts for hydraulic limitations to growth, vegetation stature, vertical and horizontal structures and microenvironments of the canopy, and a refined parameterization of stomatal control. Likewise, the inclusion of a flexible representation of carbon-use efficiency would enable models to reproduce the third axis of ecosystem functions24. The comparison of the variances explained by functional axes and the loadings of the functions in simulated and observed data will indicate whether simulated ecosystem functions are appropriately coordinated. The overly tight coupling of ecosystem functions by models indicates a lack of flexibility in ecosystem responses to environmental drivers, such as adaptive carbon and water couplings.
In summary, by analysing a consistent set of ecosystem functions across major terrestrial biomes and climate zones, we show that three key axes capture the terrestrial ecosystem functions. The first and most important axis represents maximum productivity and is driven primarily by vegetation structure, followed by mean climate. The second axis is related to water-use strategies, and is driven by vegetation height. The third axis is related to ecosystem carbon-use efficiency; it is controlled by vegetation structure, but shows a gradient related to aridity. We find that the plant functional type concept does not necessarily capture the variability of ecosystem functions, because the majority of plant functional types are evenly distributed along the water-use strategies (PC2) and carbon-use efficiency (PC3) axes. Our approach allows the overall functioning of terrestrial ecosystems to be summarized and offers a way towards the development of metrics of ecosystem multifunctionality5—a measure of ecosystem functions as a whole, which is crucial to achieving a comprehensive assessment of the responses of ecosystems to climate and environmental variability, as well as biodiversity losses5. The analysis focuses on relatively few critical functions related to carbon, water and energy cycling of ecosystems. To attain a fully comprehensive characterization of the key axes of terrestrial ecosystem functions, more parameters related to nutrient cycling, seed dispersal and chemical defences—among others—should be included. The concept of the key axes of ecosystem functions could be used as a backdrop for the development of land surface models, which might help to improve the predictability of the terrestrial carbon and water cycle in response to future changing climatic and environmental conditions.
Methods
FLUXNET data
The data used in this study belong to the FLUXNET LaThuile9 and FLUXNET2015 Tier 1 and Tier 2 datasets10, which make up the global network of CO2, water vapour and energy flux measurements. We merged the two FLUXNET releases and retained the FLUXNET2015 (the most recent and with a robust quality check) version of the data when the site was present in both datasets. Croplands were removed to avoid the inclusion of sites that are heavily managed in the analysis (for example, fertilization and irrigation).
The sites used cover a wide variety of climate zones (from tropical to Mediterranean to Arctic) and vegetation types (wetlands, shrublands, grasslands, savanna, evergreen and deciduous forests). It should be noted though that tropical forests are underrepresented in the FLUXNET database (Extended Data Figs. 1, 3).
Sites were excluded in cases in which: (i) data on precipitation or radiation were not available or completely gap-filled; (ii) the calculation of functional properties failed because of low availability of measured data (see ‘Calculation of ecosystem functions from FLUXNET’); and (iii) fluxes showed clear discontinuities in time series indicating a change of instrumentation set-up (for example, changes in the height of the ultrasonic anemometer or gas analyser).
The final number of sites selected was 203 (1,484 site years). The geographical distribution is shown in Extended Data Fig. 1, the distribution in the climate space is shown in Extended Data Fig. 2 and the fraction of sites for each climate classes is reported in Extended Data Fig. 3.
For each site, we downloaded the following variables at half-hourly temporal resolution: (i) gross primary productivity (GPP, μmol CO2 m–2 s–1) derived from the night-time flux partitioning26 (GPP_NT_VUT_50 in FLUXNET 2015 and GPP_f in LaThuile), (ii) net ecosystem exchange (NEE, μmol CO2 m–2 s–1) measurements filtered using annual friction velocity (u*, m s−1) threshold (NEE_VUT_50 in FLUXNET 2015; NEE in LaThuile); (iii) latent heat (LE, W m−2) fluxes, which were converted to evapotranspiration (ET, mm); (iv) sensible heat (H, W m−2) fluxes; (v) air temperature (Tair, °C); (vi) vapour pressure deficit (VPD, hPa); (vii) global shortwave incoming radiation (SWin, W m−2); viii) net radiation (Rn, W m−2); (ix) ground heat flux (G, W m−2); (x) friction velocity u* (m s−1); and (xi) wind speed (u, m s−1). For the energy fluxes (H, LE) we selected the fluxes not corrected for the energy balance closure to guarantee consistency between the two FLUXNET datasets (in the LaThuile dataset energy fluxes were not corrected).
The cumulative soil water index (CSWI, mm) was computed as a measure of water availability according to a previous report27. Half-hourly values of transpiration estimates (T, mm) were calculated with the transpiration estimation algorithm (TEA)28. The TEA has been shown to perform well against both model simulations and independent sap flow data28.
For 101 sites, ecosystem scale foliar N content (N%, gN 100 g−1) was computed as the community weighted average of foliar N% of the major species at the site sampled at the peak of the growing season or gathered from the literature29–32. Foliar N% for additional sites was derived from the FLUXNET Biological Ancillary Data Management (BADM) product and/or provided by site principal investigators (Supplementary Table 1, Extended Data Fig. 1). It should be noted that this compilation of N% data might suffer from uncertainties resulting from the scaling from leaves to the eddy covariance footprint, the sampling strategy (including the position along the vertical canopy profile), the species selection and the timing of sampling. About 30% of the data comes from a coordinated effort that minimized these uncertainties29,30, and for the others we collected N% data that were representative for the eddy covariance footprint31,32.
Maximum leaf area index (LAImax, m2 m−2) and maximum canopy height (Hc, m) were also collected for 153 and 199 sites, respectively, from the literature32,33, the BADM product, and/or site principal investigators.
Earth observation retrievals of above-ground biomass (AGB, tons of dry matter per hectare (t DM ha−1)) were extracted from the GlobBiomass dataset34 at its original resolution (grid cell 100 × 100 m) for each site location. All the grid cells in a 300 × 300 m and 500 × 500 m window around each location were selected to estimate the median and 95th percentiles of AGB for each site. The median of AGB was selected to avoid the contribution of potential outliers to the expected value of AGB. The analysis further explored the contribution of higher percentiles in the local variation of AGB as previous studies have highlighted the contribution of older and larger trees in uneven stand age plots to ecosystem functioning35. According to the evaluation against AGB measured at 71 FLUXNET sites (Extended Data Fig. 10), we decided to use the product with median AGB values extracted from the 500 × 500 m window.
A total of 94 sites have all the data on vegetation structure (N%, LAImax, Hc, and AGB).
The list of sites is reported in Supplementary Table 1 along with the plant functional type (PFT), Köppen-Geiger classification, coordinates, and when available N%, LAImax, Hc and AGB.
In this study we did not make use of satellite information, with the exception of the AGB data product. Future studies will benefit from new missions such as the ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS), the fluorescence explorer (FLEX), hyperspectral, and radar and laser detection and ranging (LiDAR) missions (for example, Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI)), to characterize a multivariate space of structural and functional properties.
Calculation of ecosystem functions from FLUXNET
Starting from half-hourly data, we calculated at each site a single value for each of the ecosystem functions listed below. For the calculations of functional properties we used, unless otherwise indicated, good-quality data: quality flag 0 (measured data) and 1 (good-quality gap-filled data) in the FLUXNET dataset.
Gross primary productivity at light saturation (GPPsat)
GPP at light saturation using photosynthetically active radiation as driving radiation and 2,000 μmol m−2 s−1 as saturating light. GPPsat represents the ecosystem-scale maximum photosynthetic CO2 uptake15,30,36. The GPPsat was estimated from half-hourly data by fitting the hyperbolic light response curves with a moving window of 5 days and assigned at the centre of the moving window30,37. For each site the 90th percentile from the GPPsat estimates was then extracted.
Maximum net ecosystem productivity (NEPmax)
This was computed as the 90th percentile of the half-hourly net ecosystem production (NEP = −NEE) in the growing season (that is, when daily GPP is higher than 30% of the GPP amplitude). This metric represents the maximum net CO2 uptake of the ecosystem.
Basal ecosystem respiration (Rb and Rbmax)
Basal ecosystem respiration at reference temperature of 15 °C was derived from night-time NEE measurements26. Daily basal ecosystem respiration (Rbd) was derived by fitting an Arrhenius type equation over a five-day moving window and by keeping the sensitivity to temperature parameter (E0) fixed as in the night-time partitioning algorithms26,38. Rbd varies across seasons because it is affected by short-term variations in productivity33,39, phenology40 and water stress41. For each site, the mean of the Rbd (Rb) and the 95th percentile (Rbmax) were computed. The calculations were conducted with the REddyProc R package v.1.2.2 (ref. 38).
Apparent carbon-use efficiency (aCUE)
The aCUE as defined in this study is the efficiency of an ecosystem to sequester the carbon assimilated with photosynthesis39. aCUE is an indication of the proportion of respired carbon with respect to assimilated carbon within one season. A previous report6 showed that little of the variability in aCUE can be explained by climate or conventional site characteristics, and suggested an underlying control by plant, faunal and microbial traits, in addition to site disturbance history. Daily aCUE (aCUEd) is defined as aCUEd = 1 − (Rbd/GPPd), where GPPd is daily mean GPP and Rbd is derived as described above. For each site, aCUE was computed as the median of aCUEd.
Metrics of water-use efficiency (WUE)
Various metrics of WUE are described below: stomatal slope or slope coefficient (G1), underlying water-use efficiency (uWUE), and water-use efficiency based on transpiration (WUEt). The three metrics were used because they are complementary, as shown in previous studies11,42.
Stomatal slope or slope coefficient (G1)
This is the marginal carbon cost of water to the plant carbon uptake. G1 is the key parameter of the optimal stomatal model derived previously43. G1 is inversely related to leaf-level WUE. At leaf level, G1 is calculated using nonlinear regression and can be interpreted as the slope between stomatal conductance and net CO2 assimilation, normalized for VPD and CO2 concentration43. A previous report42 showed the potential of the use of G1 at ecosystem scale, where stomatal conductance is replaced by surface conductance (Gs), and net assimilation by GPP. The methodology is implemented in the bigleaf R package44. The metric was computed in the following situations: (i) incoming shortwave radiation (SWin) greater than 200 W m−2; (ii) no precipitation event for the last 24 h45, when precipitation data are available; and (iii) during the growing season: daily GPP > 30% of its seasonal amplitude44.
Underlying water-use efficiency (uWUE)
The underlying WUE was computed following a previous method46. uWUE is a metric of water-use efficiency that is negatively correlated to G1 at canopy scale44:
uWUE was calculated using the same filtering that was applied for the calculation of G1. The median of the half-hourly retained uWUE values was computed for each site and used as a functional property.
Water-use efficiency based on transpiration (WUEt)
The WUE based on transpiration (T) was computed to reduce the confounding effect resulting from soil evaporation11,28:
where T is the mean annual transpiration calculated with the transpiration estimation algorithm (TEA) developed by in a previous study28 and GPP is the mean annual GPP.
Maximum surface conductance (Gsmax)
Surface conductance (Gs) was computed by inverting the Penman–Monteith equation after calculating the aerodynamic conductance (Ga).
Among the different formulations of Ga (m s–1) in the literature, we chose to use here the calculation of the canopy (quasi-laminar) boundary layer conductance to heat transfer, which ranges from empirical to physically based (for example, ref. 47). Other studies48,49 suggested an empirical relationship between Ga, the horizontal wind speed (u) and the friction velocity, u*:
Gs (m s−1) is computed by inverting the Penman–Monteith equation:
where Δ is the slope of the saturation vapour pressure curve (kPa K−1), ρ is the air density (kg m−3), Cp is the specific heat of the air (J K−1 kg−1), γ is the psychrometric constant (kPa K−1), VPD (kPa), Rn (W m−2), G (W m−2) and S is the sum of all energy storage fluxes (W m−2) and set to 0 as not available in the dataset. When not available, G also was set to 0.
Gs represents the combined conductance of the vegetation and the soil to water vapour transfer. To retain the values with a clear physiological interpretation, we filtered the data as we did for the calculation of G1.
For each site, the 90th percentile of the half-hourly Gs was calculated and retained as the maximum surface conductance of each site (Gsmax). Gs was computed using the bigleaf R package44.
Maximum evapotranspiration in the growing season (ETmax)
This metric represents the maximum evapotranspiration computed as the 95th percentile of ET in the growing season and using the data retained after the same filtering applied for the G1 calculation.
Evaporative fraction (EF)
EF is the ratio between LE and the available energy, here calculated as the sum of H + LE (ref. 50). For the calculation of EF, we used the same filtering strategy as for G1. We first calculated mean daytime EF. We then computed the EF per site as the growing season average of daytime EF. We also computed the amplitude of the EF in the growing season by calculating the interquartile distance of the distribution of mean daytime EF (EFampl).
Principal component analysis
A PCA was conducted on the multivariate space of the ecosystem functions. Each variable (ecosystem functional property, EFP) was standardized using z-transformation (that is, by subtracting its mean value and then dividing by its standard deviation). From the PCA results we extracted the explained variance of each component and the loadings of the EFPs, indicating the contribution of each variable to the component. We performed the PCA using the function PCA() implemented in the R package FactoMineR51.
We justify using PCA over nonlinear methods because it is an exploratory technique that is highly suited to the analysis of the data volume used in this study, whereas other nonlinear methods applied to such data would be over-parameterized. For the same reason, PCA was used in previous work concerning the global spectrum of leaf and plant traits, and fluxes1,3,52.
To test the significance of dimensionality of the PCA, we used a previously described methodology53. We used the R package ade4 (ref. 54) and evaluated the number of significant components of the PCA to be retained to minimize both redundancy and loss of information (Supplementary Information 2). We tested the significance of the PCA loadings using a combination of the bootstrapped eigenvector method55 and a threshold selected using the number of dimensions56 (Supplementary Information 2).
Predictive variable importance
A random forests (RF) analysis was used to identify the vegetation structure and climate variables that contribute the most to the variability of the significant principal components, which were identified with the PCA analysis (see ‘Principal component analysis’). In the main text we refer to the results of this analysis as ‘predictive variable importance’ to distinguish this to the ‘causal variable importance’ described below.
The analysis was conducted using the following predictor variables: as structural variables, N% (gN 100 g−1), LAImax (m2 m−2), AGB (t DM ha−1) and Hc (m); as climatic variables, mean annual precipitation (P, mm), mean VPD during the growing season (VPD, hPa), mean shortwave radiation (SWin, W m−2), mean air temperature (Tair, °C); and the cumulative soil water index (CSWI, −), as indicator of site water availability.
We used partial dependencies of variables to assess the relationship between individual predictors and the response variable (that is, PC1, PC2 and PC3).
The results from the partial dependency analysis can be used to determine the effects of individual variables on the response, without the influence of the other variables. The partial dependence function was calculated using the pdp R package57.
The partial dependencies were calculated restricted to the values that lie within the convex hull of their training values to reduce the risk of interpreting the partial dependence plot outside the range of the data (extrapolation).
Invariant causal regression models and causal variable importance
We have quantified the dependence of the principal components on the different structural and climatic variables using nonlinear regression. Such dependencies can only be interpreted causally if the regression models are in fact causal regression models (see Supplementary Information 3 for a formal definition), which may not be the case if there are hidden confounders. To see whether the regression models allow for a causal interpretation, we use invariant causal prediction58. This method investigates whether the regression models are stable with respect to different patterns of heterogeneity in the data, encoded by different environments (that is, subsets of the original dataset). The rationale is that a causal model, describing the full causal mechanism for the response variable, should be invariant with respect to changes in the environment if the latter does not directly influence the response variable13,59. Other non-causal models may be invariant, too, but a non-invariant model cannot be considered causal.
How to choose the environments is a modelling choice that must satisfy the following criteria. First, it should be possible to assign each data point to exactly one environment. Second, the environments should induce heterogeneity in the data, so that, for example, the predictor variables have different distributions across environments. Third, the environments must not directly affect the response variable, only via predictors, although the distribution of the response may still change between environments. The third criterion can be verified by expert knowledge and is assumed to hold for our analysis. In addition, if it is violated, then, usually, no set is invariant58, which can be detected from data.
In our analysis, we assigned each data point (that is, each site) to one of two environments (two subsets of the original dataset): the first includes forest sites in North America, Europe or Asia; and the second includes non-forest and forest ecosystems from South America, Africa or Oceania, and non-forest ecosystems from North America, Europe or Asia (see Supplementary Information 3.1.3.1 for details). Our choice satisfies the method’s assumption that the distribution of the predictors is different between the two environments (that is, they induce heterogeneity in the data; see Supplementary Fig. 3.1). Environments that are too small or too homogeneous do not provide any evidence against the full set of covariates being a candidate for the set of causal predictors. Other choices of environments than the one presented here yield consistent results (Supplementary Information 3.2.1, Supplementary Fig. 3.4).
For each subset of predictors, we test whether the corresponding regression model is invariant (yielding the same model fit in each environment). Although many models were rejected and considered non-invariant, the full model (with all the nine predictors and used in the predictive variable importance analysis) was accepted as invariant, establishing the full set of covariates as a reasonable candidate for the set of direct causal predictors. We used both RF (randomForest package in R60) and generalized additive models, GAM61 (mgcv package62 in R) to fit the models. Both methods lead to comparable results but with a better average performance of the RF: GAM led to slightly better results than RF for PC1, whereas for PC2 and PC3 RF showed a much better model performance (Supplementary Table 3.1, Supplementary Information 3.2.2). Therefore, in the main text we showed only the results from the RF (except for PC1).
If, indeed, the considered regression models are causal, this allows us to make several statements. First, we can test for the existence of causal effects by testing for statistical significance of the respective predictors in the fitted models. Second, we can use the response curves of the fitted model to define a variable importance measure with a causal interpretation. In the main text we refer to this variable importance as ‘causal variable importance’. For details, see Supplementary Information 3.1.2. More formally, we considered the expected value of the predicted variables (the principal components) under joint interventions on all covariates (AGB, Hc, LAImax, N%, Tair, VPD, SWin, CSWI and P) at once, and then, to define the importance, we quantified how this expected value depends on the different covariates. We applied the same analysis to groups of vegetation structural and climate covariates (see ‘Groupwise variable importance’ in Supplementary Information 3.1.2.3, 3.2.3).
The details of the methodology and the results are described in Supplementary Information 3, in which we also provide further details on the choice of environment variable and on the statistical tests that we use to test for invariance. An overview of the invariance-based methodology is shown in Supplementary Fig. 3.1.
Land surface model runs
We run two widely used land surface models: Orchidee-CN (OCN) and Jena Scheme for Biosphere Atmosphere Coupling in Hamburg (JSBACH):
OCN
The dynamic global vegetation model OCN is a model of the coupled terrestrial carbon and nitrogen cycles63,64, derived from the ORCHIDEE land surface model. It operates at a half-hourly timescale and simulates diurnal net carbon, heat and water exchanges, as well as nitrogen trace gas emissions, which jointly affect the daily changes in leaf area index, foliar nitrogen, and vegetation structure and growth. The main purpose of the model is to analyse the longer-term (interannual to decadal) implication of nutrient cycling for the modelling of land–climate interactions64,65. The model can run offline, driven by observed meteorological parameters, or coupled to the global circulation model.
JSBACH
JSBACH v.3 is the land surface model of the MPI Earth System Model66,67. The model operates at a half-hourly time step and simulates the diurnal net exchange of momentum, heat, water and carbon with the atmosphere. Daily changes in leaf area index and leaf photosynthetic capacity are derived from a prognostic scheme assuming a PFT-specific set maximum leaf area index and a set of climate responses modulating the seasonal course of leaf area index. Carbon pools are prognostic allowing for simulating the seasonal course of net land–atmosphere carbon exchanges.
We selected OCN and JSBACH because they are widely used land surface models with different structures. JSBACH is a parsimonious representation of the terrestrial energy, water and carbon exchanges used to study the coupling of land and atmosphere processes in an Earth system model67. OCN has also been derived from the land surface model ORCHIDEE68, but it includes a more comprehensive representation of plant physiology, including a detailed representation of the tight coupling of the C and N cycling63. Both models contribute to the annual global carbon budget of the Global Carbon Project69 and have shown good performance compared to a number of global benchmarks. OCN was further used in several model syntheses focused on the interaction between changing N deposition and CO2 fertilization70–72. Both OCN and JSBACH can operate at a half-hourly timescale and simulate net and gross carbon exchanges, water and energy fluxes, and therefore are ideal for the extraction of ecosystem functional properties, as done with the eddy covariance data.
The models were driven by half-hourly meteorological variables (shortwave and longwave downward flux, air temperature and humidity, precipitation, wind speed and atmospheric CO2 concentrations) observed at the eddy covariance sites. OCN was furthermore driven by N deposition fields73. Vegetation type, soil texture and plant available water were prescribed on the basis of site observations, but no additional site-specific parameterization was used. Both models were brought into equilibrium with respect to their ecosystem water storage and biogeochemical pools by repeatedly looping over the available site years. We added random noise (mean equal to 0 and standard deviation of 5% of the flux value) to the fluxes simulated by the models to mimic the random noise of the eddy covariance flux observations. An additional test conducted without noise addition showed only a marginal effect on the calculations of the functional properties and the ecosystem functional space.
We used runs of the JSBACH and OCN model for 48 FLUXNET sites (Supplementary Table 1). The simulated fluxes were evaluated against the observation to assess the performance of the models at the selected sites. From the model outputs and from each site we derived the ecosystem functions using the same methodology described above. Then the PCA analysis was performed on the three datasets (FLUXNET, OCN and JSBACH) and restricted to the 48 sites used to run the models. We ran the models only on the subset of sites for which the information for the parameterization and high-quality forcing was available. However, the different ecosystem functions emerge from the model structure and climatological conditions. Therefore, even with a smaller set of site we can evaluate whether models reproduce the key dimensions of terrestrial ecosystem function by comparing the PCA results from FLUXNET and the model runs.
Reporting summary
Further information on research design is available in the Nature Research Reporting Summary linked to this paper.
Online content
Any methods, additional references, Nature Research reporting summaries, source data, extended data, supplementary information, acknowledgements, peer review information; details of author contributions and competing interests; and statements of data and code availability are available at 10.1038/s41586-021-03939-9.
Supplementary information
Acknowledgements
This work has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 721995. M.M. and M. Reichstein acknowledge the Alexander Von Humboldt Foundation for funding with the Max Planck Research Prize 2013 to M. Reichstein. This work used eddy covariance data acquired and shared by the FLUXNET community, including these networks: AmeriFlux, AfriFlux, AsiaFlux, CarboAfrica, CarboEuropeIP, CarboItaly, CarboMont, ChinaFlux, Fluxnet-Canada, GreenGrass, ICOS, KoFlux, LBA, NECC, OzFlux-TERN, Swiss FluxNet, TCOS-Siberia and USCCC. The ERA-Interim reanalysis data were provided by ECMWF and processed by LSCE. The FLUXNET eddy covariance data processing and harmonization was carried out by the European Fluxes Database Cluster, the AmeriFlux Management Project and the Fluxdata project of FLUXNET, with the support of the CDIAC and the ICOS Ecosystem Thematic Center, and the OzFlux, ChinaFlux and AsiaFlux offices. R.C. and J. Peters were supported by the VILLUM FONDEN (18968) and J. Peters in addition by the Carlsberg Foundation; P.R. acknowledges funding support from the US National Science Foundation (NSF) Long-Term Ecological Research (DEB-1831944) and Biological Integration Institutes (NSF-DBI-2021898); N.B. acknowledges funding from various SNF projects, including ICOS-CH (20FI21_148992, 20FI20_173691), the ETH Board and ETH Zurich (TH-1006-02); and T.F.K. acknowledges support from the Reducing Uncertainties in Biogeochemical Interactions through Synthesis and Computation Scientific Focus Area (RUBISCO SFA), which is sponsored by the Regional and Global Model Analysis (RGMA) Program of the Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) in the US Department of Energy Office of Science. OzFlux is supported by the Australian Government’s Terrestrial Ecosystem Research Network (TERN, www.tern.org.au). We thank K. Morris and S. Paulus for comments on the draft, K. Blakeslee for English editing and G. Bohrer for sharing nitrogen data for his site.
Extended data figures and tables
Author contributions
M.M., M. Reichstein, M.D.M. and T.M. conceived the study. M.M. and T.M. performed the majority of the analysis. R.C. and J. Peters designed and coded the causality analysis. J.A.N. provided the transpiration partitioning data. J. Knauer and S.Z. performed the land surface model runs. N.C. and U.W. processed the above-ground biomass data. O.P.-P. provided support with data analysis and discussions. M.M. wrote the first draft. All of the authors participated in intensive discussions on the manuscript and the revision phase, and contributed to writing the final manuscript. In addition, many site principal investigators contributed with additional data for their site.
Funding
Open access funding provided by Max Planck Society.
Data availability
Data used for this study are the FLUXNET dataset LaThuile (https://fluxnet.fluxdata.org/data/la-thuile-dataset/) and FLUXNET2015 (https://fluxnet.fluxdata.org/data/fluxnet2015-dataset/). Biological, ancillary, disturbance and metadata information for the sites were collected from databases and the literature and are available at the following address together with the reproducible workflow (10.5281/zenodo.5153538). OCN and JSBACH model runs are available in the reproducible workflow (10.5281/zenodo.5153538).
Code availability
The R codes used for this analysis are available at: 10.5281/zenodo.5153538. The R codes for the causality analysis are available at: 10.5281/zenodo.5153534. The TEA algorithm is available at 10.5281/zenodo.3921923.
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Footnotes
Peer review information Nature thanks J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Diego Miralles and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Contributor Information
Mirco Migliavacca, Email: mmiglia@bgc-jena.mpg.de.
Markus Reichstein, Email: mreichstein@bgc-jena.mpg.de.
Extended data
is available for this paper at 10.1038/s41586-021-03939-9.
Supplementary information
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1038/s41586-021-03939-9.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
Data used for this study are the FLUXNET dataset LaThuile (https://fluxnet.fluxdata.org/data/la-thuile-dataset/) and FLUXNET2015 (https://fluxnet.fluxdata.org/data/fluxnet2015-dataset/). Biological, ancillary, disturbance and metadata information for the sites were collected from databases and the literature and are available at the following address together with the reproducible workflow (10.5281/zenodo.5153538). OCN and JSBACH model runs are available in the reproducible workflow (10.5281/zenodo.5153538).
The R codes used for this analysis are available at: 10.5281/zenodo.5153538. The R codes for the causality analysis are available at: 10.5281/zenodo.5153534. The TEA algorithm is available at 10.5281/zenodo.3921923.